Uber Shares Up 4% Following Q3 Results

Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:UBER) shares were trading around 4% higher Friday afternoon, following the company’s provided Q3 results, with EPS coming in at (0.23), compared to the consensus estimate of (0.37).

According to the analysts at Oppenheimer, Q3 results showed the benefits associated with the previous quarter’s aggressive push on driver incentives and the advantages of being a SuperApp.

Quarterly total revenues came in at $4,845 million, beating the consensus estimate of $4,418.8 million. While GB was mostly in line, Mobility/Delivery revenue surpassed Street by 10%/14%, as take-rates expanded 358bps/224bps quarter-over-quarter, respectively.

Now that Food Delivery is profitable, the analysts think investors will support non-food expansion, leveraging Mobility/Eats user base, driving greater efficiency than peers.

Symbol Price %chg
CRM.BA 16682 0.97
GOTO.JK 65 -3.08
263750.KQ 38700 -0.39
GOOGL.SW 1077.82 0
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Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER) Earnings Report Highlights

  • Uber reported a quarterly loss of -$0.32 per share, missing estimates, while revenue slightly exceeded expectations at $10.13 billion.
  • Despite increased losses compared to the previous year, Uber's revenue growth signals continued business expansion and market share increases.
  • Analysts from JPMorgan maintain a bullish stance on Uber, with a price target of $95, citing the company's strong performance prior to the earnings report and potential for nearly 50% upside.

 

On Wednesday, May 8, 2024, UBER reported its earnings before the market opened, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.32, which fell short of the estimated EPS of $0.22. The company's revenue stood at approximately $10.13 billion, slightly surpassing the estimated revenue of about $10.09 billion.

 

This financial update from Uber Technologies (UBER) highlighted a challenging quarter for the company, as it reported a quarterly loss of $0.32 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.21 loss per share. This marked a significant increase in losses compared to the $0.08 loss per share reported in the same quarter a year ago, indicating a growing concern over the company's profitability.

 

Despite the increased loss, Uber managed to surpass revenue expectations, posting revenues of $10.13 billion for the quarter ended March 2024. This represents a growth from the $8.82 billion in revenue reported in the previous year and exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.55%. This revenue growth suggests that Uber is still expanding its business and finding ways to increase its market share, even as it struggles to achieve profitability. The company's CEO emphasized that Uber's primary competition is not other ride-hailing services but personal car ownership, indicating a strategic focus on long-term market dominance rather than short-term earnings.

 

However, the announcement of an unexpected quarterly loss led to a significant downturn in Uber's stock, which lost $12 billion in value. This reaction from the market underscores a growing impatience among investors regarding the company's path to profitability, especially as it nears its fifth anniversary as a publicly traded entity.

 

Despite this, analysts from JPMorgan, including Doug Anmuth and Neeraj Kookada, expressed the view that the initial sell-off was excessive. They maintain a bullish stance on Uber, with a price target of $95, suggesting nearly a 50% potential upside from the current levels. This optimism is rooted in Uber's strong performance prior to the earnings report, marked by record revenue, adjusted earnings, and gross bookings.

 

Following the earnings announcement, Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER) saw its stock price decrease by 6.25% to $66.03, reflecting a change of -$4.4. The stock fluctuated between a low of $63.84 and a high of $67.2 during the trading session, indicating market volatility in response to the earnings report. Over the past year, Uber's stock has reached a high of $82.14 and a low of $37.07, showcasing the company's potential for growth despite current challenges. With a market capitalization of approximately $137.44 billion and a trading volume of 24.38 million shares, Uber remains a significant player in the market, with the potential to overcome its profitability challenges and achieve long-term success.

Uber’s Review by Bernstein

Bernstein analysts noted a shift in sentiment around Uber (NYSE:UBER), suggesting that the stock has entered funding short territory. Despite maintaining an Outperform rating and a $95 price target, their analysis points to several factors that contribute to this perception.

Uber's stock has seen a 15% drop since its Valentine's Day Investor Update, raising concerns about risks to the investment thesis. Although the stock has gained 19% year-to-date and 78% over the past year, Bernstein cautions that stock growth isn't always linear.

Bernstein remains optimistic about Uber and sees its recent underperformance as an opportunity. However, they attribute the current sentiment and price action to a few factors, including recent multiple expansions, a less robust catalyst path, and rising concerns about robo-taxi disruption and regulatory challenges.

Despite these challenges, Bernstein sees Uber as a scaled, market-leading platform with improving profitability and strong potential for rapidly compounding free cash flow. They emphasize the benefits of owning industry leaders in sectors driven by network effects, which reinforces their long-term confidence in Uber's potential.

Uber’s Price Target Raised at Tigress Financial

Tigress Financial Partners analysts increased their price target on Uber (NYSE:UBER) to $96, maintaining their Buy rating. They highlighted Uber's strong position in both ride-sharing and delivery sectors, which they believe will continue to fuel user growth and booking trends over the next three years. This optimism follows Uber's announcement of a $7 billion share repurchase authorization, marking its first profitable year.

Uber's strategy includes expanding into complementary business lines, enhancing user engagement across its platforms, and increasing the frequency of use. Notably, over one-third of Uber's customers use multiple products, leading to significantly higher spending. The company is also focusing on growing its subscription services, boosting advertising revenue, and optimizing services with AI.

Significant growth drivers include the ability to cross-sell services such as Uber Eats, where a considerable percentage of users are converted from the ridesharing platform. Grocery and retail bookings are currently at a $7 billion run rate, with the company aiming to upsell these services to more Uber Eats customers.

Uber One membership, a key component of the delivery gross bookings, has seen substantial growth and now includes 19 million members across 25 countries, with members spending over three times more than non-members.

Additionally, Uber's initiatives to lower user acquisition costs and leverage AI for customer support are expected to enhance margin expansion. The company anticipates a 30-40% average annual adjusted cash flow growth over the next three years, with a conversion rate exceeding 90%.

The analysts also noted that Uber is well-positioned to capitalize on macro trends such as the increase in consumer travel and higher office attendance rates. They predict continued growth from the broader adoption of Transportation as a Service (TaaS), expanding partnerships, and the introduction of new innovative services.

Uber Technologies Inc. Hits Milestone with Uber Eats and Sets Ambitious 2024 Targets

Uber Technologies Inc. Achieves Milestone with Uber Eats

Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER:NYSE) has recently been in the spotlight for achieving a significant milestone with Uber Eats, reaching 1 million merchants globally, as reported by PYMNTS. This achievement not only highlights the platform's expansive growth but also its broad appeal across various sectors in the food and convenience industries. The diversity of partners, including restaurants, grocers, and convenience stores, ranging from small businesses to international chains, underscores Uber Eats' significant role in the gig economy and its contribution to Uber's overall growth trajectory.

In addition to the success of Uber Eats, Uber Technologies has demonstrated remarkable growth across its platforms. According to InvestorPlace, the company reported a 24% year-over-year increase in trips in 2023, totaling 2.6 billion. This growth is further complemented by the expansion of its Uber One membership program to 25 countries and a 75% increase in active advertising merchants year-over-year. For 2024, Uber has set ambitious targets, including $5 billion in adjusted earnings and gross bookings projected to be between $165 billion and $175 billion. The company's aim to be cash flow positive by the end of the year, coupled with expectations for its advertising business to generate $1 billion in gross bookings, positions Uber as a key player in the gig economy with significant growth potential.

Financially, Uber's performance has been impressive, with its fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA in 2023 jumping 93% to $1,283 million. This financial strength is further supported by the recent analysis from Ken Gawrelski of Wells Fargo, who set a new price target for Uber at $95, marking a potential upside of approximately 23.12% from its current price. This optimistic outlook is based on Uber's recent quarterly financials, which showed a revenue growth of approximately 6.93% and a gross profit growth of around 5.81%. Moreover, the company experienced a significant surge in net income growth, skyrocketing by approximately 546.61%, and operating income growth of about 65.48%.

However, it's important to note that while Uber has shown impressive growth in many areas, it has faced challenges with its cash flows. Free cash flow and operating cash flow decreased by approximately 15.14% and 14.80%, respectively. Despite these challenges, the overall positive sentiment towards Uber's future market performance, as highlighted by StreetInsider, suggests that the company's strategic initiatives and growth across its platforms may outweigh the concerns related to cash flow in the eyes of investors.

Uber's strategic growth, particularly in the Uber Eats segment and its broader platform, combined with its financial performance and the optimistic outlook from analysts, positions it as a compelling option for investors. The company's ability to navigate the complexities of the gig economy and leverage its diverse offerings across different sectors underscores its resilience and potential for continued growth. As the market sentiment improves and with Uber's ambitious targets for 2024, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the opportunities ahead, making it a noteworthy consideration for risk-tolerant investors looking to benefit from the improving investor sentiment and market momentum.

Uber’s Price Target Raised at Truist Securities

Truist Securities analysts increased their price target for Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) to $94 from $90 and continued with a Buy rating. The analysts’ evaluation, based on Truist Card Data which acts as an indicator for growth in both Uber's Mobility (Rides) and Delivery (Eats) Gross Bookings, suggests that Uber is surpassing consensus expectations in these segments.

Consequently, the analysts revised the forecasts for the first quarter of 2024, now expecting Total Gross Bookings, Revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA to be $38.4 billion, $10.2 billion, and $1,333 million, respectively. These figures are a slight increase from previous predictions and are above consensus estimates of $38.0 billion in Total Gross Bookings, $10.1 billion in Revenue, and $1,311 million in Adjusted EBITDA. They also align with the upper range of Uber's own guidance.

Uber’s Price Target Raised at Truist Securities

Truist Securities analysts increased their price target for Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) to $94 from $90 and continued with a Buy rating. The analysts’ evaluation, based on Truist Card Data which acts as an indicator for growth in both Uber's Mobility (Rides) and Delivery (Eats) Gross Bookings, suggests that Uber is surpassing consensus expectations in these segments.

Consequently, the analysts revised the forecasts for the first quarter of 2024, now expecting Total Gross Bookings, Revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA to be $38.4 billion, $10.2 billion, and $1,333 million, respectively. These figures are a slight increase from previous predictions and are above consensus estimates of $38.0 billion in Total Gross Bookings, $10.1 billion in Revenue, and $1,311 million in Adjusted EBITDA. They also align with the upper range of Uber's own guidance.

Uber Beats Q4 Expectations, Provides Strong Outlook

In its fourth-quarter financials, Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) exceeded expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66, significantly outpacing the $0.16 consensus. The company's revenue reached $9.94 billion, surpassing analyst predictions of $9.76 billion.

Gross bookings for the quarter stood at $37.58 billion, a 22% year-over-year increase and higher than the $37.12 billion forecast. Mobility bookings amounted to $19.29 billion, slightly over the $19.1 billion projection, while delivery bookings totaled $17.01 billion, outperforming the $16.76 billion expectation.

Uber also reported a 15% year-over-year increase in monthly active platform consumers to 150 million, ahead of the 148.19 million forecast. For the first quarter, Uber projects gross bookings to be between $37 billion and $38.5 billion, compared to the analysts' expectation of $37.26 billion. The company's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $1.26 billion and $1.34 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.25 billion.