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Prediction Markets

What will be the Federal Funds Rate target range upper bound at the conclusion of the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Below 3.50%
30% +8%
Between 3.50% - 5.00%
50% -5%
Above 5.00%
20% -3%

8.7M volume

Continued disinflation and a soft landing could lead to moderate rate cuts. Persistent inflation or a resilient economy might keep rates higher, limiting cuts.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on June 30, 2027?

Above 7000
35% +10%
Between 6000 - 7000
45% -7%
Below 6000
20% -3%

15.2M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth and AI adoption could propel the index higher. However, persistent inflation or an economic slowdown pose downside risks.

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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
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CSRA
CSRA Inc. NYSE • Aug 12, 2026
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Guinness Atkinson Funds NYSE • Aug 12, 2026
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Valued Advisers Trust NYSE • Aug 12, 2026
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Market News

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AI capex could hit $1.6 trillion next year, says fund manager who sees more echoes of 1998 than the dot-com bust
AI capex could hit $1.6 trillion next year, says fund manager who sees more echoes of 1998 than the dot-com bust A T. Rowe Price fund manager thinks the hyperscalers can comfortably fund their investment spending, and moreover, derive high returns on that invested capital with a short payback schedule. via Market Watch
Aug 12
Red-Hot Power Stocks Are Losing Steam
Red-Hot Power Stocks Are Losing Steam The data center backlash is complicating the picture for power plant owners. via WSJ
Aug 12
Bank of America to Deploy $250 Billion to Bolster AI and Energy Infrastructure
Bank of America to Deploy $250 Billion to Bolster AI and Energy Infrastructure The bank is joining rivals that are rolling out pledges to back investments in U.S. critical industries. via WSJ
Aug 12
U.S. Futures Higher Ahead of Key Inflation Report
U.S. Futures Higher Ahead of Key Inflation Report Futures tied to the the major U.S. stock indexes rose, while oil was higher as the deadlock between the U.S. and Iran continued. via WSJ
Aug 12
Treasury yields are little changed as investors await key inflation data
Treasury yields are little changed as investors await key inflation data The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the key benchmark for U.S. government borrowing — was largely flat at 4.682%. via CNBC
Aug 12
Stock Market Today: Tech Earnings Buoy Stock Futures
Stock Market Today: Tech Earnings Buoy Stock Futures Results from Super Micro, CoreWeave rekindle AI trade ahead of CPI data via WSJ
Aug 12
A stock just surged on news Situational Awareness had bought it. But its current fate is unclear.
A stock just surged on news Situational Awareness had bought it. But its current fate is unclear. Financial market disclosures made by Situational Awareness, the once-soaring hedge fund that had to liquidate its portfolio of stocks, moved a stock on Wednesday. But it's unclear whether the fallen hedge fund actually still owns the company whose stock it moved. via Market Watch
Aug 12
Hedge funds upped short AI bets in July, Hazeltree says
Hedge funds upped short AI bets in July, Hazeltree says Hedge funds upped short bets on AI-related stocks in July, according to a Wednesday report from data platform Hazeltree, part ​of a broad shift in the month that saw chipmaker ‌shares tumble around the world via Reuters
Aug 12
India's HPCL, MRPL seek up to six million barrels crude, documents show
India's HPCL, MRPL seek up to six million barrels crude, documents show India's state-run refiners Hindustan Petroleum Corp ​and Mangalore Refinery and ‌Petrochemicals Ltd are seeking up to a combined 6 million ​barrels of oil ​through spot tenders, documents show. via Reuters
Aug 12
Treasury Yields, Dollar Stable Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data
Treasury Yields, Dollar Stable Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data Treasury yields traded steady as investors awaited U.S. inflation data for clues on whether the Fed could raise interest rates. via WSJ
Aug 12
Hannover Re Posts Lower Net Profit on Currency Hit
Hannover Re Posts Lower Net Profit on Currency Hit The company said it remains on track to achieve full-year guidance despite operating in an increasingly challenging market environment. via WSJ
Aug 12
Japan fund managers chase retail cash as JGB yields surge
Japan fund managers chase retail cash as JGB yields surge After years of paying investors almost nothing, Japanese government bonds are suddenly ​worth owning again, and domestic asset managers are hurrying to give ordinary investors a way in. via Reuters
Aug 12
Houthi attack kills six in first fatalities in Red Sea in over a year; U.S. strikes containership
Houthi attack kills six in first fatalities in Red Sea in over a year; U.S. strikes containership Iran-backed Houthi rebels killed six people in an attack on a cargo ship in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. U.S. forces fired missiles at a container ship attempting to breach Washington's blockade of Iranian ports in the Gulf of Oman. via CNBC
Aug 12

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