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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
30% +5%
Between 6000 - 6500
45% -3%
Below 6000
25% -2%

22.3M volume

Continued earnings growth and moderate interest rates could push the market higher. Geopolitical stability and consumer spending will be key drivers for sustained gains.

What will be the Federal Funds Rate target upper bound after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.00%
25% -4%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
50% +7%
Below 3.00%
25% -3%

15.8M volume

Inflationary pressures and labor market resilience will dictate the Fed's stance. A 'higher for longer' mentality may persist, but significant economic slowdown could force cuts.

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TRUR
VanEck Real Estate TruSector ETF NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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VanEck Energy TruSector ETF NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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BKYI
BIO-key International, Inc. NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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Freedom Metals Acquisition Corp. NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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VanEck Utilities TruSector ETF NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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Capstone Energy+, Inc. NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long PURR ETF NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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VanEck Materials TruSector ETF NASDAQ • Jul 08, 2026
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Tarsier Pharma Ltd. NYSE • Jul 09, 2026
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Exchange Place Advisors Trust NYSE • Jul 09, 2026
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Market News

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Minutes From Warsh's First Meeting Show Divided Fed
Minutes From Warsh's First Meeting Show Divided Fed A few Federal Reserve officials in their most recent policy meeting said there was a case for raising interest rates, though they ultimately supported the decision to leave rates on hold, according to the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's June 16-17 meeting. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jul 08
A ‘few' Fed officials said there was a case for a rate hike in June, minutes from Warsh's first meeting show
A ‘few' Fed officials said there was a case for a rate hike in June, minutes from Warsh's first meeting show A “few” Federal Reserve officials said there was a case for raising interest rates in June, according to minutes released Wednesday from the central bank's meeting last month. via Market Watch
Jul 08
Trump says he's 'not sure' he wants Iran deal as Hormuz Strait strife deepens
Trump says he's 'not sure' he wants Iran deal as Hormuz Strait strife deepens President Donald Trump said he may no longer be interested in even trying to reach a deal with Iran. Trump earlier declared the U.S.-Iran ceasefire "over" in light of renewed hostilities in and around the Strait of Hormuz. via CNBC
Jul 08
Fed officials were split on direction of interest rates at last meeting, minutes show
Fed officials were split on direction of interest rates at last meeting, minutes show The Federal Reserve on Wednesday released minutes from its June 16-17 meeting. via CNBC
Jul 08
How Andrea Orcel Did an End Run Around Germany to Build a Banking Giant
How Andrea Orcel Did an End Run Around Germany to Build a Banking Giant UniCredit on Wednesday said it likely won voting control of Commerzbank shares, after building its stake to just under 50% in an open tender offer. via WSJ
Jul 08
Market Midday: Stocks Plunge, Dow Down 700 as Trump Ends Iran Peace Pause • 7/8/26
Market Midday: Stocks Plunge, Dow Down 700 as Trump Ends Iran Peace Pause • 7/8/26 The CNBC Business News Update with Jessica Ettinger features market numbers & news with CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business names. Updated throughout the business day. via CNBC Television
Jul 08
Delta's Basic Business Offers Cheaper Luxury Ticket With Fewer Perks
Delta's Basic Business Offers Cheaper Luxury Ticket With Fewer Perks The airline's strategy reflects a push toward a la carte pricing even for premium tickets. via WSJ
Jul 08
Data-Center Construction Boom Lifts Airfreight Demand
Data-Center Construction Boom Lifts Airfreight Demand Bulky server racks and wafer-thin semiconductors needed for the AI build-out are taking up space in cargo planes once occupied by packages of low-price apparel and knickknacks. via WSJ
Jul 08
Some war insurers advise shipowners to pause Hormuz voyages after attacks, sources say
Some war insurers advise shipowners to pause Hormuz voyages after attacks, sources say Some war underwriters have advised shipping companies to pause voyages through the Strait of Hormuz while others are reviewing ​their policy terms after renewed vessel attacks threatened a return to war ‌between Iran and the U.S., insurance industry sources said on Wednesday. via Reuters
Jul 08

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