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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the final FOMC meeting of 2026?

Below 3.50%
28% +5%
Between 3.50% and 4.75%
48% -3%
Above 4.75%
24% -2%

8.7M volume

Market pricing in disinflation but balancing growth risks. Fed's path hinges on labor market data and geopolitical stability, impacting cut cycles.

What will be the closing yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note on June 30, 2027?

Below 3.25%
22% +4%
Between 3.25% and 4.25%
43% -2%
Above 4.25%
35% -2%

13.4M volume

Long-term yields reflect inflation premium and government debt. Fiscal policy trajectory and global demand for US assets will be key drivers.

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Trending News

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Zachary Hill on What Interest Rate Hikes Mean for Wall Street, Buying on Pullbacks
Zachary Hill on What Interest Rate Hikes Mean for Wall Street, Buying on Pullbacks Wall Street is starting to price in a 25bps interest rate hike for September, though it may come down to what next week's CPI print shows, says Zachary Hill. He adds that it won't matter long-term, so long as it's not the start of a hike cycle. via Schwab Network
Sep 05
Trump turns up the heat on Warsh as Fed rate hike looms
Trump turns up the heat on Warsh as Fed rate hike looms President Donald Trump, Vice President JD Vance and other senior administration officials are publicly pushing the Fed to avoid an interest rate increase or to lower rates. Markets have priced in about a 60% chance of a quarter-point September hike after employers added 162,000 jobs in August. via CNBC
Sep 05
Winged monkeys
Winged monkeys Sphere Entertainment president and COO Jennifer Koester discusses 4D upgrades to ‘The Wizard of Oz' at the Las Vegas Sphere and outlines future projects on ‘The Claman Countdown.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #theclamancountdown #wizardofoz #lasvegas #nevada #lasvegassphere #sphere #entertainment #technology #4d #immersive #wingedmonkeys #tourism #attractions #innovation #movies via Fox Business
Sep 05
Spire Healthcare agrees £1.03 billion takeover by Toscafund and others
Spire Healthcare agrees £1.03 billion takeover by Toscafund and others Spire Healthcare Group said ​on Saturday it had agreed to be taken ‌over by consortium comprising funds managed by Toscafund, Three Hills and Ares, valuing its share capital at about £1,026 million ($1.39 billion). via Reuters
Sep 05
Elon Musk's Inner Circle Is Pouring Cash Into Making Psychedelics Mainstream
Elon Musk's Inner Circle Is Pouring Cash Into Making Psychedelics Mainstream SpaceX and Tesla directors are backing academic research and a commercial venture seeking approval for MDMA-assisted therapy. via WSJ
Sep 05
Jobs Surge Raises Odds of September Fed Hike
Jobs Surge Raises Odds of September Fed Hike On Bloomberg This Weekend, Seaport Research Partner Managing Director & Chief Equity Strategist Jonathan Golub says a stronger-than-expected US jobs report reinforces the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, despite President Donald Trump's calls for lower borrowing costs. Golub also says to hosts Christina Ruffini and Jeff Mason that his bigger concern is longer-term bond yields as heavy AI investment and government borrowing compete for capital. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 05

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