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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range as of December 31, 2026?

Above 4.25%
30% -5%
Between 3.25% - 4.25%
45% +8%
Below 3.25%
25% -3%

15.8M volume

Persistent inflation or stronger economic growth could limit Fed rate cuts. Conversely, a slowdown may force deeper cuts by 2026.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on December 31, 2026?

Above 6300
40% +7%
Between 5700 - 6300
35% -3%
Below 5700
25% -4%

22.1M volume

Corporate earnings growth, sustained AI investment, and moderate inflation could drive market higher. Geopolitical risks or recession fears could cap gains.

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Resolution Minerals Ltd. Sponsored ADR NASDAQ • Sep 09, 2026
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Market News

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Brent crude reaches $100 as war in Iran intensifies
Brent crude reaches $100 as war in Iran intensifies Oil prices advanced on Thursday after the U.S. said it destroyed five Iranian crude oil vessels. via Market Watch
Sep 09
U.S. reveals import ban on slew of Canadian goods as trade war escalates
U.S. reveals import ban on slew of Canadian goods as trade war escalates Washington announced it would ban imports of Canadian motorbikes as well as many dairy and alcohol products from Sept. 29. Canada on Monday brought in what it called "dollar for dollar" retaliatory tariffs on CA$27.6 billion of U.S. imports, targeting hundreds of products including furniture, household appliances, beauty products, clothing, agricultural equipment and more. via CNBC
Sep 09
Volatile yen risks ‘confused' global markets, chairman of Japanese shipping giant says
Volatile yen risks ‘confused' global markets, chairman of Japanese shipping giant says A weak yen benefits Mitsui O.S.K. Lines because much of the Japanese shipping giant's revenue is earned in U.S. dollars, Chairman Takeshi Hashimoto told CNBC. via CNBC
Sep 09
EU court upholds EU antitrust veto of Booking's ETraveli deal
EU court upholds EU antitrust veto of Booking's ETraveli deal Europe's second-highest court on Wednesday sided with ​EU antitrust regulators which ‌blocked Booking Holdings' €1.63 billion ($1.9 billion) ETraveli acquisition three years ago, ​as they rejected the ​U.S. online travel company's arguments. via Reuters
Sep 09
Commodities Bull Market Is Underpriced: 3-Minutes MLIV
Commodities Bull Market Is Underpriced: 3-Minutes MLIV Anna Edwards, Tom Mackenzie and Mark Cudmore break down today's key themes for analysts and investors on "Bloomberg: The Opening Trade." Chapters: 00:00:00 - MLIV 00:00:08 - I am the House: Scott Bessent on Betting Against the Japanese Yen 00:01:40 - Commodity Bull Run 00:02:53 - Brent Crude Price Nearing $100/Barrel -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 09
UK's Goodwin in $1.5 billion deal talks with Cerberus to sell some defence assets
UK's Goodwin in $1.5 billion deal talks with Cerberus to sell some defence assets Britain's Goodwin ​said on Wednesday it ‌was in advanced talks with U.S.-based private equity firm Cerberus ​Capital to sell parts ​of a division that houses ⁠its defence assets for £1.1 ​billion ($1.49 billion). via Reuters
Sep 09
Is China Stealing American AI? Why ‘Distillation' Has Washington Up in Arms
Is China Stealing American AI? Why ‘Distillation' Has Washington Up in Arms U.S. security agencies accused six Chinese AI companies of systematically exploiting American models to train their own systems. via WSJ
Sep 09
Adani Enterprises shares jump as airport unit enters into $1 billion fundraising deal
Adani Enterprises shares jump as airport unit enters into $1 billion fundraising deal Adani Enterprises shares rose 5% after its airport unit announced a $1 billion fundraising. The deal values Adani Airport Holdings at about $18 billion on a pre-money basis. via CNBC
Sep 09
Trump bans Canadian booze in trade war escalation
Trump bans Canadian booze in trade war escalation The US has revealed plans to outlaw imports of Canadian alcoholic drinks as part of an escalation of their trade war. via Skynews
Sep 09
The U.S.-China Worry List: Here's What Could Rattle the Fragile Detente
The U.S.-China Worry List: Here's What Could Rattle the Fragile Detente President Trump and China's Xi Jinping will face off in Washington D.C. on Sept. 24. via Barrons
Sep 09
Iraq seeks output quota increase in OPEC+ audit, Bloomberg News reports
Iraq seeks output quota increase in OPEC+ audit, Bloomberg News reports Iraq wants to increase ​its oil output ‌quota as OPEC and its ​allies conduct ​a review of member ⁠capacity to ​determine how much ​they can produce next year, Bloomberg News ​reported on ​Wednesday citing people familiar ‌with ⁠the matter. via Reuters
Sep 09
Oil Prices Closer to $100 After US Attacks Iranian Tankers
Oil Prices Closer to $100 After US Attacks Iranian Tankers US forces destroyed five Iranian tankers carrying crude oil on Tuesday following two attempts to hit a US Navy warship with ballistic missiles in as many days, Central Command said. Brent oil moved closer to $100 a barrel after the US struck Iranian tankers near the Kharg Island export hub and in the Gulf of Oman. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 09

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