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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 7000
35% +8%
Between 6000 - 7000
45% -5%
Below 6000
20% -3%

28.5M volume

Market driven by sustained corporate earnings growth, AI productivity gains, and a stable interest rate environment. Geopolitical risks or sticky inflation could curb upside.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (December 18, 2026)?

Above 4.00%
30% +12%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
40% -7%
Below 3.00%
30% -5%

19.2M volume

Fed's path hinges on inflation's trajectory and labor market strength. Persistent core inflation or robust growth may limit cuts, while a slowdown could prompt aggressive easing.

Popular Cryptocurrencies
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Bitcoin
BTCUSD · CRYPTO
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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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SOLUSD
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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$74.58
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XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.06
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TVIV
Texas Ventures Acquisition IV Corp. NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected TVIV
JPRF
JPMorgan Preferred and Income Securities ETF NYSE • Jul 13, 2026
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NQLT
Neuberger Berman ETF Trust NYSE • Jul 13, 2026
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TVIVW
Texas Ventures Acquisition IV Corp. NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
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RACD
Research Alliance Corp. Iv NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
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Yorkville International Capital Corp. Warrants NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
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YICC
Yorkville International Capital Corp. NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
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JPMorgan Fundamental Data Science Large Growth ETF NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
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ProShares Trust NYSE • Jul 14, 2026
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HYNX
ETF Opportunities Trust NYSE • Jul 14, 2026
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Market News

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Market Close: Stocks Lower, Oil Higher on Iran; Earnings Season Starts • 7/13/26
Market Close: Stocks Lower, Oil Higher on Iran; Earnings Season Starts • 7/13/26 CNBC Business News Update with Jessica Ettinger - Markets & Business News With Expert Analysis From Top Business Names. Visit CNBC.com For More. via CNBC Television
Jul 13
U.S. Stocks Fall as AI Selloff, Oil Jump Rattle Markets
U.S. Stocks Fall as AI Selloff, Oil Jump Rattle Markets U.S. stocks fell as a sharp selloff in chip stocks rattled investor confidence in the AI trade. via WSJ
Jul 13
Stocks in the Red Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty | Closing Bell
Stocks in the Red Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty | Closing Bell Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Katie Greifeld, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jul 13
Hydro One to Release Second Quarter 2026 Results on August 12, 2026 Before Markets Open
Hydro One to Release Second Quarter 2026 Results on August 12, 2026 Before Markets Open Investment Community Teleconference Set for August 12, 2026 at 8 a.m. EDT TORONTO, July 13, 2026 /PRNewswire/ - Hydro One Limited (TSX: H), the largest electric transmission and distribution utility in Ontario, plans to release its second quarter financial results the morning of August 12, 2026, before North American financial markets open. via PRNewsWire
Jul 13
Dow falls 138 points as Iran tensions hit chip stocks, lift oil prices
Dow falls 138 points as Iran tensions hit chip stocks, lift oil prices US stocks closed lower on Monday as escalating tensions between the United States and Iran triggered a sharp rise in oil prices and renewed concerns over inflation, while a broad sell-off in semiconductor stocks added to pressure ahead of a busy week of corporate earnings and economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 138 points, or 0.26%, to close at 52,498.64. via Invezz
Jul 13
Oil Jumps as Trump Vows to Renew Iran Blockade
Oil Jumps as Trump Vows to Renew Iran Blockade Plus, Nasdaq slumps as AI doubts spoil SK Hynix's big U.S. debut. via WSJ
Jul 13
Fed governor warns of possible interest-rate hikes if inflation comes in hot this week
Fed governor warns of possible interest-rate hikes if inflation comes in hot this week As the war in Iran has pushed inflation to a three-year high while the labor market remains resilient, all eyes at the Federal Reserve are on prices – flipping from an easing bias to a tightening one. via New York Post
Jul 13
Qatar, UAE Can Survive Hormuz Closure, Says Ed Morse
Qatar, UAE Can Survive Hormuz Closure, Says Ed Morse Oil gained after the US carried out another wave of strikes against Iran, with the two sides disputing whether the Strait of Hormuz was open. Ed Morse, Senior Advisor and Commodity Strategist at Hartree Partners, discusses what's next for energy markets amid uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jul 13
Global Deals Top $2.6 Trillion in First Half of Year
Global Deals Top $2.6 Trillion in First Half of Year Global transaction values were up around 30% year over year to $2.6 trillion in the first half, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Bloomberg's Ryan Gould says "we're in the midst of a Trump-induced M&A boom. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jul 13
What the market is getting wrong about Japan: PIIE's Adam Posen explains
What the market is getting wrong about Japan: PIIE's Adam Posen explains Peterson Institute's Adam Posen explains why investors may still be underestimating the pace of Bank of Japan tightening. He discusses Japan's fiscal outlook, the Japanese yen, the possibility of renewed U.S. pressure on Japan's currency policy, and why tighter monetary policy could ultimately be needed even as fiscal spending remains loose. via CNBC International TV
Jul 13
Abrdn's Minter says bullion is now a structurally important asset
Abrdn's Minter says bullion is now a structurally important asset The gold market may be consolidating around $4,000 an ounce, but one market strategist believes investors should focus less on short-term price swings and more on gold's evolving role in the global financial system. via Kitco
Jul 13

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