Chegg, Inc. (CHGG) on Q3 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Operator: Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Chegg, Inc. Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tracey Ford, VP of Investor Relations and ESG. Please, go ahead. Tracey Ford: Good afternoon. Thank you for joining Chegg's third quarter 2022 conference call. On today's call are Dan Rosensweig, Co-Chairperson and CEO; and Andy Brown, Chief Financial Officer. A copy of our earnings press release, along with our investor presentation, is available on our Investor Relations website, investor.chegg.com. A replay of this call will also be available on our website. We routinely post information on our website and intend to make important announcements on our media center website at chegg.com/mediacenter. We encourage you to make use of these resources. Before we begin, I would like to point out that during the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements regarding future events, including the future financial and operating performance of the company. These forward-looking statements are subject to material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. We caution you to consider the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. In particular, we refer you to the cautionary language included in today's earnings release and the risk factors described in Chegg's annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 22, 2022, as well as our other filings with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements that we make today are based on assumptions that we believe to be reasonable as of this date. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Our GAAP results and GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations can be found in our earnings press release on the investor slide deck found on our IR website, investor.chegg.com. We also recommend you review the investor data sheet, which is also posted in our IR website. Now, I will turn the call over to Dan. Dan Rosensweig: Thank you, Tracy, and welcome everyone to our Q3 2022 earnings call. Chegg had a strong third quarter, exceeding both our top and bottom line expectations, with Chegg Services revenue growing 8% year-over-year, reaching 4.8 million subscribers. Our results reflect excellent execution and show the inherent profitability of our model, while continuing to invest in future growth. We regularly monitor the trends in education. And as has been reported, US undergraduate enrollment has stabilized and return to pre-pandemic norms. What has changed is that students are increasingly going to schools offering online and hybrid classes, which are now offered by over half of the US higher education institutions. In addition, 59% of US students are now majoring in STEM & Business, with more than 80% taking STEM-B courses. Our data also suggests, students are spreading their course load over the full year. We believe these trends are all positive for Chegg. We continue to make investments to increase the value of Chegg's offerings, both to our existing students, as well as expand the opportunity to reach new learners. In addition to providing academic support, we are also adding nonacademic services and job skills preparation, which we believe will expand our TAM, increase retention, increase ARPU and better serve students. We believe this is a major opportunity, which is why we recently announced the promotion of Nathan Schultz to Chief Operating Officer. Nathan is now responsible for all of our direct-to-student offerings. For those who don't know Nathan, he has been at Chegg for 15 years and has held almost every senior role of the company. Most recently, he and his team built our Learning Services group, launched the Chegg Study Pack and led the integration of Writing and Mathway. This promotion is well deserved, a long time in coming and organizes the company around future growth. Congratulations, Nathan. This school year, we increased the price of our base product Chegg Study by $1 in the US As expected, we saw a minimal impact on conversion and retention and a positive impact on the take rate for the Chegg Study Pack. Chegg Study and Chegg Study Pack are now renewing at similar rates, and we see the highest satisfaction scores from students using the Chegg Study Pack. Our strategy continues to be to increase our TAM as well as the percentage of students who subscribe to the Chegg Study Pack. This increases our ARPU and profitability and most importantly, serves the students better. As we add more value, we expect to add more students, which is why we continue to invest in more forms of content, subjects and personalization. As an example, our investment in Uversity, which was recently made available to students, is performing well, allowing us to better target the exact learning content students want. In addition to Uversity, our plan is to expand value by adding nonacademic services and job skills preparation in the future. So today, we are pleased to announce our partnership with Calm, the number one platform for mental fitness and well-being and the most preferred wellness brand for college users. Every Chegg Study Pack subscriber globally will now receive Calm Premium for free, which is a $70 annual value. The mental health challenge facing college students is huge. It's real and it's affecting their lives today. With over half the US students reporting that mental health is impacting their studies and nearly one-third of students worldwide reporting their mental health has worsened since returning to campus. We hope this partnership provides some of the support they need. Internationally, we are prioritizing market share growth by delivering compelling value propositions for students in their countries, increasing our subscriber base through local pricing, content and user experience. These efforts are focused on expanding our reach in major markets, including Turkey, where we recently launched a fully localized app and have seen a significant increase in downloads, activation and engagement. We also just launched our Spanish language app in beta, and we believe this will be a major opportunity for us going forward. Students' needs continue to evolve, including the growth in demand for language learning. We are expanding the US footprint of Busuu and have just launched an ad-supported freemium model. With over half of US students reporting wanting to learn another language, we see a tremendous opportunity for US growth. Busuu is also now a key part of our growing partnership with Guild. Thanks to the early success of our partnership and our strong outcomes, we are pleased to announce that we are adding Busuu's language learning into Guild marketplace in early 2023. Our partnership with Guild continues to yield excellent results. And as they grow their customer base among large employers, we are seeing increased adoption of our courses, as well as a very strong learner completion rate, which is how we are measured for quality and value. We want to thank Guild and look forward to continuing to expand our partnership. The great work we have accomplished would not be possible without our amazing employees. Their tireless work to put students first has once again resulted in recognition for our teams. This quarter, we are proud to win comparably awards for our benefits and perks and compensation, work-life balance, and perhaps most important, happiest employees as well as being recognized as the Fortune Best Workplaces for Women, and for Technology. Also, Chegg employees recently participated in our First Global Day of Impact where we furthered our commitment to put student success and health first. Together, Chegg volunteers supported 13 global organizations supporting education, hunger, mental health and more. Our teams have helped almost 5,000 students and I couldn't be prouder. And with that, I'll turn it over to Andy. Andy Brown: Thanks Dan and good afternoon, everyone. Q3 was another good quarter for Chegg with revenue and adjusted EBITDA coming in above the high end of our expected ranges as the momentum we saw in Q2 carried into Q3. During the quarter, we also made a significant capital allocation to reduce our outstanding debt at a material discount to par. With that backdrop, let me walk you through the Q3 results. For Q3, total revenue was $165 million. This was driven by Chegg Services revenue growth of 8% year-over-year to $159 million as subscribers grew 9% and to $4.8 million for the quarter. Gross margin continued to be strong and came in above the high end of our expectations at 73%, demonstrating continued leverage in our model. We are also seeing increased leverage in our operating expenses, all while continuing to make significant investments for future growth opportunities. This, combined with the gross margin improvement, resulted in a large adjusted EBITDA beat for the quarter, increasing our expected profitability for the year. Before moving on to the balance sheet, some of you may have noticed that our Q3 GAAP net income of $252 million, exceeded our net revenue of $165 million. Let me explain. There were two discrete items that contribute to this. First, during the quarter, we opportunistically repurchased $500 million of our outstanding 2026 notes for $400 million. These notes were trading at a significant discount to par and thus, provided a risk-free return to our shareholders. This resulted in a net gain after certain costs of $94 million and was recorded in the other income line on the income statement. The second item was the release of the vast majority of our valuation allowance against our deferred tax assets of $175 million, which was recorded in the benefit from income taxes line on the income statement. In simple terms, this release was taken because we have shown a consistent track record of GAAP profitability and we expect to remain profitable for the seeable future. As such, we now expect to be able to recognize the full benefits of these deferred tax assets. Now, looking at the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $1.2 billion of cash and investments. As mentioned earlier, during the quarter, we used $400 million to retire $500 million of our outstanding debt. We also repurchased 1.1 million shares of our common stock at an average price of $20.10. We believe these actions increase shareholder value and where possible, given the strength of our balance sheet and an operating model that generates significant cash flows. Moving on to guidance. With a solid Q3 behind us and the fall semester now in full swing, we have a better understanding of what to expect for the remainder of the year. As a result, we are significantly narrowing the ranges and increasing the midpoints for the year. We are also monitoring global macroeconomic trends around inflation and a possible recession for the potential impact it could have on our business as we enter 2023. For full year 2022, we now expect total revenue to be between $762 million and $765 million, with Chegg Services revenue between $730 million and $733 million, gross margin between 73% and 74% and adjusted EBITDA between $252 million and $255 million or 33% adjusted EBITDA margin and an increase of approximately 280 basis points from our prior guidance. We also expect free cash flow to be at the higher end of our expected range of 50% to 60% of adjusted EBITDA. This results in Q4 guidance of total revenue to be between $200 million and $203 million, with Chegg Services revenue between $197 million and $200 million, gross margin between 74% and 76% and adjusted EBITDA between $71 million and $74 million or 36% margin. In closing, the Chegg team continues to operate at a high level, and we have a balance sheet and an operating model that is second to none. This allows us to invest in the current business as well as new opportunities, such as international expansion and skills to deliver increased profits and cash flows. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for your questions. Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Our first question comes from Stephen Sheldon of William Blair. Please go ahead. Stephen Sheldon: Hey, Thank you. I guess just on the subscriber trends. I'm curious what trajectory you saw in subscribers coming out of the summer months and then over in the last few months? And did that look any different as you look at the US market versus some of your international markets? Dan Rosensweig: Yes, this is Dan. I think we saw what we expected were more on the high end of the range of what we expected. As we said in the summer, we saw a surge in summer school, students starting to make things up. And I think we reported then that 85% of them said that they had an expectation to continue into the fall. And we saw that, and we captured a lot of that, and we're really proud of the execution that we've done. I would say that international because of inflation and other phase is a little less consistent. The US market was actually stronger. And we're very happy with that stronger in subscriptions and stronger in the percentage of take rate for the bundle. And for renewals, both international and US are doing really well for both the bundle and for renewals. So I would say that what we saw was the stronger end of what we were hoping to see. Stephen Sheldon: Thank you. Nice results. Dan Rosensweig: Thank you. Operator: Our next question comes from Doug Anmuth of JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Bryan Smilek: It's Bryan Smilek on for Doug. Thanks for taking my question. Just to start, can you dig a bit deeper into your commentary around overall back-to-school trends versus pre-pandemic levels? And then just how course load intensity is trending as well? And then just sticking with the macro to how are students at public 2-year colleges responding to the current environment, given they represent a meaningful amount of your sub-base? Thanks. Dan Rosensweig : Yes. Here's what we saw. You asked a lot of questions there. What we saw was a stronger incoming freshmen class and a return of the previous freshman class. What we haven't seen yet, but I expect that we will at some point is the return of the 1.5 million people that left to go into the workforce. In terms of the workload intensity, we are seeing, as I think our commentary says, we are seeing more students in the semester, they are engaged very highly throughout the semester earlier in the semester, which is why I think we picked up so many subs early in Q3. They're just taking fewer classes and we think that is a result of the commentary that we said in Q2, which is we think a large portion of students now, particularly state school students, the larger state schools are considering college 12-month a year versus two semesters and the summer off, that's good for us because that's part of the reason we believe we're seeing increased renewal intensity. So, from that perspective, the trends that we're seeing are what we saw and we're benefiting from that. Operator: Our next question comes from Mike Grondahl of Northland Securities. Please go ahead. Mike Grondahl: Hey guys, congrats on the progress. And I guess I was just looking for a little bit of insight into the dollar price increase for new subscribers, I think you launched in July. And you gave some color how that went on your June call and it was going to be rolled out to existing subscribers in October. Just kind of curious how â what you saw and did it truly push more people to the bundle? Dan Rosensweig: Yes, everything that we were hoping to see we saw. So we didn't see a reduction in conversion when we rolled out the price increase to new subscribers. We saw literally insignificant amounts of non-renewals when we rolled out the increase to the base, and we saw a multi-point increase in people taking the bundle. So, everything that the test suggested we would see, we've seen it now at scale and that's really good news. And that's, again, reasons why we're seeing, as Andy pointed out in his prepared remarks, just the leverage in our model. I think as our revenue grows, our profitability is growing much more significantly and we're generating a lot more cash. So those things are what we expected to see from the price increase and the increased take rate and improvement in renewals. So those were all really good results of the choices we make. Mike Grondahl: Got it. Thank you. Operator: Our next question comes from Ryan MacDonald of Needham. Please go ahead. Ryan MacDonald: Hi, thanks for taking my question and congrats on a nice quarter. Dan, I'm curious, as we think about the continued expansion internationally, you talked about in the prepared remarks your launch of the fully localized app in Turkey. Can you give us a sense of what sort of the pipeline in terms of localization looks like? And potentially what sort of impact we might see on ARPU as these fully localized apps continue to be rolled out and the potential there that this could be offset by in terms of subscriber adoption? Thanks. Dan Rosensweig: Yes. I think you're not going to see a noticeable impact on ARPU, given just how big the US is and for a while. I think what you'll see, if we're successful, is what we're seeing in Turkey, which is, an increase in downloads, an increase in engagement and increase in conversions and an increase in retention, which are literally a home run. That's what we were hoping to see. The next one we just rolled out, which is Spanish language, as we said we would. We rolled it out in Mexico. We have no results to report on there. And we talked a while back about six regions -- six countries where we're focused on, and that's where we'll be doing all of our efforts. And just to remind people, what this allows for is, for students to use this in English, use this in their local language, ask a question in English, ask a question in the local language, get a response in English, get a response in their local language. And all of those things increase conversion and retention, which is an increase in profitability. So, I think, more than a potential impact in the short term on ARPU, you'll see a continued increase in profitability, which is great, because every one of these is incremental profit. So that's all good news for us. Operator: Our next question comes from Jeff Gilbert of BMO Capital Markets. Please, go ahead. Unidentified Analyst: Hi. This is Ryan on for Jeff. I was just wondering how did traffic trend throughout the quarter? Was the lift in September and now October in line with expectations as kids went back to school? Dan Rosensweig: Yes. We -- part of what we said at the very beginning of this year is, what Andy has articulated is, we wanted to get back to when we had 19 straight quarters of making and then improving our guidance, which is subscription models are supposed to be consistent and more predictable. That's basically what we've seen and been able to predict since April. So we're very, very, very happy about that. Where we're seeing changes is just good changes. We're seeing an increase in take rate, we're seeing constant improvement in retention and the funnels have remained strong. And no one's asked yet, but I think the bundles are going to be a massive opportunity for us to increase conversion and retention and ARPU, because the more value we put in the bundle for the same price and the more we're able to create value beyond just the academic year, the better it is for our business. So the amounts of comp today is pretty significant and the first of what we believe to be more brands that students are familiar with and want to come through Chegg. And there's no lack of interest from big name partners. So we're very excited about that. Unidentified Analyst: Thanks, Dan. Dan Rosensweig: Yes. Operator: Our next question comes from Brent Thill of Jefferies. Please, go ahead. Brent Thill: Good afternoon, Dan. On the career onboarding piece, I think you're alluding to more things to come here. Can you just walk through strategically what you're going to be doing here and maybe a transition to Andy on that? I know you get tired of me asking this question, but when you think about a 36% operating margin guide, versus skills and the clear onboarding international, all these things you want to do. Have you given yourself enough runway to give -- to put these in and make sure you're full throttle into these new endeavors? Thanks. Dan Rosensweig: I'll let Andy answer that very good question, but my answer is yes, of course. I mean, if you look -- it's just we have a great model, Brent. What can I say? It really does generate this level of profitability and cash flow, and it gives us the freedom to continue to invest, which is why you're seeing the success of what we're seeing. But Andy can go a little bit more into detail on that. The strategy is pretty exciting, which is we started off with textbooks to lower the price of college and reduce the pain and we did that. And then we built a very big brand, which had allowed us to build, we believe the premier homework help tutoring for the masses to allow anybody, particularly the people who historically have not -- who have been underserved other institutions or their families or economically or structurally to be able to get unstuck and continue on with their studies. And that is what Chegg Study became. And then Chegg Study Pack was a recognition that there's a set of students that their majors require them to have even more things, and we could provide overwhelming value for them. We recognize that, that is just part of what students need while they're on campus. So first, they absolutely need nonacademic support because there's almost none on college campuses. And as we said in our prepared remarks, you're seeing a real bifurcation of where students go. They're going to very large schools now that they can't get into the Ivy League. So you're going to see a surge in the four-year giant state schools that have football teams, frankly. And you're seeing a surge in HPC use for underserved communities, because finally the government has chosen to invest in them, which we think is a good thing. And you're seeing a surge in online not-for-profit schools. And so those are areas where Chegg should thrive, but you're also seeing them go to places where they have no support, no support in mental health, no support in financial literacy. And other areas of services that they want bundled into Chegg. So we think by doing that, we'll attract the 10 million students that we don't currently have in the US. On top of that, we'll keep the students that we have longer and they'll see the value and we'll continue to be able to price accordingly. The skill side breaks into three areas; it breaks into the direct marketplace, which was the original take pool, which at the moment has been served by corporate marketplace. Corporations are paying for it as a benefit, which is why our relationship with Guild is really excellent. They're the largest provider of education opportunities as well now through us for skills in the frontline workers. So Walmart, Chipotle, big companies like that, where they're really taking advantage of our skills, and that very well has a chance to be a really large business, and very profitable where others are not profitable because they have giant sales forces. We don't have to, Guild does that for us. So we think this is a big differentiator and a big opportunity for us. And although it just started this year, we're seeing the benefits of it already. And then the third area, which goes with the bundles and part of the reason that we've organized around this through Nathan is we believe that providing academic support, support for the rest of your life, like things like Calm, as well as employable skill support. Can I learn to use Adobe? Can I learn to use Office 360? Can I learn to you Salesforce? Things that are easier to learn that are lower price that we can build one time and they're like software. So their margins will be extraordinarily high that we can either sell directly to the student at a very low price and/or bundle it in, which we believe will get a higher conversion and a higher retention rate. So it's -- we believe it's a really big growth strategy, and we're super excited about it. As for are we investing enough? I will turn that back over to Andy. Andy Brown: Yes. I mean, Dan nailed it up front, Brent. And we absolutely have the right amount of resource go against the opportunities ahead of -- now and ahead of us. I think one of the things that we have done for many years, even you've been with us for quite some time, even back when we were struggling to break even on an EBITDA line, we always said to ourselves, we're going to make sure we have enough resources, behind the arrow whatever we're going to do. And we're now at a point where we can focus on multiple things. And you've seen many of the investments that we've made that are literally being tens of millions of dollars. I'll just point out one for this year, we -- Dan talked earlier about Uversity, that literally is an investment of tens of dollars. So we feel like we're in a very unique position. As we continue to scale, we get more profitable. As we continue to scale, we drive more cash. As we continue to scale, we can invest more, and we are. And so we're investing in many things that I can't talk about today, but we'll reveal themselves over the next six, 12, 18 months that we believe future growth opportunities for us. So no, we're not underinvested. We're very well invested, and we continue to invest for future growth. Dan Rosensweig: And by the way, we're not unhappy that we're profitable on every line, including GAAP. I mean, you don't often see software companies do that. And I think they could, and I think they should, because we've shown that you can do it and grow and make the proper amount of investments. Operator: Our next question comes from Jason Celino of KeyBanc. Please go ahead. Jason Celino: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. This is kind of feeding off of the last question. But over the last couple of years, Chegg's R&D teams have been very busy. You saw the completion of the piracy enforcement measures. We saw Uversity, Honor Shield, integration of Busuu, upgrading the UI, the more personal experiences, big improvements to international localization. So when we think about the pace of R&D priorities over the next 12 to 24 months, would you say that these -- the R&D innovation will continue at the same pace? Interested to hear your answer to that. Thanks. Dan Rosensweig: Well, first of all, I want you to speak at Uversity , because that was wonderful. Jason Celino: Exactly. Dan Rosensweig: Thank you. Yes, look, we -- my old boss, Terry someone used to say, don't tell anybody what you're going to do until after you've done it, right? And so we are constantly investing with the North Star, which is how do we create more value for the students. How do we ease their burden, how do we solve their biggest problems, how do we create leverage for them and therefore, create leverage for us. And so the things that you articulated, all of them reduce friction in the system. And so for us, we always -- so for example, we're investing in Q&A is now structured Q&A., where every question, no matter what format it comes in, gets structured so that it's easier to discover. By the way, that reduces our CapEx because we end up doing fewer duplicate questions because it's all in a structured format. So we do a lot of things on the infrastructure standpoint to reduce friction in the process and make us more profitable. But in terms of the things that we're investing in Skills, we are absolutely investing and we're investing in building relationships directly with companies, as well as through Guild. For example, we also just extended the relationship that we said with Busuu inside of Guild and we think that's an opportunity for extended growth. We haven't really talked on this call about Busuu 3.0, which is the freemium model in the United States because you don't have very many customers in the United States, but you know what we have, we which the largest for each to college students of who believe and trust our brand and we know that 1 out of every two wants or needs to learn a language. So we think we have opportunities to invest in language. We talked about the investment in Skills. So we don't do more than we can handle, but we do the things. We have a roadmap, a multiyear roadmap with opportunities that we think will expand our TAM and continue to increase our ARPU and then continue to increase the relevance and the value of what we offer to a larger group of people, both domestically and internationally. I mean you didn't mention what we've already done in Turkey and what we've done in Mexico. We have an extraordinarily talented product engineering design team. And they have a multiyear roadmap, and we're sticking to it because at least at the moment, it seems to be working. But thank you for recognizing that. Jason Celino: Okay. Thank you. Operator: Our next question comes from Josh Baer of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Matt Wilson: Hi. It's Matt Wilson on for Josh Baer. Thank you for taking our question and congrats on a nice quarter. Maybe building on the last two questions. Annual guidance is calling for a 200 basis point increase in margin expansions in EBITDA margin, which is kind of in line with what you've done over the last few years. Can you talk about how much more room there is on the margin front and what leverage you have to pull beyond 2022 going into like 2023 and beyond? Andy Brown: Well, I mean, I think â if you take a look at our history over the last, 2, 3, 4, 5 years, as we continue to scale, the business just inherently gets more profit, right? And particularly in the short term -- short time frame, right? Because when you think about it from a cost structure standpoint, much of the content is reusable. So, it's not like we have to keep adding gobs and gobs of new content. We do have a CapEx budget, but it's reusable in whether or not we have 10 subscribers or 10,000 subscribers. making use the same content. So, we do believe that our margins will continue to expand. I don't even think about it personally at what a steady state is. We're not at steady state. We're still growing. We expect to grow and we expect to expand margins for the foreseeable future. Matt Wilson: Awesome. Thank you. Operator: Our next question comes from Alex Fuhrman of Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead. Alex Fuhrman: Hey guys. Thanks for taking my question and congratulations on a strong start to the school year here. I wanted to ask about your sales and marketing expense. If we go back over the last 5 or 10 years, it seems like the third quarter when you're gearing up for the beginning of the small semester is often one of your highest marketing expense quarters of the year. And so far in '22, it looks like actually a pretty significant reduction in your marketing expense relative to what we saw in the first half of the year. Is that perhaps the beginning of a trend here? I'm wondering if maybe as you add more products to the bundle if you start to maybe get some leverage off of your marketing, and we maybe should see some more improvement there? Just curious how you're thinking about marketing expense as you continue to grow the business and add more to your product offering? Dan Rosensweig: Yeah. Really great question. It gives me a chance to clarify something. A lot of that is the fact that we no longer own textbooks. So this was the quarter in which we spend a lot of money marketing textbooks. But now that we don't own them and they're an insignificant part of our business, although we still do millions of them. But the deals that the team cut are really great for our shareholders for exactly the reason you pointed out. So majority of the marketing expense in this quarter always went to textbooks not to Chegg Study or to Chegg Study Pack or those other things. So yes, this is more of a steady state of what you can expect to see. And we are seeing improvements in the top of the funnel. We are a great SEO company. Those 100-plus million questions that we have all get SEO. That's part of the great flywheel that we've built that content is owned by us. And, therefore, it is unique and it gets indexed by Google, and it gets indexed globally. And as we make it more local language, we'll see improvements in countries around the world. So that is our best form of marketing. And again, without the textbooks, you'll see this looking more like the steady state. And our efforts will be on improving the funnel, I mean, improving inside the funnel, which we think the bundles will hopefully have a significant impact because every point improvement in conversion is quite substantial in our revenue and our profit. And we think the bundles will go a long way to doing that. So we're pretty excited about it. So I'm really glad you pointed that out. Alex Fuhrman: Okay. Thatâs really helpful. Thanks. Andy Brown: Yeah, Alex, let me just add to that, please. So when Dan said steady state, I just want to make sure that the seasonality that you've seen in the past is going to be smoother is really what we're talking about here. So we don't have the where we have tons of marketing expense for textbooks, that clearly goes away in Q3 and then to a great extent in Q1. And the beauty of that is it also makes the seasonality of our profitability, I'll call it, less seasonal. Because what ended up happening with textbooks, we spend all of that money on marketing, but we only recognize a small amount of the revenue and the rest of the revenue will get recognized over the next three to four months. So I think what it does is it reduces the seasonal impact, both on the marketing line and the profitability line. Alex Fuhrman: Okay. Thatâs really helpful. Thank you both. Dan Rosensweig: Thank you for the question. Operator: Our next question comes from Brian Peterson of Raymond James. Please go ahead. Unidentified Analyst: Hi. This is Jessica on for Brian. I just want to touch in with Busuu, whole progress been on realizing synergies with Busuu as it integrates into your overall business. I also appreciate any color on progress of your initiative to begin raising brand awareness among your existing US customers, as well as potential new customers? Thanks. Dan Rosensweig: Yeah. Great question. And it is super early. So anything I'd say, I can't tell you that it's projectable at this level yet. The integration is almost done. There's a lot of back-end things. There's a lot of things that -- when you put two companies together, you don't need any more. We focus first on putting the investment in the things that we do want to invest in. And so the integration should be done before the end of this year, whatever is left. And in terms of recognition, it is just too early. I mean, what we know is the recognition is low, but what we know is the need and desire for language is high. And so we call it Busuu 3.0. I mean it sounds to me like they had 2.0 before we bought them. And so they're early, we're seeing green shoots early. But I really -- I don't want to say more than that because I don't know more than that at this point. But what we know is the freemium model is very compelling to college kids for all the reasons that you would imagine. And that's not what Busuu had in the United States. And that's what we have now. So I would say that checking with us more in the middle of next year, after we've had the first half of the year to really go through it and make the tweaks and see where it's working strong and see where we need to continue to adjust it. But it's early, but the early signs are positive, which is obviously, why we've embarked on this because we believe it's going to be successful. Operator: This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Dan Rosensweig for any closing remarks. End of Q&A: Dan Rosensweig: Thank you, everybody, for joining us. Really appreciate the time and attention to the company. As you can see, the last year has been a very difficult one last year. A year ago, this call was a very difficult one. This is much more positive, as its business is returning to a greater level of predictability. We see bigger opportunities ahead. One of the things that I've learned about the Internet since my days Computing Magazine to Yahoo! is that there's always the next level of growth, and we think that Busuu 3.0, Skills, the investment in bundles and more value to more customers in the US and around the world is a really big opportunity for us and the company is excited about it, and executing well on it. And we just happen to have one of those models that as it grows, it gets a lot more profitable, and we're proud of that. But it also gives us the resources to be able to invest in even bigger opportunities. So thank you, everybody, for joining. I want to thank all of our employees for all the awards that they have earned because the mission matters and they come here for the mission, and we're proud of the work that they do to serve the students. So thanks, everybody. Bye. Operator: This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.CHGG Ratings Summary
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Chegg Inc. (CHGG) Price Target Adjusted by BMO Capital Analyst
Analyst Adjusts Chegg Inc. (CHGG) Price Target
Jeffrey Silber of BMO Capital has recently adjusted the price target for Chegg Inc. (CHGG), setting it at $7, which is a notable change from its previous target. This adjustment was made on May 1, 2024, and suggests a potential upside of about 35.4% from the stock's price at the time of the announcement, which stood at $5.17. This new price target is a reflection of the analyst's updated view on the company's future performance and potential growth. For those interested in the detailed analysis behind this new target, the full report is available on TheFly.
Chegg has been through a rough patch recently, with its stock price experiencing a significant drop of 27.49% over the past four weeks. Despite this downturn, there are signs that the stock might be ready for a rebound. Currently, Chegg's stock is considered to be in technically oversold territory. This indicates that the intense selling pressure that has driven the stock's price down might be easing up, setting the stage for a potential recovery. This perspective is supported by the fact that Wall Street analysts have been revising their earnings estimates for Chegg upwards, suggesting a growing optimism about the company's financial outlook.
On a more granular level, Chegg's stock has shown some signs of recovery, with a recent increase of approximately 3.09% to $5.33. This uptick, albeit modest, is a positive sign against the backdrop of its recent performance. The stock has seen fluctuations, trading between a low of $4.96 and a high of $5.37 during the trading day. This volatility reflects the uncertain environment Chegg is navigating but also highlights the potential for recovery as indicated by the recent price movement.
Over the past year, Chegg's shares have seen a wide range of trading prices, from as high as $13.11 to as low as $4.96. This volatility underscores the challenges the company has faced, as well as the potential for significant price movements. With a current market capitalization of approximately $548.72 million and a trading volume of about 1.91 million shares, Chegg remains a notable player in its sector. The company's market position, combined with the recent adjustments in analyst expectations and the technical indicators of a potential turnaround, suggests that Chegg could be on the path to recovery, aligning with Jeffrey Silber's revised price target.
Chegg Shares Drop 13% on Weak Guidance
After releasing its Q3 results, Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) shares experienced a more than 13% decline intra-day today. Although the company reported an EPS of $0.18 and revenues of $157.9 million, surpassing the Street estimates of $0.17 and $152.18 million respectively, its outlook for Q4 appeared weak.
Subscription services, which formed 89% of the total net revenues, decreased by 4% year-over-year, reaching $139.9 million.
CEO Dan Rosensweig emphasized Chegg's potential, stating the company's vision to create a powerful, AI-driven personal learning assistant, aiming to serve more students efficiently and at a lower cost.
For the upcoming Q4/23, Chegg anticipates revenue to hover between $185 million and $187 million, with Subscription Services revenue projected between $164-$166 million.
Chegg Shares Drop 13% on Weak Guidance
After releasing its Q3 results, Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) shares experienced a more than 13% decline intra-day today. Although the company reported an EPS of $0.18 and revenues of $157.9 million, surpassing the Street estimates of $0.17 and $152.18 million respectively, its outlook for Q4 appeared weak.
Subscription services, which formed 89% of the total net revenues, decreased by 4% year-over-year, reaching $139.9 million.
CEO Dan Rosensweig emphasized Chegg's potential, stating the company's vision to create a powerful, AI-driven personal learning assistant, aiming to serve more students efficiently and at a lower cost.
For the upcoming Q4/23, Chegg anticipates revenue to hover between $185 million and $187 million, with Subscription Services revenue projected between $164-$166 million.
Chegg Stock Jumps 20% Following Q2 Earnings Report
Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) exceeded expectations for its second-quarter revenues and outlined its intentions to further expand into generative artificial intelligence. This move is aimed at directly competing with ChatGPT in the AI space. Chegg's stock surged by over 20% pre-market today.
Chegg's adjusted EPS stood at $0.28, coupled with a revenue of $182.9 million. These figures outperformed Street predictions of $0.29 EPS and $176.5 million in revenue. Notably, the company observed improvements in year-over-year customer acquisition and retention rates in the quarter, a trend that followed the launch of its initial generative AI experience in May.
Looking ahead to Q3, the company anticipates revenue between $151 million and $153 million, compared to the Street estimate of $152.4 million.
Chegg Shares Up 8% on Busuu Acquisition Announcement
Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) shares closed more than 8% higher Tuesday, following the company’s announcement, according to which it is going to acquire Busuu, an online language learning platform targeting both students and professionals in the workplace.
The $436 million cash acquisition is expected to help diversify Chegg’s business model and provide it with a strong foundation of users internationally (90% of Busuu’s subscribers are outside of the U.S.).
The company also announced a proposed $300 million accelerated share repurchase transaction under the previously announced $1 billion securities repurchase program.
Chegg Shares Up 8% on Busuu Acquisition Announcement
Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) shares closed more than 8% higher Tuesday, following the company’s announcement, according to which it is going to acquire Busuu, an online language learning platform targeting both students and professionals in the workplace.
The $436 million cash acquisition is expected to help diversify Chegg’s business model and provide it with a strong foundation of users internationally (90% of Busuu’s subscribers are outside of the U.S.).
The company also announced a proposed $300 million accelerated share repurchase transaction under the previously announced $1 billion securities repurchase program.
