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Prediction Markets

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate set by the FOMC on December 31, 2026?

Above 5.00%
25% +3%
Between 4.00% - 5.00%
50% -2%
Below 4.00%
25% -1%

15.2M volume

Persistent inflation or stronger economic growth could limit the Fed's ability to cut rates significantly, while a slowdown would prompt more aggressive easing.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2027?

Above 7000
40% +5%
Between 6000 - 7000
40% -3%
Below 6000
20% -2%

22.8M volume

Continued earnings growth, driven by technological advancements like AI, could push the S&P 500 higher, though sustained inflation or recession risks remain headwinds.

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Market News

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Big Technology's Kantrowitz: The market isn't sure what to think about AI companies
Big Technology's Kantrowitz: The market isn't sure what to think about AI companies Alex Kantrowitz, Big Technology founder, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Anthropic, which is expected to reveal new revenue numbers to potential investors. via CNBC Television
Oct 14
It's easy to get excited about AI, but there has to be revenue, says Tusk Ventures' Bradley Tusk
It's easy to get excited about AI, but there has to be revenue, says Tusk Ventures' Bradley Tusk Bradley Tusk, Tusk Ventures CEO, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss shares of CoreWeave sinking while yields in its bonds surged higher and AI debt raising bubble fears. via CNBC Television
Oct 14
"We're Feeling Inflation Everywhere:" Why CPI Ignited Selloff, Ups Rate Hike Chances
"We're Feeling Inflation Everywhere:" Why CPI Ignited Selloff, Ups Rate Hike Chances September CPI coming in hot spooked markets Wednesday and ignited a selloff as inflation fears grip investors. Brian Jacobsen discusses how the print will shape the Fed's interest rate cycle as inflation concerns stay top of mind for U.S. consumers. via Schwab Network
Oct 14
Fed's Goolsbee says September CPI data was discouraging - Yahoo Finance
Fed's Goolsbee says September CPI data was discouraging - Yahoo Finance Fed's Goolsbee says September CPI data was discouraging - Yahoo Finance via Reuters
Oct 14
What to expect at the next Fed meeting now that rate-hike odds are rising
What to expect at the next Fed meeting now that rate-hike odds are rising Market participants and economists are split on the question of whether or not the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by another quarter-point in two weeks. via Market Watch
Oct 14
Bond trading weakens for US banks as interest rate volatility affects investors
Bond trading weakens for US banks as interest rate volatility affects investors Bond trading weakens for US banks as interest rate volatility affects investors via Reuters
Oct 14
Red hot CPI report fuels AI rout
Red hot CPI report fuels AI rout Red hot CPI report fuels AI rout via Reuters
Oct 14
Fed survey shows price pressures intensifying amid rise in fuel costs
Fed survey shows price pressures intensifying amid rise in fuel costs The US labor market remained stuck in a low-hire, low-fire state and inflation was intensifying across parts of the country in recent weeks, a Federal Reserve report showed on Wednesday, underscoring ​what's at stake as the central bank weighs whether to deliver a second ‌straight interest rate hike later this month. via Reuters
Oct 14
Inside the Making of ‘Grand Theft Auto VI'
Inside the Making of ‘Grand Theft Auto VI' GTA VI is set to release on November 19th, expected to be one of the biggest entertainment releases in history. The game, created by Rockstar Games, a development studio owned by Take-Two, is expected to generate more than $3 billion dollars in its first four months. via Bloomberg Technology
Oct 14
The steel stock that has the shorts and options traders on edge
The steel stock that has the shorts and options traders on edge The steel stock that has the shorts and options traders on edge via CNBC
Oct 14
How high inflation became a 'fact of life' in the U.S.
How high inflation became a 'fact of life' in the U.S. U.S. consumers are in the midst of one of the longest streaks of elevated inflation levels on record, according to a CNBC data analysis. Some are beginning to act like high inflation is a new normal, which can cripple the power of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tools. via CNBC
Oct 14
Global Markets Fall as Hot CPI Fuels Fed Rate Hike Fears
Global Markets Fall as Hot CPI Fuels Fed Rate Hike Fears Hot U.S. inflation drives Treasury yields and the dollar higher while pressuring stocks and European currencies, with oil risks adding uncertainty. via FXEmpire
Oct 14
Last week the Fed was cutting. This week it might hike.
Last week the Fed was cutting. This week it might hike. September CPI ran hot. Headline inflation hit 3.7% year over year, up from 3.4%, and core reached 2.6%, the fastest since June. via Yahoo Finance
Oct 14
What's Driving Rates Up and Bonds Down?
What's Driving Rates Up and Bonds Down? “It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so. via ETF Trends
Oct 14
Inflation got worse in September as consumers struggle with high prices ahead of the midterms
Inflation got worse in September as consumers struggle with high prices ahead of the midterms U.S. inflation accelerated last month as gas, clothes, and air fares got more expensive, evidence that rising prices remain an economic challenge just a few weeks before the midterm elections that have focused heavily on issues related to affordability.The consumer price index rose 3.7% in September compared with a year ago, the Labor Department said Wednesday, up from 3.4% in August. On a monthly basis, costs jumped 0.6% from August to September, the biggest gain in five months, up from a 0.4% increase the previous month.The figures underscore the lingering impact of the Iran war on gas prices and the stubborn persistence of inflation, which fell sharply from a 9.1% peak in 2022 but this year has ticked higher since the war began in late February. via Fast Company
Oct 14

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