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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate set by the FOMC after its last meeting of 2026 on December 18, 2026?

Above 5.00%
25% +8%
Between 4.00% - 5.00%
45% -5%
Below 4.00%
30% -3%

15.8M volume

Persistent inflation or strong economic growth could limit cuts. A mild recession would drive aggressive easing. Labor market resilience is key to Fed's rate path decisions.

What will be the closing yield of the US 10-Year Treasury Note on December 31, 2027?

Above 5.00%
30% +5%
Between 4.00% - 5.00%
40% -2%
Below 4.00%
30% -3%

12.3M volume

Future yield depends on long-term inflation expectations, US fiscal policy, global demand for safe assets, and real economic growth. Persistent deficits could keep yields elevated.

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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
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Invesco BulletShares 2029 Treasury Bond ETF NASDAQ • Jun 10, 2026
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Invesco BulletShares 2031 Treasury Bond ETF NASDAQ • Jun 10, 2026
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JAB Acquisition Corp I NASDAQ • Jun 10, 2026
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ERock, Inc. NYSE • Jun 10, 2026
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Invesco BulletShares 2034 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF NASDAQ • Jun 10, 2026
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Market News

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State of the Tech Sector: U.S.-Iran War, Bitcoin Adds Unseen Pressures
State of the Tech Sector: U.S.-Iran War, Bitcoin Adds Unseen Pressures @CharlesSchwab's Nathan Peterson breaks down the factors for recent market softness caused mostly by the tech sector. He says there is a lot of volatility happening within the cohort, especially within the AI memory trade. via Schwab Network
Jun 10
Inflation Is Boosting Next Year's Social Security Raise. Here's the New COLA Estimate.
Inflation Is Boosting Next Year's Social Security Raise. Here's the New COLA Estimate. For now, many older adults are stretching their budgets on the basics. via Barrons
Jun 10
Inflation holds steady in May as Iran War pushes energy prices higher
Inflation holds steady in May as Iran War pushes energy prices higher US consumer prices rose 0.5% in May, lifting the headline inflation rate to 4.2% year-over-year, the highest since April 2023, as the Iran War drove a sharp increase in energy costs, though analysts say the print does little to shift the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see posture. The Consumer Price Index came in broadly in line with Wall Street expectations. via Proactive Investors
Jun 10
Social Security's COLA could be 4.7% in 2027 as inflation hits the highest level in 3 years
Social Security's COLA could be 4.7% in 2027 as inflation hits the highest level in 3 years A total of 44% of older Americans depend on Social Security for all of their income, according to the Senior Citizens League. via Market Watch
Jun 10
US Inflation Accelerates in May, While Core CPI Softens
US Inflation Accelerates in May, While Core CPI Softens US inflation accelerated in May with the Iran war pushing up energy prices, as the consumer price index climbed 4.2% from a year earlier, the most since early 2023. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.2% from April and 2.9% from a year earlier. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Jun 10
Inflation Keeps Prospects of a Fed Rate Cut Low
Inflation Keeps Prospects of a Fed Rate Cut Low The Consumer Price Index is one of the last major data releases ahead Kevin M. Warsh's first meeting as chair of the Federal Reserve. via NYTimes
Jun 10
Bank of Canada maintains rate at 2.25%, says they ‘will not let higher energy prices become persistent inflation'
Bank of Canada maintains rate at 2.25%, says they ‘will not let higher energy prices become persistent inflation' The Bank of Canada (BoC) maintained its key overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, as expected, with the bank rate staying at 2.50% and the deposit rate remaining at 2.20%. The BoC said economic activity in Canada has been weak and uncertainty about U.S. trade policy persists, while the conflict in the Middle East is ongoing and oil prices remain elevated, but they reiterated their commitment to prevent higher energy prices from becoming persistent inflation. via Kitco
Jun 10
Regulators' proposed prediction markets rules ban trading on terrorism, assassinations
Regulators' proposed prediction markets rules ban trading on terrorism, assassinations The proposed rules from the commission will now face a public comment period. via CNBC
Jun 10
Dow falls 334 points as chip selloff, Iran tensions hit stocks
Dow falls 334 points as chip selloff, Iran tensions hit stocks US stocks moved lower on Wednesday as investors grappled with renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continued weakness in semiconductor stocks, and concerns that inflation could keep the Federal Reserve on a cautious path. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down by 334 points. via Invezz
Jun 10

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