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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +7%
Between 6000 - 6500
35% -5%
Below 6000
25% -2%

28.5M volume

Strong corporate earnings and AI adoption could fuel growth, but inflation and geopolitical risks present headwinds, keeping ranges dynamic.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate set by the FOMC after its December 2026 meeting?

Below 3.00%
30% +5%
3.00% - 4.00%
45% -3%
Above 4.00%
25% -2%

17.2M volume

Inflationary pressures and labor market resilience are key drivers. A soft landing could allow moderate cuts, while stagflation concerns linger.

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Trending News

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These three stars need to align before investors rush back into stocks, Bank of America strategist says
These three stars need to align before investors rush back into stocks, Bank of America strategist says Despite the steep drop in equity markets this week, investors should wait for several developments in other asset markets before rushing back into stocks, Michael Hartnett said. via Market Watch
Nov 06
The solid October jobs report leaves inflation data and developments in financial markets to determine whether the Fed will deliver a widely expected rate in December
The solid October jobs report leaves inflation data and developments in financial markets to determine whether the Fed will deliver a widely expected rate in December Recent economic data point toward another rate increase in December. A more sustained AI selloff could argue against one. via WSJ
Nov 06
Jobs Report Doesn't Mean Fed Should Hike Rates, Hassett Argues
Jobs Report Doesn't Mean Fed Should Hike Rates, Hassett Argues White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett argues that the strong US employment report does not necessarily mean the Federal Reserve should raise rates in December. Speaking on "Bloomberg Open Interest," Hassett also comments on the investigation into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 06
Trader angst pivots from inflation to growth as tech rout deepens
Trader angst pivots from inflation to growth as tech rout deepens Trader angst pivots from inflation to growth as tech rout deepens via Reuters
Nov 06
AI Stock Sell-Off "Overreaction?" Jonathan Corpina Sees Calm in Volatility Storm
AI Stock Sell-Off "Overreaction?" Jonathan Corpina Sees Calm in Volatility Storm Jonathan Corpina says the stock market "overreacted" Thursday as investors unloaded their AI stocks following a Democratic sweep in the midterm elections. He puts the sell-off in perspective to highlight where he sees a rebound forming, and as he explains, the question just lies in when that rebound will happen. via Schwab Network
Nov 06
US employers surprisingly add 165K jobs in strong October, unemployment dips
US employers surprisingly add 165K jobs in strong October, unemployment dips Payrolls jumped by 165,000 jobs last month after an upwardly revised 60,000 gain in September, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday. via New York Post
Nov 06
Nasdaq rebounds 1% as chip stocks recover; Dow falls despite strong jobs data
Nasdaq rebounds 1% as chip stocks recover; Dow falls despite strong jobs data US stocks opened higher on Friday as chipmakers and technology stocks recovered from Thursday's sharp selloff. The Nasdaq Composite led the rebound, while Dow Jones remained under pressure, as investors assessed stronger-than-expected jobs data and concerns about potential restrictions on AI infrastructure development. via Invezz
Nov 06
Nasdaq opens higher as chip stocks attempt to recover from brutal losses
Nasdaq opens higher as chip stocks attempt to recover from brutal losses The Nasdaq Composite rebounded on Friday after a sell-off hit artificial intelligence stocks and sent the exchange into correction territory. via Fox Business
Nov 06
5 Things Investors Need to Know About Friday's Markets
5 Things Investors Need to Know About Friday's Markets Stock futures are mixed after the major indexes plunged Thursday; futures tied to the Nasdaq 100 were recently up more than 1%, while those associated with the Dow were down nearly 1%; some AI-related stocks that dropped yesterday are among this morning's biggest gainers; new jobs numbers landed, with more hiring than expected last month; bearish attitudes towards AI could affect Anthropic's planned IPO; and Moderna shares are climbing as investors cheered its results and outlook. via Investopedia
Nov 06

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