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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range on December 31, 2026?

Above 5.50%
25% +3%
Between 4.00% - 5.50%
45% -2%
Below 4.00%
30% -1%

15.2M volume

Persistent inflation or a significant economic slowdown will dictate the Fed's stance. Market anticipates gradual easing, but uncertainty remains high.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on June 30, 2027?

Above 6500
40% +7%
Between 5500 - 6500
40% -3%
Below 5500
20% -4%

22.8M volume

Corporate earnings, tech innovation, and interest rate trajectory are key drivers. AI adoption could fuel growth, but macro headwinds pose risks.

Popular Cryptocurrencies
BTCUSD
Bitcoin
BTCUSD · CRYPTO
$65,142.09
-1.86%
ETHUSD
Ethereum
ETHUSD · CRYPTO
$1,765.01
-2.66%
SOLUSD
Solana
SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$72.50
-1.31%
XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.20
-0.99%

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Market News

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Who is Kevin Warsh, the Fed's new chairman?
Who is Kevin Warsh, the Fed's new chairman? Mr. Warsh will make his public debut as the Federal Reserve's chairman on Wednesday. via NYTimes
Jun 17
How the Fed's rate decisions affect your wallet.
How the Fed's rate decisions affect your wallet. Kevin M. Warsh will take questions from reporters after leading his first gathering of the Federal Reserve's top officials. via NYTimes
Jun 17
Fed Interest Rate Expectations, from Inflation Metrics to Fixed Income
Fed Interest Rate Expectations, from Inflation Metrics to Fixed Income On his expectations for the Fed's interest rate decision and Kevin Warsh's press conference, @CharlesSchwab's Nathan Peterson tells investors, "not to expect much of a surprise." That said, pay attention to Warsh's language as he can offer a clear stance on what he wants the Fed to focus its future projections on. via Schwab Network
Jun 17
Consumers Keep Clicking ‘Buy' as Retail Sales Climb
Consumers Keep Clicking ‘Buy' as Retail Sales Climb Consumers may be scrutinizing purchases more closely, but May's retail sales report showed spending activity remains firmly in motion. Advance estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau released Wednesday (June 17) revealed retail and food services sales totaling $763.7 billion in May, up 0.9% from April and 6.9% from a year earlier. via PYMNTS
Jun 17
BTC Faces Renewed Pressure As Fed Pattern Points Toward $60,000
BTC Faces Renewed Pressure As Fed Pattern Points Toward $60,000 This article was written by Doug Nathman, with research by his team at Trefis. via Forbes
Jun 17
Markets Brace As Warsh Prepares First Fed Test
Markets Brace As Warsh Prepares First Fed Test The S&P 500 concluded Monday at 7,554.29, a 1.65% increase, while the Nasdaq soared by 3.1%. This notable rally seemed closely associated with geopolitical events. On Sunday, June 14, President Trump revealed the U.S.-Iran peace agreement on Truth Social, simultaneously permitting the toll-free reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and lifting the naval blockade. via Forbes
Jun 17
Here's how stocks performed under different Fed chairs — and how much influence Warsh really has
Here's how stocks performed under different Fed chairs — and how much influence Warsh really has A look at stock-market performance under Fed chairs going back to the 1930s. via Market Watch
Jun 17
Goldman's Kaplan on Fed's Warsh and AI Capex Boom
Goldman's Kaplan on Fed's Warsh and AI Capex Boom Robert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs vice chair and former Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas president, expects Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh to adopt a more neutral tone in his first news conference as chair. Speaking on "Bloomberg Open Interest," Kaplan also says he sees an "historic" capital expenditures boom in the US. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jun 17
U.S. Pending-Home Sales Rises More Than Expected in May
U.S. Pending-Home Sales Rises More Than Expected in May The pending-home sales index, a leading indicator of house sales based on contract signings, rose 3.8% on month to 76.8. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 1% increase. via WSJ
Jun 17

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