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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate by December 31, 2026?

Above 5.00%
20% +5%
Between 4.00% - 5.00%
45% -3%
Below 4.00%
35% -2%

15.8M volume

Inflation persistence, labor market resilience, and global economic growth will dictate the Fed's path. Soft landing vs. recession risks are key.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on June 30, 2027?

Above 7000
30% +8%
Between 6000 - 7000
50% -5%
Below 6000
20% -3%

22.3M volume

Corporate earnings growth, AI adoption impact, and the interest rate environment will drive market performance. Geopolitical stability also plays a role.

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BTCUSD
Bitcoin
BTCUSD · CRYPTO
$77,306.41
+5.88%
ETHUSD
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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
$2,395.97
+2.98%
SOLUSD
Solana
SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$91.32
+4.21%
XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.40
+10.48%

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Market News

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EPA extends renewable fuel standard compliance deadline for refiners
EPA extends renewable fuel standard compliance deadline for refiners The ​Environmental Protection Agency plans ‌to extend a September 1 deadline requiring oil refiners to ​demonstrate compliance with ​the nation's biofuel blending laws, ⁠the agency said on ​Friday, in a move that could ​provide the industry more flexibility as it grapples with elevated compliance ​costs. via Reuters
Aug 21
Greg Mankiw, Thomas Sargent and William White all have strong ideas about why prices rise. Their work could guide how the Fed fights inflation.
Greg Mankiw, Thomas Sargent and William White all have strong ideas about why prices rise. Their work could guide how the Fed fights inflation. Greg Mankiw, Thomas Sargent and William White all have strong ideas about why prices rise. Their work could guide how the Fed fights inflation. via WSJ
Aug 21
Ken Griffin says Citadel unwound more than 80% of risk tied to Situational Awareness portfolio
Ken Griffin says Citadel unwound more than 80% of risk tied to Situational Awareness portfolio Ken Griffin says Citadel unwound more than 80% of risk tied to Situational Awareness portfolio via CNBC
Aug 21
U.S. Natural Gas Futures Pick Up on Weather Outlook
U.S. Natural Gas Futures Pick Up on Weather Outlook Natural gas futures started higher with help from hotter near-term weather forecasts, while gains remained limited by comfortable storage levels. via WSJ
Aug 21
John Kilduff: This diesel price feeds right into the producer part of inflation
John Kilduff: This diesel price feeds right into the producer part of inflation John Kilduff, Founding Partner at Again Capital, says soaring diesel prices could fuel inflation, limit Fed cuts and pressure the economy as global supply shortages collide with rising U.S. demand. via CNBC Television
Aug 21
What the bond market is telling us about inflation, debt and the economy
What the bond market is telling us about inflation, debt and the economy A rollercoaster week in global bond markets saw Treasury yields briefly pull back Wednesday after the U.S. Treasury announced $4 billion in buybacks, before climbing again Thursday. Thanos Papasavvas of ABP Invest and Julian Howard of GAM Investments join CNBC's Ritika Gupta to discuss the bond market turmoil and how they're positioning across asset classes. via CNBC International TV
Aug 21
Dow rises 250 points as US stocks rebound, but indexes eye weekly losses
Dow rises 250 points as US stocks rebound, but indexes eye weekly losses US stocks rebounded on Friday after a sharp sell-off in the previous session, although the major indexes remained on track for weekly losses as elevated Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions weighed on investor sentiment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 255 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.37% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.34%. via Invezz
Aug 21
Trump to allow import of 300,000 metric tons of ground beef without tariff
Trump to allow import of 300,000 metric tons of ground beef without tariff President Donald Trump said the United States will allow up to 300,000 metric tons of product for ground beef to be imported over the next three months without being subject to out-of-quota tariffs. Trump said importers had agreed the ground beef would be sold at 25% below market prices. via CNBC
Aug 21
Consumers are finally starting to pull back, says 5 New Digital's Michael Zakkour
Consumers are finally starting to pull back, says 5 New Digital's Michael Zakkour Michael Zakkour, 5 New Digital founder and ‘The New Retail' author, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the key takeaways from retail earnings, state of the consumer, and more. via CNBC Television
Aug 21

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