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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +7%
Between 6000 - 6500
35% -5%
Below 6000
25% -2%

28.5M volume

Strong corporate earnings and AI adoption could fuel growth, but inflation and geopolitical risks present headwinds, keeping ranges dynamic.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate set by the FOMC after its December 2026 meeting?

Below 3.00%
30% +5%
3.00% - 4.00%
45% -3%
Above 4.00%
25% -2%

17.2M volume

Inflationary pressures and labor market resilience are key drivers. A soft landing could allow moderate cuts, while stagflation concerns linger.

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Trending News

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The Wild Week That Brought AI Investors to the Brink
The Wild Week That Brought AI Investors to the Brink Democrats' victories supercharged anxieties that had been building for weeks. Systematic trades amplified losses. via WSJ
Nov 06
Cramer's week ahead: AI data center stocks face another hurdle and so does the Fed
Cramer's week ahead: AI data center stocks face another hurdle and so does the Fed CNBC's Jim Cramer warned that next week's earnings from leading neoclouds pose another test for AI data center stocks. Cramer highlighted earnings from CoreWeave and Nebius, alongside key inflation reports that could shape the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. via CNBC
Nov 06
'Very good chance' we go back to conflict in Iran, says fmr. WH senior advisor Amos Hochstein
'Very good chance' we go back to conflict in Iran, says fmr. WH senior advisor Amos Hochstein Amos Hochstein, TWG Global managing partner and former Biden White House senior advisor, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss a potential breakthrough to end the Iran war and why he says more conflict in the region is possible. via CNBC Television
Nov 06
Kevin Hassett: Why strong jobs data may not mean a Fed hike
Kevin Hassett: Why strong jobs data may not mean a Fed hike The October jobs report blew past expectations, and White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett tells Yahoo Finance's Jennifer Schonberger the labor market is about as strong as it gets. He walks through record-low jobless claims, rising quit rates and wage growth, and explains why he thinks supply-driven growth does not have to be inflationary, even as markets expect a December Fed rate hike. via Yahoo Finance
Nov 06
Inflations plus strong jobs number could give Fed 'latitude' to raise rates, says Moody's Mark Zandi
Inflations plus strong jobs number could give Fed 'latitude' to raise rates, says Moody's Mark Zandi Mark Zandy, Moody's Analytics chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the implications of October's stronger-than-exected jobs numbers on the economy and the Federal Reserve. via CNBC Television
Nov 06

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