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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6700
35% +7%
Between 6200 - 6700
40% -3%
Below 6200
25% -4%

15.2M volume

S&P 500 outlook hinges on sustained corporate earnings growth, favorable interest rate environment, and stable economic expansion throughout 2025-2026.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Below 2.75%
20% -5%
Between 2.75% - 3.50%
45% +8%
Above 3.50%
35% -3%

8.9M volume

The Fed's path will be dictated by inflation's persistence, the strength of the labor market, and overall economic growth trends over the next two years.

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Advasa Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Adamas Trust, Inc. 9.600% Senior Notes Due 2031 NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Virtus ETF Trust II NYSE • Aug 17, 2026
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Nuran Wireless Inc. Common Shares NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Cartesian Growth Corporation IV Warrants NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Virtus ETF Trust II NYSE • Aug 17, 2026
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Mercator Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Mercator Acquisition Corp. Warrant NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. Common Stock NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Market News

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U.S. Futures Mostly Higher as Iran Ceasefire Set to Expire
U.S. Futures Mostly Higher as Iran Ceasefire Set to Expire Stock futures were mostly higher as investors looked ahead to Fed minutes on Wednesday, and clues on U.S. consumer sentiment from Walmart and Home Depot earnings due this week. via WSJ
Aug 17
Treasury yields edge lower as investors look ahead to latest FOMC minutes
Treasury yields edge lower as investors look ahead to latest FOMC minutes Treasury yields fell as traders awaited the latest FOMC minutes due later this week. via CNBC
Aug 17
China leads wave of clean power wastage as grids globally hit limits
China leads wave of clean power wastage as grids globally hit limits China turned away enough clean energy to power Mexico ​for a year in the six months through June as its grids hit their limits, while networks in many other nations ‌such as Australia and Japan also failed to keep pace with a surging renewables buildout. via Reuters
Aug 17
European futures poised to start week in the green
European futures poised to start week in the green European futures are set to start in the green after snapping a four-week winning streak. Investors are anticipating UK employment and inflation data, flash PMIs and the latest FOMC meeting minutes later this week. via CNBC International TV
Aug 17
Strait of Hormuz shipping grinds to a halt ahead of U.S.-Iran ceasefire expiry
Strait of Hormuz shipping grinds to a halt ahead of U.S.-Iran ceasefire expiry Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz sank to a new low on Saturday, per Kpler data. Only five vessels passed through the Strait on Saturday, compared with 31 the previous weekend. via CNBC
Aug 17
It's Not Looking Great for The Dollar: 3-Minutes MLIV
It's Not Looking Great for The Dollar: 3-Minutes MLIV Guy Johnson, Tom Mackenzie and Paul Dobson break down today's key themes for analysts and investors on "Bloomberg: The Opening Trade." Chapters: 00:00:00 - MLIV 00:00:01 - Dollar Pointing Lower 00:00:49 - Bond Market, Yields 00:02:11 - Inflation Challenges Central Banks -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 17
China's Economic Activity Weakened in July
China's Economic Activity Weakened in July Economic activity cooled as surging exports fueled by the AI boom failed to offset weakness in domestic demand. via WSJ
Aug 17
Shein eyes company valuation of around $25 billion in Hong Kong IPO, sources say
Shein eyes company valuation of around $25 billion in Hong Kong IPO, sources say Online fast-fashion retailer Shein is eyeing a company valuation ​of around $25 billion in its ‌Hong Kong IPO, said three people with knowledge of the matter, down from nearly $100 ​billion four years ago due ​to challenging business conditions. via Reuters
Aug 17
Emerging markets march out of 'valley of tears' as investors diversify
Emerging markets march out of 'valley of tears' as investors diversify War, tariffs and AI gyrations have done little to dent the flow of cash into emerging markets, as reforms, deeper local capital markets and diversification away from U.S. ​assets reshape the asset class. via Reuters
Aug 17
Japanese automakers vulnerable to one-two punch of Iran war, yen rally
Japanese automakers vulnerable to one-two punch of Iran war, yen rally Any potential further intervention by the Japan government in propping up the yen may affect the earnings outlook for Japanese automakers. However, the impact of the Middle East war may be a more pressing issue as the conflict drags on. via CNBC
Aug 17
Big investors hunt for tomorrow's AI winners as capex angst fades
Big investors hunt for tomorrow's AI winners as capex angst fades The rally in AI-linked stocks that marked the latest earnings season has shifted the focus of the AI investment story from whether Big Tech's spending spree will pay off to ​the kind of companies that will deliver returns over the longer term, investors say. via Reuters
Aug 17
K-Beauty Has Conquered the World. China's Proya Wants C-Beauty to Be Next.
K-Beauty Has Conquered the World. China's Proya Wants C-Beauty to Be Next. Proya Cosmetics will start selling its flagship brand in the U.S. via a partnership with retailer Ulta Beauty. via WSJ
Aug 16

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