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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
30% +5%
Between 6200 - 6800
45% -3%
Below 6200
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and a stable interest rate environment, could push indices higher. Geopolitical risks and inflation remain key concerns.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the FOMC meeting ending January 31, 2027?

Above 4.00%
20% +2%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
50% -1%
Below 3.00%
30% -1%

9.1M volume

Future Fed policy hinges on inflation trajectory and labor market strength. Persistent wage pressure might limit cuts, while an economic slowdown could lead to more aggressive easing.

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Trending News

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Democrats Win in Landslide, US Stock Futures Rebound
Democrats Win in Landslide, US Stock Futures Rebound A Democratic sweep of Congress rippled across global markets, with stocks fluctuating while the dollar fell and Treasuries gained on bets the outcome will put the brakes on President Donald Trump's agenda. Futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.2% while those for the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.3%. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 04
Democrat sweep adds new twist to markets' Iran, AI, and debt worries
Democrat sweep adds new twist to markets' Iran, AI, and debt worries Democrat sweep adds new twist to markets' Iran, AI, and debt worries via Reuters
Nov 04
Wall Street edges higher after Democrats sweep midterms
Wall Street edges higher after Democrats sweep midterms Wall Street markets rose on Wednesday, reversing sharp early losses as Democrats continue to gain ground in the US midterm elections. via Skynews
Nov 04
AI data center stocks dip, renewables surge after Democrat sweep in US midterm elections
AI data center stocks dip, renewables surge after Democrat sweep in US midterm elections AI data center stocks dip, renewables surge after Democrat sweep in US midterm elections via Reuters
Nov 04
A blue wave sends futures into the green
A blue wave sends futures into the green A blue wave means green for markets. Wall Street is on track to open higher, but certain technology stocks are under pressure, with the sellers circling Elon Musk's companies. via CNBC
Nov 04
Index Funds Are Better When They're Lucky and Smart
Index Funds Are Better When They're Lucky and Smart Markets are behaving a lot like they did the morning after President Trump's surprise victory 10 years ago with stocks plunging overnight and then surging. via WSJ
Nov 04
Global central banks hit pause in October after September hiking spree
Global central banks hit pause in October after September hiking spree Global central banks hit pause in October after September hiking spree via Reuters
Nov 04
The AI trade has been ‘sold to death' but Goldman strategist highlights silver lining from Democratic sweep
The AI trade has been ‘sold to death' but Goldman strategist highlights silver lining from Democratic sweep Sentiment toward AI stocks has been unambiguously negative in recent weeks and the midterm results might suggest to some investors that the sector's worst fears were realized. via Market Watch
Nov 04
Americans Cut Back on Boats and RVs—but Can't Stop Buying Harley-Davidsons
Americans Cut Back on Boats and RVs—but Can't Stop Buying Harley-Davidsons The motorcycle maker saw its first sales boost in years as riders respond to new models and cheap financing. via WSJ
Nov 04
Euro zone inflation hits 4% for first time in three years as interest rate hike looms
Euro zone inflation hits 4% for first time in three years as interest rate hike looms Euro zone inflation rose to 4% in October, its highest level in three years, according to a flash estimate. Energy inflation accelerated to 20.8%, adding to price pressure across the currency bloc. via CNBC
Nov 04
How Beer Companies Stole Happy Hour From Liquor Brands
How Beer Companies Stole Happy Hour From Liquor Brands Diageo and Pernod Ricard have missed the cocktails-in-a-can craze, and investors are paying the price. via WSJ
Nov 04
Eurozone Inflation Climbs Again, Driven by Energy Costs
Eurozone Inflation Climbs Again, Driven by Energy Costs Inflation rose for a fourth straight month as energy costs continued to rise, reinforcing expectations that the ECB could hike its key interest rate again after holding it last week. via WSJ
Nov 04

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