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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 7000
40% +5%
Between 6500 - 7000
35% -3%
Below 6500
25% -2%

22.1M volume

Continued corporate earnings growth, driven by AI innovation and steady economic expansion, could push equities higher, while persistent inflation or policy shifts pose risks.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Target Rate after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.00%
30% +8%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
45% -5%
Below 3.00%
25% -3%

15.8M volume

Inflation's path, labor market strength, and global economic stability will dictate future rate cuts. Persistent price pressures could force the Fed to maintain higher rates for longer.

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Trending News

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Surge in Call Options Back Bull Run, Inflation May Open Door to Bears
Surge in Call Options Back Bull Run, Inflation May Open Door to Bears As the S&P 500 (SPX) hits a record high, @CharlesSchwab's Joe Mazzola believes there's room for a higher run. A surge in call options activity, backed by strength in key sectors, serve as key arguments to Joe's bullish thesis. via Schwab Network
May 26
The Housing Market's Latest Hurdles: Copper, Lumber, Diesel and Aluminum
The Housing Market's Latest Hurdles: Copper, Lumber, Diesel and Aluminum The typical U.S. home has more than 400 pounds of copper—and that's a problem when prices soar. via WSJ
May 26
Homebuilder Charts Point to Rebound. Play the Barbell Approach With These 2 Stocks.
Homebuilder Charts Point to Rebound. Play the Barbell Approach With These 2 Stocks. Technical indicators for Toll Brothers and Lennar suggest selling pressure in homebuilder stocks may be easing after a sharp sector pullback. via Barrons
May 26
Morning Call Sheet: Markets rally as AI and inflation collide
Morning Call Sheet: Markets rally as AI and inflation collide Peter Boockvar, CIO at One Point BFG Wealth Partners, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Amy Wu Silverman, Head of Derivatives Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discuss AI momentum, inflation risks and bullish market sentiment. via CNBC Television
May 26
KG on Traders Shrugging Off Geopolitical Tensions & SPX Hitting Record Highs
KG on Traders Shrugging Off Geopolitical Tensions & SPX Hitting Record Highs Iran having nuclear capabilities and charging tolls in the Strait of Hormuz remain the biggest sticking points in peace talks between it and the U.S., says Kevin Green. That said, markets remain optimistic as stocks catch a bid and crude oil slides. via Schwab Network
May 26
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Worsened in May
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Worsened in May Consumer confidence edged downward in May as the inflationary effects of the war in the Middle East intensified, a monthly survey from The Conference Board said. via WSJ
May 26
Economist Mark Thornton warns of 150-year market peak, calls Fed nomination a ‘hit job' on precious metals
Economist Mark Thornton warns of 150-year market peak, calls Fed nomination a ‘hit job' on precious metals A stark divide between record corporate profits and plummeting consumer sentiment is not an economic paradox, but the predictable outcome of decades of monetary expansion, according to Austrian School economist Dr. Mark Thornton. via Kitco
May 26
Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones 30 and S&P 500 Forecasts – US Indices Pull Back Early as Traders Return from Holiday
Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones 30 and S&P 500 Forecasts – US Indices Pull Back Early as Traders Return from Holiday US indices continue to attempt to push higher overall, but are a touch sluggish in early Tuesday trading. via FXEmpire
May 26
Why inflation, not growth, is what really matters for the stock market
Why inflation, not growth, is what really matters for the stock market There have been five significant shifts in the market in the past decade, per strategists at Piper Sandler. via Market Watch
May 26
ECB 'will do what is necessary' to tame inflation, Bank of France governor tells CNBC
ECB 'will do what is necessary' to tame inflation, Bank of France governor tells CNBC The European Central Bank "will do what is necessary" to keep inflation on target, one of its top policymakers told CNBC. Markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a rate hike from the central bank at its next meeting. via CNBC
May 26
Powell Will Vote With His Mind and Heart, Daco Says
Powell Will Vote With His Mind and Heart, Daco Says Gregory Daco, EY-Parthenon chief economist, says he thinks former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will not be afraid to dissent as a member of the board of governors. Daco speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
May 26
Dow rises nearly 100 points as AI chip stocks rally despite US-Iran tensions
Dow rises nearly 100 points as AI chip stocks rally despite US-Iran tensions US stocks moved higher on Tuesday as investors returned from the Memorial Day holiday weekend, balancing optimism around artificial intelligence-driven technology stocks against ongoing geopolitical uncertainty tied to Iran and the Middle East conflict. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose roughly 92 points, or 0.18%, while the S&P 500 gained about 0.54%. via Invezz
May 26

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