HSBC Downgrades Qualcomm to Hold Amid AI PC Market Concerns, Shares Drop 8%

Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) shares dropped more than 8% on Wednesday after HSBC downgraded the company to Hold, expressing caution due to a lack of catalysts and a less optimistic outlook on the AI PC market. The target price was slightly raised to $200 from $190, but analysts remain wary about the stock’s near-term prospects.

HSBC predicts Qualcomm’s Q3/24 results will align with consensus estimates, expecting revenue of $9.3 billion, just above the consensus of $9.2 billion. The gross margin for Q3/24 is forecasted at 55.9%, slightly below the Street estimate of 56.1%.

Looking ahead to Q4/24, HSBC foresees revenue remaining flat at $9.3 billion, falling short of the consensus estimate of $9.8 billion due to anticipated lower handset revenue. The gross margin for Q4 is projected to drop to 55.6%, compared to the consensus of 55.9%.

HSBC points to ongoing uncertainties in the smartphone market, particularly with a projected 15% quarter-over-quarter decline in China’s Android handset market.

Additionally, the rollout of the 3nm-based Snapdragon Gen 4 is expected to pressure gross margins as higher costs outpace the average selling price premium. Potential unit shipment losses from 4G SoCs at Huawei also contribute to the cautious outlook.

Symbol Price %chg
AMD.BA 18425 0.14
TXN.BA 53250 0.66
000660.KS 191800 0
LRCX.BA 21050 -0.24
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Qualcomm's Bullish $200 Price Target by Rosenblatt Securities Amid Tech Growth

Qualcomm's Bullish Outlook by Rosenblatt Securities

Kevin Cassidy of Rosenblatt Securities has recently set a bullish price target of $200 for Qualcomm (QCOM), suggesting a potential upside of about 12.7% from its current price of $177.47. This optimistic outlook, published on May 2, 2024, underscores Qualcomm's strong position in the market, especially when considering the broader context of its financial performance and strategic moves in the technology sector. A detailed analysis by Benzinga further supports this view, emphasizing Qualcomm's solid performance and positive guidance amidst a challenging environment for the smartphone industry.

Qualcomm's recent earnings announcement has evidently bolstered investor confidence, leading to a 4% increase in its stock price in premarket trading. This surge is largely attributed to the company's successful penetration of the Chinese smartphone market with AI-driven demand. Qualcomm reported a remarkable 40% increase in sales to Chinese smartphone manufacturers in the first half of its fiscal year, driven by a shift towards higher-priced devices equipped with AI capabilities. This trend not only highlights Qualcomm's recovery after a two-year downturn but also its strategic positioning to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced technology in smartphones.

The broader implications of Qualcomm's success are significant, especially when contrasted with the performance of other companies in the tech sector. For instance, Fastly Inc (NYSE: FSLY) experienced a dramatic 34.3% drop in its stock price following mixed first-quarter results, marking a stark divergence in the fortunes of the two companies. While Fastly adjusted its full-year revenue forecast downwards, Qualcomm's outlook remains robust, buoyed by its strong performance and positive third-quarter sales projections that exceed estimates. This contrast not only underscores Qualcomm's resilience but also its ability to navigate market challenges more effectively than some of its peers.

Moreover, Qualcomm's growth is not confined to the smartphone segment. The company is also making significant strides in the Internet of Things (IoT) and automotive sectors, areas that are expected to contribute to its financial growth. With projections to add more than $8 billion in revenue, Qualcomm's diversified business model positions it well to leverage opportunities across various technology sectors. This expansion is particularly noteworthy given the increasing adoption of Qualcomm's high-end chips by Chinese vendors, a move that signifies a shift in market preferences and positions Qualcomm as a key player in the high-stakes tech industry.

The stock's performance, closing at $178.79 with an 8.95% rise, reaching its highest point for the year at $181.68, further validates Qualcomm's strong market position. With a market capitalization of approximately $199.53 billion and a trading volume of 19,124,414 shares on the NASDAQ exchange, Qualcomm's financial metrics reflect its solid foundation and promising outlook. This performance, coupled with strategic growth in key technology sectors, suggests that Qualcomm is well-equipped to sustain its momentum and continue delivering value to its shareholders.

Qualcomm Gains 8% on Q2 Beat

Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) fiscal second-quarter results, released on Wednesday, exceeded Wall Street estimates, driven by improved chip sales as smartphone demand continued to recover. Following this news, Qualcomm saw an 8% rise intra-day today.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.44 on revenue of $9.39 billion, surpassing the expected $2.32 EPS and $9.34 billion in revenue. The stronger-than-expected results were attributed to a 1% increase in handset chip sales, reaching $6.18 billion in Q2 compared to the previous year.

For the third quarter, Qualcomm expects adjusted EPS between $2.15 and $2.35, with revenue ranging from $8.8 billion to $9.6 billion. These projections compare to the analysts' estimates of an adjusted EPS of $2.18 and revenue of $9.04 billion.

Qualcomm Reports Q1 Beat, Provides Guidance

Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) unveiled its fiscal first-quarter earnings, surpassing Wall Street's expectations amid a resurgence in smartphone demand that propelled sales of handset chips. However, concerns about potential weaknesses in its crucial Chinese market led to investor caution. Shares fell nearly 2% pre-market today.

The company achieved adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.75 and revenue of $9.92 billion, outperforming analyst forecasts of $2.37 EPS and $9.49 billion in revenue.

A significant factor contributing to Qualcomm's financial success was a notable 16% increase in handset chip sales compared to the same period last year, totaling $6.69 billion. This comes after a 27% year-on-year decline in handset revenue in the preceding quarter.

Sales of automotive chips for the quarter ending December 24 also saw a substantial rise, increasing by nearly a third to $598 million. However, Qualcomm's Internet-of-Things (IoT) unit experienced a 32% drop in revenue, bringing it down to $1.14 billion.

For the current quarter ending in March, Qualcomm anticipates adjusted EPS to be between $2.20 and $2.40, with projected revenue ranging from $8.9 billion to $9.7 billion. These figures surpass Wall Street's previous profit and revenue expectations of $2.25 EPS and $9.28 billion.

Qualcomm Reports Q1 Beat, Provides Guidance

Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) unveiled its fiscal first-quarter earnings, surpassing Wall Street's expectations amid a resurgence in smartphone demand that propelled sales of handset chips. However, concerns about potential weaknesses in its crucial Chinese market led to investor caution. Shares fell nearly 2% pre-market today.

The company achieved adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.75 and revenue of $9.92 billion, outperforming analyst forecasts of $2.37 EPS and $9.49 billion in revenue.

A significant factor contributing to Qualcomm's financial success was a notable 16% increase in handset chip sales compared to the same period last year, totaling $6.69 billion. This comes after a 27% year-on-year decline in handset revenue in the preceding quarter.

Sales of automotive chips for the quarter ending December 24 also saw a substantial rise, increasing by nearly a third to $598 million. However, Qualcomm's Internet-of-Things (IoT) unit experienced a 32% drop in revenue, bringing it down to $1.14 billion.

For the current quarter ending in March, Qualcomm anticipates adjusted EPS to be between $2.20 and $2.40, with projected revenue ranging from $8.9 billion to $9.7 billion. These figures surpass Wall Street's previous profit and revenue expectations of $2.25 EPS and $9.28 billion.

Qualcomm Earns an Upgrade at Citi

Citi analysts raised their rating for Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) from Neutral to Buy, increasing the price target significantly from $110.00 to $160.00.

The analysts noted that the restocking activity in the handset market is expected to positively impact Qualcomm's revenue and margins. They anticipate this trend of inventory replenishment to persist at least until the first quarter of 2024. Additionally, the analysts project that Qualcomm will likely expand its market share with Samsung during this period.

Qualcomm Technologies Stock Gains 3% on Agreement with Apple

Qualcomm Technologies (NASDAQ:QCOM) announced a significant agreement with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to supply high-end chips for Apple's smartphones. This partnership will cover product launches in 2024, 2025, and 2026, resulting in a 3% surge in Qualcomm's stock intra-day today.

Qualcomm emphasized that this deal underscores its continued leadership in 5G technologies and products. Apple will incorporate Qualcomm's 5G Modem-RF Systems in its upcoming devices, with terms similar to their previous agreement.

Additionally, Qualcomm highlighted its 20% share of chipset supply for the smartphone launch in 2026. It's worth noting that their six-year global patent license agreement, established in 2019, remains unchanged, with an option for a two-year extension.