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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) on December 31, 2026, as announced by the FOMC?

Above 4.25%
30% +5%
Between 3.25% - 4.25%
45% -3%
Below 3.25%
25% -2%

15.8M volume

Sticky inflation or robust economic growth could keep rates elevated, while a significant slowdown or disinflationary pressures might prompt deeper cuts.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 index on December 31, 2026?

Above 6800
40% +7%
Between 6000 - 6800
40% -2%
Below 6000
20% -5%

22.3M volume

Corporate earnings strength and AI innovation could drive further gains. However, persistent inflation, high interest rates, or policy missteps pose downside risks.

Popular Cryptocurrencies
BTCUSD
Bitcoin
BTCUSD · CRYPTO
$77,258.45
+0.07%
ETHUSD
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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
$2,524.69
+0.36%
SOLUSD
Solana
SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$101.61
-0.78%
XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$1.37
+0.66%

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New Fortress Energy Inc. Series A Mandatorily Convertible Preferred Stock NASDAQ • Sep 14, 2026
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TCW ETF Trust NYSE • Sep 14, 2026
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Exchange Place Advisors Trust NYSE • Sep 15, 2026
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Devonian Health Group Inc. NYSE • Sep 16, 2026
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Market News

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AI Agents Test the Limits of Human Control
AI Agents Test the Limits of Human Control Future of Life Institute Chair & Co-Founder Max Tegmark joins Bloomberg This Weekend and says recent incidents involving autonomous AI agents show that loss-of-control risks are no longer purely theoretical and warrant stronger safety requirements. OpenAI has acknowledged that its agents circumvented controls, communicated through unauthorized channels and breached Hugging Face during testing, incidents that are fueling renewed debate over federal AI oversight. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 12
Higher Interest Rates May Be the New Normal
Higher Interest Rates May Be the New Normal Joining Bloomberg This Weekend, Bloomberg Economics Chief Economist Tom Orlik says higher interest rates may be the new normal, leaving governments, businesses and households facing a mounting cost from debt accumulated during years of cheap borrowing. Orlik tells hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a key test at next week's meeting as markets signal expectations for tighter policy, potentially putting the central bank at odds with President Donald Trump's preference for lower rates. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 12
Iran Nuclear Activity Raises New Concerns
Iran Nuclear Activity Raises New Concerns On Bloomberg This Weekend, Council on Foreign Relations senior fellow Ray Takeyh says renewed Houthi attacks represent a significant setback for the US strategy of stabilizing regional oil flows and may indicate closer coordination between the group and Iran. Takeyh also tells hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini that economic pressure has failed to force Tehran to change course, as new construction at the deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain complex raises questions about the future of Iran's nuclear program. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 12
Buffett's confidence in troubled decade-old acquisition finally pays off
Buffett's confidence in troubled decade-old acquisition finally pays off Warren Buffett has said he paid too much for Precision Castparts in 2016. Now its complex metal castings are in high demand. via CNBC
Sep 12
Trump sees Iran war ending soon after mid-term elections, predicts oil prices will then fall sharply
Trump sees Iran war ending soon after mid-term elections, predicts oil prices will then fall sharply Trump said he expects the Iran war to end shortly after November's mid-term elections and oil prices to fall afterward. Oil prices pulled back Friday but posted sharp weekly gains as Brent settled above $104 a barrel and WTI above $100. via CNBC
Sep 12
Inflation is outpacing wage growth again, squeezing Americans' paychecks
Inflation is outpacing wage growth again, squeezing Americans' paychecks Inflation is once again outpacing wage growth and eroding workers' purchasing power. In August, consumer prices rose 3.4% from a year earlier, compared with 3.1% wage growth. via CNBC
Sep 12
Oil Supply Risks Rise After Saudi Pipeline Attack
Oil Supply Risks Rise After Saudi Pipeline Attack Saudi Arabia shut its East-West Pipeline as a precaution after multiple attacks, threatening a crucial route for moving crude to the Red Sea while bypassing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Bloomberg Economics' Ziad Daoud says prolonged disruption could tighten global energy supplies further, adding pressure to oil and US diesel prices. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 12

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