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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +8%
Between 6000 and 6500
45% -5%
Below 6000
15% -3%

21.5M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, easing monetary policy, and continued tech innovation are expected to drive the market higher.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (scheduled for December 17-18, 2026)?

Above 4.50%
25% +7%
Between 3.75% and 4.50%
50% -8%
Below 3.75%
25% +1%

15.8M volume

The Fed's path depends on inflation's trajectory and labor market health. Gradual easing is expected, aiming for a neutral rate if conditions allow.

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Moat Stocks Balance an AI-Concentrated Market
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Eric Trump-backed robot soldier startup can't pay staff after founder borrowed $4.6 million from company to buy home
Eric Trump-backed robot soldier startup can't pay staff after founder borrowed $4.6 million from company to buy home Robot startup Foundation has failed to pay employees since missing its Oct. 30 payroll, angering some workers after its CEO borrowed $4.6 million from the firm last year to buy a luxury home, according to people familiar with the matter. CEO and co-founder Sankaet Pathak is Foundation's sole board member, raising governance concerns among prospective investors. via CNBC
Nov 14
Dow Jones Forecast: Trump's Mexico Tariff Remarks Test the Rally
Dow Jones Forecast: Trump's Mexico Tariff Remarks Test the Rally A possible increase in U.S. tariffs on Mexican goods and rising Treasury yields could make it harder for the Dow Jones to clear 53,700 and rally toward 55,000. via FXEmpire
Nov 14
Franklin Templeton Is Seeing a Turnaround. The Stock Is, Too.
Franklin Templeton Is Seeing a Turnaround. The Stock Is, Too. The global asset manager has been benefiting from improving operating performance and stronger client inflows. via Barrons
Nov 13
'NEIGHBORHOOD OS': Bilt CEO introduces a new AI-powered platform
'NEIGHBORHOOD OS': Bilt CEO introduces a new AI-powered platform Bilt Rewards founder and CEO Ankur Jain joins 'The Claman Countdown' to discuss the housing market slowdown and the launch of a new AI-driven platform. #fox #foxbusiness #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #theclamancountdown #bilt #biltrewards #ankurjain #jain #neighborhoodos #artificialintelligence #ai #technology #innovation #housingmarket #realestate #mortgagerates #mortgage #housing #homeownership #economy #finance #business #fintech #startups #entrepreneurship #housingaffordability #realestatemarket via Fox Business
Nov 13
Chicago Fed President: We are failing on the inflation side of the dual mandate | Invest 2026
Chicago Fed President: We are failing on the inflation side of the dual mandate | Invest 2026 Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee tells Brian Sozzi the Federal Reserve is failing on the inflation side of its dual mandate, and that the AI data center build-out may be a historically sized stimulus pushing the economy into what he calls old-fashioned demand overheating. He says inflation has run above target for three or four months and is moving the wrong way in categories that cannot come from tariffs or oil, and he points to rising costs for electrical components, chips, land and construction across his district. via Yahoo Finance
Nov 13
Shoppers' complaints about food prices could soon grow louder, as surging energy costs and supply-chain delays are elevating costs for producers: “The worst is yet to come”
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Nov 13
Review & Preview: Moving On
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Nov 13
Fed's Jefferson says he is taking his policy cues from inflation
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Nov 13
Democrats senators order Musk to preserve SpaceX records over Ukraine Starlink access, WSJ reports
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The 60/40 Portfolio Is Having a Weak Year. Blame It on Bonds.
The 60/40 Portfolio Is Having a Weak Year. Blame It on Bonds. The 60% stock/40% bond portfolio is up just 5% this year, the poorest showing since 2022's double drubbing. Plus, investment newsletter commentary on business activity, the data-center backlash, and holiday sales. via Barrons
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