Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD) on Q3 2024 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Warner Bros. Discovery Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participant are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. Additionally, please be advised that today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Andrew Slabin, Executive Vice President, Global Investor Strategy. Sir, you may now begin. Andrew Slabin: Good morning, and thank you, for joining us for Warner Bros. Discovery's Q3 earnings call. Joining me today is David Zaslav, President and Chief Executive Officer; Gunnar Wiedenfels, Chief Financial Officer; and JB Perrette, CEO and President, Global Streaming and Games. Today's presentation will include forward-looking statements that we made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The forward-looking statements may include comments regarding the company's future business plans, prospects and financial performance and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. For additional information on factors that could affect these expectations, please see the company's filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including, but not limited to the company's most recent annual report on Form 10-K and its reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K. In addition, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures on this call. Reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the closest GAAP financial measure can be found in our earnings release and in our trending schedules, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to David. David Zaslav: Good morning, everyone, and thank you, for joining us. I want to start my remarks by providing a broad overview of where Warner Brothers Discovery is on our journey today and how we are moving the company forward with an ultimate focus on creating value for our shareholders. It is well-known that our environment is being reshaped by generational disruption, which is creating both challenges and opportunities. Where we are confronting challenges, we are addressing them directly and where we see opportunities, we are seizing them with discipline and determination. Right now, there are several important dynamics playing out in our business. First, we believe that many of the assets that comprise our business are currently undervalued and we are working to both demonstrate their fundamental strength and enhance their value. Part of that effort has involved acting aggressively to reduce our expense base and lift our free cash flow conversion. To-date, we have paid down more than $16 billion in debt, with our strongest cash generation quarter of this year still ahead. Our team is highly focused on identifying and advancing a range of initiatives that aim to enhance the value of our company. As these initiatives mature, I am confident our shareholders will both see and feel significant upside. Second, we are making strong progress in executing our strategy and creating what's next for Warner Bros. Discovery. Over the last two and a half years, we have invested meaningfully in new technologies and platforms, partnerships and creative talent and driven changes in our structure to accelerate growth. Today, those investments are delivering clear bottom-line results in our Direct-To-Consumer segment. We are making substantial progress at Max, where as I will describe in more detail shortly. Strong subscriber growth is driving increased revenue and profitability. And while we are encouraged by our progress, we have more work to do to deliver the kind of results we and you expect. But, to be clear, I can assure you, we are doing the work necessary to evaluate all steps operationally and strategically to improve performance and unlock shareholder value. As I have conveyed to our employees, there are three prongs of attack to deliver expected shareholder gains. First, deploying Max globally as a distribution and storytelling platform; enabling it to achieve its full potential in both reach and profit. Second, optimizing, our Networks business, including our US Linear Television business. And third, returning our studios to industry leadership. I will briefly address our performance and outlook in each of these areas and Gunnar will then share more financial details by segment. First, it has been a very important and successful quarter in Max's development and deployment. Anyone who has listened to one of our earnings calls over the last two years knows, Max is important to Warner Bros. Discovery. We possess and produce tremendous content, film, TV, NEWS, and Sports, building a leading fully global Direct-To-Consumer platform to make that content available has been a clear strategic initiative. Getting Max right has required patience, discipline and substantial investment. Today, those investments are delivering clear results, both in terms of subscriber-related revenue growth and bottom-line impact. At the beginning of the year, Max had only launched in the US. Nine months later, Max was available in 65 markets. We have added 13 million subscribers. Thanks in part to 7.2 million additional subscribers in the third quarter alone and now have more than 110 million subscribers globally. Equally encouraging, we're beginning to see real acceleration in subscriber-related revenue growth and significant profitability growth. Overall, our Direct-To-Consumer revenue of $2.6 billion is up 9% year-over-year and EBITDA of $290 million is up more than 175% year-over-year. And in the fourth quarter, we will enjoy another quarter of strong revenue, profit, and subscriber growth. What's driving this success? First, of course, we have great content. While technological, advancements are placed emphasis and attention on distribution, the history of entertainment shows great content always wins. We are also improving the cadence with which we put the content, people most want to see in front of them. Beginning this past June with Season 2 of House of the Dragon, we are continuing now with The Penguin and extending forward with titles, like Doom Prophecy, White Lotus, The Last of Us and Peacemaker, just to name a few. Max is delivering 10 poll shows, new originals and feature films on an even more consistent basis. Internationally, our success is being driven by delivering that beloved content, as well as new originals with local sports in most international markets and 15 plus years of local language content, all on our streaming platform throughout Europe and Latin America in a way that few others can rival. The critical role Max played in being the home of the Olympics in many markets across Europe in Q3 is just one example. Even without the Olympics, we expect our momentum and driving Max subscriber growth to continue going forward. Later this month, Max will launch in seven markets across Southeast Asia and next year, Max will launch in Australia and over a dozen other markets with more to come including three of the biggest markets in Europe in 2026. Long-term, we believe our content will continue to provide us a meaningful competitive advantage and we are only scratching the surface of what we can achieve through added scale. Based on everything we are seeing, we are highly confident we are on track to meaningfully exceed our target of $1 billion in EBITDA in 2025. Next, I want to talk about our Networks business. While the challenges and headwinds we faced in our US Linear Television business are well known. This is still an extraordinarily important part of our business. Linear TV is a core vehicle to deliver WBD storytelling to hundreds of millions of fans worldwide and the significant profits it generates helps fund building the investments that will carry Warner Bros. Discovery into the future. The best evidence of the important role our Linear business continues to play for Warner Bros. Discovery is in the renewal agreement we struck with Charter Communications in September. This agreement was a victory for both companies and represents an innovative way to best serve customers as our industry continues to transform. In extending Charter’s carriage of our Linear Networks, while also giving their subscribers ad-lite access to Max, our company struck a deal that’s mutually beneficial with a consumer wins most of all. In your Q3 earnings communications, Charter discussed plans to lean more aggressively into its video products, which they attributed to providing enhanced value to their customers with increased access to streaming services like Max. We are optimistic this is a sign that these types of agreements will create more stability in our industry. Lastly, I want to address the work that obviously still needs to be done to return our Studios business to industry leadership. There have been some real bright spots in our Studios business. Our TV Studio is on track to have its most profitable year in scripted content in the last five years. It's currently making over 80 live action scripted, unscripted and animated series for nearly 20 platforms including all the major US broadcast networks and teen US SVOD platforms. And on the Motion Picture side, our third quarter saw a strong success with Beetlejuice Beetlejuice. But even in an industry of hits and misses, we must acknowledge that our Studio's business must deliver more consistency. This applies to our Games business, which we recognize as substantially underperforming its potential right now. We have four strong and profitable game franchises with loyal global fans. Hogwarts Legacy. Mortal Kombat, Game of Thrones and DC in particular, Batman which are focusing our development efforts on those core franchises with prudent studios to improve our success ratio. Inconsistency also remains an issue at our Motion Picture Studio, as reinforced recently by the disappointing results of Joker 2. For the past two years, we've been driving changes within our Motion Picture Studio to improve green light governance, and franchise management, which remains focal points going forward. This is a business we are translating operational changes into results takes time, but I believe we'll see those strategic shifts deliver improved outcomes in the coming years. Overall, we anticipate improved profit results for our Studios in Q4, thanks to what we expect will be another successful quarter for Warner Bros TV. Gunnar will take you through some decisions we made in content licensing that have negatively impacted this year's financial results significant growth opportunities in the future. In over the next several years, we expect our gains in Motion Picture businesses to deliver more consistency, resume industry-leading performance and contribute substantially to Warner Bros. Discovery’s business success. Before I turn it to Gunnar to provide more details on our financial results, I want to offer a final thought on the power of what we are building. By leveraging our storytelling abilities, with our abundance of beloved content and utilizing our distribution platforms, we can build of a real differentiation that leads to growth. Look no further than The Penguin. The Penguin, which spotlights a well-known DC Comic character, building on the success of the Batman, was envisioned by HBO, with creative talents like Matt Reeves, Lauren LeFranc and Colin Farrell, produced by Warner Bros. Television, distributed on HBO and Max to viewers all over the world, promoted across the Warner Bros. Discovery landscape, critically acclaimed, commercially successful, stories like The Penguin that can shape culture, spark conversations and become appointment viewing, always win over time. When you look at our unique ability to create great content, distribute great content and market great content it reinforces why we are so well-positioned to stand apart from the path over the long-term. So, I will conclude by saying two things are true. Our industry is experiencing generational disruption, presenting us with both challenges and opportunities. At the same time, our strategy is succeeding in important ways. When this period of extraordinary disruption settles, based on the momentum we are seeing in our Direct-To-Consumer segment, the work we've done to sustain our Linear TV business and what we're doing to return our Studios to peak performance, I remain confident that Warner Bros. Discovery will be one of the companies leading the global media industry into the future. Gunnar Wiedenfels: Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to begin my remarks with some comments on Direct-To-Consumer, where we are seeing strong momentum across key operating and financial metrics, net subscriber adds, subscriber-related revenues and EBITDA. Reaching this inflection point has clearly been a priority and I'm excited about the traction we've seen and enthused with what we expect for the quarters ahead. Over 7 million net adds and 50% D2C advertising growth drove double-digit subscriber-related revenue growth, and acceleration from 6% in Q2, leading to nearly $300 million in EBITDA. And we expect similar levels of subscriber-related revenue growth and EBITDA contribution in the fourth quarter. Subscriber growth was driven by a combination of factors, including The Olympics in Europe, traction from recent international launches, momentum on bundles like the Disney Max Hulu offerings, and a more consistent and resonant content line up. There will continue to be a variety of paths to scale Max, particularly, as we expand our reach internationally. We clearly saw that this quarter. It is also clear that the many options to reach consumers directly, bundled, in partnership or more traditional wholesale arrangements will naturally have implications for certain KPIs. That said, the financial framework in which we are managing the D2C business has not changed. First, we will always be guided by a core focus on lifetime value relative to subscriber acquisition costs. Whether it's evaluating a specific market or the model employed to launch in a market, partnership or direct retail. This means that we will make trade-off decisions between various distribution channels and operating models across markets. Some will have inherently lower ARPU, but lower upfront investments or FX and better turn dynamics. Others may require higher levels of initial spend, but may have commensurately higher ARPU. We have and will continue to evaluate all subscriber options through this filter with a goal to maximize value creation. Second, we are focused on subscriber-related revenue that is subscription and advertising revenue as the best measure for the progress we are making in scaling the D2C business. Importantly, given the cadence of Max's rollout over the next 18 months or so in international markets and the launch of the lower priced advertising supported offering in many more markets, we expect to ARPU trend lower in the near term reflecting the growth of the Max ad supported footprint from only one market up until this year to now, over 45 markets. However, we expect further strong subscriber-related revenue growth and EBITDA going forward, as well as enhanced retention, the cadence of which will reflect when, where, and how heavily we invest in subscriber acquisitions. Turning now to total company advertising, which declined 7% ex FX during third quarter, The sequential step down was as expected, and was in large part due to our seasonally slower sports schedule with Network’s advertising down 13% ex FX. Additionally, while we've benefited modestly from the Olympics in Europe, our much larger US business was adversely impacted by the Olympics. D2C advertising however continued to grow at a nice pace, up over 50% ex FX behind healthy demand for Max in the US. Global ad-lite subscribers grew over 70% year-over-year with approximately 40% of global gross ads, taking the ad-lite here in Q3, while the international contribution of D2C advertising is still quite small, we see opportunity ahead as we scale the subscriber base and drive modernization. Network’s distribution revenue was down 7% ex FX and down 5% excluding the impact of the AT&T SportsNet. Our affiliate renewal pipeline is active and we remain focused on working with our partners across the fluid distribution landscape. The recent Charter deal we’ve referenced is a great example of both the great value of our content to affiliate partners as much as to consumers and a greater flexibility in the industry to come up with forward-facing new deal structures with the potential to have a meaningful positive impact on the trajectory of our Linear and D2C business. We are seeing strong evidence of the great financial benefits of these new deal structures across our international footprint. As the long list of our International distribution renewals this year has shown, we have indeed enjoyed net growth in total revenue to Warner Bros Discovery across these partnerships as our concessions on the Linear side have been more than offset by strong gains at D2C. Turning to Studios, performance in the quarter was subpar relative to our internal expectations, notwithstanding the difficult comparisons with Barbie last year. Results were impacted by games for which we took another $100 million plus impairments due to the underperforming releases, primarily multiverses this quarter, bringing total write-downs year-to-date to over $300 million in our games business. A key factor in this year's Studio profit decline. In Q4, we expect games to be flat to modestly better year-over-year as last year’s launched of Hogwarts Legacy on the Switch platform in November is offset by lower costs. Film results performed relatively well, in the quarter, largely driven by Beetlejuice Beetlejuice. So, as noted, Barbie in the prior year and the bulk of the marketing spending for The Joker Folie à Deux ahead of this October release weighed on year-over-year trends. Despite Joker’s underperformance, which will indeed weigh on Q4 profitability, we currently forecast the Film business to perform more or less in line with Q4 of last year. As a reminder, we had three theatrical releases in the last two weeks of 2023, for which we realize - marketing spend with a relatively limited amount of revenue. We have only one release remaining in Q4, which is a modestly budgeted War Of The Rings animated movie, War Of The Rohirrim. Warner Bros. TV on the other hand is going from strength-to-strength. While TV did have a favorable year-over-year comp against the impact of Strike last year, the underlying performance remains robust within a marketplace and during some headwinds, we believe we're benefiting from a flight to quality. We expect this momentum to continue in Q4 and TV is as expected to be up significantly year-over-year. All in, we expect Studio Q4 EBITDA to be up a few hundred million dollars year-over-year, depending on the timing of certain content licensing deals. As David noted, we are committed to improving overall performance and consistency of results with an eye towards re-establishing the Studio as an industry leader. In the near term, our film slate is one that I would characterize as more balanced, both creatively and financially and we sharpened our focus on budget discipline and accountability across all processes across green lighting, marketing, productions, and resource prioritization. I expect this will help enhance both top and bottom-line results. Further, I'd like to take a step back and discuss the role and impact of content licensing for our Studio business. As I've mentioned previously, we are continuously evaluating how to best monetize our content, be it on internal or external platforms. And we make those decisions on a case-by-case basis and they are informed by an increasing amount of data and intelligence, collected across our business units. 2024 will be characterized by two factors. Number one, generally relatively lower rates for library licensing and number two, a significant year-over-year increase in internal licensing to support the rollout and growth or global D2C product. And all the revenues that get eliminated at the WBD consolidated level. While these factors have no doubt burden consolidated EBITDA and free cash flow in 2024 in a material way, they will clearly benefit our future financial performance. For the former, we see a return to more normalized availability level starting next year, for the latter, we know we have significantly added to a valuable asset base that will pay dividends in top and bottom-line performance of our D2C business for years to come. Finally, turning to free cash flow. We generated roughly $630 million in free cash flow. The nearly $1.4 billion year-over-year decline was largely due to higher net cash content spend as we lap last year's Q3 strike impacts and unfavorable Olympics-related working dynamics. Looking to Q4, while we expect another year-over-year increase in net cash content spend in Q4, free cash flow should again represent a healthy conversion of EBITDA. Net leverage at the end of Q3 was 4.2 times, a slight sequential increase and directionally in line with expectations given the seasonality of free cash flow and Olympics-related free-cash flow headwinds. In the quarter, we repurchased and repaid nearly $900 million of debt and have about $300 million maturing next week. We continue to expect the delever year-over-year, albeit much more modestly than initially planned in part due to the study of shortfalls and impairments. And we will continue to use virtually all of our free cash flow to retire debt as we continue to target 2.5 times to 3 times growth leverage for the longer term. Lastly, I'd like to finish off where David began and that is to reemphasize the high degree of focus that we as a management team and the Board have been placing on driving shareholder value. We continue to focus on executing our strategy and as part of this, examining every angle and possible path to realize the longer term value creation opportunity, we see ahead for Warner Bros. Discovery. With that, David, JB, and I will be happy to take your questions. Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from Steven Cahall with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Steven Cahall : Thank you. So Gunnar and JB, I think you talked about the opportunities to continue to acquire subs at DTC if they remain attractive and you're not going to be shy about making those investments. And then, you've also kind of qualitatively upgraded your expectation for DTC EBITDA and its ability to improve in 2025 to I think meaningfully above $1 billion now. So can you just talk about how those two things work together? It sounds like the investment is accelerating, but your EBITDA expectation is also accelerating. So we just love some more color on how we tie all that? And then, David and Gunnar, you've talked about reducing your expense base and you've done a lot of that on this journey. It seems like DTC is kind of through the cuts and back into growth mode. When do you think that Studios and Networks may sort of get through a period of efficiency and cost reduction to where you're talking more about maybe investments in growth in those business again. That’s the bottom-line. Thank you. Gunnar Wiedenfels: Yeah, good morning, Steve. Let me take those two. So, one of the great things about the way, the D2C business and our global rollout has been sequenced is that we are enjoying two things at the same time growth from new markets and rollouts in new territories, which, inevitably lead to investments initially and start-up losses. But at the same time, we're benefiting from the majority of our business in established markets. That's why we have been able to get to this combination as David called out in his prepared remarks for sub growth, revenue growth and EBITDA growth at the same time, if you double click into there, obviously, there are markets that are, very profitable right now and others are still loss making. But I'm very confident that we will be able to continue executing with that kind of a profile. In terms of your question on expense base. As you heard both talk about earlier for the Studio, we got to remember that this is a long cycle business. A lot of the changes that we have put in place while they have the - have been as transformational as for example, in the D2C space or Networks. It's going to take a little longer for the financial impact to become visible. And what we are going to continue doing across all these segments is operate with a very clear focus and discipline when it comes to making sure that we invest the right amount and that we cut back where we don't see the returns. David Zaslav: Just to address this moment of growth that we're seeing on Max, it's a meaningful moment for us. We spent over two years building this platform. Max was losing several billion dollars. We've been focused on finding the right mix of content, local sport, local entertainment, together with a great content from Max and HBO making sure that that line-up on Max and HBO was substantial. And then finally, launching it and we didn't launch really until two-thirds through the first quarter. And so, seeing this kind of growth, while at the same time having sub growth, profit growth it's a meaningful moment. And JB, you are on the ground. We expect that that very substantial growth to continue. We expect every quarter that we're going to be seeing revenue growth, profit, growth, and subscriber growth, really because the offering that we have is being very well received and it's demonstrated by the subscribers. So, just talk a little bit about what you're seeing, JB? JB Perrette: Yes. Steven it's a material inflection point this quarter, because as David said, it's been a long road over the last two years preparing to get to this point. And really the exciting - most exciting part is this is still very early innings. We have, two plus years of growth ahead of us driven by a number of different growth vectors. The first and foremost as David said is, our content line is gotten a lot stronger. more consistent, better, cadence, helped by the fact that when we launched Max in the US, unfortunately, we were at a low point in our 10/4 release schedule just based on timing, the strikes we had to push that out last year. And so ‘24 and well, into ‘25 and ‘26 we have a much better content cadence and content strength as we look forward bolstered also by as we roll out internationally, the fact that we've been investing in local content for decades in a lot of the biggest markets outside of the US. And so it's both a combination of the great English language content coming out of the US, as well as local content that we are already invested in, in these international markets. The international rollout is a huge than other big driver. When - just to remember that we are still in just over half of the addressable broadband markets around the world. And that's excluding markets like, China, Russia, and even India, a very low ARPU markets. So, that's a huge driver and then, third, we're an active conversations then we have great partnerships with distributors around the world who are pulling for this product and want to be with us. And you've seen some of those as we've launched in markets like France, in Spain, in Japan and we're having very good conversations with distributors who want to help us accelerate the rollout of Max in very profitable and economically smart ways. And that's not to mention the drivers that we haven't even yet touched on things like password sharing crackdowns, still better product experience where we've gotten better, but are not great yet. And so we have a lot of growth drivers still ahead of us. Steven Cahall : Thank you. Operator: Thank you. Our next question will come from David Karnovsky with JPMorgan. Please go ahead. David Karnovsky: Hey, thank you for the questions. Post reaching your agreement with Charter in September, interested to know if you've had discussions on similar structures with other distributors whether you think that model is applicable elsewhere? And just following up on the Studio comments, you pointed out in the past theatrical slate is one that you largely inherited from the prior management. How should investors see the differences in this point? What's notable in terms of the approach the current team has brought? Thank you. Gunnar Wiedenfels: Thanks David. Look, on the Studio side, we have an industry-leading TV production business that Channing Dungey runs . It's quite substantial. We have some of the best writers, directors and we're seeing that even in a market that's down substantially, we're really growing with brands, with content that that is carried on almost every platform and generating real economic value. The Studio business, it's a long cycle business. We've talked about for a long time. I think we've made real progress in terms of our focus. We're going to see, we're going to start to see the line up from James and Peter with the AOW rolling out of the first part of a 5 to 10 year plan on DC this summer with Superman. And it's quite exciting what they have in store, because I think DC has a lot of potential and we've been working on that for two years. And Mike and Pam. we'll start to see their line up this year. So, this year and next year, we'll start to see the films that they had from start to finish with the talent that they believed was going to generate the most value and the most opportunity for growth for the company. And finally, I think we're through some of the worst and it hasn't been pretty on the gaming business. But we have four games that are really powerful and have a real constituency that love them and we're going to focus on those four primarily. And we're going to go away from trying to launch 10, 12, 15, 20 different games. And I think we have a real chance now with Focus to have the gaming business be a steadier. So, I'm very encouraged you know our ambition to get back to at least $3 billion and then start growing. And there's a lot of building blocks that with wind at our back in order to get there. So thank you. On Charter, we love Chris Winfrey's strategy. It's a strategy of embracing multi-channel to the home through the cable distributors and at the same time giving a very contemporary consumer experience. You can watch it on cable. You have your broadband and you could watch it in streaming. I was encouraged to hear their earnings call and hear Chris talk about investing significantly more money in marketing it, because it's all about the consumer. And Charter driving to have a more contemporary consumer experience, where if you're in the home and you want to watch streaming, you can do it. If you want to watch traditional, which, television of free-to-air and cable, you could do it. And there were two parts to that deal. There was our Networks where we make up the majority or a very big portion of basic cable and we've been investing in those networks, whether it's CNN or Food, or HG or ID we still believe we produce a lot of content that gets used on those channels around the world and on Max. And we were able to get meaningful value for those networks because Chris really values - still values the traditional multi-channel business. And we expect and we will drive to maintain those kind of economics across the board. And we're finding real value in our distribution deals domestically and around the world. So that was really an Innovative deal. We hope other distributors will do it. We're in some discussion with some that are quite interested in doing it and we'll just have to see. Operator: Thank you. Our next question will come from Michael Nathanson with MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead. Michael Nathanson: Thanks. Hey, good morning, guys. I have two. One is, when you dig into the US subscriber number, and it's really you count like it's 3 million. Look at where Netflix is. I know they are years ahead of you. What do you think that have been a gating factor? What will be the factors that can help you close that gap over time? So where do you think you are underpenetrated and what are you doing about that? And then, internationally, David, there's definitely been some chatter that some of your competitors are thinking about partnering internationally would be open to it. How do you see given your strength internationally interest or potential and partnering with some other streaming competitors to get more scale? So how do you think about that philosophically? Thanks. David Zaslav: I'm going to have JB talk about the US subscriber piece. Look, for a very long time, I've been talking about bundling. And the bundling originally was a better consumer opportunity on the economic side. But what we've learned is, it really needs to be a better product, so that the consumer can come in and not just pay less for a two products or so for three products together. But also can navigate seamlessly between those products. And we're seeing a lot of strength in this partnership with Disney and Hulu. And it's early, but the subscriber growth is significant, and the consumer satisfaction is quite high. We're doing that in a number of markets. I think, getting into these markets with local sport, local entertainment and, and the HBO and Max content, together with the relationships, we have in each of these markets internationally, I think is giving JB and our company, a big advantage. JB just talk to that a little bit and then the US. JB Perrette: Yeah, I mean, as I look the demand for Max as a product in every conversation we have with partners outside the US and in the US is very high and growing. And I’d say particularly as it may seem like we're coming later to the market. The flip side is, they've learned a lot over the last few years about some of the other products that are in market and the specialty products that may be in market that they originally partner with and ultimately saying, we need something that's broader and that's higher quality. And the flight to quality that Gunnar mentioned in his comments, I think is true also about the consumer where ultimately people are looking more and more for the service that has a curated higher quality experience, and Max delivers that in space. And so, the demand on the partner side to find innovative ways to help us drive distribution, it's very high and it's key as we are seeing our international rollout accelerate and it’s part of what's driving that growth. And it ties back to your question on the US, Michael, the reality is. I think there's two things in the US you got to remember. Number one is our mix is changing. We are growing on a retail and a hybrid basis based on the fact that we still have - we're still facing the headwinds of wholesale declines, just like the Pay TV universe based on the legacy HBO model. And so, while that bucket is continuing to drain a bit, we are refilling it and in some cases more than refilling it, with retail stuff. So we are seeing growth there. The penetration gap, as you mentioned is largely in lower income, more price-sensitive households. Some $100,000 households, where naturally the fact that they already have maybe one or two other streaming services. We become a in-demand, but harder to finance proposition. And so, the solution there, we look at is really three things in particular. The ad-lite SKU is obviously very important to us and that one I think is obviously the best way we can penetrate those more price-sensitive consumers. The bundles you're seeing us do with the likes of Disney and Hulu. we're seeing very early, but very good progress of trying to figure out how to figure out new ways to grow with more price-sensitive consumers. And then the partnerships that David mentioned earlier with the likes of a Charter, with the likes of Door Dash and some of the other partnerships we’ve done in the marketplace are helping us find new angles and new paths to get to those more pricing decisions. David Zaslav: Finally, Michael, I've been saying for a long time, this is an industry that really needs to meaningfully consolidated. And it's really driven by the consumer experience. Consumers put on a TV set and they see 16 apps. And each of those are doing different pricing and you're seeing it with your phone and Googling where a show is or where a sport is and you're going from one to another and there's so many that you have. You have to go to a separate page. It's just not a good consumer experience. It's not sustainable. And there probably should have been more meaningful consolidation, whether that's through and you're starting to see it now. You're starting to see fairly large players saying, hey, maybe I should be a part of you or maybe I should be a part of somebody else. But also and with you that could happen by one could be bundling, the other could be actually coming together where some of these players will not have independent offerings but will only be offered domestically or internationally as a pairing or where you would maybe give a little bit of equity to some of the players depending on the market. And finally, just outright consolidation of an industry that is in a generational disruption that's facing real challenges. And we have an upcoming new administration and it's too early to tell. But it may offer a pace of change and an opportunity for consolidation that may be quite different that would provide a real positive and accelerated impact on this industry that's needed. These are great companies and if the best content is going to win, there needs to be some consolidation for in order to have these businesses be stronger and to have a better consumer experience. Michael Nathanson: Thanks guys. Operator: Thank you. Our next question, will come from Rich Greenfield with Lightshed Partners. Please go ahead. Rich Greenfield: Hi, thanks for taking the question. I know you all don't usually comment on specific upcoming renewals. But I think you have a host of deals coming up for renewal with Comcast both domestically, as well as abroad with their Sky division. And I guess, what gives you confidence as you head into this global renewal with Comcast and Sky, especially without the NBA and I realized there's a lawsuit still in process there. But investors certainly view the renewal as critical sustainability of the cable network cash flows. And I think, just relating to your consolidation point a minute ago, David, I think the sustainability of those cable networks plays a lot into how people think about the potential of longer term strategic maneuver. So anything you could say to help us understand how you're thinking about that renewal would be great. David Zaslav : Thanks, \well, we don't talk about timing or really about the specific deals. But, Brian and I have been in business together for almost 40 years. And we've done - we've been doing deals together domestically. We did deals, we're together with Sky in the UK, Germany and Italy. And we've done all kinds of deals on AdTech, on advertising in order to create value for both companies. And we're - so as I look to the future, I think one that we have content that's highly valued. And that provides a very big portion of the value of the basic cable bundle, because we're investing so much in providing unique content. And I think that's recognized by all distributors. And we look forward at, then we’re even in business with Comcast on with Harry Potter and which has been hugely successful for them and very successful for us. And so, I expect that we'll be doing a lot more stuff together in the future. Rich Greenfield: Thank you. Operator: Thank you. Our next question will come from Jessica Reif Ehrlich with Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead. Jessica Reif Ehrlich : Hi, a couple of questions. David, you kind of just alluded to this, but there's been big news flow recently with the best outcome politically, you would think for M&A with the Republican sweep. One of your competitors says on their call last week that they were considering spinning out cable networks and their emerging streaming. Another competitor said in their proxy you guys were in discussions. So, given all of that as a backdrop, can you give us your current views of a sale or spin of some assets and/or acquiring other assets and maybe your views of a possibility of someone rolling up cable networks? And then, a completely separate question JB just alluded to this, but what do you consider in DTC? What do you consider advertising scale? And can you give us like kind of the benchmark of how you plan on getting there? And when you think you'll get there? Thank you. David Zaslav : Thanks, Jessica. Look, I don't really have that much more to add to the prepared remarks. But we believe strongly that the current stock price doesn't adequately reflect the underlying value of these great assets that we have. And we're hard at work which you are beginning to see. Then we're seeing the results of executing operationally, domestically around the world to drive significant transformation of this company and meaningful growth. And of course, as you would expect, we're always looking at ways to enhance shareholder value. That's our focus. That's our Board's focus every day and that's what we're doing. JB Perrette : Jessica, on the, ad side, the shortest way to answer that I think is that we are again in a very early innings of what we call at scale. And the levers are primarily driven by three things. Obviously, the reach of our ad supported SKU which and David and Gunnar mentioned in their prepared remarks. We are - we were in one market as of a year ago, we're now in over 45, but that's less than six months old. And so, we believe on the reach side we still have enormous runway in the quarters ahead. On the ad load side, we are we are light - we don't put any ads today in the HBO current series as an example. We don't break up the content. We have some pre-rolled content that we are making sponsorship. But we don't put anything in there. We have very light ad load compared to most of our competitors in the market. So there is room to grow in the capacity side. And then on the pricing and ad capability side, we are again very early in terms of ad format innovation to try and drive more innovative, creative formats for partners and marketers to work with us. And so, those three levers are going to provide a great amount of scale. So I think we're in the early innings of the advertising revenue growth stream. David Zaslav : But we have seen on cable that too much advertising really presents consumer challenges in terms of how nourished they are and how much they like the platform. And it's one of the reasons why, as we built quality platform globally with the best content, the best local content in sport that we don't want to make that same mistake that this industry may and as others, add a lot of inventory, we really like the idea that we're not doing that. You're not going to be interrupted watching House of the Dragon or White Lotus at least for the foreseeable future. We think part of the quality is the quality of the experience. Operator: Thank you. Our next question will come from Bryan Kraft with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Bryan Kraft: Hi. Good morning. I guess, I want to ask two if I could? Just first on pricing. How much of a D2C revenue driver do you anticipate price increases will be over the next couple of years? Can you talk about how much pricing power you think you have today and how important growing engagement is in order to sustain that going forward? And then I just had one on the cost side. Gunnar, can you talk about the opportunity to lower cost in the Linear Networks business next year in order to mitigate, obvious continued secular revenue declines in advertising and affiliates? Thank you. JB Perrette: Yeah. Thanks, Bryan. We, look, on the pricing side, I’d say, we've - from what we've seen over the last two years in the US we've done two price rises. We think the premium nature of our product in particular lends us to be - to have a fair amount of room to continue to push price. We've been judicious about it, but every price rise we've done so far the churn has actually been lower than we projected and expected and the retention continues to be strong. The other thing that we haven't seen, which is sort of a form of a price rise, if you will. And I mentioned it earlier is that, we haven't done anything. We will kick off some very soft messaging later this quarter around password sharing and that as we kick into ‘25 and into ’26 you’ll see more and more progress on that, which in effect is a form of a price rise as well as the asking members who have not signed up or multi-household members to pay a little bit more. And so you're going to see that as an additional kicker. And then internationally, I'd say, it's an a place where we have and actually, we've been more judicious I'd say on price and as we get the product rolled out. Remember, we're only fairly six months into the roll out internationally that we see additional opportunity. Not to mention it's the last thing I’d say is, as we have – and Gunnar said, we're focusing on LTV, as well. And so the price is critical, clearly, but the retention dynamics and some of the value, even at a slightly lower price in the absolute ARPU level of these bundles, we're starting to see really, really positive signs of the retention that make us much more confident on the growing LTV on those subscribers sent on. David Zaslav: One of the advantages of the bundles is, it's a true Direct-To-Consumer offering. So there is no shared revenue with any of these - the channel stores that have been effective in trucking, building service. So that you can actually do a consumer discount and you could still have your ARPU higher, because all the economics are coming to each of the bundle products. Gunnar Wiedenfels : And then, Bryan, on the cost side, look, we'll continue to be incredibly disciplined and focused here. We have taken out billions of dollars out of our reported cost base to cite operating in a highly inflation environment for the past three years. And we'll continue to work on that. We still have some structural measures that took a little longer to implement. Those are infrastructure measures. Your broadcast technology and operations measures et cetera. And those are still going to flow through over the next year and beyond. The – so the long term big opportunity on the content side from my perspective is and we've talked about this before that so far, it's pretty much a one way street of companies supporting D2C with content as that product scales and JB and Casey and Gerard internationally produce more and more fresh content for that platform that may. And at some point lead to greater library opportunity for the Linear business, as well. And it’s a little more longer term, but there will definitely be opportunities. And then, on the other hand we are investing more in sports as you know we've let up a number of new rights. And this is a high margin business with a largely fixed cost base. So I don't want you to take away that we're going to be able to fully offset the pressures that we're expecting on the revenue side. David Zaslav : But the but the economics that we're seeing, we have held back the billion dollars of additional content that that we could have solved and or that we're that less than the prior year. It's that you can really see as an investment in our Max and HBO streaming service to have something… Gunnar Wiedenfels : That's right. As I said in my prepared remarks, this is mostly affecting the Studio obviously, but, David is right. I mean, this is several hundred million or billion depending on where you normalize content licensing as a revenue stream. But we have had, as I said, lower availabilities this year and we have deliberately sold a lot of that internally, which is a pretty hefty impact on profitability because we're paying our participants on the basis of internal revenues, not the consolidated WBD revenue number. And, you're right, that is an investment that we're hoping to great returns on over the next few years in our D2C business. David Zaslav : But we do have a number of every few year products coming up next year that will be critical … Gunnar Wiedenfels : Essentially all of the – with the coming years, they are going to be better than what we saw this year. Bryan Kraft: Thank you very much. Operator: Thank you. Our next question will come from Benjamin Swinburne with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Benjamin Swinburne : Thanks. Good morning. I'm going to just maybe finish up that comment. As we think about the Studio, like I think it’s poised to a bounce back profit-wise next year nicely. See if you gave us the write-downs on the games, are there any more maybe in theatrical that you could quantify and just want to confirm, if you think TV licensing still has healthy growth in ’25 versus ’24 after the kind of post strikes snapbacks? And then, David, just kind of going back to strategic stuff. I think everybody would agree or stock is trading like a company that's declining in earnings sort of the foreseeable future. I think some look at your company and say you've got a growth business or growth businesses in the Studio and Streaming and you have businesses that are declining in Networks and so why not separate those? So my question to you is, you’ve talked a lot about kind of one Discovery or one Warner Bros. Discovery since the merger, what are the benefits of owning all these businesses inside of one company? And do you see those as substantial and meaningful and important in sort of the long term investment opportunity at WBD? Or are you open to changing your mind or thinking about different permutations that might make sense to unlock value? Thanks. Thank you both. David Zaslav : Okay, Ben, so look, you're 100% right about the Studio bounce back. And it's really across the board. I do think as we've discussed at length, I think the Film group is going to see better results. We do think that Channing business at WBD, the WBTV production, is going to continue this momentum. We, we have made investments on the tours and retail side franchises, an area that we still think is going to have significant opportunity. Games, to your point is definitely set to recover and content licensing as we just discussed a minute ago is certainly going to be higher from a 2024 starting base. So that's why we have been so confident in our statement that we're going to see $3 billion and then growth from there. Now is that all going to materialize in 2025? We'll see. A lot of those decisions will still need to make and it's going to depend on the individual business units. But I think we have a very sustainable long-term growth story ahead here for this for the Studio from here. On the One WBD point, look, especially when it comes to content, this is an area where we see the benefits of running this company on an integrated basis, every single day. David had it in his prepared remarks that The Penguin example and again, we've made a ton of progress. We're also still in the early Innings. So we are definitely getting a return here from running WBD as one integrated company. Andrew Slabin: Okay. Thank you, everybody. That concludes our formal remarks today and we appreciate you taking the time to join us. Operator: Thank you. Once again, this does conclude the Warner Bros. Discovery third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.
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Warner Bros. Discovery Hit With a Downgrade at Bernstein

Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) has been downgraded from Outperform to Market-Perform by Bernstein, with the firm also slashing its price target from $10 to $8, citing a challenging road ahead for the company's recovery. The downgrade follows a disappointing Q2 performance where WBD missed key financial metrics, including a 6% decline in revenue, a 16% drop in EBITDA, and a 43% reduction in free cash flow year-over-year.

Bernstein analysts pointed to the company's struggles since the WarnerMedia-Discovery merger in April 2022, which has seen WBD's stock plummet nearly 70%, making it one of the worst performers in its sector. The firm expressed concern over the "secular challenges" WBD faces in its linear TV business and the company's inability to achieve necessary scale in its direct-to-consumer (DTC) segment. Additionally, the analysts noted increasing investor frustration over WBD's uncertain future, particularly given its declining EBITDA and elevated leverage ratio of 4x.

The potential loss of NBA broadcasting rights, a key component of TNT's programming for decades, was also highlighted as a significant risk that could further compound WBD's difficulties.

Warner Bros. Discovery Reports Wider Q2 Loss, Shares Fall 9%

Warner Bros. Discovery Inc (NASDAQ:WBD) reported a significant second-quarter loss on Wednesday, attributed to a hefty $9.1 billion charge in its networks unit following the loss of NBA media rights.

Shares of Warner Bros. Discovery dropped more than 9% intra-day today. The entertainment conglomerate reported a loss of $4.07 per share on revenue of $9.71 billion, missing Street expectations of a $0.19 loss per share on revenue of $10.07 billion.

The widened loss stemmed from a $9.1 billion hit in its networks segment, exacerbated by a sluggish U.S. linear advertising market and uncertainties related to affiliate and sports rights renewals, including the NBA. Content revenue saw a 6% decline, with a notable 27% drop in EV TV revenue, driven by lower licensing sales.

Global direct-to-consumer (DTC) subscribers reached 103.3 million by the end of Q2, marking an increase of 3.6 million from Q1. The average global DTC revenue per user was $8.00, reflecting a 4% sequential increase in constant currency.

Despite these challenges, the company remains committed to exploring new bundling opportunities to expand the reach of its streaming service, Max. Warner Bros. Discovery emphasized that these initiatives and other strategic actions are expected to drive segment profitability in the latter half of the year and into 2025 and beyond.

Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery Launch Streaming Bundle

Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery's announcement to launch a streaming bundle including Disney+, Hulu, and Max this summer is a strategic move that reflects the evolving landscape of the streaming industry. This collaboration aims to leverage the strengths of both entertainment giants to attract more subscribers by offering a comprehensive package of popular streaming services. The decision to bundle these services was made public on Wednesday, as highlighted by Forbes, signaling a significant shift towards bundling major brands to enhance subscriber appeal and market presence.

Financially, both companies have shown promising results from their streaming services, indicating the potential success of this new bundle. Disney reported a quarterly operating profit of $47 million from its Hulu and Disney+ streaming services, while Warner Bros. Discovery's direct-to-consumer division, which includes the Max streaming service, reported a profit of $103 million in 2023. These figures not only demonstrate the financial viability of streaming services for these companies but also underscore the growth opportunities that lie ahead in the streaming sector.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD:NASDAQ), in particular, presents an interesting financial profile that could influence the success of the streaming bundle. Despite trading at a loss with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately -6.10, the company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of about 0.46 suggests that investors are paying significantly less for each dollar of sales, indicating potential undervaluation. Furthermore, the enterprise value to sales (EV/Sales) ratio of approximately 1.50 and the enterprise value to operating cash flow (EV/OCF) ratio of around 8.30 highlight the company's valuation in relation to its sales and operating cash flow, respectively. These financial metrics suggest that Warner Bros. Discovery is positioned to leverage its streaming services for growth, despite the challenges indicated by a current ratio of about 0.93, which points to potential short-term liquidity concerns.

Disney's CEO, Bob Iger, has expressed optimism about the future of streaming, identifying it as a key growth driver for the company. This strategic bundling of Disney+, Hulu, and Max could not only enhance growth prospects for Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery but also reshape the competitive dynamics of the streaming market. By combining their streaming services, both companies aim to capitalize on their existing subscriber bases and content libraries to create a more compelling offering that could attract a larger audience and drive further growth in the streaming industry.

Warner Bros. Discovery Shares Plunge 13% on Q4 Miss

Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) announced its fourth-quarter results that fell short of the average forecasts by analysts. Following the announcement, the company’s shares dropped more than 13% intra-day on Friday.

Facing similar challenges as its peers, Warner Bros. Discovery has been navigating the shift from traditional TV to streaming platforms. CEO David Zaslav highlighted that the company has stabilized its position thanks to a concerted effort to enhance its direct-to-consumer services. He elaborated on a strategic "attack plan" to expand the Max streaming service into crucial international markets and to bolster the studios division with a stronger lineup of releases.

Zaslav expressed confidence in the company's prospects for generating consistent operational progress and improving value for shareholders.

The company's networks segment, home to channels such as CNN and TBS, saw a 14% drop in advertising revenue in Q4. This decline was attributed to shrinking audiences and a sluggish linear ad market in the U.S. Nonetheless, this downturn was partially compensated by increased engagement with Max, leading to a 51% rise in advertising revenue in its direct-to-consumer division.

Overall, the company witnessed a 7% decrease in total revenue to $10.28 billion, below the expected $10.46 billion by Wall Street analysts, while its net loss reduced to $400 million.

Warner Bros. Discovery Misses Q4 EPS and Revenues

Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) reported its Q4 results on Thursday, with EPS coming in at ($0.86), worse than the Street estimate of ($0.29). Revenue was $11.01 billion (down 11.3% year-over-year), missing the Street estimate of $11.23 billion, on lower Studios content and Networks advertising revenue.

Adjusted EBITDA was down 5% year-over-year to $2.60 billion, 1.3% above the Street estimates and reflected meaningfully lower DTC losses somewhat offset by lower contributions at Studios and higher corporate costs.

Notably, DTC losses were significantly narrower than expected in the quarter and management is eyeing roughly break-even in Q1/23 ahead of the upcoming domestic launch of the re-imagined streaming service (unveiling slated for April 12th). Cyclical and secular challenges across the linear ad market are weighing on results and sentiment, though it is expected that some of this pressure will abate throughout the year.