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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
30% +5%
Between 6200 - 6800
45% -3%
Below 6200
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth, driven by AI adoption and a stable interest rate environment, could push indices higher. Geopolitical risks and inflation remain key concerns.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range following the FOMC meeting ending January 31, 2027?

Above 4.00%
20% +2%
Between 3.00% - 4.00%
50% -1%
Below 3.00%
30% -1%

9.1M volume

Future Fed policy hinges on inflation trajectory and labor market strength. Persistent wage pressure might limit cuts, while an economic slowdown could lead to more aggressive easing.

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Trending News

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Binance co-CEO Richard Teng says hackers used fake job interviews, AI tool to steal $6.3 billion in crypto 108511116
Binance co-CEO Richard Teng says hackers used fake job interviews, AI tool to steal $6.3 billion in crypto 108511116 Binance has replenished 98% of $6.34 billion in affected assets, according to a security report the crypto exchange issued Tuesday. via CNBC
Nov 03
S&P500 and Nasdaq Index: Tech Stocks Gain as Oil Falls, Midterm Risk Builds
S&P500 and Nasdaq Index: Tech Stocks Gain as Oil Falls, Midterm Risk Builds Nasdaq and S&P 500 edge higher on lower oil, but markets brace for midterms as prediction markets put Democrats' Senate odds at 75%. via FXEmpire
Nov 03
I don't see roaring 1920s comparison in the stock market: Bill Ackman
I don't see roaring 1920s comparison in the stock market: Bill Ackman CNBC's “Squawk Box” team discusses Pershing Square's third-quarter results, midterm elections, market outlook, the tech trade, AI and more with Bill Ackman, CEO of Pershing Square. via CNBC Television
Nov 03
What to expect from US stocks if Republicans win midterm elections
What to expect from US stocks if Republicans win midterm elections US stocks could stage a relief rally if Republicans outperform expectations in the Nov. 3 midterm elections, according to Michael Landsberg, chief investment officer at Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management. While he remains cautious on the broader market outlook, Landsberg told CNBC that a Republican victory or retention of congressional control would likely be viewed “positively” – particularly as markets navigate slowing growth signals, falling Treasury yields, and growing concerns about the sustainability of the AI-led rally. via Invezz
Nov 03
The Texas governor's race might be a make-or-break contest for a wobbling AI trade
The Texas governor's race might be a make-or-break contest for a wobbling AI trade Democrats are favored to take both the House and Senate in Tuesday's U.S. midterm election, but there is another race to which artificial-intelligence investors should be paying close attention. via Market Watch
Nov 03
Job openings posted big September gain in positive sign for labor market ahead of payrolls report
Job openings posted big September gain in positive sign for labor market ahead of payrolls report Job openings rose by 333,000 in September while hiring and quits both increased and layoffs declined, the BLS reported Tuesday. The monthly JOLTS report showed mostly positive signs for the labor market ahead of Friday's key nonfarm payrolls reading. via CNBC
Nov 03
US factory orders beat expectations in September amid broad strength
US factory orders beat expectations in September amid broad strength New orders for US factory goods increased more than expected in September, boosted by bookings for aircraft and a ​range of other goods, government data showed on Tuesday. via Reuters
Nov 03
U.S. Job Openings Rose in September
U.S. Job Openings Rose in September U.S. job openings rose in September while hiring held relatively steady, according to a report from the Labor Department's monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. via WSJ
Nov 03
US Job Openings Jump as Factory, Durable Orders Also Rise
US Job Openings Jump as Factory, Durable Orders Also Rise US job openings jumped 333,000 to 7.52 million from a revised 7.19 million in August while factory orders and durable goods orders also rose. Michael McKee reports on "Bloomberg Open Interest. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nov 03
US job openings increase sharply in September
US job openings increase sharply in September US job openings increased sharply in September while layoffs fell, supporting economists' views that the labor market remained ​on firmer footing despite tepid employment gains during that ‌month. via Reuters
Nov 03
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation  as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI  Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%. via ETF Trends
Nov 03

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