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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the final FOMC meeting of 2026?

Above 4.50%
35% -3%
Between 3.50% and 4.50%
40% +5%
Below 3.50%
25% -2%

15.2M volume

Inflation trajectory and labor market health will heavily influence the Fed's decision. Slower growth could prompt deeper cuts, while persistent inflation might limit them.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on June 30, 2026?

Above 6300
30% +2%
Between 5500 - 6300
45% +7%
Below 5500
25% -9%

22.8M volume

Corporate earnings growth, interest rate path, and economic expansion are key drivers. AI adoption and tech innovation could fuel further market gains and sentiment.

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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
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$1.09
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Market News

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June Jobs Report Signals Fed's Inflation Tilt, "MUSES versus AAMMO" AI Dynamics
June Jobs Report Signals Fed's Inflation Tilt, "MUSES versus AAMMO" AI Dynamics Despite the June jobs report coming in weaker than expected, @CharlesSchwab's Kevin Gordon considers the inflation story the main focus of the Fed's forward momentum. He urges investors pay attention to the impact it will have on American wallets, as a significant shift in wages will push the Fed toward stronger interest rate hikes. via Schwab Network
Jul 09
Fed's Williams Says Inflation Still Too High, Expects Retreat in Energy Prices
Fed's Williams Says Inflation Still Too High, Expects Retreat in Energy Prices New York Federal Reserve President John Williams noted that policy would have to respond if inflation ends up being more persistent and meaningfully higher than his baseline forecast. via WSJ
Jul 09
Former Fed Advisor on Inflation & Kevin Warsh's "Less is More" Approach
Former Fed Advisor on Inflation & Kevin Warsh's "Less is More" Approach Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI) calls the first FOMC minutes under Kevin Warsh "clean" as most Fed members expressed clear stances on energy's inflationary impact. She discusses where she sees those inflationary pressures hitting Americans the most, from the grocery store to travel costs. via Schwab Network
Jul 09
China's Zhipu AI and DeepSeek Are Beating Big Tech at Its Own Game. They're Spending Big.
China's Zhipu AI and DeepSeek Are Beating Big Tech at Its Own Game. They're Spending Big. Zhipu AI, a language model develope , wants to raise $4 billion in new capital to compete with America's chip giants and hyperscalers. DeepSeek raised $7 billion last month. via Barrons
Jul 09
Global M&A activity on track to eclipse 2021 deal boom, Morgan Stanley says
Global M&A activity on track to eclipse 2021 deal boom, Morgan Stanley says Morgan Stanley expects global mergers and acquisitions activity to hit a record $6.4 trillion in 2026, overshadowing the levels seen in 2021 as ​buoyant equity markets and renewed corporate confidence set off a flurry ‌of transactions. via Reuters
Jul 09
Fed's Williams doesn't expect sustained surge in energy prices
Fed's Williams doesn't expect sustained surge in energy prices Federal Reserve ​Bank of New York President John Williams said Thursday that despite the renewal of war in the Middle East, he ‌was not looking for a sustained rise in energy prices over the remainder of the year. via Reuters
Jul 09

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