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Prediction Markets

What will be the Fed Funds Target Rate (upper bound) be on December 31, 2026?

Above 4.00%
30% +5%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
45% -3%
Below 3.00%
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Inflation trajectory, economic growth, and labor market resilience will be key drivers. The Fed will balance price stability with avoiding a hard landing, influencing rate cuts.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on June 30, 2027?

Above 6500
40% +7%
Between 6000 - 6500
35% -4%
Below 6000
25% -3%

22.3M volume

Corporate earnings growth, sustained tech innovation, potential rate cuts, and geopolitical stability will shape market sentiment. Strong economic data could support higher valuations.

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ARIAD Pharmaceuticals, Inc. NYSE • Aug 10, 2026
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Market News

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The Italian Sea Group shares jump after troubled yacht maker kicks off sale process
The Italian Sea Group shares jump after troubled yacht maker kicks off sale process Shares in The Italian Sea Group jumped 10% ‌on Monday after the troubled luxury yacht maker said it had launched a competitive process to identify potential investors as part of its restructuring efforts. via Reuters
Aug 10
War Is Helping Chinese EVs Upend the Global Car Market
War Is Helping Chinese EVs Upend the Global Car Market High gasoline prices are giving a boost to China's electric-vehicle exports. via WSJ
Aug 10
Iran raises Hormuz reopening price, demands U.S. concessions
Iran raises Hormuz reopening price, demands U.S. concessions Iran says a deal with Oman around transit through the Strait of Hormuz is close, but ties the reopening of the waterway to conditions including U.S. compensation and an end to sanctions. CNBC's Dan Murphy has the latest from the region. via CNBC International TV
Aug 10
Wall Street's biggest bank just raised its expectations for the stock market
Wall Street's biggest bank just raised its expectations for the stock market JPMorgan lifted its year-end price target for the S&P 500 from 7,800 to 8,000. via Market Watch
Aug 10
July US container imports hit fourth-highest on record, Descartes says
July US container imports hit fourth-highest on record, Descartes says U.S. imports of containerized goods in July hit the fourth-highest level for the month, as ​shippers rushed in goods ahead of unknown U.S. tariff changes, ‌supply chain technology provider Descartes Systems Group said on Monday. via Reuters
Aug 10
A.I.-Driven Chip Crunch Leads to New Rush of Lobbying in Washington
A.I.-Driven Chip Crunch Leads to New Rush of Lobbying in Washington As data centers gobble up memory chips, other industries that need the components, including electronics companies like Apple and medical device makers, are asking for government help. via NYTimes
Aug 10
Why Are So Many People Upset About Flock Cameras?
Why Are So Many People Upset About Flock Cameras? Flock Safety's automated license plate-reading cameras, used by thousands of law enforcement agencies in the U.S., have drawn intense criticism from civil liberties groups. via NYTimes
Aug 10
Iran hikes price for reopening Strait of Hormuz
Iran hikes price for reopening Strait of Hormuz Iran raises the price for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, demanding U.S. reparations under June's memorandum of understanding. Yemen's Houthi rebels hit a Saudi oil refinery just days after Riyadh signs a mutual regional defence pact with Turkey and Pakistan. via CNBC International TV
Aug 10
Stock Market Today: Stocks on Course to Extend Gains
Stock Market Today: Stocks on Course to Extend Gains Futures tick up, with oil also higher via WSJ
Aug 10
Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to key inflation data
Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to key inflation data U.S. Treasury yields inched lower at the start of the week as investors look ahead to a busy week of economic data, particularly key inflation data. via CNBC
Aug 10
Australian rare earth miner surges as much as 29% after U.S. Department of War investment
Australian rare earth miner surges as much as 29% after U.S. Department of War investment Sunrise Energy Metals shares surge 29% after $400 million U.S. investment. The Trump administration has backed plans to build an Australian scandium mine as part of a push to challenge China's critical-minerals dominance. via CNBC
Aug 10
UK's Serica says $197 million bid for Pharos is final
UK's Serica says $197 million bid for Pharos is final Serica Energy will not be raising its £145.7 million ($196.59 million) proposal for peer oil and gas producer ​Pharos Energy , the British company said on Monday, days ‌after Israel's Ratio Petroleum tabled a higher takeover proposal. via Reuters
Aug 10

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