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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the final FOMC meeting of 2026?

Below 3.50%
28% +5%
Between 3.50% and 4.75%
48% -3%
Above 4.75%
24% -2%

8.7M volume

Market pricing in disinflation but balancing growth risks. Fed's path hinges on labor market data and geopolitical stability, impacting cut cycles.

What will be the closing yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note on June 30, 2027?

Below 3.25%
22% +4%
Between 3.25% and 4.25%
43% -2%
Above 4.25%
35% -2%

13.4M volume

Long-term yields reflect inflation premium and government debt. Fiscal policy trajectory and global demand for US assets will be key drivers.

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Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Bets
Strong Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Bets The Close brings you the latest news and analysis leading up to the final minutes and seconds before and after the closing bell on Wall Street. Today's guests are Kayne Anderson Rudnick Portfolio Manager, Senior Research Analyst Julie Biel, KPMG Chief Economist Diane Swonk, Jefferies Tech Sector Leader, Software/Internet Research Brent Thill, Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhury, Wealth Enhancement Group Senior Investment Strategist Ayako Yoshioka, The Points Guy Senior Newsletter Editor Becky Blaine, & SUNY Purchase President Michael Steiper. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 04
August jobs numbers overstate economy's strength, says Moody's Mark Zandi
August jobs numbers overstate economy's strength, says Moody's Mark Zandi Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins 'Fast Money' to weigh in on the August jobs report. via CNBC Television
Sep 04
U.S. diesel prices hit record high
U.S. diesel prices hit record high CNBC's Pippa Stevens joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk rising oil prices. via CNBC Television
Sep 04
Rates Climb, Stocks Dip After Strong U.S. Jobs Data
Rates Climb, Stocks Dip After Strong U.S. Jobs Data Stocks and bonds fell Friday on concerns that benchmark interest rates are headed higher. via WSJ
Sep 04
Dow closes 270 pts lower as strong jobs report lifts September Fed rate-hike bets
Dow closes 270 pts lower as strong jobs report lifts September Fed rate-hike bets US stocks ended lower on Friday after stronger-than-expected August employment data increased expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its September meeting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5% or 279.20 points, while the S&P 500 declined 0.38% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%. via Invezz
Sep 04
U.S. Stocks Fall as Robust August Jobs Data Spurs Yields, Rate-Hike Bets
U.S. Stocks Fall as Robust August Jobs Data Spurs Yields, Rate-Hike Bets U.S. stocks fell after surprisingly strong jobs data muddied the outlook for Federal Reserve policy. via WSJ
Sep 04
High Gas Prices Are Hurting Impulse Snack Sales. 3 Companies Feeling the Pain.
High Gas Prices Are Hurting Impulse Snack Sales. 3 Companies Feeling the Pain. Smucker's Sweet Baked Snacks sales fell 7% from a year earlier in the latest quarter. via Barrons
Sep 04
Trump Says Rate Hike Won't Reassure Bond Market
Trump Says Rate Hike Won't Reassure Bond Market President Donald Trump intensifies pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, threatening to cut off trade with certain economies with which the US has a deficit. He speaks with reporters at the White House. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 04
Stocks Fall After Hot Jobs Report
Stocks Fall After Hot Jobs Report Plus, Volkswagen rises on big job cuts, and a Chinese engineer returns home. via WSJ
Sep 04
Stocks Log Sluggish Start to September Amid Geopolitical Buzz
Stocks Log Sluggish Start to September Amid Geopolitical Buzz The subdued weekly returns from from Wall Street this week hardly tell the full story to start September , a historically bearish month. via Schaeffers Research
Sep 04
The Stock Market Survived a Strong Jobs Report. Can It Survive Inflation?
The Stock Market Survived a Strong Jobs Report. Can It Survive Inflation? If inflation comes in hotter than the expected 3.4% annual rate next week, an interest-rate hike could become a sure thing. via Barrons
Sep 04
Record Fuel Prices Pose Fresh Challenge for Trump Ahead of Midterms
Record Fuel Prices Pose Fresh Challenge for Trump Ahead of Midterms Diesel hit an average $5.85 a gallon on Friday, an all-time high that surpasses the previous record from 2022. via WSJ
Sep 04
Key Takeaways From the US August Jobs Report
Key Takeaways From the US August Jobs Report US nonfarm payrolls increased 162,000 last month and the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, with the August increase topping all estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Anna Wong, chief US economist with Bloomberg Economics, says the economy may not be as strong as it seems. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 04
Why the jobs report will actually be good for bonds
Why the jobs report will actually be good for bonds Based on the chatter on Wall Street, you'd think labor has never had it so good. Sadly for working Americans, this isn't actually the case. via Market Watch
Sep 04

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