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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 7000
35% +8%
Between 6000 - 7000
45% -5%
Below 6000
20% -3%

28.5M volume

Market driven by sustained corporate earnings growth, AI productivity gains, and a stable interest rate environment. Geopolitical risks or sticky inflation could curb upside.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (December 18, 2026)?

Above 4.00%
30% +12%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
40% -7%
Below 3.00%
30% -5%

19.2M volume

Fed's path hinges on inflation's trajectory and labor market strength. Persistent core inflation or robust growth may limit cuts, while a slowdown could prompt aggressive easing.

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Trending News

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Upcoming IPOs

RACD
Research Alliance Corporation IV Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected RACD
TVIVW
Texas Ventures Acquisition IV Corp Warrant NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected TVIVW
YICCW
Yorkville International Capital Corp. Warrants NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected YICCW
YICC
Yorkville International Capital Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected YICC
TVIV
Texas Ventures Acquisition IV Corp Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected TVIV
JPRF
J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust NYSE • Jul 13, 2026
Expected JPRF
NQLT
Neuberger Berman ETF Trust NYSE • Jul 13, 2026
Expected NQLT
LGDS
JPMorgan Fundamental Data Science Large Growth ETF NASDAQ • Jul 13, 2026
Expected LGDS
RECI
Columbia ETF Trust I NYSE • Jul 14, 2026
Expected RECI
CDPI
Columbia ETF Trust I NYSE • Jul 14, 2026
Expected CDPI

Market News

View All
The stock-market rally now hinges more on AI than oil
The stock-market rally now hinges more on AI than oil As earnings season kicks off, AI investment remains front and center. via Market Watch
Jul 12
The good news from the WSJ survey of economists: The Iran war didn't hurt the U.S. nearly as much as feared; the bad news: It left inflation more persistent
The good news from the WSJ survey of economists: The Iran war didn't hurt the U.S. nearly as much as feared; the bad news: It left inflation more persistent Economists have lowered the probability of recession, but see inflation staying higher longer, according to the latest WSJ survey. via WSJ
Jul 12
Big Tech's Massive AI Spending Is Just Starting. Earnings Will Show It.
Big Tech's Massive AI Spending Is Just Starting. Earnings Will Show It. Analysts expect Alphabet's second-quarter capital expenditures to reach $44.9 billion, a 100% increase from the prior year period. via Barrons
Jul 12
This Data Center IPO Is the Next Big Test for the AI Trade
This Data Center IPO Is the Next Big Test for the AI Trade Csquare, a data center operator backed by Brookfield, is going public as investors are growing skeptical about AI and IPOs. via Barrons
Jul 12
U.S. and Iran Launch New Attacks in Fight to Control the Strait of Hormuz
U.S. and Iran Launch New Attacks in Fight to Control the Strait of Hormuz The fresh strikes were a response to a Revolutionary Guard attack on a containership in the strait, officials say. via WSJ
Jul 12
U.S. launches airstrikes against Iran after Tehran attacks container ship in Hormuz, Pentagon says
U.S. launches airstrikes against Iran after Tehran attacks container ship in Hormuz, Pentagon says The U.S. military has launched a third round of airstrikes against Iran, Central Command said in a statement. The strikes are in response to an Iranian attack on a containership transiting the Strait of Hormuz, Centcom said. via CNBC
Jul 11
Hormuz Remains Sticking Point in Talks
Hormuz Remains Sticking Point in Talks Bloomberg Economics analysts Becca Wasser and Dina Esfandiary say the US and Iran remain far apart on key issues, with intermittent strikes and negotiations likely to define the conflict for the foreseeable future. They say technical talks on Iran's nuclear program are a constructive step, but disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions and implementation of the memorandum of understanding continue to hinder progress. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jul 11

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