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What will be the effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) on December 31, 2026?

Above 4.50%
30% +4%
Between 3.00% - 4.50%
50% -2%
Below 3.00%
20% -2%

8.7M volume

Persistent inflation or strong economic growth could limit Fed rate cuts, while a significant slowdown or rapid disinflation might necessitate more aggressive easing.

What will be the closing yield of the 10-year US Treasury note on June 30, 2027?

Above 5.00%
25% +3%
Between 3.50% - 5.00%
55% -1%
Below 3.50%
20% -2%

10.2M volume

Long-term yields will reflect future inflation expectations, fiscal policy trajectory, and global demand for safe haven assets, potentially stabilizing or rising.

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Market News

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Investors nervous about AI spending slowdown after industry warnings
Investors nervous about AI spending slowdown after industry warnings Investors are showing some nervousness over the stock market's AI-led rally after industry leaders called for reining in the pace of development — although some say guardrails ​could ultimately benefit the AI sector. via Reuters
Sep 15
Pump Pain: Will Gas Spikes Fuel Inflation?
Pump Pain: Will Gas Spikes Fuel Inflation? Rising gas prices, which have pushed up air travel and other costs, could affect more sectors as the Iran war continues. One economist said watch prices for toys and even trash collection for early signs of trouble. via Barrons
Sep 15
Oil Price Forecast: Saudi Pipeline Outage Puts $120 in Focus
Oil Price Forecast: Saudi Pipeline Outage Puts $120 in Focus The Saudi pipeline outage supports oil prices, while bullish breakouts could lift WTI toward $110 and Brent toward $120. via FXEmpire
Sep 14
Bank of Japan Set to Deliver Fastest Hike of Cycle as Pressure Mounts
Bank of Japan Set to Deliver Fastest Hike of Cycle as Pressure Mounts The Japanese central bank's tone and guidance will be scrutinized for hints on whether it will accelerate tightening further or stick to a gradual approach. via WSJ
Sep 14
Australia's energy minister to visit Saudi Arabia as Middle East conflict escalates
Australia's energy minister to visit Saudi Arabia as Middle East conflict escalates Australian Energy Minister Chris Bowen said he would travel to Saudi Arabia next week to meet ​his counterpart, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, as an ‌escalation in the Middle East conflict raises concerns over global energy supply disruptions. via Reuters
Sep 14
Asian Currencies Mostly Weaken Amid Higher U.S. Treasury Yields
Asian Currencies Mostly Weaken Amid Higher U.S. Treasury Yields Asian currencies mostly weakened in Asian trade, after the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged above 5% on Monday before settling at 4.960%. via WSJ
Sep 14
Fed leader Kevin Warsh is facing the fight President Trump hoped he would avoid when he selected Warsh as the new central-bank chairman
Fed leader Kevin Warsh is facing the fight President Trump hoped he would avoid when he selected Warsh as the new central-bank chairman The current Fed chairman criticized the central bank last year for moving too slowly to cut rates. Investors now expect him to start taking those cuts back. via WSJ
Sep 14
Hedge Funds Are the Wild Card in the Turbulent Bond Market
Hedge Funds Are the Wild Card in the Turbulent Bond Market A pullback by pension funds in Treasurys has created a void filled by hedge funds, and the New York Fed is asking about the potential risks. via WSJ
Sep 14
Nikkei Falls 0.2%, Dragged by Chip-Related Stocks, Trading Houses
Nikkei Falls 0.2%, Dragged by Chip-Related Stocks, Trading Houses Japanese stocks were lower in early trade, weighed by concerns about the Iran conflict and higher energy costs. via WSJ
Sep 14
Review & Preview: AI Is At It Again
Review & Preview: AI Is At It Again Time Is a Flat Circle. The combo of prominent doomsayers and a looming Fed meeting put a dent in AI equities on Monday. Many stocks outside of tech actually gained ground, but given the sector's outsized position in major indexes, its selloff carried the day. via Barrons
Sep 14
This 'toxic brew' is driving rates higher, says Societe Generales Subadra Rajappa
This 'toxic brew' is driving rates higher, says Societe Generales Subadra Rajappa Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generales head of research, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve, the state of the bond market, and more. via CNBC Television
Sep 14
Trump: AI ‘Taking Over the World
Trump: AI ‘Taking Over the World "Balance of Power" focuses on the intersection of politics and global business. On today's show, Douglas Holtz-Eakin, President of the American Action Forum and former Director of the Congressional Budget Office, says the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates this week and warns that failing to do so would undercut its credibility as inflation remains its central challenge. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 14
The Gulf's AI Nightmare Came Courtesy of an Iranian Drone
The Gulf's AI Nightmare Came Courtesy of an Iranian Drone Amazon data centers in the U.A.E. and Bahrain are still offline months after being hit in the Iran war, testing the region's multibillion-dollar ambitions. via WSJ
Sep 14

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