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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate target range at the end of the FOMC meeting on December 17, 2026?

Below 3.50%
30% +5%
3.50% - 5.00%
50% -3%
Above 5.00%
20% -2%

15.2M volume

Persistent disinflation and slowing growth could prompt significant rate cuts. However, a resilient economy or supply shocks might keep rates higher, while a re-acceleration of inflation could force hikes.

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on September 30, 2027?

Above 7200
45% +8%
Between 6200 - 7200
40% -5%
Below 6200
15% -3%

22.8M volume

Continued corporate earnings growth and AI-driven productivity gains could propel markets. However, sustained inflation, higher rates, or geopolitical instability pose significant downside risks for equity valuations.

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QQI
Invesco Nasdaq International Innovators 100 ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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Northern Trust California Intermediate Tax-Exempt Bond ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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Northern Trust New York Intermediate Tax-Exempt Bond ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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VictoryShares Short-Duration Municipal ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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VictoryShares Municipal High Yield ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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Bamboo Insurance Services, Inc. NYSE • Sep 23, 2026
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State Street My2032 Municipal Bond ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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State Street My2032 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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State Street My2036 Corporate Bond ETF NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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Live Oak Acquisition Corp. VI Units NASDAQ • Sep 23, 2026
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Market News

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U.S. Stocks Drop as Treasury Yields Surge
U.S. Stocks Drop as Treasury Yields Surge Stocks fell as the 10-year Treasury yield jumped back over 5% to the highest level since 2007. via WSJ
Sep 23
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Reaches 19-Year High Amid Broad Bonds Selloff
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Reaches 19-Year High Amid Broad Bonds Selloff The 10-year benchmark, which has a broad impact on borrowing costs across the economy, rose as high as 5.14%, an intraday level last seen in July 2007. via WSJ
Sep 23
Record-breaking diesel prices look set to push grocery bills even higher — and Thanksgiving is getting closer
Record-breaking diesel prices look set to push grocery bills even higher — and Thanksgiving is getting closer Rising diesel prices have been a “silent killer” for Americans' wallets — but they could get louder soon, as prices for the fuel continue to shatter records. via Market Watch
Sep 23
Here's what happens to the economy when Treasury yields soar like they are now
Here's what happens to the economy when Treasury yields soar like they are now Treasury yields surged Wednesday, signaling potential broader impact on the U.S. economy, particularly for consumers. Rates along the curve hit highs not seen in years, with implications for longer- and shorter-term borrowing costs. via CNBC
Sep 23
It would take a double-digit 10-year yield to break this market | Market Hang
It would take a double-digit 10-year yield to break this market | Market Hang The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5% this week, its highest since 2007, and this panel disagrees about what that means. Talley Léger of The Wealth Consulting Group argues it would take a double-digit yield to break a market with earnings this strong, and that the bubble is in the bubble talk. via Yahoo Finance
Sep 23
Florida Railroad Brightline Plans Imminent Chapter 11 in New Jersey
Florida Railroad Brightline Plans Imminent Chapter 11 in New Jersey The Fortress Investment Group-backed railroad plans a bankruptcy filing after struggling under $5.5 billion of debt and slow ridership growth. via WSJ
Sep 23
AI Agents Fuel a New Cybersecurity Boom
AI Agents Fuel a New Cybersecurity Boom As AI shifts from technology that talks to technology that acts, Rosenblatt Securities Analyst Catharine Trebnick says securing autonomous agents is becoming a major new opportunity for cybersecurity companies. She discusses growing demand for products from CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks that track AI agents, identities and permissions, and explains why increasingly capable frontier models are more likely to strengthen established cybersecurity platforms. via Bloomberg Technology
Sep 23
Morgan Stanley's Jonas: Physical AI Could Multiply Global GDP
Morgan Stanley's Jonas: Physical AI Could Multiply Global GDP Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas says the convergence of AI and robotics could have a transformational impact on the global economy, potentially multiplying GDP as physical AI spreads across transportation, manufacturing and everyday life. He discusses why the robotics race is inseparable from rebuilding US manufacturing, where China holds an advantage across key supply chains, and how Tesla and SpaceX could play complementary roles in a future where billions of connected robots perform more AI inference at the edge. via Bloomberg Technology
Sep 23
Where Is the U.S. Beating China on A.I., and Where Is It Lagging?
Where Is the U.S. Beating China on A.I., and Where Is It Lagging? As Xi Jinping visits President Trump in Washington, his country lags behind the United States on A.I. development in key areas — but Beijing has advantages elsewhere. via NYTimes
Sep 23
Trump Downplayed AI Safety Concerns, but His Investment Portfolio Bought Cybersecurity Stocks
Trump Downplayed AI Safety Concerns, but His Investment Portfolio Bought Cybersecurity Stocks Trump's stock and bond portfolio is independently managed by third-party financial institutions. via Barrons
Sep 23
If the US Slows Down on AI, China Wins, Says Ives
If the US Slows Down on AI, China Wins, Says Ives Xi Jinping and Donald Trump will sit down this week to hash out a plethora of thorny issues from trade to Taiwan. One thing both sides agree on: neither can afford to tap the brakes on AI. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Sep 23

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