Wolfe Research on Tesla's Upcoming Q3 Deliveries

• The consensus price target for Tesla's stock has fluctuated, with a recent average target of $322.50, down from $399.29 three months ago.
• Analyst Colin Langan from Wells Fargo has set an optimistic price target of $960 for Tesla, focusing on the company's potential in robotaxis and affordable models.
• Tesla faces challenges such as competition, a shortage of new models, and geopolitical tensions affecting its energy storage business, leading to a "Hold" rating from Langan.

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is a major player in the electric vehicle (EV) and renewable energy sectors. The company operates through two main segments: Automotive, which includes the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, and Energy Generation and Storage, focusing on solar energy products and energy storage solutions. Tesla is recognized for its direct sales model and extensive Supercharger network.

The consensus price target for Tesla's stock has seen notable changes over the past year. Last month, the average target was $322.50, reflecting analysts' expectations based on recent performance. However, three months ago, the target was higher at $399.29, indicating more optimism possibly due to anticipated product launches or favorable market trends.

Despite these fluctuations, Tesla's long-term prospects remain a point of interest. Analyst Colin Langan from Wells Fargo has set a price target of $960 for Tesla, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's future performance. This target reflects expectations for Tesla's advancements in robotaxis and more affordable models, as highlighted by recent discussions on Market Domination Overtime.

Tesla is facing challenges such as heightened competition and a shortage of new models. The company is expected to report its largest decline in quarterly revenue in over ten years. Despite these challenges, investors are keenly observing Tesla's future, particularly its AI strategy and Robotaxi initiatives, as noted by Doug Clinton from Intelligent Alpha.

Tesla's energy storage business is also under scrutiny due to geopolitical tensions and potential tariff impacts. These factors, along with domestic challenges like high interest rates, contribute to a cautious outlook. Analyst Colin Langan has downgraded Tesla to a "Hold" rating, citing recent poor performance and a risky short-term outlook.

• Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) receives a price target of $355 from Cantor Fitzgerald, suggesting a potential upside.
• Deutsche Bank maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $345, highlighting optimism for Tesla's low-cost electric vehicles.
• Tesla's stock shows positive momentum ahead of its Q2 2025 earnings report, with an expected EPS of $0.40 on $22.42 billion in revenue.

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA), a leading electric vehicle manufacturer known for its innovative approach to sustainable energy, is under the spotlight as recent analyst ratings spark interest in its future performance. The company, led by CEO Elon Musk, is not only focused on electric cars but is also exploring new ventures like the robotaxi sector, making it a key player in the sustainable energy market.

On July 21, 2025, Andres Sheppard from Cantor Fitzgerald set a price target of $355 for Tesla, which was trading at $329.22 at the time. This target suggests a potential upside of approximately 7.83%. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu reaffirmed a Buy rating with a slightly lower price target of $345. Yu's optimism is driven by Tesla's upcoming low-cost electric vehicles, including the anticipated "Model Q" launch in Q4 2025.

Tesla's stock has shown positive momentum, closing the last market session at $329.65, a rise of over 3%. In pre-market trading, it continued to climb, reaching $334, a 1.41% increase. This upward trend reflects investor confidence ahead of Tesla's Q2 2025 earnings report, scheduled for July 23. Analysts expect an EPS of $0.40 on $22.42 billion in revenue, while Yu projects slightly lower revenue at $22.2 billion.

Tesla's Q2 earnings report is highly anticipated, especially given the company's tumultuous quarter. The report is expected to provide insights into Tesla's financial performance and strategic direction. The options market suggests a potential earnings move of approximately 7.4%, highlighting the significance of this release in shaping investor sentiment.

Despite being ranked as a #4 (Sell) stock by Zacks Investment Research, Tesla remains a focal point for investors. The company's market capitalization is approximately $1.06 trillion, with a trading volume of 20.91 million shares. As Tesla navigates its expansion into new ventures, its stock performance and strategic decisions will continue to be closely monitored by the market.

William Blair downgraded Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) to Market Perform from Outperform, warning that a combination of policy changes and declining regulatory credits pose significant risks to both demand and profitability. The company’s shares fell over 7% intra-day today.

The analysts noted that while the removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit under the “Big Beautiful Bill” was anticipated and already a concern for Tesla’s demand outlook, the unexpected elimination of corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) fines creates an additional and more direct threat to Tesla’s bottom line. The firm estimates over $2 billion in annual profits tied to regulatory credit sales could now be at risk.

Unlike the tax credit, which affects consumer demand, the loss of regulatory credit revenue is expected to translate directly into lower profitability, forcing analysts across the Street to reset earnings models. William Blair believes these combined headwinds will weigh heavily on Tesla shares, prompting the downgrade to Market Perform as the stock’s risk/reward profile deteriorates.

JPMorgan reiterated its Underweight rating and $115 price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), citing signs of continued weak demand and forecasting a sharper year-over-year decline in Q2 deliveries than previously expected.

The firm now estimates Tesla will deliver just 360,000 vehicles in the second quarter, down 19% year-over-year compared to 444,000 deliveries a year ago and representing an 8% shortfall versus consensus of 392,000. JPMorgan’s new forecast is also 6.5% below Tesla’s own compiled consensus of 385,000.

The updated view reflects analysis of May sales trends in key markets with reliable data—such as Europe—alongside third-party estimates for other regions like the U.S., plus insurance registration data for China through late June. JPMorgan’s revised Q2 delivery forecast represents a 9% cut from its prior estimate of 395,000 made in April.

The lowered expectations underscore JPMorgan’s concerns about persistent demand softness for Tesla vehicles, which it believes could weigh further on volumes and financial performance, reinforcing its cautious stance on the stock.

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is a leading electric vehicle manufacturer known for its innovative approach to sustainable energy and transportation. Recently, Tesla launched its robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, on June 22, 2025. However, this launch has been marred by reports of erratic driving behavior by the robotaxis, leading to an investigation by the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). This has raised concerns among investors about potential securities fraud or other unlawful business practices, prompting Pomerantz LLP to investigate on behalf of Tesla investors.

The investigation by Pomerantz LLP, a firm renowned for its expertise in corporate, securities, and antitrust class litigation, comes at a critical time for Tesla. The firm's history of securing multimillion-dollar damages awards for class members in similar cases underscores the seriousness of the situation. The NHTSA's involvement, triggered by online videos showing Tesla robotaxis violating traffic laws, has already impacted Tesla's stock price negatively, causing a sharp decline and affecting investor confidence.

Despite these challenges, Benchmark has updated its rating for Tesla to a "Buy" recommendation as of June 26, 2025. At the time of this announcement, Tesla's stock was priced at $327.55. Benchmark also raised Tesla's price target from $350 to $475, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance. This suggests that some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects despite the current investigation.

Currently, Tesla's stock is trading at $323.79 on the NASDAQ, reflecting a decrease of approximately 0.61% with a price drop of $1.99. The stock has seen fluctuations during the trading day, reaching a low of $317.50 and a high of $329.34. Over the past year, Tesla's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a low of $182 and a high of $488.54. The company's market capitalization is approximately $1.04 trillion, highlighting its substantial presence in the market.

Today's trading volume for Tesla is 89.07 million shares, indicating active investor interest despite the ongoing investigation. The situation with the robotaxi service and the NHTSA's involvement will likely continue to influence Tesla's stock performance in the near term. Investors and analysts will be closely monitoring developments in the investigation and any potential impact on Tesla's business practices and financial health.

• UBS maintains a "Sell" rating for Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) despite its innovative approach in the electric vehicle and autonomous driving sectors.
• Tesla faces significant competition and technical challenges in the autonomous vehicle market, impacting investor confidence and stock value.
• The launch of Tesla's driverless robotaxi service in Austin marks a crucial step towards full autonomy, positively influencing its stock price.

On June 24, 2025, UBS maintained its "Sell" grade for Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), with the stock priced at $340.47. Tesla, a leader in electric vehicles and renewable energy, is known for its innovative approach to autonomous driving technology. Despite its advancements, Tesla faces competition from companies like Google's Waymo in the autonomous vehicle market.

Tesla's stock has recently experienced a decline, reversing gains from its advancements in the robotaxi sector. A technical issue has emerged, affecting investor confidence and leading to a decrease in share value. This setback highlights the challenges Tesla faces in developing and deploying its autonomous vehicle technology, impacting its stock performance.

Despite the recent decline, Tesla's stock surged by 10% following the launch of its driverless robotaxi service in Austin, Texas. This development is a significant step towards achieving full autonomy in its vehicles. The initial rollout includes 10 to 20 autonomously operating Model Y vehicles, with plans for rapid expansion. This launch is crucial for Tesla's strategic push towards autonomous driving, as highlighted by Wedbush analyst Dan Ives.

Tesla's stock price increased significantly after the announcement of its self-driving robotaxi in Austin, marking the first public test of its advanced technology. The news propelled the stock up by 8%, aiding its recovery from a substantial sell-off earlier in the year. The stock reached $357, a notable rise from its March low of $222, with a market capitalization of $1.3 trillion.

The success of Tesla's robotaxi experiment is vital for the company's future, as it seeks to prove its AI-driven self-driving technology is superior to competitors like Google's Waymo. Tesla aims to advance beyond its current Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system, striving to establish a leading position in the autonomous vehicle market.

UBS lifted its price target on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) to $215 from $190 while reiterating a Sell rating, pointing to growing investor excitement around the company's autonomous ride-hailing ambitions—but cautioning that much of the upside is already reflected in the stock.

Tesla's recent launch of a robotaxi service in Austin has intensified focus on its long-term potential in self-driving mobility. UBS estimates that if everything aligns—technology, regulatory approval, and large-scale network deployment—the opportunity could translate into a 2.3 million vehicle fleet by 2040 generating roughly $200 billion in annual revenue.

The firm modeled this robotaxi scenario and values the segment at around $99 per share. However, even when incorporating that into a broader sum-of-the-parts analysis, UBS remains skeptical of Tesla’s current valuation. The firm argues that the market has already priced in much of the anticipated growth from autonomy and other future technologies like humanoid robots.

While acknowledging Tesla’s strong positioning, UBS maintains a cautious stance, viewing the stock as fully valued relative to its underlying fundamentals and execution risk.