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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 7200
35% +7%
Between 6500 - 7200
45% -5%
Below 6500
20% -2%

25.1M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and productivity gains, alongside potential rate cuts, could propel the index higher. Geopolitical stability is key.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Below 3.00%
30% +5%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
45% -3%
Above 4.00%
25% -2%

17.6M volume

The Fed's path hinges on inflation persistence and labor market strength. Sustained disinflation could allow for several cuts, while re-acceleration might necessitate higher for longer.

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Optimi Health Corp. NASDAQ • May 20, 2026
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Market News

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Macro strategist David Hunter warns of 80% market bust, 25% inflation as global debt math breaks
Macro strategist David Hunter warns of 80% market bust, 25% inflation as global debt math breaks The global financial system is barreling toward an unsolvable debt crisis, triggered by a massive deflationary bust that will force central banks to print up to $50 trillion to keep the banking sector afloat, according to David Hunter, Chief Macro Strategist at Contrarian Macro Advisors. via Kitco
May 20
Fed Minutes Show More Officials Warned of Rate-Hike Scenario
Fed Minutes Show More Officials Warned of Rate-Hike Scenario A majority of Federal Reserve officials warned the central bank would likely need to consider raising interest rates if inflation continued to run persistently above their 2% target, minutes of the April 28-29 Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed. Mike McKee reports. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
May 20
An updated ‘misery index' shows economic stress is nearing a warning zone as stocks push higher
An updated ‘misery index' shows economic stress is nearing a warning zone as stocks push higher A new gauge of household “misery” that includes mortgage rates has been moving in a worrisome direction that could mean weaker returns for the S&P 500 via Market Watch
May 20
EU Reconsiders MiCA Regulation as Crypto Evolves
EU Reconsiders MiCA Regulation as Crypto Evolves European regulators want to know if their 2024 cryptocurrency regulations still apply to the 2026 crypto landscape. With that in mind, the European Commission announced Wednesday (May 20) that it has launched a consultation to get feedback from stakeholders and the general public on the functioning of the Markets in Crypto‑Assets Regulation (MiCA). via PYMNTS
May 20
Dow jumps 640 points as oil prices slide ahead of Nvidia earnings
Dow jumps 640 points as oil prices slide ahead of Nvidia earnings Wall Street stocks rallied sharply on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average surging more than 640 points as falling oil prices and easing Treasury yields boosted investor sentiment ahead of Nvidia's closely watched quarterly earnings report. The Dow climbed 1.3%, while the S&P 500 gained 1% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.4%. via Invezz
May 20
Fed proposes to establish limited payment accounts
Fed proposes to establish limited payment accounts The U.S. Federal Reserve proposed ​Wednesday adopting a new, more ‌limited form of a payment account that would allow firms ​like fintechs the ability ​to move money across the ⁠Fed's payment rails without ​enjoying all the backstops available ​to traditional banks. via Reuters
May 20
A 10-15% market correction is likely given the oil shock and new Fed governor: CIO
A 10-15% market correction is likely given the oil shock and new Fed governor: CIO Nancy Tengler of Laffer Tengler Investments says markets are already reacting to economic conditions and a likely pullback represents good buying opportunity. via CNBC International TV
May 20
‘Credit termites' are lurking in the bond market and eating away at your portfolio
‘Credit termites' are lurking in the bond market and eating away at your portfolio Jamie Dimon was wrong about ‘cockroaches.' Opaque AI loans and high leverage are hollowing out the economy — again. via Market Watch
May 20
It will take 4 months for Hormuz flows to recover to 80% of prewar levels, says RBC's Helima Croft
It will take 4 months for Hormuz flows to recover to 80% of prewar levels, says RBC's Helima Croft Helima Croft, RBC global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the latest news regarding the Strait of Hormuz. via CNBC Television
May 20
Fed minutes from divisive meeting show officials prepping for possible rate hike as inflation fears intensify
Fed minutes from divisive meeting show officials prepping for possible rate hike as inflation fears intensify The minutes signal incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will inherit an increasingly hawkish crew of central bankers. via New York Post
May 20
Federal budget deficit projected to hit $2 trillion this fiscal year, ranking among largest in US history
Federal budget deficit projected to hit $2 trillion this fiscal year, ranking among largest in US history The U.S. is projected to run a budget deficit of at least $2 trillion in fiscal year 2026, according to Treasury Department and bond market estimates. via Fox Business
May 20

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