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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate set by the FOMC after its last meeting of 2026 (December 2026)?

Above 4.00%
35% +5%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
45% -3%
Below 3.00%
20% -2%

15.8M volume

Inflation trajectory, labor market strength, and global economic growth will primarily influence the Fed's terminal rate decisions throughout 2026, balancing stability with growth.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +7%
Between 5800 - 6500
40% -5%
Below 5800
20% -2%

22.3M volume

Corporate earnings growth, technological innovation, and interest rate stability will be key drivers. Geopolitical risks and potential recessions pose downside risks to valuations.

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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
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IMC Rare Earths Ltd NYSE • Jul 29, 2026
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Market News

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Fed Chairman Warsh: Not going to fix inflation with a magic wand
Fed Chairman Warsh: Not going to fix inflation with a magic wand Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh discusses the FOMC's decision to leave the target range for Federal Funds Rate unchanged monthly. via CNBC Television
Jul 29
4 Takeaways From the Federal Reserve Meeting
4 Takeaways From the Federal Reserve Meeting Fed officials held interest rates steady, but they have splintered over how to fight inflation. via NYTimes
Jul 29
The big focus now is on the potential for a September rate hike after the Fed stands pat
The big focus now is on the potential for a September rate hike after the Fed stands pat Markets should be ‘on alert for a hike in September, particularly with war clouds pushing up energy prices again,' one economist says via Market Watch
Jul 29
Fed's Warsh Says There Is No Soft Inflation Target
Fed's Warsh Says There Is No Soft Inflation Target Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh says the fight to bring down inflation has just begun. “Let me reiterate: there is no soft inflation target, there is no soft implicit target, not on this committee's watch," he said during a press conference in Washington. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jul 29
South Korea's Leveraged ETF Debacle Is a Warning for Wall Street
South Korea's Leveraged ETF Debacle Is a Warning for Wall Street Investors have been burned by big drops in single-stock funds tied to Samsung and SK Hynix. Leveraged ETFs are popular in the U.S. too. via Barrons
Jul 29
Chairman Kevin Warsh delivers remarks following the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged
Chairman Kevin Warsh delivers remarks following the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh discusses the FOMC's decision to leave the target range for Federal Funds Rate unchanged monthly. via CNBC Television
Jul 29
Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Soars 7% As Iran Attacks U.S. Forces In Jordan
Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Soars 7% As Iran Attacks U.S. Forces In Jordan Oil markets rally as traders focus on escalation in the Middle East. via FXEmpire
Jul 29
OpenAI's Sam Altman discusses rogue agent and new AI models with US senators
OpenAI's Sam Altman discusses rogue agent and new AI models with US senators OpenAI CEO Sam Altman on Wednesday said he is meeting with U.S. senators ​to talk about his company's upcoming models, more ‌than a week after his company disclosed that one of its AI systems had gone rogue during testing. via Reuters
Jul 29
Why Moonshot's Kimi K3 Matters Beyond China
Why Moonshot's Kimi K3 Matters Beyond China Moonshot's Kimi K3 has reignited debate over China's role in the AI race, but Beringea Chief Investment Officer Karen McCormick says the bigger story is the growing availability of cheaper, open-weight AI models. She joins Bloomberg to explain why lower-cost AI is helping startups build faster, forcing frontier model providers to stay competitive, and accelerating AI adoption across industries. via Bloomberg Technology
Jul 29
AI Workers Call for US to Pace Tech's Growth
AI Workers Call for US to Pace Tech's Growth More than 1,100 workers from top AI firms have signed a petition calling on the US government to help "deliberately pace" AI development. The letter's signatories include the CEO of Anthropic and the chief scientists from OpenAI and Meta Superintelligence Lab. via Bloomberg Technology
Jul 29

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