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Prediction Markets

What will be the upper bound of the Federal Funds Rate by the end of December 31, 2026?

Below 3.00%
25% +8%
Between 3.00% - 4.50%
50% -5%
Above 4.50%
25% -3%

15.8M volume

Persistent inflation or unexpected economic slowdowns will dictate the Fed's easing path. Labor market strength and global stability are key factors influencing rate decisions.

What will be the year-over-year US Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading for December 2026 (released January 2027)?

Below 2.0%
30% -4%
Between 2.0% - 2.5%
45% +6%
Above 2.5%
25% -2%

10.2M volume

Global supply chain stability, energy prices, and wage growth are critical drivers. Geopolitical events and fiscal policies could also impact inflation trends significantly.

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Conexeu Sciences Inc. NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Octave Intelligence plc NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Oceanhawk Acquisition Corp NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Goldman Sachs Data Enhanced International Equity ETF NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. 8% Series A Preferred Stock NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Sophus Capital Emerging Market Small Cap ETF NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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FortuneX Acquisition Corp NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Aperture AC NASDAQ • May 21, 2026
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Burtech Acquisition Corp. NASDAQ • May 22, 2026
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Peace Acquisition Corp Units NASDAQ • May 22, 2026
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Market News

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Russia's NORSI refinery partially shut after drone attack, sources say
Russia's NORSI refinery partially shut after drone attack, sources say NORSI, Russia's fourth-largest oil refinery, has shut its main primary CDU-6 unit after ​a Ukrainian drone attack on Wednesday, two ‌industry sources with direct knowledge of the situation told Reuters on Thursday. via Reuters
May 21
Some Fed officials and staff are fretting about state of financial markets
Some Fed officials and staff are fretting about state of financial markets When Kevin Warsh takes command of the Federal Reserve, he will do so as some central bank officials and staff have become increasingly anxious ​about the state of the financial markets and the risk that presents to the economy. via Reuters
May 21
Questions Surrounding Warsh-Led Fed & Inflation's Yield Impacts
Questions Surrounding Warsh-Led Fed & Inflation's Yield Impacts There's a lot of questions surrounding what a Kevin Warsh-led Fed will ultimately turn into. @CharlesSchwab's Cooper Howard talks about how a challenging macroeconomic environment dominated by inflation discussions add to uncertainty surrounding the outlook. via Schwab Network
May 21
Blame AI for the Strange Death of Dividends
Blame AI for the Strange Death of Dividends Tech stock bulls have driven up the shares of companies that don't pay dividends and are preparing to welcome more in the IPOs of SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic. via WSJ
May 21
US Fed officials propose prolonging dollar swap lines to underpin stability
US Fed officials propose prolonging dollar swap lines to underpin stability Some U.S. Federal Reserve officials proposed extending a critical, international supply line of U.S. dollars to underpin financial stability, according to an account of ​their recent meeting. via Reuters
May 21
U.S. economy is showing the strain from Iran war as nearly 3-month conflict drags on
U.S. economy is showing the strain from Iran war as nearly 3-month conflict drags on The U.S. economy is showing the strain of the nearly three-month old conflict with Iran, new S&P surveys showed. Another flareup in inflation has raised business costs and pared customer demand. via Market Watch
May 21
S&P500: US Indices Drop as Oil Rebound Shakes Stock Market Forecast
S&P500: US Indices Drop as Oil Rebound Shakes Stock Market Forecast S&P 500 slips as Iran-driven oil bounce and rising Treasury yields pressure US stocks while Nvidia earnings fail to spark a tech rally. via FXEmpire
May 21
Trump Plans to Sign Executive Order Granting Oversight of A.I. Models
Trump Plans to Sign Executive Order Granting Oversight of A.I. Models The executive order, which would signal a shift from the hands-off approach the White House previously took, follows debates over how to gain control over A.I. models without disrupting innovation. via NYTimes
May 21
GOP lawmaker unveils bill to codify a strategic bitcoin reserve
GOP lawmaker unveils bill to codify a strategic bitcoin reserve Rep. Nick Begich unveils the American Reserve Modernization Act to establish a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve within the Treasury Department with bipartisan support. via Fox Business
May 21

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