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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6500
40% +5%
Between 6000 - 6500
35% -3%
Below 6000
25% -2%

17.8M volume

Anticipates robust corporate earnings driven by technological advancements and stable economic growth, with potential for easing monetary policy through 2025-2026.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Above 4.25%
25% -4%
Between 3.25% - 4.25%
45% +6%
Below 3.25%
30% -2%

11.5M volume

Reflects an expectation of moderate inflation and a stabilizing labor market, allowing the Fed to gradually normalize rates without triggering a recession.

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EXYNW
Exyn Technologies, Inc. Warrant NASDAQ • May 15, 2026
Expected EXYNW
EXYN
Exyn Technologies, Inc. NASDAQ • May 15, 2026
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MYX
Maywood Acquisition Corp. 2 Class A Ordinary Share NASDAQ • May 15, 2026
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MYXXR
Maywood Acquisition Corp. 2 Rights NASDAQ • May 15, 2026
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NYYY
Exchange Listed Funds Trust NYSE • May 15, 2026
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DUKR
DUKE Robotics Corp. NASDAQ • May 15, 2026
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Duke Robotics Corp. C/wts Exp 06/05/2031(to Pur Com) NASDAQ • May 15, 2026
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Exchange Listed Funds Trust NYSE • May 15, 2026
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Vidaroo Corp NYSE • May 15, 2026
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BHYP
Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF NYSE • May 15, 2026
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Market News

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Friday's Final Takeaways: Breakthroughs in Trump's China Visit
Friday's Final Takeaways: Breakthroughs in Trump's China Visit Sam Vadas turns to China for Friday's final takeaways, offering her perspective on the key U.S. victories she sees in President Trump's overseas trip. via Schwab Network
May 15
The Federal Reserve said that outgoing Chair Jerome Powell would remain as its acting leader until Kevin Warsh, who was confirmed to a four-year term by the Senate this week, could be sworn in
The Federal Reserve said that outgoing Chair Jerome Powell would remain as its acting leader until Kevin Warsh, who was confirmed to a four-year term by the Senate this week, could be sworn in The Federal Reserve said that outgoing Chair Jerome Powell would remain as its acting leader until Kevin Warsh, who was confirmed to a four-year term by the Senate this week, could be sworn in. via WSJ
May 15
Equities & Bonds Take a Hit To Close the Week | Closing Bell
Equities & Bonds Take a Hit To Close the Week | Closing Bell Comprehensive cross-platform coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Katie Greifeld, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
May 15
Mounting Inflation Pressures Deepen Global Bond Slide
Mounting Inflation Pressures Deepen Global Bond Slide The yield on the 10-year Treasury climbed to nearly 4.6% Friday, its highest level in more than a year. via WSJ
May 15
Stocks tumble as Treasury yields spike and Iran fears shake markets
Stocks tumble as Treasury yields spike and Iran fears shake markets The selloff gathered steam after the 30-year Treasury yield shot above 5.1%, approaching levels not seen in nearly two decades. via New York Post
May 15
Dow slides 537 points as rising oil prices rattle AI-fueled rally
Dow slides 537 points as rising oil prices rattle AI-fueled rally US stocks fell sharply on Friday as rising Treasury yields, surging oil prices, and fading enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence stocks pressured markets following weeks of record-setting gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped roughly 537 points, or about 1.1%, while the S&P 500 lost approximately 1.2%. via Invezz
May 15
Optical stocks are booming. Here's how to invest in one of the most explosive areas of tech.
Optical stocks are booming. Here's how to invest in one of the most explosive areas of tech. Investors are pouring money quickly into a new ETF that invests in companies involved with photonics and photolithography. via Market Watch
May 15
When one Powell closes, another Warsh opens
When one Powell closes, another Warsh opens Jerome Powell's time leading the Federal Reserve is officially coming to an end. We look back at some of the defining moments of Powell's tenure, from the pandemic and emergency rate cuts to inflation, banking turmoil, and growing political scrutiny surrounding the Fed. via Yahoo Finance
May 15
Grading Powell's Fed: Good for Stocks, Bad for Affordability
Grading Powell's Fed: Good for Stocks, Bad for Affordability One result of the massive monetary expansion was an upsurge in inflation, to a peak of over 9% in 2022—which the Fed infamously termed “transitory.” via Barrons
May 15
Wall Street Prices Out Rate Cuts, Eyes Hikes, Global Bond Selloff Deepens | Real Yield 5/15/2026
Wall Street Prices Out Rate Cuts, Eyes Hikes, Global Bond Selloff Deepens | Real Yield 5/15/2026 "Bloomberg Real Yield" highlights the market-moving news you need to know. Today's guests: Columbia Threadneedle Portfolio Manager, Total Return Bond Ed Al-Hussainy, JPMorgan Management CIO of US GFICC Kay Herr, CreditSights Global Head of Credit Strategy Winnie Cisar, and Ironsides Macroeconomics Director of Research Barry Knapp. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
May 15

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