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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6300
40% +7%
Between 5800 - 6300
38% -3%
Below 5800
22% -4%

22.1M volume

Continued corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and potential rate cuts, is expected to propel the S&P 500 higher, despite lingering inflation concerns.

What will be the Federal Funds Rate target range on December 31, 2026?

Above 4.50%
25% -5%
Between 3.50% - 4.50%
45% +8%
Below 3.50%
30% -3%

15.8M volume

The Fed's path will hinge on inflation data and labor market strength. A gradual easing is anticipated, but persistent price pressures could limit cuts, keeping rates elevated.

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Market News

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Food, Gas Prices Push October CPI Higher
Food, Gas Prices Push October CPI Higher Food and energy prices drove the consumer price index higher for October, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates next month. Grocery, gasoline and electricity prices all rose. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 10
Experts react to the October CPI report
Experts react to the October CPI report Jason Trennert, Baird Strategas chairman and CEO, and Matthew Hornbach, Morgan Stanley gloal head of macro strategy, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the October CPI data, impact on the Fed's interest rate outlook, state of the economy, and more. via CNBC Television
Nov 10
5 Things Investors Need to Know About Tuesday's Markets
5 Things Investors Need to Know About Tuesday's Markets Stock indexes appear to be headed in opposite directions, with futures tied to the Dow up and those associated with the Nasdaq 100 pointing lower; the government released the October consumer price index reading, with inflation rising from a month earlier; Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested the central bank would need to tighten monetary policy “sooner, rather than later”; Anthropic issued fresh details about its planned IPO; and investors are eyeing the latest moves in shares of Nvidia and CoreWeave. via Investopedia
Nov 10
US October CPI Comes in Hotter Than Expected
US October CPI Comes in Hotter Than Expected Consumer prices rise more than expected in October, posing a possible problem for the Federal Reserve. The consumer price index, minus food and energy, rose 0.3% from a month earlier. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 10
Hot CPI Signals Likely Fed Rate Hikes Ahead, Energy Volatility Dominates
Hot CPI Signals Likely Fed Rate Hikes Ahead, Energy Volatility Dominates October CPI came in hotter-than-expected with both core and headline CPI displaying strong month-over-month numbers. Kevin Hincks and Alex Coffey weigh in on sector monthly performance saying traders may want to consider if these numbers are "stale" considering crude oil has moved significantly over the last month. via Schwab Network
Nov 10
Hackers Hunt for AI's Most Valuable Commodity: Computing Power
Hackers Hunt for AI's Most Valuable Commodity: Computing Power Demand for artificial-intelligence models has turned AI credentials into a lucrative black-market currency and a target for cybercriminals. via WSJ
Nov 10
Stock Market Pushes NVDA Aside as SPX Rises, Crude Oil Falls
Stock Market Pushes NVDA Aside as SPX Rises, Crude Oil Falls Relatively strong volume on Monday's big up day for tech isn't enough to convince Kevin Green that bulls are back in control. He points to key levels in the S&P 500 (SPX) to watch in Tuesday's trading day and the week ahead. via Schwab Network
Nov 10
Fed's Waller Supports Rate Hike in December
Fed's Waller Supports Rate Hike in December Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he supports an interest-rate hike in December, and warned that if inflation continues to accelerate he would support a half-percentage-point increase to protect the central bank's credibility. “If inflation comes in substantially higher than I expect, more robust action by the FOMC may be called for,” Waller said at the Bank of England and Its Watchers event. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 10
Fed's Waller on Rates, Market Pricing and the US Economy
Fed's Waller on Rates, Market Pricing and the US Economy Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller joins Bloomberg's Francine Lacqua for a conversation on monetary policy, interest rates and the outlook for the US economy. They speak at the Bank of England and Its Watchers event in London. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 10

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