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Prediction Markets

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on December 31, 2026?

Above 6700
35% +7%
Between 6200 - 6700
40% -3%
Below 6200
25% -4%

15.2M volume

S&P 500 outlook hinges on sustained corporate earnings growth, favorable interest rate environment, and stable economic expansion throughout 2025-2026.

What will be the target range for the Federal Funds Rate after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

Below 2.75%
20% -5%
Between 2.75% - 3.50%
45% +8%
Above 3.50%
35% -3%

8.9M volume

The Fed's path will be dictated by inflation's persistence, the strength of the labor market, and overall economic growth trends over the next two years.

Popular Cryptocurrencies
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Bitcoin
BTCUSD · CRYPTO
$62,833.65
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ETHUSD · CRYPTO
$1,874.68
-0.34%
SOLUSD
Solana
SOLUSD · CRYPTO
$74.56
-0.95%
XRPUSD
XRP
XRPUSD · CRYPTO
$0.99
-0.92%

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Advasa Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
Expected ADBT
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Adamas Trust, Inc. 9.600% Senior Notes Due 2031 NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Virtus ETF Trust II NYSE • Aug 17, 2026
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Nuran Wireless Inc. Common Shares NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Cartesian Growth Corporation IV Warrants NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Virtus ETF Trust II NYSE • Aug 17, 2026
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Mercator Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Mercator Acquisition Corp. Warrant NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. Common Stock NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. Warrants NASDAQ • Aug 17, 2026
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Market News

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Stock Futures to Begin Trading Ahead of Retail Earnings
Stock Futures to Begin Trading Ahead of Retail Earnings The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the week down 0.6% on Friday, snapping a two-week winning streak. via Barrons
Aug 16
A historic shortage is squeezing an American dinner staple and relief could be years away
A historic shortage is squeezing an American dinner staple and relief could be years away Tyson Foods closes beef facilities as America's cattle herd hits a 75-year low, driven by persistent drought that forced ranchers to sell early. via Fox Business
Aug 16
Volatility Trends in NDX Options & Relationship to SPX
Volatility Trends in NDX Options & Relationship to SPX Always keep an eye on options even if you don't use them, says Kevin Davitt of @nasdaq. He turns to index data tied to straddles and volatility to help explain why bullish activity in options is vastly outweighing downside risks in the current market environment. via Schwab Network
Aug 16
Fed's Internal Rate Debate Faces New Scrutiny
Fed's Internal Rate Debate Faces New Scrutiny Minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting will offer a closer look at the debate that produced three dissents in favor of a quarter-point rate increase, an unusually visible split as policymakers contend with elevated inflation and mixed economic data. Joining Joe Mathieu and Carol Massar on Bloomberg This Weekend, BMO Capital Markets Senior Economist Jennifer Lee expects the Fed to remain patient, with the firm forecasting no rate move until late 2027, when it expects the central bank to begin cutting. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 16
Beef Prices Stay High as US Cattle Supply Shrinks
Beef Prices Stay High as US Cattle Supply Shrinks Tyson Foods is cutting beef-processing capacity as the US cattle herd nears a five-decade low driving up livestock costs and contributing to persistent losses in beef business. Bloomberg News Agriculture Reporter Ilena Peng is on Bloomberg This Weekend and explains to hosts Joe Mathieu and Carol Massar that consumers are also pushing back against record prices, but meaningful relief may take years as the herd rebuilds, while a planned resumption of some cattle imports from Mexico could provide limited near-term help. via Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Aug 16
Most Gulf bourses gain despite stalled Iran talks, Hormuz disruption
Most Gulf bourses gain despite stalled Iran talks, Hormuz disruption Most Gulf stock markets rose on Sunday despite ongoing regional uncertainty, with peace ​talks showing no signs of progress and oil ‌tanker traffic through the strategic Strait of Hormuz yet to fully resume. via Reuters
Aug 16
German companies cut US investment to three-year low, data show
German companies cut US investment to three-year low, data show German companies slashed investments in the United States to a three-year low in the first half of 2026, as Trump ​administration policies fed uncertainty between the transatlantic trading partners. via Reuters
Aug 16
Stock-Picking Funds Are Performing as Poorly as Ever
Stock-Picking Funds Are Performing as Poorly as Ever Just 13% of U.S. large-cap funds have outperformed indexes over the past decade, new data show. via WSJ
Aug 15

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