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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on December 31, 2026?

Above 6200
40% +5%
Between 5700 - 6200
35% -3%
Below 5700
25% -2%

28.7M volume

Sustained corporate earnings growth and moderate rate cuts could drive upside, though geopolitical risks and inflation remain key variables.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the final FOMC meeting of 2026 (expected December 18, 2026)?

Above 4.50%
30% +4%
Between 3.50% - 4.50%
45% -2%
Below 3.50%
25% -2%

19.2M volume

Inflation trajectory and labor market resilience will dictate rate path. Moderate cuts are expected if price stability is achieved without recession.

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Market News

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Productivity Driving Profits
Productivity Driving Profits SUMMARY Job market holding up, with layoffs down 40% from this time last year. US productivity above trend — up 2.8% year-over-year. via ETF Trends
Aug 06
Trump likely to reject US industry requests for quicker polysilicon tariff, source says
Trump likely to reject US industry requests for quicker polysilicon tariff, source says The Trump administration is expected to spurn ​requests from some U.S. solar manufacturers ‌for a speedier timeline to put in place a new price ​floor and tariff on ​imports of polysilicon products, a ⁠person familiar with the ​matter said. via Reuters
Aug 06
Inflation Data, Tech Earnings Highlight Busy Week
Inflation Data, Tech Earnings Highlight Busy Week Next week brings another busy stretch for Wall Street, with investors set to digest a fresh round of earnings alongside several closely watched economic reports. via Schaeffers Research
Aug 06
Why a Fed Rate Cut Is Coming and How the Market Will React
Why a Fed Rate Cut Is Coming and How the Market Will React The central bank has let the bond market do its heavy lifting when it comes to rates. But a cut is on the horizon if a weak jobs and inflation stir up Wall Street. via Barrons
Aug 06
The July jobs numbers are due out Friday. Here's what to expect
The July jobs numbers are due out Friday. Here's what to expect The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its nonfarm payrolls report for July, with Wall Street expecting a gain of 83,000 and the unemployment rate to hold at 4.2%. Beyond the headline numbers, economists will be watching labor force participation, wage gains and job composition for broader clues. via CNBC
Aug 06
Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Houthis Attack Saudi-Backed Forces In Yemen
Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – Oil Rallies As Houthis Attack Saudi-Backed Forces In Yemen Oil markets gain ground as traders worry about potential supply disruptions. via FXEmpire
Aug 06

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