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What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +5%
Between 6000 - 6500
35% -3%
Below 6000
25% -2%

22.8M volume

S&P 500's trajectory by late 2026 hinges on sustained corporate earnings growth, moderating inflation, and the Fed's interest rate path influencing equity valuations and market sentiment.

What will be the target range for the Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) after the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (December)?

Below 3.50%
30% +4%
Between 3.50% - 4.50%
45% -2%
Above 4.50%
25% -2%

15.3M volume

The Fed's policy path by late 2026 will be dictated by inflation's persistence, labor market strength, and overall economic growth, influencing the pace and depth of interest rate adjustments.

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Market News

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Wasserman: "No Relief in Sight" for Consumers, Fed Faces Political Tightrope
Wasserman: "No Relief in Sight" for Consumers, Fed Faces Political Tightrope A cooldown in CPI can't offset pressures from ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, argues Max Wasserman, who sees persistent headwinds hitting American consumers. "There's no relief in sight," he says, pointing to interest rates tentatively holding, rising gas prices, and high margin debt creating lasting pressures. via Schwab Network
Jul 14
Big Banks' Profits Surge After a Red-Hot Quarter on Wall Street
Big Banks' Profits Surge After a Red-Hot Quarter on Wall Street Jamie Dimon said conditions were nearly ‘as good as it gets' after JPMorgan reported a big jump in profit. via WSJ
Jul 14
New York becomes first U.S. state to impose AI data center ban
New York becomes first U.S. state to impose AI data center ban New York State Governor Kathy Hochul on Tuesday signed an executive order barring the construction of new "hyperscaler" data centers using 50 megawatts or more of power for up to one year. It is the first statewide data center ban in the U.S., though similar measures are being considered by other states. via CNBC
Jul 14
Wall Street banks see AI 'super cycle' set to boost deals, financing
Wall Street banks see AI 'super cycle' set to boost deals, financing A rush by technology companies to ​fund AI infrastructure is boosting dealmaking and financing activity for Wall Street, bankers said on Tuesday, generating lucrative fees ‌from capital raising and loans. via Reuters
Jul 14
Officials are reportedly looking into Taco Bell, as source of parasite outbreak remains elusive
Officials are reportedly looking into Taco Bell, as source of parasite outbreak remains elusive Shares of Yum Brands were down nearly 4% on Tuesday. via Market Watch
Jul 14
Trump scraps proposed Strait of Hormuz shipping fee for Gulf states' investment deals
Trump scraps proposed Strait of Hormuz shipping fee for Gulf states' investment deals Following military clashes, Trump reinstates a full maritime blockade targeting Iranian cargo while swapping Gulf shipping fees for U.S. investment deals. via Fox Business
Jul 14
Nasdaq Index: Chip Stocks Lift Tech as Soft CPI Boosts US Stocks
Nasdaq Index: Chip Stocks Lift Tech as Soft CPI Boosts US Stocks Soft CPI lifted tech stocks as chipmakers rallied, but IBM weighed on the Dow. See the latest S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones outlook and analysis. via FXEmpire
Jul 14
Inside the Consumer Price Index: June 2026
Inside the Consumer Price Index: June 2026 Inflation affects everything from grocery bills to rent, making the Consumer Price Index one of the most closely watched economic indicators. What does inflation mean at the micro level — specifically to your household? via ETF Trends
Jul 14
Sky-high returns and earnings expectations could mean the end is near for this stock-market bull run
Sky-high returns and earnings expectations could mean the end is near for this stock-market bull run Never since 1950 have the S&P 500's price and earnings both been so far above the historical trend at one time, one strategist said. via Market Watch
Jul 14
Iraq needs a fair share within OPEC, says prime minister
Iraq needs a fair share within OPEC, says prime minister Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi said ​on Tuesday that Iraq needed a fair ‌share within OPEC after he was asked by reporters whether he was considering leaving the oil producer group. via Reuters
Jul 14
It's 'very important' the CLARITY Act gets across the finish line, Sen. Cynthia Lummis says
It's 'very important' the CLARITY Act gets across the finish line, Sen. Cynthia Lummis says Sen. Cynthia Lummis, R-Wyo., discusses the CLARITY Act, congressional ethics language and Sen. via Fox Business
Jul 14

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