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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on December 31, 2027?

Above 7000
35% +7%
Between 6000 - 7000
45% -3%
Below 6000
20% -4%

32.7M volume

Continued tech innovation and global economic recovery could propel corporate earnings. However, persistent inflation or higher-for-longer rates pose significant downside risks to market growth and valuations.

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026?

Above 4.50%
25% +5%
Between 3.00% - 4.50%
50% -2%
Below 3.00%
25% -3%

21.4M volume

The Fed's path hinges on inflation deceleration and labor market cooling. Persistent wage growth or a reacceleration of inflation could force rates higher. A sharper slowdown might lead to aggressive cuts.

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Market News

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China's chip advancements raise NEW concerns for US tech
China's chip advancements raise NEW concerns for US tech Blubird Capital managing partner Anni Sen joins ‘Making Money' to discuss China's CXMT semiconductor advancements and global tech regulations. #fox #foxbusiness #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #makingmoney #charlespayne #payne #annisen #sen #china #chinatech #cxmt #semiconductors #chips #chipindustry #technology #technews #artificialintelligence #ai #aiboom #investing #investors #stockmarket #regulation #techregulation #uschina #trade #innovation #globalmarkets #economy #national security via Fox Business
Oct 13
Williams says Fed may not have to hike rates in 2027, at odds with traders
Williams says Fed may not have to hike rates in 2027, at odds with traders New York Federal Reserve President John Williams doesn't see reason for additional rate hikes in 2027 after one more increase this year. Williams' comments place him at odds with the market. via CNBC
Oct 13
Market concentration concerns: The Investment Committee's strategy
Market concentration concerns: The Investment Committee's strategy The Investment Committee debates whether the best returns in the market are behind us. via CNBC Television
Oct 13
Fed's Williams Says One More Rate Hike This Year Is Appropriate
Fed's Williams Says One More Rate Hike This Year Is Appropriate Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams says one more interest-rate hike is appropriate this year, but he doesn't think the central bank will have to raise rates again in 2027. Williams spoke to Bloomberg off camera in New York. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 13
Jamie Dimon SOUNDS ALARM over US economy
Jamie Dimon SOUNDS ALARM over US economy 'The Big Money Show' discusses JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon's warnings on the U.S. economy. The panel analyzes economic risks, elevated interest rates and persistent inflation pressures. via Fox Business
Oct 13
Oil Eases From Three-Day Gain With Focus on Middle East, Russia
Oil Eases From Three-Day Gain With Focus on Middle East, Russia Oil held steady after three days of gains as traders booked profits from the recent rally amid persistent risks to energy supplies. Market participants are monitoring whether violence in the Middle East will imperil shipments from the region's largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 13
We're Back to Normal Rates, Says Ed Yardeni
We're Back to Normal Rates, Says Ed Yardeni Yields in the US and other advanced economies have climbed to multidecade highs, tightening financial conditions, amid higher inflation triggered by the US-Iran war and concern about budget shortfalls. Traders have responded by paring rate-hike expectations, with the amount priced into swaps across eight major economies falling by almost 200 basis points since mid-September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Oct 13
The latest inflation data is expected to show price increases are accelerating
The latest inflation data is expected to show price increases are accelerating Economists expect the consumer price index for September to rise 0.6% on the month and 3.6% year over year. Core CPI is forecast to show a 0.2% gain on the month and 2.5% annual increase. via CNBC
Oct 13
Municipal Bond Investors Face Elevated Risks From Rising Costs of Natural Disasters
Municipal Bond Investors Face Elevated Risks From Rising Costs of Natural Disasters Increased costs are forcing investors, already battered by the recent turbulence in global bond markets, to be more careful with one of the safest asset classes available. via WSJ
Oct 13
New SEC rules would fleece everyday investors to enrich Wall Street
New SEC rules would fleece everyday investors to enrich Wall Street New proposals from the Securities and Exchange Commission will tilt the scales in favor of Wall Street and against a huge group of retail investors. via Market Watch
Oct 13
Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks
Rising Interest Rates Threaten to Spoil the Party for Big Banks Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan post higher profit, but the mood on Wall Street is becoming more cautious. via WSJ
Oct 13
Character.ai Maker Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Character.ai Maker Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Character.ai, which lets users interact with AI avatars that include fictional characters and real public figures, had come under scrutiny for the platform's effects on teen mental health. via WSJ
Oct 13
Global Stocks Face CPI Test Amid AI and Energy Uncertainty
Global Stocks Face CPI Test Amid AI and Energy Uncertainty Energy has offered a little bit of relief in the early part of the session, but we have seen it turn around during New York trading. via FXEmpire
Oct 13
Federal and state regulators asked a judge to hold “pharma bro” Martin Shkreli in contempt, alleging he traded drug stocks despite a lifetime ban from the pharmaceutical industry
Federal and state regulators asked a judge to hold “pharma bro” Martin Shkreli in contempt, alleging he traded drug stocks despite a lifetime ban from the pharmaceutical industry Regulators allege the ex-drug executive held more than 60 pharmaceutical stocks despite a court order barring him from the industry. via WSJ
Oct 13
Britain seized 61,000 Bitcoin. The victims may never see it.
Britain seized 61,000 Bitcoin. The victims may never see it. Roughly $800 million in leveraged crypto positions got liquidated overnight, 86% of them longs. Bitcoin fell to just under $81,000 and came straight back to where it started. via Yahoo Finance
Oct 13

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