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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.75%
30% +5%
Between 3.75% - 4.75%
45% -3%
Below 3.75%
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Persistent inflation or robust growth could keep rates elevated, while a recessionary environment would force the Fed to cut aggressively. Market anticipates gradual normalization.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6600
40% +7%
Between 5900 - 6600
40% -2%
Below 5900
20% -5%

22.3M volume

Corporate earnings growth, especially in tech, will be a key driver. Inflation and interest rate paths will influence valuations. Geopolitical stability could also play a role.

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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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SOLUSD · CRYPTO
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Market News

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Fed's Kashkari Says the Fed May Have to Raise Rates This Year
Fed's Kashkari Says the Fed May Have to Raise Rates This Year Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said inflation risks have led him to pencil in one rate hike by the end of the year. via WSJ
Jun 26
Discounted bond funds, especially at scandal-hit Wamco, may offer an investment opportunity
Discounted bond funds, especially at scandal-hit Wamco, may offer an investment opportunity Professional investment advisers wear handcuffs when they manage clients' money — but you don't. via Market Watch
Jun 26
The Weekly Wire: “Inflation Is A Choice”
The Weekly Wire: “Inflation Is A Choice” Our investment team is closely monitoring the developments in the Middle East and the impact they are having on commodity prices, the stock market, and the world economy. We lament the loss of innocent life, pray for the safety of U.S. troops in harm's way and mourn the U.S. via ETF Trends
Jun 26
Yields Rise As The Fed Begins “A New Chapter”
Yields Rise As The Fed Begins “A New Chapter” The new Fed Chair is focused on inflation and fresh thinking At his first press conference as the new Federal Reserve Board Chair, Kevin Warsh made it clear last week that controlling inflation is on his mind. via ETF Trends
Jun 26
Nicholas Rossi, the US rapist who faked his death and fled to Scotland to escape justice, dies
Nicholas Rossi, the US rapist who faked his death and fled to Scotland to escape justice, dies Nicholas Rossi, who fled from the US to Scotland after he faked his own death to avoid rape charges, has died in hospital. via Skynews
Jun 26
Swiss pharma at risk of US trade investigation, industry body says
Swiss pharma at risk of US trade investigation, industry body says The United States could open a trade investigation into Switzerland's pharmaceutical industry similar to the one initiated ​last week against Germany, the head of Swiss industry ‌body Interpharma said on Friday. via Reuters
Jun 26
Trump threatens 100% tariff on countries putting 'Digital Services Tax on American Companies'
Trump threatens 100% tariff on countries putting 'Digital Services Tax on American Companies' President Donald Trump threatened to impose a "100% TARIFF" on the goods of any country that imposes a digital services tax on U.S. companies. "This TARIFF will supersede Trade Deals made with the Country, whether implemented, signed, or not," Trump wrote in a Truth Social post. via CNBC
Jun 26
Ed Yardeni: The market looks 'very solid' from an earnings standpoint
Ed Yardeni: The market looks 'very solid' from an earnings standpoint Ed Yardeni, Yarden Research president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the latest market trends, his take on hyperscalers, and more. via CNBC Television
Jun 26
Opinion | America Has Never Run from the New
Opinion | America Has Never Run from the New So it should be with AI. We'll reach out 2,500th birthday if instead of avoiding new technology, we humanize it. via WSJ
Jun 26
A new bill would cap Medicare enrollees' annual expenses at $5,000 — and could cost the government ‘tens of billions'
A new bill would cap Medicare enrollees' annual expenses at $5,000 — and could cost the government ‘tens of billions' The long-shot proposal would guarantee some cost protection to all people with Medicare. via Market Watch
Jun 26
Behind China's rapid AI ascent
Behind China's rapid AI ascent CNBC's Deirdre Bosa reports on the fight over AI model distillation. via CNBC Television
Jun 26
Hormuz Transit, Trump vs. GOP, Market Volatility & Ukraine Strikes | Bloomberg This Weekend: June 28
Hormuz Transit, Trump vs. GOP, Market Volatility & Ukraine Strikes | Bloomberg This Weekend: June 28 Listen to Bloomberg This Weekend for unique conversations spanning news, politics, lifestyle and culture. David Gura, Christina Ruffini and Lisa Mateo bring you unique discussions and in-depth conversations with lawmakers, business leaders and cultural icons. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jun 26
Central bank sees no need for extra measures as worried Russians withdraw cash
Central bank sees no need for extra measures as worried Russians withdraw cash Russia's central bank said on Friday there ​was no need for extra measures to stabilise the banking system, despite a rise in cash withdrawals ‌that some have blamed on worries about internet shutdowns and possible disruptions to payment systems. via Reuters
Jun 26
AI Market Volatility, Europe Heat Wave, Venezuela Quakes Damage | Bloomberg This Weekend: June 27
AI Market Volatility, Europe Heat Wave, Venezuela Quakes Damage | Bloomberg This Weekend: June 27 Listen to Bloomberg This Weekend for unique conversations spanning news, politics, lifestyle and culture. David Gura, Christina Ruffini and Lisa Mateo bring you unique discussions and in-depth conversations with lawmakers, business leaders and cultural icons. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jun 26

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