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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 7000
30% +8%
Between 6500 - 7000
45% -5%
Below 6500
25% -3%

28.3M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth and a stable interest rate environment could drive significant index appreciation, barring major economic shocks. Valuations remain a key factor.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range on December 31, 2026?

Above 4.75%
35% +6%
Between 4.00% - 4.75%
40% -3%
Below 4.00%
25% -3%

15.1M volume

Inflation trajectory and labor market strength will dictate the Fed's pace. A soft landing could allow gradual cuts, while persistent inflation might hold rates higher longer.

Popular Cryptocurrencies
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BTCUSD · CRYPTO
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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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SOLUSD
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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$99.52
+0.85%
XRPUSD
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$1.35
+0.76%

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Market News

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Iran and US Brace for Long War
Iran and US Brace for Long War Iran and the US are digging in for a protracted war, with little sign of a near-term ceasefire or return to normal Middle East energy flows even if hostilities remain at a low intensity. The conflict has entered a form of stalemate, with critical issues including control of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program still unresolved. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 11
Y Combinator's Garry Tan says 'do nothing' about distillation as AI giants accuse China of copying their tech
Y Combinator's Garry Tan says 'do nothing' about distillation as AI giants accuse China of copying their tech Garry Tan, CEO of famed startup accelerator Y Combinator, said he would "do nothing" about the issue of OpenAI and Anthropic's models being distilled by open source Chinese competitors. He added that he prefers to focus on current risks of AI rather than the doomsday-style extinction risks currently capturing headlines. via CNBC
Sep 10
Bessent says 'a large bank' will be sanctioned on Monday as part of Iran strategy
Bessent says 'a large bank' will be sanctioned on Monday as part of Iran strategy Bessent made the comment during an appearance on "Real ​America's Voice" without naming the financial institution nor the country. Since the Mideast conflict began in February, the U.S. has implemented a series of economic measures against Iran. via CNBC
Sep 10
Asian Currencies Consolidate, But Haven Demand for Dollar May Weigh
Asian Currencies Consolidate, But Haven Demand for Dollar May Weigh Asian currencies consolidated against the dollar in early trade, but may be weighed by safe-haven demand for the greenback. via WSJ
Sep 10
Nikkei Falls 2.8%, Dragged by Chip Stocks
Nikkei Falls 2.8%, Dragged by Chip Stocks Japanese stocks were lower as fears about the Iran war and rising energy costs have grown. via WSJ
Sep 10
‘This is a GLOBAL STORY': Expert breaks down market breadth
‘This is a GLOBAL STORY': Expert breaks down market breadth Osaic Chief Market Strategist Phil Blancato and Principal Asset Management Chief Global Strategist Seema Shah analyze deteriorating market breadth, rising 10-year Treasury yields and AI infrastructure investment opportunities on ‘Making Money.' via Fox Business
Sep 10
The most important thing to remember is the long bond, says Jim Cramer
The most important thing to remember is the long bond, says Jim Cramer 'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks the current state of the bond market. via CNBC Television
Sep 10
Review & Preview: Inflation Watch
Review & Preview: Inflation Watch Higher oil prices and a sovereign bond sell-off sent stocks lower, but all eyes are on tomorrow's CPI reading. via Barrons
Sep 10
Jim Cramer says this is the key force driving stocks right now
Jim Cramer says this is the key force driving stocks right now CNBC's Jim Cramer said the 30-year Treasury yield is a key force driving stocks as it climbs to roughly 5.3%. He said higher long-term rates make bonds more attractive than stocks, raise corporate borrowing costs and threaten to slow the economy. via CNBC
Sep 10
Trump administration to sanction unnamed 'large' bank on Monday, Bessent says
Trump administration to sanction unnamed 'large' bank on Monday, Bessent says U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday the Trump administration will sanction a large bank ​next week as it continues to apply economic pressure ‌on Tehran to end a more than six-month U.S. conflict with Iran. via Reuters
Sep 10
Bitcoin Slides, Inflows Grow: Adam Lynch on Crypto Trends, Clarity Act
Bitcoin Slides, Inflows Grow: Adam Lynch on Crypto Trends, Clarity Act Price action in Bitcoin took a step down after a hotter-than-expected PPI led to some weakness across Wall Street. That said, Adam Lynch (@CharlesSchwab) sees increased net inflows to both Bitcoin and Ethereum, bolstering a bull case in the crypto space. via Schwab Network
Sep 10

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