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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate by December 31, 2026?

Above 5.00%
20% +5%
Between 4.00% - 5.00%
45% -3%
Below 4.00%
35% -2%

15.8M volume

Inflation persistence, labor market resilience, and global economic growth will dictate the Fed's path. Soft landing vs. recession risks are key.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on June 30, 2027?

Above 7000
30% +8%
Between 6000 - 7000
50% -5%
Below 6000
20% -3%

22.3M volume

Corporate earnings growth, AI adoption impact, and the interest rate environment will drive market performance. Geopolitical stability also plays a role.

Popular Cryptocurrencies
BTCUSD
Bitcoin
BTCUSD · CRYPTO
$77,103.52
+5.60%
ETHUSD
Ethereum
ETHUSD · CRYPTO
$2,414.72
+3.79%
SOLUSD
Solana
SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$90.96
+3.80%
XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.37
+7.91%

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Market News

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‘OPERATION TWIST': Market strategist analyzes impact of Treasury bond buys
‘OPERATION TWIST': Market strategist analyzes impact of Treasury bond buys B. Riley Wealth Management chief market strategist Art Hogan discusses market volatility, rising Treasury yields and the long-term outlook for technology giants Apple and NVIDIA on ‘The Claman Countdown.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #theclamancountdown #treasury #bonds #bondmarket #treasuryyields #markets #wallstreet #economy #investing #technology #apple #nvidia #marketh volatility #interestrates #operationtwist #arthogan via Fox Business
Aug 21
Bond Yields Rise Despite Treasury Efforts to Curb Borrowing Costs
Bond Yields Rise Despite Treasury Efforts to Curb Borrowing Costs Plus, crypto climbs and stocks bounce back. via WSJ
Aug 21
Dow closes 500 pts higher as Wall Street rebounds from Treasury yield-driven sell-off
Dow closes 500 pts higher as Wall Street rebounds from Treasury yield-driven sell-off The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose nearly 1% on Friday as US stocks recovered from a sharp sell-off in the previous session, while investors continued to monitor elevated Treasury yields, oil prices and tensions in the Middle East. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also gained, although all three major indexes ended the week lower after breaking their recent winning streaks. via Invezz
Aug 21
The Treasury buyback was a 'wise thing to do', says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
The Treasury buyback was a 'wise thing to do', says Fundstrat's Tom Lee Tom Lee, Fundstrat managing partner and head of research, and Bryn Talkington, Requisite Capital Management managing partner, join 'Closing Bell' to recap the day's market moves. via CNBC Television
Aug 21
Here's how Bessent's newly activist Treasury Department is undercutting the Fed's Warsh
Here's how Bessent's newly activist Treasury Department is undercutting the Fed's Warsh The surprising move this week by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to intervene in Treasury markets to lower the cost of government debt undercuts the credibility of Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to make interest-rate policy, experts said. via Market Watch
Aug 21
Largest US grid's transmission constraint costs surge to $6 billion in 2026
Largest US grid's transmission constraint costs surge to $6 billion in 2026 Congestion costs on PJM, the largest U.S. ​power grid, surged 43% to $6 billion during the first half of this year as ‌overloads on high-voltage transmission lines escalated, the grid's independent watchdog said this week. via Reuters
Aug 21
Treasury Whiplash, US Debt Hits $40T | Bloomberg Money 8/21/2026
Treasury Whiplash, US Debt Hits $40T | Bloomberg Money 8/21/2026 Bloomberg Money takes the pulse of your financial life, powered by the reporting of our global newsroom. Today's guests: Rebecca Patterson, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, and Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab Head of Macro Research & Strategy. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 21
Week of Whiplash in Treasuries Closing With Traders on Pause
Week of Whiplash in Treasuries Closing With Traders on Pause After a turbulent stretch for the US bond market, traders headed into Friday's session with questions about what Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's next move will be.  Kevin Gordon, Head of Macro Research & Strategy at Schwab Center for Financial Research, discusses the bond buyback announcement and impact on the market. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 21
Wall Street Struggles to Absorb AI's Debt Boom
Wall Street Struggles to Absorb AI's Debt Boom Broadcom is lining up another massive bet on AI. Bloomberg has learned the chipmaker is in talks to raise more than $60 billion in debt to help Anthropic and others secure chips and computing power. via Bloomberg Technology
Aug 21
Clock Ticks Down on New Canada Tariff Deadline
Clock Ticks Down on New Canada Tariff Deadline Sarah Bianchi, senior managing director at Evercore ISI and former deputy US trade representative, joined Balance of Power to discuss the upcoming tariff deadline. Bianchi said that after the US strikes a tariff deal with Canada, Mexico will likely ask for similar relief. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 21
Stocks Look to End Volatile Week Higher Despite Yield Drama
Stocks Look to End Volatile Week Higher Despite Yield Drama A handful of earnings stragglers  and minutes from July's Federal Reserve's meeting made their way across Wall Street this week, the latter of which showed support for an  interest rate hike  is growing. via Schaeffers Research
Aug 21
The Treasury, the Fed and the threat to your money
The Treasury, the Fed and the threat to your money Also in Weekend Reads: The Gen Z online sports-betting trend, what's next for Apple as Tim Cook exits, and a bullish take on Nvidia heading into earnings. via Market Watch
Aug 21
Bessent's bond gambit aimed at calming markets is instead stirring inflation worries
Bessent's bond gambit aimed at calming markets is instead stirring inflation worries Investors over the past several days have begun pricing in higher inflation rates, following a Treasury Department market intervention announced this week. Breakeven rates hit levels not seen in more than two months as investors grew concerned over the inflationary impacts of the department's intention to double its buyback levels of government debt. via CNBC
Aug 21

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