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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
35% +5%
Between 6200 - 6800
40% -3%
Below 6200
25% -2%

22.3M volume

Persistent corporate earnings growth and moderate inflation could support equity valuations. Geopolitical stability and Fed policy easing will be key drivers for markets.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.25%
20% -5%
Between 3.00% - 4.25%
55% +8%
Below 3.00%
25% -3%

15.8M volume

Inflation trajectory and labor market strength will dictate Fed easing pace. A soft landing could allow for gradual rate cuts, avoiding aggressive policy shifts.

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Trending News

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Making Advanced MicroChips Takes a Global Ecosystem
Making Advanced MicroChips Takes a Global Ecosystem On Bloomberg This Weekend, Gideon Lewis-Kraus explains how advanced chipmaking depends on a deeply interconnected global network of specialized companies, including ASML and TSMC, making semiconductor supply chains extraordinarily difficult to replicate or relocate. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Lewis-Kraus describes the remarkable engineering behind ASML's EUV machines and why rebuilding a semiconductor ecosystem in the US is a generational project rather than a simple exercise in reshoring. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 24
AI fever ignites a boom in thematic ETFs as fund managers hunt for their next big hit
AI fever ignites a boom in thematic ETFs as fund managers hunt for their next big hit The runaway success of the artificial-intelligence trade has left investors hungry for the next big market theme. Wall Street fund managers are happily obliging with a flurry of new targeted products, helping investors invest in everything from the rise of robotics to the incipient space economy. via Market Watch
Oct 24
Oil Markets Brace for Renewed Iran Fighting
Oil Markets Brace for Renewed Iran Fighting Bloomberg Economics Chief Emerging Markets Economist Ziad Daoud tells Bloomberg This Weekend that the risk of renewed fighting between the US, Israel and Iran is rising, helping keep oil prices elevated even as energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz recover. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Daoud says the conflict could remain a long-term stalemate, with heightened shipping costs, depleted stockpiles and escalating regional tensions continuing to threaten global energy supplies. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 24
‘Non-answers' aren't working. This is what investors really need from the Fed.
‘Non-answers' aren't working. This is what investors really need from the Fed. What really matters to investors, economists say, is for Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh to prove he can successfully communicate the central bank's strategy. via Market Watch
Oct 24
Dow Jones Forecast: Oil and Earnings Risks Test the Path to 55,000
Dow Jones Forecast: Oil and Earnings Risks Test the Path to 55,000 The Dow Jones Industrial Average faces pressure from the surge in oil prices and uncertainty from earnings, while a break above 53,000 could open the way to 55,000. via FXEmpire
Oct 24
Japan Joins the Data Center Rush. These Stocks Can Benefit.
Japan Joins the Data Center Rush. These Stocks Can Benefit. Japan has prioritized artificial intelligence infrastructure in a 15-year strategic investment plan. via Barrons
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