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Prediction Markets

What will be the target upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate by December 31, 2026?

Below 3.75%
30% +7%
3.75% - 4.75%
45% -3%
Above 4.75%
25% -4%

15.8M volume

Market expects gradual easing, but inflation trajectory and economic growth could lead to either more aggressive cuts or fewer reductions by late 2026.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on December 31, 2026?

Above 6200
40% +5%
Between 5500 - 6200
40% -2%
Below 5500
20% -3%

22.3M volume

Continued earnings growth and AI-driven productivity are key drivers. However, persistent inflation or a recessionary environment could cap upside potential by late 2026.

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SoFi Smart Energy ETF NYSE • Sep 22, 2026
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Market News

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Economists are raising estimates for a key indicator known as the neutral rate of interest—an elusive level where borrowing costs neither restrict nor stimulate growth
Economists are raising estimates for a key indicator known as the neutral rate of interest—an elusive level where borrowing costs neither restrict nor stimulate growth Economies around the world are showing surprising resilience to higher central bank-interest rates and government bond yields. via WSJ
Sep 20
Howard Marks Flags Uncertainty in AI Investing
Howard Marks Flags Uncertainty in AI Investing Oaktree Capital Management co-founder & co-chair Howard Marks says optimism has dominated markets since late 2022, pushing investors to look past bad news and making caution increasingly important. Marks is on Bloomberg This Weekend and tells David Gura and Christina Ruffini that enthusiasm around AI is undeniable but uncertainty over its profitability, valuations and potential impact on jobs makes it impossible to determine whether that exuberance is irrational. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 20
The 'robot relations' department may become reality in workplace of the future
The 'robot relations' department may become reality in workplace of the future In the not-too-distant future, AI at work may lead to the need for "robot relations" or "worker-automation relations" departments distinct from the current human resources role within a corporation. Use of algorithms for employee decisions, and widely deployed automated management systems, are already attracting scrutiny from legislators, labor unions, and employees. via CNBC
Sep 20
Franklin CEO Says AI Payoff Remains Unclear
Franklin CEO Says AI Payoff Remains Unclear Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson says companies cannot afford to slow their adoption of AI even as questions persist about costs, governance and the eventual profitability of the technology. Johnson tells hosts of Bloomberg This Weekend David Gura and Christina Ruffini that Franklin has already seen productivity and sales gains from AI, while warning that the economics of increasingly capital-intensive AI companies remain uncertain. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 20
U.S. urges Americans to reconsider Middle East travel as Iran tensions rise
U.S. urges Americans to reconsider Middle East travel as Iran tensions rise The State Department urged Americans outside the Middle East to seriously reconsider travel to and through the region, warning the conflict could escalate rapidly. Iran said the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until its conditions are met, demanding an end to the naval blockade, sanctions relief and the release of frozen assets via CNBC
Sep 20
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy A major risks now is that diesel prices stay high — and continue to put upward pressure on inflation. via Market Watch
Sep 20
Midterm voters are overwhelmingly worried about the national debt. But only small fixes are expected this year.
Midterm voters are overwhelmingly worried about the national debt. But only small fixes are expected this year. The U.S. government's total debt topped $40 trillion last month, generating plenty of headlines, but does all that red ink actually matter for voters in this year's midterm elections? via Market Watch
Sep 20
‘It's awful': How tariffs, soaring fuel costs and higher interest rates are squeezing American companies
‘It's awful': How tariffs, soaring fuel costs and higher interest rates are squeezing American companies Tariffs, soaring fuel prices and higher interest rates are squeezing American companies, particularly manufacturers, auto suppliers, retailers and transportation businesses. via CNBC
Sep 20
China's CXMT says new memory-chip platform enters mass production
China's CXMT says new memory-chip platform enters mass production Chinese DRAM chipmaker CXMT said on ‌Sunday its fifth-generation technology platform had entered mass production, a claimed breakthrough that could help China build a stronger competitor to Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Micron Technology in the global market for memory chips. via Reuters
Sep 19

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