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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
30% +5%
Between 6200 - 6800
45% -3%
Below 6200
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and a stable interest rate environment, could push indices higher. Geopolitical risks and inflation remain key concerns.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the FOMC meeting ending January 31, 2027?

Above 4.00%
20% +2%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
50% -1%
Below 3.00%
30% -1%

9.1M volume

Future Fed policy hinges on inflation trajectory and labor market strength. Persistent wage pressure might limit cuts, while an economic slowdown could lead to more aggressive easing.

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Trending News

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Oil Prices Rise as Investors Weigh U.S. Midterm Results, Iran Risks
Oil Prices Rise as Investors Weigh U.S. Midterm Results, Iran Risks Oil rose as investors gauged how the midterm results could shape Trump's approach to Iran while high energy prices continue to fuel inflation and weigh on consumers worldwide. via WSJ
Nov 04
Continental raises 2026 outlook on tyre business strength
Continental raises 2026 outlook on tyre business strength Continental raises 2026 outlook on tyre business strength via Reuters
Nov 04
Fresenius raises 2026 outlook for second time after strong Q3
Fresenius raises 2026 outlook for second time after strong Q3 Fresenius raises 2026 outlook for second time after strong Q3 via Reuters
Nov 04
Treasury yields fall as investors crowd into bonds for safety amid election stock sell-off
Treasury yields fall as investors crowd into bonds for safety amid election stock sell-off Treasury yields fell on Tuesday night, as investors sought shelter from a sell-off in equity futures sparked by big victories from Democrats in the U.S. midterm elections. via CNBC
Nov 03
Stock Market Today: Stock Futures Drop as Investors Weigh Democratic Gains
Stock Market Today: Stock Futures Drop as Investors Weigh Democratic Gains Nasdaq futures fall more than 2%; bitcoin prices slip via WSJ
Nov 03
Markets fall on Wall Street as Democrats gain early momentum
Markets fall on Wall Street as Democrats gain early momentum Markets on Wall Street have fallen as the Democrats gain early momentum in the midterms. via Skynews
Nov 03
Iran Turns to Guerrilla Tactics in Bid to Reassert Grip on Strait of Hormuz
Iran Turns to Guerrilla Tactics in Bid to Reassert Grip on Strait of Hormuz Tehran is deploying everything from rocket-propelled grenades to limpet mines as it attempts to disrupt the restored flow of oil out of the Persian Gulf. via WSJ
Nov 03
Review & Preview: A Divided Market on Election Day
Review & Preview: A Divided Market on Election Day The Dow fell Tuesday while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied. But midterms may not matter much for stocks over the long haul. via Barrons
Nov 03
Has the AI bubble already burst? Piper Sandler's Kantrowitz explains
Has the AI bubble already burst? Piper Sandler's Kantrowitz explains The highest-beta tech stocks outperformed by 100% over the past year, a run only seen before in the late 1990s, and Piper Sandler Chief Investment Strategist Michael Kantrowitz says that speculative bubble has already burst. He tells Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley why he sees market leadership shifting toward higher-quality names, why a record 43% consensus five-year earnings growth forecast for tech sets a bar that may be hard to keep beating, what investors need to see on AI's return on investment, and how tonight's midterm results could ripple into the tech trade. via Yahoo Finance
Nov 03
Salmond: Crypto Market Brushing Off Binance Hack, 2027 "Still Bullish"
Salmond: Crypto Market Brushing Off Binance Hack, 2027 "Still Bullish" A few days after the largest heist of crypto assets in history, StaySolvent founder Ray Salmond claims Binance effectively neutralized investor concern through transparency around the hack impacting the company. Although he warns crypto investors that short-term risks exist with the midterm elections and bipartisan regulation efforts, he states "2027 could still be a bullish year" as current buy orders outpace sell orders by 2.5 times. via Schwab Network
Nov 03
Jim Cramer sees signs of life in tech stocks — but not from the usual winners
Jim Cramer sees signs of life in tech stocks — but not from the usual winners CNBC's Jim Cramer said technology stocks are showing signs of a comeback, with companies outside the Magnificent Seven emerging as potential new market leaders. Cramer highlighted strength in AMD, Arista Networks and Oracle but cautioned that uncertainty surrounding data center development and the Iran war could threaten a sustained recovery. via CNBC
Nov 03
3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals' Injuries Case
3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals' Injuries Case The agreement covers up to 120,000 plaintiffs who claim they were hurt by chemicals containing PFAS. via WSJ
Nov 03
U.S. job postings rose sharply in September
U.S. job postings rose sharply in September U.S. employers ramped up their job postings in September as stronger economic growth may be encouraging more hiring. Yet voters are headed to the polls Tuesday, largely gloomy over an economy beset by higher prices. via Fast Company
Nov 03
US tech stocks recover after selloff spooks investors over AI spending
US tech stocks recover after selloff spooks investors over AI spending US tech stocks made a recovery on Tuesday afternoon after a selloff spooked investors over AI spending. via The Guardian
Nov 03

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