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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
35% +5%
Between 6200 - 6800
45% -3%
Below 6200
20% -2%

15.8M volume

Sustained corporate earnings, AI integration benefits, and moderate interest rates could drive market higher, though geopolitical risks remain for 2026.

What will be the Fed Funds Rate target range after the July 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.75%
20% -4%
Between 3.75% - 4.75%
50% +6%
Below 3.75%
30% -2%

12.1M volume

Inflation trajectory and labor market strength will dictate future Fed policy, with a neutral rate likely still above pre-pandemic levels into mid-2026.

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Bleichroeder Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Aug 03, 2026
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Carillon Series Trust NYSE • Aug 03, 2026
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Market News

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Fewer Fed Meetings Could Fuel Market Volatility
Fewer Fed Meetings Could Fuel Market Volatility Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings, which drew concern from economists and market strategists, who say fewer scheduled decisions could increase uncertainty and make policy moves more disruptive. Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent Mike McKee and Seaport Research Partners and Chief Equity Strategist Jonathan Golub join David Gura and Christina Ruffini on Bloomberg This Weekend to discuss these concerns and strong corporate earnings, widening credit spreads and debate over the economic impact of artificial intelligence. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 01
Loyalists may miss the old Southwest. Wall Street loves the new one.
Loyalists may miss the old Southwest. Wall Street loves the new one. The airline is ‘getting on with the times,' one fund manager says via Market Watch
Aug 01
3 Wall Street strategists on the question every investor is asking: Is the worst over for the stock market?
3 Wall Street strategists on the question every investor is asking: Is the worst over for the stock market? Wall Street just limped through its roughest stretch in months, and every investor is asking the same nervous question: Is the worst over in the stock market, or is the selloff just getting started? via Market Watch
Aug 01
The Iran war sent investors into fertilizer stocks — but here's the China risk everyone's missing
The Iran war sent investors into fertilizer stocks — but here's the China risk everyone's missing The fertilizer trade as it relates to the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz is really three trades pointed in different directions. via Market Watch
Aug 01
OPEC+ may keep lifting its oil output quotas as the Iran war broadens. Why that won't help lower prices.
OPEC+ may keep lifting its oil output quotas as the Iran war broadens. Why that won't help lower prices. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies may decide Sunday to lift their oil production quotas for a sixth straight month — but finding ways to export those extra barrels will be the real problem. via Market Watch
Aug 01
Is the government lying to us about inflation?
Is the government lying to us about inflation? The concern is understandable, since the consumer-price index affects everything from Social Security's annual cost-of-living adjustment to the interest rate earned by investors in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. via Market Watch
Aug 01
Tankers near Oman come under fire as Iran threatens to choke off shipping routes
Tankers near Oman come under fire as Iran threatens to choke off shipping routes One tanker was reportedly struck near Oman overnight while another said it saw a large explosion nearby. The Wall Street Journal cited unnamed U.S. officials as saying Friday that Trump has ordered the military to launch a fresh attack on Iran that could begin as soon as this weekend. via CNBC
Aug 01
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn't?
Kevin Warsh spooks the markets: Was it something he said — or something he didn't? Morgan Stanley Wealth Management CIO Lisa Shalett analyzes soaring treasury yields on ‘Barron's Roundtable.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #barronsroundtable #lisashalett #shalett #morganstanley #treasuryyields #bondmarket #bonds #markets #markettrends #interestrates #investing #wallstreet #economy #finance #wealthmanagement via Fox Business
Aug 01

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