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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 7200
35% +7%
Between 6500 - 7200
45% -5%
Below 6500
20% -2%

25.1M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and productivity gains, alongside potential rate cuts, could propel the index higher. Geopolitical stability is key.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Below 3.00%
30% +5%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
45% -3%
Above 4.00%
25% -2%

17.6M volume

The Fed's path hinges on inflation persistence and labor market strength. Sustained disinflation could allow for several cuts, while re-acceleration might necessitate higher for longer.

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Upcoming IPOs

AMAN
Amanat Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • May 19, 2026
Expected AMAN
HIS
Humilis US Focused Opportunities ETF NASDAQ • May 19, 2026
Expected HIS
PLA
GraniteShares Autocallable PLTR ETF NASDAQ • May 19, 2026
Expected PLA
AHD
GraniteShares Autocallable HOOD ETF NASDAQ • May 19, 2026
Expected AHD
LCLN
Lincoln International, Inc. NYSE • May 20, 2026 Price: 18.00 - 20.00
Expected LCLN
QADRW
QDRO Acquisition Corp. Warrant NASDAQ • May 20, 2026
Expected QADRW
QADR
QDRO Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • May 20, 2026
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BFLX
iShares Flexible Equity Active ETF NASDAQ • May 20, 2026
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EMEM
Sophus Capital Emerging Market ETF NASDAQ • May 20, 2026
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OPTH
Optimi Health Corp. Common Shares NASDAQ • May 20, 2026
Expected OPTH

Market News

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Biopharmaceutical firm Parabilis Medicines files for US IPO
Biopharmaceutical firm Parabilis Medicines files for US IPO Biopharmaceutical company Parabilis Medicines ​has filed for an ‌initial public offering in the United States, according ​to a regulatory filing ​on Tuesday. via Reuters
May 19
API shows US crude stocks fall for fifth straight week, fuel inventories also drop, sources say
API shows US crude stocks fall for fifth straight week, fuel inventories also drop, sources say U.S. crude oil inventories ​fell for a ‌fifth straight week last week, according to ​market sources ​citing American Petroleum Institute ⁠data released on ​Tuesday, while fuel ​stocks also fell. via Reuters
May 19
Dave Sekera on AI's Parabolic Run, Rotation to Value & Undervalued Sectors
Dave Sekera on AI's Parabolic Run, Rotation to Value & Undervalued Sectors Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at @morningstar, says now is a good time to take money out of tech and growth stocks and move them into value-oriented companies. He argues the AI trade is running out of steam and labels the memory trade as overvalued, pointing to Micron (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) as examples. via Schwab Network
May 19
S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 Fall for Third Straight Session | Closing Bell
S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 Fall for Third Straight Session | Closing Bell Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Katie Greifeld, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
May 19
Dow falls 320 points as rising bond yields pressure stocks
Dow falls 320 points as rising bond yields pressure stocks US stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite extending their losing streaks to three consecutive sessions as rising Treasury yields and persistent inflation concerns weighed on investor sentiment. The S&P 500 declined 0.67%, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.84%. via Invezz
May 19
Fed to hike? When traders see a rate increase coming
Fed to hike? When traders see a rate increase coming Rising U.S. Treasury yields have altered the outlook on when the next interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve might come. Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think there's a 63% chance a hike comes by July 2027. via CNBC
May 19
Are businesses passing on higher energy costs to their customers? These Fed minutes have the answer.
Are businesses passing on higher energy costs to their customers? These Fed minutes have the answer. The market is concerned about the Fed's readiness to react to high inflation. via Market Watch
May 19
How Hardware & Software Show Two Sides of Same AI Growth Story
How Hardware & Software Show Two Sides of Same AI Growth Story Colin Symons discusses the current state of software versus semiconductor stocks, saying his team trimmed some chip holdings after the sector's massive run up. While he's cautious on buying semiconductors right now, he believes patient investors could still see new highs later this year as the AI growth story remains firmly intact. via Schwab Network
May 19
Nasdaq 100: Despite Technical Bounce, Forecast Turns Cautious as Yields Shake US Indices
Nasdaq 100: Despite Technical Bounce, Forecast Turns Cautious as Yields Shake US Indices Nasdaq 100 forecast turns cautious as rising yields pressure tech stocks and fuel rotation across the US stock market. via FXEmpire
May 19

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