Chegg Shares Drop 13% on Weak Guidance

Jeffrey Silber of BMO Capital has recently adjusted the price target for Chegg Inc. (CHGG), setting it at $7, which is a notable change from its previous target. This adjustment was made on May 1, 2024, and suggests a potential upside of about 35.4% from the stock's price at the time of the announcement, which stood at $5.17. This new price target is a reflection of the analyst's updated view on the company's future performance and potential growth. For those interested in the detailed analysis behind this new target, the full report is available on TheFly.

Chegg has been through a rough patch recently, with its stock price experiencing a significant drop of 27.49% over the past four weeks. Despite this downturn, there are signs that the stock might be ready for a rebound. Currently, Chegg's stock is considered to be in technically oversold territory. This indicates that the intense selling pressure that has driven the stock's price down might be easing up, setting the stage for a potential recovery. This perspective is supported by the fact that Wall Street analysts have been revising their earnings estimates for Chegg upwards, suggesting a growing optimism about the company's financial outlook.

On a more granular level, Chegg's stock has shown some signs of recovery, with a recent increase of approximately 3.09% to $5.33. This uptick, albeit modest, is a positive sign against the backdrop of its recent performance. The stock has seen fluctuations, trading between a low of $4.96 and a high of $5.37 during the trading day. This volatility reflects the uncertain environment Chegg is navigating but also highlights the potential for recovery as indicated by the recent price movement.

Over the past year, Chegg's shares have seen a wide range of trading prices, from as high as $13.11 to as low as $4.96. This volatility underscores the challenges the company has faced, as well as the potential for significant price movements. With a current market capitalization of approximately $548.72 million and a trading volume of about 1.91 million shares, Chegg remains a notable player in its sector. The company's market position, combined with the recent adjustments in analyst expectations and the technical indicators of a potential turnaround, suggests that Chegg could be on the path to recovery, aligning with Jeffrey Silber's revised price target.

After releasing its Q3 results, Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) shares experienced a more than 13% decline intra-day today. Although the company reported an EPS of $0.18 and revenues of $157.9 million, surpassing the Street estimates of $0.17 and $152.18 million respectively, its outlook for Q4 appeared weak.

Subscription services, which formed 89% of the total net revenues, decreased by 4% year-over-year, reaching $139.9 million.

CEO Dan Rosensweig emphasized Chegg's potential, stating the company's vision to create a powerful, AI-driven personal learning assistant, aiming to serve more students efficiently and at a lower cost.

For the upcoming Q4/23, Chegg anticipates revenue to hover between $185 million and $187 million, with Subscription Services revenue projected between $164-$166 million.

Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) exceeded expectations for its second-quarter revenues and outlined its intentions to further expand into generative artificial intelligence. This move is aimed at directly competing with ChatGPT in the AI space. Chegg's stock surged by over 20% pre-market today.

Chegg's adjusted EPS stood at $0.28, coupled with a revenue of $182.9 million. These figures outperformed Street predictions of $0.29 EPS and $176.5 million in revenue. Notably, the company observed improvements in year-over-year customer acquisition and retention rates in the quarter, a trend that followed the launch of its initial generative AI experience in May.

Looking ahead to Q3, the company anticipates revenue between $151 million and $153 million, compared to the Street estimate of $152.4 million.

Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) shares closed more than 8% higher Tuesday, following the company’s announcement, according to which it is going to acquire Busuu, an online language learning platform targeting both students and professionals in the workplace.

The $436 million cash acquisition is expected to help diversify Chegg’s business model and provide it with a strong foundation of users internationally (90% of Busuu’s subscribers are outside of the U.S.).

The company also announced a proposed $300 million accelerated share repurchase transaction under the previously announced $1 billion securities repurchase program.

Chegg, Inc. (NYSE:CHGG) shares closed more than 8% higher Tuesday, following the company’s announcement, according to which it is going to acquire Busuu, an online language learning platform targeting both students and professionals in the workplace.

The $436 million cash acquisition is expected to help diversify Chegg’s business model and provide it with a strong foundation of users internationally (90% of Busuu’s subscribers are outside of the U.S.).

The company also announced a proposed $300 million accelerated share repurchase transaction under the previously announced $1 billion securities repurchase program.