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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +5%
Between 6000 - 6500
35% -3%
Below 6000
25% -2%

17.8M volume

Anticipates robust corporate earnings driven by technological advancements and stable economic growth, with potential for easing monetary policy through 2025-2026.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.25%
25% -4%
Between 3.25% - 4.25%
45% +6%
Below 3.25%
30% -2%

11.5M volume

Reflects an expectation of moderate inflation and a stabilizing labor market, allowing the Fed to gradually normalize rates without triggering a recession.

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Market News

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What's Really Going on in Bond Markets?: 3-Minutes MLIV
What's Really Going on in Bond Markets?: 3-Minutes MLIV Anna Edwards, Guy Johnson, Tom Mackenzie and Paul Dobson break down today's key themes for analysts and investors on "Bloomberg: The Opening Trade." -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
May 15
Global equities rally as Trump-Xi optimism lifts market sentiments
Global equities rally as Trump-Xi optimism lifts market sentiments Global equities advanced sharply as improving sentiment around US-China relations, encouraging US economic data, and easing inflation concerns boosted investor appetite for risk assets, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank. The analysts said markets reacted positively to developments surrounding the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, while corporate earnings and growing enthusiasm around artificial intelligence further supported gains across equities. via Invezz
May 15
Could Wall Street's AI boom soon meet a bond market reality check?
Could Wall Street's AI boom soon meet a bond market reality check? SlateStone Wealth chief market strategist Kenny Polcari discusses the stark contrast between Wall Street's AI stock rally and warning signs from the bond market on ‘The Claman Countdown.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #theclamancountdown #wallstreet #aistocks #artificialintelligence #bondmarket #inflation #economy #stocks #investing #finance #market #business #trading #kennypolcari #earnings #interestrates #federalreserve #technology #stockmarket via Fox Business
May 15
A look at Indian billionaire Gautam Adani's businesses
A look at Indian billionaire Gautam Adani's businesses The U.S. Justice Department is close to dropping criminal fraud charges against Gautam Adani, an Indian billionaire, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. via Reuters
May 15
Caturus to start construction of major US LNG facility after securing $9.75 billion
Caturus to start construction of major US LNG facility after securing $9.75 billion U.S.-based Caturus has given the go-ahead to ​build a massive liquified natural gas (LNG) facility in ‌Cameron Parish, Louisiana, after raising $9.75 billion in financing for the plant's construction, Mubadala Energy said on Friday. via Reuters
May 15
‘You can't keep track': Infrastructure Capital Management CIO on the market's explosive rally
‘You can't keep track': Infrastructure Capital Management CIO on the market's explosive rally Infrastructure Capital Management CIO Jay Hatfield discusses raising his S&P 500 target, why strong earnings continue to fuel market resilience and more on ‘Making Money.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #makingmoney #bullmarket #stockmarket #wallstreet #investing #finance #economy #earnings #stocks #sp500 #business #trading #market #jayhatfield #inflation #growth #investors #money #financialnews via Fox Business
May 15
Even a High-Priced Market Has Bargains. 10 Undervalued Blue-Chip Stocks.
Even a High-Priced Market Has Bargains. 10 Undervalued Blue-Chip Stocks. Even as tech surges, many other sectors in the market are trading at surprisingly attractive prices. via Barrons
May 15
Billionaire Gautam Adani and nephew agree to pay $18 million in SEC settlement over fraud allegations
Billionaire Gautam Adani and nephew agree to pay $18 million in SEC settlement over fraud allegations U.S. regulators settled civil fraud claims against Gautam and Sagar Adani. Reports said U.S. prosecutors may drop related criminal charges. via CNBC
May 15
Trump's former economic advisor Stephen Miran steps down from Fed board, supports Kevin Warsh as new chair
Trump's former economic advisor Stephen Miran steps down from Fed board, supports Kevin Warsh as new chair Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran submits resignation, celebrating conservative regulatory victories and the removal of reputational risk guidelines. via Fox Business
May 14
Fed's Barr: Shrinking The Balance Sheet Is The Wrong Objective
Fed's Barr: Shrinking The Balance Sheet Is The Wrong Objective Federal Reserve Gov. Michael Barr said shrinking the balance sheet is the wrong objective for the central bank, and many of the proposals to meet that objective would threaten financial stability. via WSJ
May 14

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