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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the final FOMC meeting of 2026?

Below 3.00%
25% +5%
3.00% - 4.50%
50% -3%
Above 4.50%
25% -2%

22.8M volume

Anticipating gradual Fed easing as inflation moderates towards target. Economic growth and labor market data will dictate pace, but a 'higher for longer' scenario is also possible.

What will be the closing yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note on March 31, 2027?

Below 3.50%
30% +8%
3.50% - 4.50%
45% -5%
Above 4.50%
25% -3%

16.3M volume

Yields will reflect long-term inflation expectations and global growth. Fed policy, fiscal deficits, and demand for safe assets will be key drivers in this period.

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First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund II NYSE • Jul 23, 2026
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Market News

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White House: U.S. Trade Rep. Greer to hold announcement on Section 122 tariffs
White House: U.S. Trade Rep. Greer to hold announcement on Section 122 tariffs CNBC's Eamon Javers reports on an upcoming announcement from U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer on tariffs as 10% blanket duties are set to expire. via CNBC Television
Jul 23
Market Midday: Stocks Lower, Bond Yields Higher, Mortgage Rates Hit 13-Month High • 7/23/26
Market Midday: Stocks Lower, Bond Yields Higher, Mortgage Rates Hit 13-Month High • 7/23/26 CNBC Business News Update with Jessica Ettinger - Markets & Business News With Expert Analysis From Top Business Names. Visit CNBC.com For More. via CNBC Television
Jul 23
Trump's consumer finance watchdog pick pledges 'open mind' on plans to fire most of agency work force
Trump's consumer finance watchdog pick pledges 'open mind' on plans to fire most of agency work force Capital One executive Brian ​Johnson, U.S. President Donald ‌Trump's pick to lead the Consumer Financial ​Protection Bureau, ​told lawmakers on Thursday ⁠that he had ​not decided on ​whether to pursue pending administration plans to fire ​the vast majority ​of the agency's staff. via Reuters
Jul 23
AI Spending Takes Center Stage in Big Tech Earnings | Bloomberg Tech 7/23/2026
AI Spending Takes Center Stage in Big Tech Earnings | Bloomberg Tech 7/23/2026 Bloomberg's Ed Ludlow breaks down Alphabet and Tesla's earnings as the Google parent company boosts its investment plans, while Tesla burns through cash to fund Elon Musk's AI ambitions. Plus, Mobileye founder and CEO Amnon Shashua will be stepping down after 27 years. via Bloomberg Technology
Jul 23
Khosla Ventures In Talks For Its Biggest Fundraise Ever
Khosla Ventures In Talks For Its Biggest Fundraise Ever Khosla Ventures, one of OpenAI's early investors, is in talks to raise $5.5 billion in a new set of venture investments funds, which would make it the largest fundraising event in the firm's history, according to sources. Bloomberg's Natasha Mascarenhas joins Ed Ludlow on "Bloomberg Tech. via Bloomberg Technology
Jul 23
Odds of Federal Reserve rate hike surge as oil prices rip higher
Odds of Federal Reserve rate hike surge as oil prices rip higher Investors are increasingly preparing for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates in September. Kalshi traders are also raising their bets on such an outcome. via CNBC
Jul 23
JPMorgan report finds dramatic jump in AI-themed ETFs — despite rough quarter
JPMorgan report finds dramatic jump in AI-themed ETFs — despite rough quarter Wall Street is banking heavily on exchange-traded funds that give investors artificial intelligence exposure, according to JPMorgan Asset Management. via CNBC
Jul 23
Mortgage Rates Rise to Highest Level in Almost a Year
Mortgage Rates Rise to Highest Level in Almost a Year A sharp rise in Treasury yields in the wake of the U.S. war in Iran and oil prices hitting $100 a barrel is likely to send mortgage rates higher. via Barrons
Jul 23
The rising cost of capital for companies today is starting to spook the stock market: ‘The worry is the spending might not pay off'
The rising cost of capital for companies today is starting to spook the stock market: ‘The worry is the spending might not pay off' Alphabet says it plans to throw even more money at the AI build-out. The Iran war, oil back at $100 a barrel and rising bond yields make it all the more difficult for the market to stomach. via Market Watch
Jul 23
The Treasury market is flashing a warning sign for home buyers. Are 7% mortgage rates next?
The Treasury market is flashing a warning sign for home buyers. Are 7% mortgage rates next? The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage edged up to its highest level of 2026. via Market Watch
Jul 23

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