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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
30% +5%
Between 6000 - 6500
45% -3%
Below 6000
25% -2%

22.3M volume

Continued earnings growth and moderate inflation could support valuations, though rising geopolitical risks or an unexpected recession could cap upside. Fed policy remains key.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the last FOMC meeting of 2026?

Above 4.00%
25% -3%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
50% +7%
Below 3.00%
25% -4%

15.8M volume

Inflation trajectory and labor market strength will dictate rate cuts. A soft landing could see gradual easing, while a recession would force more aggressive cuts.

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Trending News

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Hormuz Reopening Talks Advance as Iran Warns of Wider Response if Attacked
Hormuz Reopening Talks Advance as Iran Warns of Wider Response if Attacked Oil slips as hopes for Iran diplomacy improve. Tehran says Hormuz talks remain on track and has floated a two-day reopening plan, while Gulf states continue pushing for a deal. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 02
South Korea targets 'world's highest performance' sovereign AI model in record new budget
South Korea targets 'world's highest performance' sovereign AI model in record new budget South Korea plans to raise total spending for 2027 by 12.8% to 820.9 trillion won, with a major investment push for semiconductors, physical AI and AI data centers. Lee pledged 4.7 trillion won for a sovereign AI model and plans to train 2,000 specialists in semiconductor design and regional chip industries. via CNBC
Nov 02
Oil prices fall amid reports that the U.S. and Iran are both seeking diplomacy
Oil prices fall amid reports that the U.S. and Iran are both seeking diplomacy U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Trump prefers not to use military force and would like to resolve the Iranian war "diplomatically." Iranian authorities also signaled that a deal is still possible, following two days of talks mediated by Qatar, as long as demands are implemented tangibly, according to Al Jazeera. via CNBC
Nov 02
China Stocks Rise on Reports of Market Support Measures
China Stocks Rise on Reports of Market Support Measures “Bloomberg: The China Show” is your definitive source for news and analysis on the world's second-biggest economy. From politics and policy to tech and trends, Yvonne Man and David Ingles give global investors unique insight, delivering in-depth discussions with the newsmakers who matter. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 01
Rubio says Trump wants to end Iran war 'peacefully' even as both sides prepare for strikes
Rubio says Trump wants to end Iran war 'peacefully' even as both sides prepare for strikes "Rubio told reporters "He [Trump] hasn't made a decision via CNBC
Nov 01
U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine
U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine The idea is intended to unlock an energy ceasefire between Moscow and Kyiv but it faces resistance in European capitals. via WSJ
Nov 01
Binance sees outflows stabilising as exchange returns online after $6.3 billion heist
Binance sees outflows stabilising as exchange returns online after $6.3 billion heist Binance sees outflows stabilising as exchange returns online after $6.3 billion heist via Reuters
Nov 01
Nikkei Falls 0.9%, Dragged by Bank, Tech Stocks
Nikkei Falls 0.9%, Dragged by Bank, Tech Stocks Japanese stocks were lower after a selloff in artificial intelligence-related U.S. technology shares on Friday. via WSJ
Nov 01
Binance sees $3.64 billion in net outflows as withdrawals resume after massive hack
Binance sees $3.64 billion in net outflows as withdrawals resume after massive hack Binance said it processed $4.65 billion in withdrawals and $1.01 billion in deposits on Nov. 1. The net outflows amounted to 2.1% of Binance's $171 billion in total assets. via CNBC
Nov 01
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war SINGAPORE, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped more than 1% ‌in early Asian trade on Monday after Iranian and Qatari officials held ⁠a third straight day of talks aimed at pushing for a deal to end via Reuters
Nov 01
Stock Futures Poised to Trade With Tuesday's Midterms Looming
Stock Futures Poised to Trade With Tuesday's Midterms Looming U.S. stock futures are poised to begin trading Sunday evening following last week's tech-fueled market drop as the midterm elections loom. via Barrons
Nov 01

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