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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6700
40% +5%
Between 6200 - 6700
35% -3%
Below 6200
25% -2%

22.1M volume

Driven by sustained corporate earnings growth, disinflation enabling rate cuts, and robust tech sector performance offsetting geopolitical risks.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the July 2027 FOMC meeting?

Below 3.50%
30% +4%
Between 3.50% - 4.25%
45% -2%
Above 4.25%
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Depends on persistent disinflationary pressures allowing the Fed to cut rates. Labor market resilience and global economic growth will also influence trajectory.

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Trending News

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Nikkei Rises 1.3%, Led by Chip Stocks
Nikkei Rises 1.3%, Led by Chip Stocks Japanese stocks were higher in early trade on continued hopes that artificial intelligence-related demand will support domestic earnings. via WSJ
Oct 27
Review & Preview: The AI Rollercoaster
Review & Preview: The AI Rollercoaster AI stocks led the indexes higher ahead of a busy day for Wall Street. via Barrons
Oct 27
Dollar holds gains ahead of Fed policy signal, RBNZ decision
Dollar holds gains ahead of Fed policy signal, RBNZ decision SINGAPORE, Oct 28 (Reuters) - The dollar held steady at a two-week high early on Wednesday ahead of a string of policy decisions from central banks, with the ‌Federal Reserve expected to leave rates via Reuters
Oct 27
Thyssenkrupp's tk accelis starts trading in top German listing of 2026
Thyssenkrupp's tk accelis starts trading in top German listing of 2026 Materials trader tk accelis makes its stock market debut on Wednesday in Germany's biggest listing so far ​in 2026 and conglomerate Thyssenkrupp's latest move to ‌become a holding company. via Reuters
Oct 27
Where Cramer stands on two beaten-down aerospace stocks — and the one to buy
Where Cramer stands on two beaten-down aerospace stocks — and the one to buy CNBC's Jim Cramer said Tuesday that GE Aerospace's post-earnings pullback has created a buying opportunity. He said Boeing faces a tougher recovery after lowering expectations for future free cash flow. via CNBC
Oct 27
Jim Cramer warns investors not to get fooled by the latest AI stock rally
Jim Cramer warns investors not to get fooled by the latest AI stock rally CNBC's Jim Cramer warned that the latest rally in AI stocks doesn't mean the data center trade is out of the woods. Cramer pointed to three lingering risks. via CNBC
Oct 27
Tech Rally, Fed Decision & Big Tech Earnings Ahead
Tech Rally, Fed Decision & Big Tech Earnings Ahead The Close brings you the latest news and analysis leading up to the final minutes and seconds before and after the closing bell on Wall Street. Today's guests are Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management Executive Director Katerina Simonetti, State Street Investment Management Global Head, Gold Strategy Aakash Doshi, City Analyst Ari Rosa, UPS CEO Carol Tomé, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Global Head of Multi-Asset Solutions Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Tola Capital Founder & Managing Director Sheila Gulati, Montage International Chairman, CEO & Founder Alan Fuerstman, Former Fed Governor Randy Kroszner, & RBC Capital Markets Head of US Rates Strategy Blake Gwinn. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 27
Chip stocks lead tech to its best three days in five weeks
Chip stocks lead tech to its best three days in five weeks Tech just had its best three days in about five weeks, and chip stocks led the way. Yahoo Finance's Jared Blikre breaks down the close with Brooke DiPalma: the Nasdaq rose more than 1% while the Dow barely finished higher, and the equal-weight S&P 500 lagged as megacaps did the heavy lifting. via Yahoo Finance
Oct 27
Bank of America's Bhave: Fed should hike rates Wednesday
Bank of America's Bhave: Fed should hike rates Wednesday Aditya Bhave, Bank of America Global Research managing director and head of US economic research, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what the FOMC should decide on interest rates Wednesday. via CNBC Television
Oct 27
Traders Brace for Fed Day
Traders Brace for Fed Day The Federal Reserve kicked off a two-day meeting Tuesday after raising interest rates after its previous meeting in September. Bloomberg News Federal Reserve and Economy Reporter Enda Curran says the meeting comes amid the "most confusing economy yet. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 27
As Trump touts energy companies' fortunes, U.S. consumers face the most expensive year for gas prices ever
As Trump touts energy companies' fortunes, U.S. consumers face the most expensive year for gas prices ever President Donald Trump can't stop touting the fortunes U.S. energy companies have made during the Iran war, while canvassing the country to support Republican candidates ahead of next week's midterm elections. via Market Watch
Oct 27
The rest of the market is leaving Big Tech behind after a historic comeback
The rest of the market is leaving Big Tech behind after a historic comeback The artificial-intelligence trade carried the U.S. stock market in September. But in October, it is being carried out on a stretcher. via Market Watch
Oct 27
AI's Game-Changing IPO
AI's Game-Changing IPO Anthropic just filed for an IPO with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. For the first time, the public can see the AI company's financials and not only how much money it's making, but what it's potentially losing. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 27
U.S. Stocks Add to Gains Ahead of Earnings, Fed Statement
U.S. Stocks Add to Gains Ahead of Earnings, Fed Statement U.S. stocks rose for the second straight session amid growing optimism about upcoming earnings reports from so-called artificial-intelligence hyperscalers. via WSJ
Oct 27

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