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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
30% +5%
Between 6200 - 6800
45% -3%
Below 6200
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and a stable interest rate environment, could push indices higher. Geopolitical risks and inflation remain key concerns.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the FOMC meeting ending January 31, 2027?

Above 4.00%
20% +2%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
50% -1%
Below 3.00%
30% -1%

9.1M volume

Future Fed policy hinges on inflation trajectory and labor market strength. Persistent wage pressure might limit cuts, while an economic slowdown could lead to more aggressive easing.

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BTCUSD · CRYPTO
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+1.00%
ETHUSD
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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
$2,292.35
+1.92%
SOLUSD
Solana
SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$93.17
+1.45%
XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.28
+2.60%

Trending News

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US factory orders beat expectations in September amid broad strength
US factory orders beat expectations in September amid broad strength New orders for US factory goods increased more than expected in September, boosted by bookings for aircraft and a ​range of other goods, government data showed on Tuesday. via Reuters
Nov 03
U.S. Job Openings Rose in September
U.S. Job Openings Rose in September U.S. job openings rose in September while hiring held relatively steady, according to a report from the Labor Department's monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. via WSJ
Nov 03
US Job Openings Jump as Factory, Durable Orders Also Rise
US Job Openings Jump as Factory, Durable Orders Also Rise US job openings jumped 333,000 to 7.52 million from a revised 7.19 million in August while factory orders and durable goods orders also rose. Michael McKee reports on "Bloomberg Open Interest. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 03
US job openings increase sharply in September
US job openings increase sharply in September US job openings increased sharply in September while layoffs fell, supporting economists' views that the labor market remained ​on firmer footing despite tepid employment gains during that ‌month. via Reuters
Nov 03
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation  as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI  Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%. via ETF Trends
Nov 03
Bill Ackman warns of 'casino' stock market as speculative trading grows
Bill Ackman warns of 'casino' stock market as speculative trading grows Ackman says the volatility has also created opportunities for Pershing Square to buy companies it considers high quality at discounted prices. Ackman points to Microsoft, Amazon, Visa, Mastercard and Netflix while warning that short-term speculation can hurt investors. via CNBC
Nov 03
What I Am Watching Today – NASDAQ 100, Platinum, EUR/CHF, and AUD/JPY
What I Am Watching Today – NASDAQ 100, Platinum, EUR/CHF, and AUD/JPY The Nasdaq 100 eyes a rebound, platinum faces resistance near $1,600, and EUR/CHF and AUD/JPY attract dip buyers as interest-rate differentials favor carry trades. via FXEmpire
Nov 03
This indicator has triggered just 5 times since 2000 — and it warns of a trap for stocks
This indicator has triggered just 5 times since 2000 — and it warns of a trap for stocks Compared with previous market drawdowns, the current market setup is vulnerable because rising inflation limits the ability of central banks to ease rates and reflate asset prices. Reduce stocks and add bonds and cash, this macro research house advises via Market Watch
Nov 03

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