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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate on December 31, 2026?

Below 4.00%
25% +3%
4.00% - 4.50%
55% -2%
Above 4.50%
20% -1%

15.2M volume

The Fed's path will be dictated by inflation's persistence and economic growth. A soft landing could see moderate cuts, while higher inflation might limit them.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on June 30, 2027?

Above 7000
30% +5%
Between 6500 - 7000
45% -3%
Below 6500
25% -2%

22.8M volume

Future S&P 500 performance hinges on sustained corporate earnings, interest rate trajectory, and AI's continued impact versus potential economic deceleration.

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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$77.25
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XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.23
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Market News

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Does the World Need Chinese Rare Earths? Not Necessarily, Say These Companies
Does the World Need Chinese Rare Earths? Not Necessarily, Say These Companies Beijing's move to choke off the supply spurred companies to develop new products that could potentially circumvent Chinese sources. via WSJ
Jun 02
Is the stock market in an AI bubble? A recent warning sign suggests yes
Is the stock market in an AI bubble? A recent warning sign suggests yes Are we in an AI bubble, similar to the dot-com bubble that burst in the early 2000s? Stock market analysts have been sounding the warning bells for the last year, but those warnings just got louder—and some are answering with a resounding yes. via Fast Company
Jun 02
Top CEOs brace for downturn, warn US economy will worsen in next 6 months
Top CEOs brace for downturn, warn US economy will worsen in next 6 months CEO confidence plummeted from a reading of 59 to 47 in just one quarter, as corporate leaders report worsening economic conditions and shrinking hiring plans. via Fox Business
Jun 02
KG on April JOLTS Strength, Fading Rate Cut Hopes & AI Stock Rally
KG on April JOLTS Strength, Fading Rate Cut Hopes & AI Stock Rally Kevin Green breaks down the latest April JOLTS report to examine why strengthening labor data makes it harder for the Fed to justify interest rate cuts. He also talks about inflation pressures facing the economy, how markets are reacting to the data, and what investors should watch ahead of Friday's job report. via Schwab Network
Jun 02
AI demand, earnings optimism lift tech giants' market value in May
AI demand, earnings optimism lift tech giants' market value in May The world's most valuable technology companies with the exception of Alphabet added billions of dollars in ​market value in May, as upbeat earnings outlooks ‌and strong demand for AI chips fuelled a rally in their shares. via Reuters
Jun 02
Morning Call Sheet: Markets look past Iran as AI drives gains
Morning Call Sheet: Markets look past Iran as AI drives gains Tim Seymour, Seymour Asset Management CIO, Gina Martin Adams, HB Wealth Chief Market Strategist, and Chris Hodge, Natixis CIB Americas Chief U.S. Economist, discuss AI, Iran and consumers. via CNBC Television
Jun 02
UK's Paragon Banking lifts margin outlook, flags softer consumer sentiment
UK's Paragon Banking lifts margin outlook, flags softer consumer sentiment British buy-to-let lender Paragon Banking Group ‌on Tuesday forecast annual net interest margin at the upper end of previous outlook, but flagged softer consumer and business sentiment amid political and geopolitical uncertainty. via Reuters
Jun 02
NYC bar uses prediction markets to hedge against a new financial risk: A Knicks victory.
NYC bar uses prediction markets to hedge against a new financial risk: A Knicks victory. Wall Street investors use financial derivatives to hedge against shifts in interest rates and exchange rates. Farmers use them to lock in the price of their crops. via Market Watch
Jun 02
U.S. Job Openings Increased While Hiring Fell in April
U.S. Job Openings Increased While Hiring Fell in April U.S. job openings increased to 7.6 million in April, from 6.9 million in March. Meanwhile, the hiring rate worsened to 3.2% in April from 3.5% in March, with about 5.1 million Americans landing new jobs in April. via WSJ
Jun 02
Job openings in April surged to 7.6 million, the highest in nearly two years
Job openings in April surged to 7.6 million, the highest in nearly two years The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that available employment hit 7.6 million for April, a surge of 731,000 from the prior month and the highest level since May 2024. While openings jumped, the hiring rate slipped. via CNBC
Jun 02
The stock market had a great May. Here's what actually drove it
The stock market had a great May. Here's what actually drove it May was a good month to be invested in global stock markets. According to UBS, shares around the world rose almost 5% in a single month and are now up more than 10% since January. via Proactive Investors
Jun 02
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists
Hammack Says Fed May Need to Respond if Inflation Persists Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, a voting member this year, said policy may not be restrictive enough to bring inflation to 2%. via WSJ
Jun 02

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