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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
42% +7%
Between 6200 - 6800
38% -5%
Below 6200
20% -2%

22.1M volume

Continued strong corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and productivity gains, is expected to offset higher for longer interest rate concerns, supporting market expansion.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (December 18, 2026)?

Above 4.25%
28% +5%
Between 3.25% - 4.25%
48% -3%
Below 3.25%
24% -2%

17.3M volume

Inflation trends and labor market dynamics will dictate the Fed's pace. A path of measured cuts is anticipated if inflation moderates without severe economic contraction, though risks remain.

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Trending News

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This pancreatic cancer treatment is on track for ‘one of the best drug launches of all time'
This pancreatic cancer treatment is on track for ‘one of the best drug launches of all time' Revolution Medicines' brand-new treatment brought in far higher sales than expected in its first few weeks on the market. via Market Watch
Nov 05
NDX Plunges 4% as Tech Stocks Take Beating: KG Assesses AI Volatility & Outlook
NDX Plunges 4% as Tech Stocks Take Beating: KG Assesses AI Volatility & Outlook The Nasdaq-100 (NDX) is currently on track for its largest single-day decline in several months as a mass selloff across tech drags Wall Street down. Kevin Green explains how the reaction in the stock market is tied to the midterm elections and fears of a slowdown in the AI trade. via Schwab Network
Nov 05
The Week Ahead: Inflation Data on Deck as Earnings Slow
The Week Ahead: Inflation Data on Deck as Earnings Slow Next week will bring key inflation data, with October's consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) readings in focus. via Schaeffers Research
Nov 05
US Jobless Claims Fall Below Estimates to 189,000
US Jobless Claims Fall Below Estimates to 189,000 Applications for US unemployment benefits fell by 6,000 to 189,000 last week. Continuing claims rose 23,000 in the week ending Oct. 31. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 05
Chipmakers Selloff Leads Nasdaq 100 Down 5%
Chipmakers Selloff Leads Nasdaq 100 Down 5% Sarah Hunt, Alpine Saxon Woods chief market strategist, reacts to the chipmaker selloff which pulled down the Nasdaq 100 by 5% in early trading on Thursday. Some investors are worried a Democratic sweep of Congress could mean tighter regulation. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 05
Marc Lore's Wonder confidentially files for IPO
Marc Lore's Wonder confidentially files for IPO Wonder has confidentially filed for an initial public offering, the company said. Founder Marc Lore previously started Diapers.com and Jet.com, which he sold to Amazon and Walmart, respectively. via CNBC
Nov 05
Yardeni: Yields Attractive at 5%; Nasdaq to Outperform
Yardeni: Yields Attractive at 5%; Nasdaq to Outperform Yardeni Research President, Ed Yardeni, says US 10-year Treasury yields look “very attractive” at around the 5% level with inflation expected to cool. On Bloomberg's Insight with Haslinda Amin, he also told us why the Nasdaq 100 is his preferred asset for the next 24 months. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 05
Oil's Sharp Drop May Offer Value as Iran Supply Risks Persist
Oil's Sharp Drop May Offer Value as Iran Supply Risks Persist WTI and Brent may attract dip buyers after a sharp selloff as tight distillate supplies and persistent Iran-related disruptions challenge the bearish outlook. via FXEmpire
Nov 05
Ed Yardeni Says 5% Treasury Yields Now Attractive
Ed Yardeni Says 5% Treasury Yields Now Attractive Yardeni Research President Ed Yardeni argues that 10-year Treasuries yielding around 5% offer an attractive real return, driven by expectations that productivity gains will keep inflation contained. While he expects bond coupons to outpace inflation over the next decade, Yardeni maintains that stocks will continue to outperform bonds over the long term. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 05
Nasdaq set for correction as investors reassess AI spending boom
Nasdaq set for correction as investors reassess AI spending boom Nasdaq set for correction as investors reassess AI spending boom via Reuters
Nov 05
Funding the Next Dollar: AI and the Marginal Supply of Capital
Funding the Next Dollar: AI and the Marginal Supply of Capital On the surface, financial conditions appear to be easing: the FOMC held rates steady last week, and Treasury yields have retreated from their recent highs. But that rally reflects a flight to safety, driven by growing questions about the durability and financing of the AI investment cycle. via ETF Trends
Nov 05
Energy lifts European earnings growth forecast to four-year high
Energy lifts European earnings growth forecast to four-year high Energy lifts European earnings growth forecast to four-year high via Reuters
Nov 05
Stocks Mixed, Jobless Claims At 57-Year Low, Productivity Surges 11-5-2026
Stocks Mixed, Jobless Claims At 57-Year Low, Productivity Surges 11-5-2026 CNBC Business News Update with Peter Schacknow - Markets & Business News With Expert Analysis From Top Business Names. Visit CNBC.com For More. via CNBC Television
Nov 05

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