RBC Capital Boosts Toll Brothers Price Target Following Q3 Earnings

• Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is a leading builder of luxury homes in the U.S., with a strong presence in over 60 markets across 24 states.
• The grand opening of the Frida model home at Nola at Escena in Palm Springs highlights the company's commitment to luxury and modern design.
• Recent stock activity saw Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer Michael J. Grubb selling 500 shares, with the stock price reflecting a slight increase.

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is a prominent builder of luxury homes in the United States. The company is known for its high-end residential properties and has a strong presence in over 60 markets across 24 states. Toll Brothers offers a variety of services, including architectural, engineering, mortgage, and land development. The company has been recognized as one of Fortune magazine’s World's Most Admired Companies for over a decade.

The grand opening of the model home at Nola at Escena in Palm Springs, California, is a significant event for Toll Brothers. The Frida model home showcases innovative architecture and a blend of luxury and modern desert design. This aligns with the company's reputation for offering luxurious lifestyles, as highlighted by Brad Hare, Division President of Toll Brothers in Southern California. The homes at Nola at Escena range from 2,277 to over 2,402 square feet, with prices starting at $1.24 million.

In recent stock activity, Michael J. Grubb, Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of Toll Brothers, sold 500 shares of Common Stock at $120 each. This transaction was reported on Form 4, filed on July 15, 2025. Following the sale, Grubb holds 2,439 shares of the company's Common Stock. The stock for TOL is currently priced at $116.03, reflecting an increase of 1.98% or $2.25.

TOL's stock has shown some volatility, with a trading range between $113.52 and $116.35 during the day. Over the past year, the stock has reached a high of $169.52 and a low of $86.67. The company's market capitalization is approximately $11.39 billion, indicating its significant presence in the luxury homebuilding market. Today's trading volume for TOL stands at 1,030,058 shares, reflecting active investor interest.

• RBC Capital maintains an "Outperform" rating for Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), adjusting the price target from $139 to $133.
• Despite a decrease in earnings and revenue projections, Toll Brothers increases its quarterly dividend, showcasing financial stability.
• The luxury homebuilder faces challenges from high mortgage rates and the Federal Reserve's rate outlook but remains a significant player in the luxury housing market.

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is a prominent homebuilder specializing in luxury homes. The company is known for its high-end residential properties and operates primarily in the United States. As a leader in the luxury housing market, Toll Brothers competes with other major homebuilders like PulteGroup and D.R. Horton. These companies also face challenges in the current economic climate, including high mortgage rates and affordability issues.

On May 20, 2025, RBC Capital maintained its "Outperform" rating for Toll Brothers, with the stock priced at $105.73. Despite the challenges in the housing market, RBC Capital's analyst Mike Dahl adjusted the price target from $139 to $133, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook. The stock has seen a 15% increase over the past month, although it remains down 15% year-to-date.

Toll Brothers is set to release its second-quarter earnings results, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.86 per share, down from $4.75 per share last year. The projected quarterly revenue is $2.49 billion, a decrease from $2.84 billion a year ago. Despite these declines, the company recently increased its quarterly dividend from 23 cents to 25 cents per share, indicating confidence in its financial stability.

The company has exceeded earnings expectations in three of the past four quarters, with a fiscal year 2025 EPS consensus of $13.72. Revenue is projected to slightly decrease to $10.71 billion. Toll Brothers faces the challenge of maintaining its gross margins while affordability in core markets is stretched. The Federal Reserve's rate outlook continues to impact demand in the luxury housing market, affecting new order activity.

Investors are also considering Toll Brothers' dividends, with an annual yield of 0.93%. To earn $500 monthly from dividends, an investment of approximately $643,560, or around 6,000 shares, would be required. The stock's current price is $105.30, with a market capitalization of approximately $10.47 billion. Despite the challenges, Toll Brothers remains a key player in the luxury homebuilding sector.

• The consensus price target for Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) remains stable at $155, reflecting steady analyst confidence.
• Wells Fargo analyst sets a cautious price target of $82 ahead of the company's second-quarter earnings release.
• Toll Brothers showcases a significant financial growth with a revenue CAGR of 12% from 2014 to 2024.

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is a prominent builder of luxury homes in the United States, operating through two main segments: Traditional Home Building and City Living. Beyond home building, Toll Brothers is involved in developing golf courses, country clubs, and rental apartments. Founded in 1967, the company is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

The consensus price target for Toll Brothers has remained stable at $155 over the past month and quarter. This stability suggests that analysts have maintained their outlook on the company's stock performance in the short term. However, Wells Fargo analyst Deepa Raghavan has set a lower price target of $82, indicating a more cautious view ahead of the company's second-quarter earnings release.

Over the past year, the average price target for Toll Brothers has increased from $146 to $155. This positive shift in analyst sentiment may reflect confidence in the company's strategic initiatives and market position. Despite this, analysts are predicting a decline in earnings for the upcoming financial report, as highlighted by Zacks.

Toll Brothers has demonstrated significant financial growth, with revenue rising from $3.9 billion in 2014 to $10.8 billion in 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12%. The fair value of Toll Brothers' equity is estimated at $200 per share, indicating an 85% potential upside from the current market price of $108. However, the company faces challenges such as high reinvestment needs and fluctuating free cash flow growth.

Investors should keep an eye on market conditions, company performance, and industry trends that could influence Toll Brothers' stock target price. The upcoming earnings report will be crucial in assessing the company's performance and potential for generating returns. As the report date approaches, investors should be prepared for the expectations set by analysts like Deepa Raghavan.

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is a prominent home construction company in the United States, known for its luxury homes. As the company prepares to release its quarterly earnings on May 20, 2025, Wall Street analysts have set their expectations for an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.86 and projected revenue of approximately $2.49 billion. The anticipated EPS of $2.86 for the quarter ending April 2025 represents a 15.4% decline from the same period last year, as highlighted by Zacks Investment Research. This decline is attributed to a decrease in revenue, which is expected to reach $2.49 billion, marking an 11.8% drop from the previous year.

Despite these challenges, the consensus EPS estimate has remained stable over the past month, indicating that analysts have not revised their projections. The fair value of the company's equity is estimated at $200 per share, suggesting an 85% upside potential from its current market price of $108. This positions Toll Brothers as an attractive investment opportunity for shareholders.

The company's financial metrics further highlight its potential. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 7.11, Toll Brothers is valued relatively low compared to its earnings. Its price-to-sales ratio of about 0.98 and enterprise value to sales ratio of around 1.20 reflect its market value in relation to sales. Additionally, the company maintains a strong current ratio of about 4.24, indicating good short-term financial health and liquidity.

As the earnings report approaches, the market is closely monitoring how Toll Brothers' actual results will compare to these estimates. The management's discussion during the earnings call will be crucial in determining the sustainability of any immediate price changes and future earnings expectations. If Toll Brothers exceeds expectations, the stock might see an increase, while falling short could lead to a decline.

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) fell nearly 7% intra-day today after the luxury homebuilder reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter earnings, with revenue and profit missing analyst projections.

For the quarter, earnings per share came in at $1.75, below the $2.04 consensus estimate. Revenue reached $1.86 billion, falling short of Wall Street’s $1.91 billion forecast.

Despite a 3% year-over-year increase in home deliveries to 1,991 units, the average home price dropped 7.8% to $924,600, reflecting pricing pressures in certain markets.

Toll Brothers' CEO noted that while demand remained solid, the spring selling season has been mixed, with affordability constraints and growing inventories in some markets dampening sales—particularly at lower price points. However, the company emphasized continued strength in high-end markets.

The homebuilder maintained its full-year outlook, expecting to deliver between 11,200 and 11,600 homes at an average price of $945,000 to $965,000, signaling confidence in stabilizing demand despite market fluctuations.

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) fell nearly 7% intra-day today after the luxury homebuilder reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter earnings, with revenue and profit missing analyst projections.

For the quarter, earnings per share came in at $1.75, below the $2.04 consensus estimate. Revenue reached $1.86 billion, falling short of Wall Street’s $1.91 billion forecast.

Despite a 3% year-over-year increase in home deliveries to 1,991 units, the average home price dropped 7.8% to $924,600, reflecting pricing pressures in certain markets.

Toll Brothers' CEO noted that while demand remained solid, the spring selling season has been mixed, with affordability constraints and growing inventories in some markets dampening sales—particularly at lower price points. However, the company emphasized continued strength in high-end markets.

The homebuilder maintained its full-year outlook, expecting to deliver between 11,200 and 11,600 homes at an average price of $945,000 to $965,000, signaling confidence in stabilizing demand despite market fluctuations.