Nokia Oyj (NOK) on Q3 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

David Mulholland : Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to Nokia's Third Quarter 2021 Results Call. I'm David Mulholland, Head of Nokia Investor Relations. And today in espo with me is Pekka Lundmark, our President and CEO, along with Marco Wiren, our CFO. During this call we will be making forward-looking statements regarding our future business and financial performance. And these statements are predictions that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may therefore differ materially from the results we currently expect. Factors that could cause such differences can be both external as well as internal operating factors. We have identified such risks in more detail in the section titled operating and financial review and prospects, risk factors of our 2020 annual report on Form 20-F, as well as other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Within the presentation today, unless otherwise stated, references to growth rates will be mostly on a constant-currency basis and margins will be on a comparable reporting basis. Please note that our results release the complete report with tables and the presentation on our website include comparable results information in addition to the reported results, including a detailed explanation and reconciliation between the two. So with that, in terms of what we'll go through today, I'll shortly hand over to Pekka who will go through a brief overview of our financial performance before giving an update on the project progress that we're making in terms of the strategic objectives we've given each business. We'll then run through a quick word on enterprise along with how we see the supply chain constraints, and then hand over to Marco, who'll go through the financial performance in more detail before we get Q&A. So with that, over to Pekka. Pekka Lundmark : Thank you very much, David. And thank you, everybody for joining today. We had another great quarter, third quarter 2021. Strong execution. Also some headwinds that I want to highlight, especially when it comes to top line because of component availability. I'll come back to that soon, because in the big picture, when we look at our numbers in the quarter, we had 2% top line growth. It's 6% year-to-date. But what is interesting is that actually we have could grown faster without supply chain constraints. So the main point here is that we are currently not constrained by market demand or our own production capacity. But what is constraining our growth at the moment is availability of components. 2% growth, couple of highlights. First of all, our most important and largest market, North America, we had excellent 9% growth despite some of these earlier communicated headwinds that we had in mobile networks. The other businesses in North America, very well compensated for the decline that we had in mobile networks, which was very much expected. Then couple of other highlights. Cloud and network services had really good 12% growth and Nokia Technologies also double-digit, 11% growth. And network infrastructure overall against the pretty strong Q3 last year had 6% growth. And within the network infrastructure group, the Fixed Networks division was really the standout though this quarter with fantastic 29% growth. So overall, pretty good quarter from top line point of view. Then if we move to profitability, gross margin -- first, this is really a testimony to our -- improving product competitiveness. We had comparable gross margin expanding by 340 basis points. And this is pretty much across the board at the moment and particularly pleasing to see that mobile networks had 220 basis points. Expansion in gross margin, our group margin 40.8%, As I said, 340 basis points improvement. Mobile Networks, 220 basis points. We also had very strong year-over-year gross margin expansion in Cloud and Network services. Even if we were to exclude some of the projects related provisions that we made in Q3 last year, this is very important to note because CNS, these 2 quarters, Q3 this year and last year, they are not entirely apples to apples. So very good development in gross margin. And that's of course then reflected in the operating margin where we had 250 basis points expansion to do a pretty decent level of 11.7%, And here it's again worth noting that this is of course, after the investment -- increasing investment that we have put into research and development to strengthen our technology leadership. So pretty good operating margin development. And then the last point about financial highlights is really cash-conversion. We not only did have good operating margin, but also good cash conversion, slightly over 700 million euro free cash flow. And the result of that is, that we now, at the end of the third quarter, we have 4.3 billion euro net cash on our balance sheet. Then I moved to some other highlights on businesses, and I'll be talking quite a bit of technology because it is really the fundamental thing that is driving our competitiveness. And I want to start with perhaps the most important technology highlight of this quarter, which was the launch of the next generation FB5 routing silicon. In our IP routing business, we have actually gained market share with every generation of product that we have -- that we have brought to the market, and we believe that this will continue. What we have now launched is industry's most advanced network processing silicon with 4.8 terabits per second capacity. This gives operators performance without compromise for service provider IP networks. And this capacity that this platform gives is approximately three times more compared to the previous generation. At the same time with that, when we are increasing capacity 3 times, we are actually reducing power consumption per bit by 75%. So there is more capacity. There is less power consumption per bit. And one very important detail about the product is that or the platform is that it is the first in the world to provide 800 gigabit Ethernet interfaces. It's not only power efficient and has a lot of capacity, but it's also extremely flexible in terms of programming capabilities to support the constantly evolving network needs, network evolution -- network structural evolution. And on top of everything, it has very advanced security and encryption capabilities which are actually in-built directly on the chipset level to protect the network against various types of attacks. Feedback to this launch has been great from customers. What is, of course, important to keep in mind that this is a silicon platform. Now, and on top of this, we will then be rolling out a whole new generation of products and these rollouts will begin gradually during the first half of 2022. Then I would like to move to another business and that is Fixed Networks because I already said that Fixed Networks within the network infrastructure division was actually the standout of this whole quarter in terms of growth, 29% year-on-year growth despite actually quite tough comparables in the third quarter last year. Going forward, comparables will continue to get more challenging, but we actually believe quite a lot in opportunities in this business. They remain substantial. And let me explain why. And of course, the main key underlying reason is the lasting effect on importance of fast home connectivity because of COVID. That means that broadband is not only about mobile. Operators are actually currently prioritizing fiber investment. And here you can see this is Nokia's product sales excluding services. The gray color here represents Copper, which of course is a declining business. The green one -- green color is fiber. and you can see the fast expansion in our fiber access volume so the past couple of years. And then very importantly, there is a new segment here, which is fixed wireless access, which is still very small today but expected to grow a lot going forward. Then of course comes to question on the sustainability of this growth and I just want to make one highlight here. This craft shows in various countries, Germany, UK, Italy, Poland, and France, so forth. First of all, with the yellow orange color, homes with fiber accessibility, homes that could be connected. They are not all connected yet, but they could technically be connected because there is a fiber that is passing the home. And then the light blue color represents homes which have not been passed so today, which means that they cannot even be connected today. So all of these here, the blue color, representing the remaining opportunity. So it is substantial across many, many parts of the world. So the market opportunity is clearly there. Then the next question is that how are we able to address that opportunity product wise. And here I would like to start with exactly in the same way as I was talking about in the second quarter and we've been talking about the System-on-Chips platforms importance for Mobile Networks business through ReefShark. Now in the second quarter, we launched FB5 for routing networks -- IP networks. Here also, the important source of competitiveness is our chips at Quillion asic (ph), which enables high density, low power solutions, which has led us to actually lead the GPON. and now lately XGS - pon market. We are currently number one in GPON Fixed Access. And we are very clear leader in XGS - pon. XGS - pon is 10 gigabit symmetrical passive optical network, which is establishing itself as the leading technology of choice and it's predicted to overtake chip on next year. We actually have 40% market share outside of China in XGS-Pon, Optical Line terminals. Interesting thing about the Quillion chipset is that it is also used as a platform for the next generation after XGS-Pon, which will be 25 gig Pon. In this segment, we believe that we are 18 months ahead of competition. We have one live -- this is very new, of course, all of this, but we have one live network with Proximus in Belgium and over 20 trials. And the best part of this is that this is really available today if customers want this technology, 25 gig, today, we are able to deliver. And one more point about this 25 gig is strictly upgradable from 10 gig. So operators have a secure investment when they want to do future upgrades to 25 gigahertz per second. And then one more Fixed Access segment that I want to highlight which I already mentioned is fixed wireless access where we are, number 1, also in the world at the moment with more than 25 deployments. What you see here is our home access box for fixed wireless. We also continue to innovate with the new approach to make millimeter wave radio viable in fixed wireless access. We have a new clever antenna design and algorithms where we provide extremely high gain, 360 degree field of view, and continued optimization of the various propagation paths for the signal. This means that we can establish a good connection even with weak or reflected signals and still allow for consumer indoor self-install, which is of course critical to make the business case work. Then moving on to, of course, one of our absolute main businesses. In addition to network infrastructure, which I've now covered, it is of course Mobile Networks where we also have pretty good progress. We have now since we launched our new AirScale portfolio in the second quarter, we have received extremely good customer feedback and a lot of additional traction with customers. And the latest number is a 189 commercial 5G deals and 72 live GSP 5G -- CSP 5G networks. One, it's more than curiosity actually that we have now placed the world's first 5G carrier aggregation call in a standalone architecture with Taiwan mobile. We have increased quite a lot our technology and R&D investment in 5G as we have been discussing several times earlier. And the encouraging thing is that this investment is delivering results. Here you can see a 12-month trailing gross margin development in our Mobile Networks business. And operating margin development as you have see -- will have seen has also been good, and that is, of course, after this pretty strong increase that we have put in in the R&D investment. Our gross margin in the quarter was 37.8%, and I said up 220 basis points, driven by improvements in cost competitiveness. Then couple of comments on Cloud and Network Services. And of course, as we've been discussing quite a lot earlier, this is in a way you reset for CNS where we are in the middle of a pretty big product portfolio rebalancing. And against this backdrop, it was really encouraging to see how this quarter went. We had 12% growth in constant currency. This was driven by -- very much by the Core Network business, which is -- 5G Core is one of the key focus areas of CSN. We're making good progress overall in the product portfolio re-balancing and while we're doing that, we have now decided to focus on 6 segments within CSN. I already mentioned 5G core, which of course enables new use cases, drives capacity, and cost efficiency. Then we are focusing on analytics and AI to optimize network efficiency, quality of experience, then very importantly, private wireless to accelerate its utilization and automation of enterprises all the millions and millions of industrial accomplishes of this world. Digital operations, a very important segment, automated provision of services, managing the complexity of the service delivery, enabling slicing of the network, just to give a couple of examples. Monetization/billing of our 5G -- new 5G user case is service models in a way to monetize everything that the customer is investing in. And then last but definitely not least. The big focus area is managed security for the network. Protect new attacks surfaces, handle device proliferation and so on. And in a way a big Directional ambition in this business is to continuously develop towards new business models like network as a service to build recurring business model, where you actually offer Network functionality implemented with software on a cloud as a service. Then a couple of comments on the enterprise business, which is not of course, reported as separate business group because the product comes from different business groups. But we have one system solution approach and one go-to-market approach in this business. We cannot, of course, be happy with a 4% decline in enterprise sales this year. It was 3% year-to-date. There were some bulkiness in this, especially with large wave scalars. What I do want to emphasize is that we are currently building a strong backlog for this business for 2022. One of the key segments in our enterprise strategy is of course private wireless, as I said, and that part of the business is clearly drawing double-digit at the moment. We have already over 380 wireless -- private wireless customers. This whole market is still in the very early stages. I just earlier mentioned the millions and millions of industrial accomplishes that will be our targets going forward. And it is so important that we have actually decided to double down our investment. We're ramping our investment in this space to further extend our market leadership. We have recently launched a product platform called MX Industrial Edge, which actually takes the industrial edge opportunity beyond pure connectivity. We're now launching an application platform with open interfaces for application developers to create a full ecosystem for industrial digitalization. And then my last comment before I hand over to Marco is about the supply chain because as I already said initially, this is a bit of a challenging situation and of course the background to all of this is that the global semiconductor demand is greatly exceeding supply at the moment. Here you can see that the demand only between 2020 and 2022 in the world is expected to grow by almost 40%. And this is then combined with the unprecedented component cost inflation for our industry. For a long time our industry has been used to with , where prices are continuously eroding. Now, at least temporarily that trend seems to have -- seems to have turned. We are working relentlessly, of course, with both our suppliers and with our customers. It's very hands on every day work with two goals in mind. To ensure component availability, to make sure that our customers get what they need. And then number 2, to deal with the cost inflation. And of course, our goal is to minimize the impact on our margins. But we do expect that this will have an effect on Q4 and it also could limit our margin expansion potential in 2022. At least it is fair to say that limit -- that visibility to Q4 and 2022 is not what it typically has been at this time of the year so this -- that's cause uncertainty we have been dealing with this challenging situation fairly well in the future. This is not the Nokia specific issue. This is an industry issue, but it would be naive to say that it would not affect us as well. It will and it is possible that the situation will get more challenging before it then starts getting better. Thank you very much and now I would like to hand over to Marco. Marco Wiren: Thank you, Pekka, and good morning from my side as well. I will dig deeper into the financial performance of Nokia during the quarter 3, and I will start with the market estimates. The overall market is pretty much stable compared to our previous view as well but there's a couple of items that I would like to highlight. And the first one is the mobile networks. And as you see, we actually estimate that the addressable market will grow about 5% instead of 6% as we had in our previous estimate. And the main driver here is that we believe that the supply chain situation that Pekka just mentioned will impact this market. And also what comes to the network infrastructure, we believe that these mortgage is also affected by the supply chain constraints. But considering the year-to-date growth, we believe that this market is actually growing 5% instead of 4%. And we especially see in the fixed networks and IP networks side with the CSP customers, where the market is for a strong. And then if we looked for 2% growth that we had in quarter 3, we can see if there is a lot of changes in between different geographies. And it was not with the North America. You can see that we had a 9% growth and we had headwinds in mobile networks just like we have been mentioning those earlier. But these were offset by the double-digit growth that we saw in network infrastructure and Cloud and Network Services. And just to mention also that all the three businesses in networking infrastructure had double-digit growth numbers in North America. And now I exclude ASN because ASN is a different business and it's between the geographies quite a lot of. Then the second area I would like to highlight is Asia-Pacific. As you can see, we had 18% growth in Asia-Pacific, and the main driver here was very strong 5G investments in Japan. And the third item, I would like to highlight is India. As you see, we had a negative development there about 7% but here I would say that it's more a timing issue. If you look the year-to-date growth in India, it's 26% so it's quite remarkable development there. And the last geography that I would like to highlight is Europe. We see a 5% decline and this is more related to network infrastructure business while mobile networks business was more stable and year-to-date figure for Europe is plus 2%. And if we look at what has happened in our operating margin development and as Pekka mentioned already that the new operational model has definitely strengthened our focus on the accountability within the . And that's why it's very nice to see that we had this 250 basis points expansion operating margin in Q3. And if we look for different factors that have affected this, and we had a negative impact from product mix. And I would say that basically two factors here is ASN and CNS growth that has an impact on our overall group operator margin, and that's why we saw these negative impact in group level. The next one is regional mix, where we had a positive impact. And this is basically coming from North America and Asia Pacific. And then if you look at the cost side, we have definitely done a lot of improvements in our cost competitiveness in mobile networks. But this have been offset by increased R&D investments, but also some higher incentive accruals that we've done this year compared to last year. Then there's two items that I would like to highlight that have impact on our development here as well. And the first one is the venture fund investments that we have. We actually had a plus 40 million impact in the third quarter. And if you compare with last year the same quarter, we had a minus 20 million impact. And then the loss provisions, just like Pekka mentioned already, we had in our CNS business last year project - related loss provisions. And of course, that had a positive impact now, because we don't have those this year. And if we dig deeper in each of the businesses and look their performance during the quarter and starting with the mobile networks, Pekka rementioned that the very queued 220 basis points expansion on gross margin in mobile networks. And of course, we can see here that the cost competitiveness that we've been focusing on is giving results. But also we had a good regional mix that gave benefits here. And of course, what comes to operating margin, you see those investments in R&D that is affecting our operating margin. And also some incentive accruals here. Then going into network infrastructure, you can see that we had a 6% growth and the major drivers here where just like Pekka mentioned, that fixed networks 39% growth in the quarter. It's a remarkable, but also ASN had a 20% growth in this quarter. While IP networks was about flat and Optical had a 12% decline. But here we have to remember that last year Optical was benefited by the pent up demand, followed by the COVID, and we had actually all-time high quarter 3 sales in last year. And that's why we saw this decline. And then of course, if you look at the operating margin, that was declining compared to last year, and the main reasons here are basically the mix that has a negative impact, but also that we have ramped up our R&D investments during this period. And remember that year-to-date figure is pretty cute and expansion from last year year-to-date operating margin is 470 basis points. So I would say pretty cute development here. And then if we look Cloud and Network Services, we had a 12% growth and this growth is basically coming from those two key focus areas that we have, which is 5G Core and Enterprise Solutions. And of course, when you look at the year-on-year development on the operating margin, you can see that there's a huge increase. But remember that just about above half of that expansion is due to these project related loss provisions. But also excluding that, we see that the improvement is 10% at this point. So it is definitely good work here as well and we've been getting results out of those operational improvements and top-line growth that we've been seeing here. Then Nokia Technologies had an 11% growth, and of course, these are benefiting from the contracts that we've been signing since end of last year until now. And we believe that the annualized run rate sales is about $1.4 to $1.5 billion. And if we look at our cash performance, we can say that now we have the sixth quarter in a row with a positive free cash flow. And also the fact that we converted almost all adjusted profit into cash. And that's why the quarter end net cash balance was $4.3 billion. What comes to working capital I can say that the inventories increased only 70 million in the quarter. And of course, in the situation where we are at today, we perhaps would have -- like to see a little bit more increase to get more visibility and security on the supply side when it comes to semiconductors. And if we take a step back and look a little bit longer trend, what comes to cast generation. It used to be a little bit more volatile. Now we actually see more consistent track record of free cash flow generation. And of course this is reflecting all the actions that we have taken on the past quarters to secure very good focus on networking capital. And at the same time, we have doing restructurings and significantly reducing the sale of receivables. and this has led to very strong liquidity position. Then I'd like to just highlight that when it comes to dividend, just like we said in our capital markets already, that our ambition is to get back to dividend paying position. But remember, this is Board of Directors decision. And after the quarter 4, Board will assess the possibility of proposing a dividend to the AGM based on our dividend policy. And we want to also say that we are reiterating our full-year outlook and we expect that we -- on the operating margin side, that we will be in the upper end of this range. And seasonality, we have been mentioning as well that we believe it's different in this year and those headwinds that we have communicated will impact that. But also the fact that uncertainty of global semiconductor markets will limit our visibility not only in Q4, but also what comes to 2022. And that's more of the semiconductor situation and the one of that we have had this year mainly made our margin expansion potential in 2022. This year-to-date one-off so far we have had about 100 basis points in our operating margin. But at the same time, we believe we are well-positioned to capitalize the strong demand that we see in our end market through those technology investments and technology leadership that we have, and also the improved cost competitiveness that we have. So this is all from my side. I thank you, and back to you, David. David Mulholland : Thank you, Marco. We'll now start the Q&A session. For the Q&A session, please could you limit yourself to one question as a courtesy to everyone else in the queue. Operator, could you please go ahead and give the instructions. Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the questions and answer session. If you are also doing the video webcast, please mute the audio on your computer before asking your question as there is a 30 seconds delay. comes from Dominik Olszewski from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Dominik Olszewski : Yes. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. You mentioned the 100 basis points of one-offs this year as a positive to operating margin. And as you flagged at the first half as well.Throughout the equally, the supply chain is going to gain too this year. So could you maybe discuss how much it comes by -- how much of revenue impacts or profit impact has that been this year or maybe into Q4. And then secondly, you shared the slides on fiber penetration. Can you just touch on how much operating leverage do you have into that team? Because obviously impressive growth. So how much additional investment does it need? Thanks. Marco Wiren: Thank you, Dominic. And what comes to the impacts of semiconductor situation this year? We believe we definitely have seen some impact on slide we highlighted already in Q2 that we could have had higher sales in Q2, but also now in Q3. And that will affect us Q4 as well. We haven't quantified exact numbers, but just like we said, that we would have been able to grow faster than we are, because end markets are supporting high across. Dominik Olszewski : If I take the fiber question, the Fiber Access business is volume sensitive. You need high volumes to get to good margins and that's exactly where we're getting now and you're seeing actually the result coming through now when we have this type of growth. We have been increasing and will most likely continue to slightly increase the R&D investment there, but not in such a way that it would in a way eat away all the good things that we would get through the volume. David Mulholland : Thank you, Dominik. Just a reminder if you'd keep yourself to one question, please. Rachel, next question. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Francois Bouvignies from UBS. Please go ahead. Francois Bouvignies: Thank you very much. The question I have is on your performance by regions and mainly Europe and China down this quarter. I just want to have your thoughts of what should we expect for the next quarters. 1, because of Europe, it seem that you have a lot of product launches and with the challenges of -- that Huawei is facing, should we expect some market share, maybe gain in the next few quarters in Europe and maybe coming back to a hefty gross there? And on in China in light of the recent contracts announcement there, although small, should we expect the benefit of that in the next quarter also. Thank you very much. Marco Wiren: Yeah. What counts to the different regions. We definitely believe that in mobile networks side that if look the European area, that we have had a very good opportunities. One, suppliers have changed the supply base and we've been winning about half of those opportunities. And how exactly this will play out in quarter 4, that's -- let's see about that. It depends -- it's timing issue a little bit as well. When it comes to China, those contracts or shipments will start coming from quarter 4 and forward based on those wins that we did in China latest purchasing ground. Pekka Lundmark : That is right. And if I add just quickly couple of macro comments on both regions, in general in 5G investment and also in many segments of broadband -- fixed broadband, Europe has actually been lagging behind some other parts of the world. There's always some lumpiness in deliveries, which is now mainly explaining the minus 5% in Q3. But structurally, we continue to believe in the European market potential. There is a lot to be gained there. And then when it comes to China structurally, it continues to be, of course, a large and important market. There we have to be realistic that it is a fact that market share that is available to non-Chinese vendors there is currently small and it's prudent to expect that that would not change anytime soon. David Mulholland : Thank you, Francois. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Sami Sarkamies from Nordea Markets. Please go ahead. Sami Sarkamies: Hi, thanks for taking my question. I would actually continue on the component shortages. Can you still elaborate on the extent these limited your sales in the second and third quarter. Are we talking about 1 to 2 percentage points or something more meaningful? And do you anticipate potential larger headwind in Q4 and in the first half next year? Thanks. Pekka Lundmark : I'm thinking how to answer that question without giving you a number because we have decided not to quantify. This is also partially -- commercially sensitive, but it is meaningful. and it is actually increasing. It's -- as I said, it's quite possible that this situation will get worse before it gets better. Of course, structurally it will get better one day. Semiconductor industry is currently investing heavily. But there is quite a long time lag before some of that capacity starts coming online. So we can be fairly confident that when we get to '23 and then '24, this situation could completely reverse itself, and there could be excess capacity which would then be reflected on prices. But '22 will be the big -- in a way inflection point where everybody currently still wondering that what will really happen and that's why we are saying that there are uncertainties. We've been doing fairly well in this war about semiconductor so far, but it is getting more challenging. David Mulholland : Thank you, Sami reach your next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Alex From Goldman Sachs, please go ahead. Alexander Duval : Hello, everyone and many thanks for the question. Congrats on the strong results. There's been some debate in the market as to whether we're approaching mid or late cycle as it pertains to 5G. Clearly you've been talking about some opportunities in various regions. Some of those seem to relate to market share. So as we think about demand into 2022 and potentially 2023, can you talk about which regions you see growth and how you think about the drivers there? Obviously component SEG you've talked about how you're thinking about the cycle and demand. Many thanks. Pekka Lundmark : We believe that we're still maybe 2 to 3 years away from the peak of the 5G market. And then when we look at the development of the market from there, the 4G market peaked and then it started to decline quite quickly after that. We believe that there are good reasons to believe that this peak could actually last for a longer period of time and then it would gradually start declining towards 2030 when then 6G will start hitting the The market. And the reason is clearly that there are -- there will be so many new use cases compared to the previous generations. Of course, the consumer side is one thing. On that one, since you asked about regions, clearly, Europe has been lagging behind in investment compared to the United States, to North America, in general, and Korea, and Japan, and China. So Europe is now clearly picking up on this investment. But then there is this big thing about the industrial digitalization. And as I have said so many times, it seems now that with 5G, this long-standing promise of moving the operational technology of enterprises to networks and to cloud and start realizing the long-standing promise of Fourth Industrial Revolution and significant industrial productivity improvement. That will be possible with the combination of 5G and Cloud and artificial intelligence. And when we are talking to all customers and observing what serious, big, heavy industrial actors are planning at the moment, it's actually quite encouraging. Almost all of them are one way or another going to invest in next-generation connectivity, especially in 5G. There are 15 million industrial campuses in this world. That's an amazing number. And when you start to think about what kind of services network infrastructure, and then different types of edge cloud platform stable invest and I believe that that will create a significant opportunity for several years to come. David Mulholland : Thank you, Alex. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Peter Nelson from ABG. Please go ahead. Peter Nelson: Thank you very much. Good morning, gentlemen. And thank you for the presentation. I would like to turn to North America please, where you obviously had a strong quarter overall. And looking at mobile tech, I interpret your comments on that we've seen the full brunt of the impact of the headwinds you have talked about before in North America. That we've seen those in Q3 and perhaps, if I interpret correctly, it's not getting worse in Q4. Could you give us any indication on how you're doing on mobile in North America? Marco kindly gave us a number for Europe, but how you're doing in North America on mobile? That will be very helpful. And if you have any outlook you want to share for next year. Thank you. Pekka Lundmark : What we have said earlier is, of course, that we have had certain issues with market share, some price erosion. Those referred to decisions that some of our customers made over than a year ago, around mid 2020, and that is now, of course, reflected in the numbers and that creates a tough Q3 this year comparison compared to Q3 last year. We are not disclosing regional numbers by business. But when you look at the mobile networks, top-line development, for example, you get an idea because the main reason for that is actually North America situation. Sequentially, I don't think it's going to get in a way in any worse. We've been doing well in North America in terms of new decisions and our product competitiveness and our market position actually all the way after those negative decisions were made sometime mid last year. So from that point of view, I believe that we have, in a way, now been able to stabilize the situation, and then of course, our goal is to then turn to a more positive development after this Q4 this year compared to Q4 last year. Of course, still will continue to be a challenge. And this is one of the reasons why we expect that we will not see the typical seasonality, or at least the seasonality will be less pronounced this year than it has typically been in our results. David Mulholland : Thank you, Peter. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. Our next question is from Simon Leopold from Raymond James. Please go ahead. Simon Leopold : Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to see how you're considering the opportunities from government stimulus projects. If we can hear specific views regarding the art off program that is in the U.S. rural development opportunity fund, as well as global thoughts. You highlighted fixed access. I think that's probably the most effective, but if we could get your perspective. Thank you. Pekka Lundmark : It's very clear that these stimulus programs they create actually a lot of opportunities for us. All the decisions have not been made and there are still final decisions to be made, especially in the U.S. regarding the chips of Act-On and various funds, for example, for R and development and so on. But on balance, this is very positive development for us and we believe that not only our mobile business, but also fixed broadband access business will benefit from these decisions. The same is true to Europe, the recovery and resilience facility of the -- of the European Union, which is now gradually being rolled out to implementation in different members states is definitely a net positive for us. David Mulholland : Thank you, Simon. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Robert Sanders from Georgia Bank. Please go ahead. Robert Sanders : Yeah. Good morning. Hi, thanks for taking my question. I guess -- I know you don't want to give a specific outlook for 2022 sales. But can you at least rank your segments in terms of growth potential? And which segments within the sort of 3 cloud network and mobile will be most affected by the supply issues you're facing? Thanks a lot. Pekka Lundmark : An easy way to answer that would be that CNS will not be affected because it's software. And this is actually a relevant point because we are -- overall, we see growth opportunities in all the businesses next year. But we are not going to be limited by demand side. Next year, this whole game will be more supply game compared to what it is typically been. CNS is, of course, different because there are no limitations as to delivery capacity. So in terms of market and in terms of our product competitiveness, we believe that direction of travel and the underlying development is positive. The uncertainties caused by the supply side and there I do not see big differences between Mobile Networks and network infrastructure because these fundamental challenges are not even things that would be there with individual chip makers. They go all the way to wafer production and availability of substrates for the components and so on. So it did affect -- it will affect everybody. David Mulholland : Thank you, Robert. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Frank Maao from DnB. Please go ahead. Frank Maao : Yes. Hi, gentlemen, and thank you for taking the question. So I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about how the cost inflation challenges panel for more practical level. And also, in terms of the supply chain bottlenecks a lot. If you can unpack what kind of bottlenecks you are most worried about. Is it semis, what kind of semis? You mentioned substrates, but also could there be issues around, obviously, in typically around Sitec with than not being from third-parties there in place at the time, cables and brackets or batteries. So whatever you're. If you could talk a little bit to give us some color around what's gear basic is more challenged? If it's just the semi partials, all the stuff and are related to that, what is the length of the contract with the suppliers to manage the bill of materials impact of the cost inflation which is coming from these -- these disturbances? You have -- typically you have long contracts that would lead to smooth out, say a 10% or 20% increase in spot prices, for example, for semiconductors? That's my question. Thank you. Pekka Lundmark : Typically, these contracts would be annual contracts and this is one of the reason why the uncertainty, for example, regarding 2022 is there because a lot of these negotiations are actually on going, for 2022 at the moment. For commercially sensitive reasons, I will not go into details as to which suppliers it would be and which segments. As I already said earlier, it is fairly broad-based affecting all semiconductors. And to some extent could behave a little bit different for memories, but still, the whole industry of semiconductors is being affected. And again, it's commercially sensitive. That's why I will not discuss that. what type of price increases we are seeing. And of course it is continuous discussion with both suppliers, and then of course, our customers. And our goal is to find the right balance between being able to deliver and then also optimize our margins. David Mulholland : Thank you, Frank. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Sandeep Deshpande from JPMorgan. Please go ahead. Sandeep Deshpande: Yes. Hi. Just coming back to the issues on semiconductors, etc. If I may ask, if you look at the run market today, particularly in the West, there isn't that much competition in the market given the geopolitical issues that are ongoing. And customers typically can't change suppliers just because you can 't supply this quarter and you'll be able to supply next quarter. So does this thought just mean that your demand is delayed into next year and once you can get the supply of semiconductors that your sales will be much higher because you will probably not lose business because of the semiconductor situation. Pekka Lundmark : I think, Sandeep, that is the right assessment. Of course, there can be individual cases where the reality would be different. But in majority of the cases, I believe that's exactly what would happen, that it would be more of a delay of delivery than loosing the sale completely. David Mulholland : Thank you, Sandeep. Rachel, next question, please? Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Paul Silverstein from Cowen. Please go ahead. Paul Silverstein: Thank you. I appreciate taking the question. Simple question. Where is the opportunity or opportunities for grid us upside with respect your margin structure, putting supply chain challenges a side which presumably are transitory. Marco Wiren: Yeah, we're working quite heavily on 2 fronts of this sign I would say. One is, of course, securing that we have the technological leadership because what we believe is that when you have the technological leadership then you have much better ability to have higher margins as well. And the other one is securing that we have the best, most optimal cost base. And you've seen also that with increasing the R&D, the same time we actually have been able to reduce our cost base in other areas to mitigate that increase that we have in R&D. So the more R&D we can focus on and get the right output, because it's not only money put into R&D but also the efficiency of R&D, and we have been extremely good on actually increasing the output, and Mobile Networks is very good example how we've been measuring how much output we get based on the same amount of money that we put in. And we continue to do that in all areas. David Mulholland : Thank you, Paul. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Next question is from Aleksander Peterc from Societe Generale, CIB. Please go ahead. Aleksander Peterc : Good morning, and thanks for taking the question. I'd just like to focus little bit on on Cloud and Network Services or CNS. Could you tell us how advanced you are with adjusting the poorly performing projects there that's maybe still weigh on margins? Should we expect any benefit once all of those issues are fully resolved? And how sustainable is the shop gross margin improvement that we saw here? You mentioned a 10% point improvement outside of the last year's losses. So basically, how much of this we should continue to model going forward? Thanks. Pekka Lundmark : Basically, we're doing two things in CNS at the moment. We are -- First of all, we are addressing certain older non-performing contracts, which is one part of this. And then in addition to that, which is perhaps even more important strategically is then the complete reassessment and reshuffling of the portfolio. And as I explained in my presentation, we have now defined the six focus areas to invest in, which will then be driving CNS growth going forward. The gross margin improvement in Q3, I would be a bit careful when you look at the year-on-year because of those big one-off project provisions that we had last year which we did not have this year. Of course, our goal is and I believe we will get there, that once we clean up the old portfolio of bad projects and then focus the business on the right growth segments. The goal is that that would be a structural driving up margins. But again, one quarter is too short and now we have this exceptional suggestion with the big provisions last year. So I would be a little bit careful as to not to drop too quick conclusions on Q3. David Mulholland : Thank you, Alex. Rachel, next question, please. Operator: Thank you. The next question is from Stefan Slowinski from Exane BNP. Please go ahead. Stefan Slowinski : Yes. Hi, and thank you for taking my question. I would like to ask you about OPEX trends going forward then basically what comes to R&D. So we have seen increase there as you have been highlighted in previous, sot is now basically full impact visible on XT -8 side. and maybe in terms of SG&A trends, and potential to say instant difficultly impacts and other factors. Could you provide some color on the development going forward also there? Thank you. Marco Wiren: Yeah. Thank you for the question. And then, yeah definitely we have said that this year we will definitely double-down on R&D, especially in mobile networks. But we also have increased R&D in network infrastructure as you saw the new FP5 chip that we launched. So these have created more cost in the R&D side. And what comes to the future investments in R&D that we balance always based on what we believe is needed to secure that we have the technological leadership position. When it comes to SG&A cost s, we -- there we continuously see what opportunities do we have to be most optimal and get out of that kind of service that we need in the Company as a whole, and secure and be competitive compared to our peers as well. So I will not go into estimations of next coming years, R&D levels that we will get back to you when we guide next year's figures as well. David Mulholland : Thanks, Arden. Rachel, can mean I'll take our last question, please? Operator: Thank you. The final question is from Richard Kramer from Arete Research. Please go ahead. Richard Kramer : Thanks very much. Just want to dig in on the enterprise area for a little while. If we look at the run rate of sales and the 380 million customers, I know you may still be ramping with many of them, it averages out to a very small amount for customer, less than 4 million euros. And obviously you mentioned some large hyperscalers in there. Can you lay out how you're planning to go-to-markets in this space? Because what we've seen with many of your peers in the past is that they haven't got that go-to-market right. And also since you seem to be sticking fairly strictly to budgeted spend levels in areas like sales and marketing this year, so how do you plan to realize that enterprise opportunity next year without building a large sales force and channel organization? Thanks. Pekka Lundmark : There are a couple of different segments, which have to be dealt with differently. The large webscalers, it's actually fairly R&D intensive discussion that you need to have with them. So it's very straightforward. And of course, the number of these customers is fairly limited. So that's in a way of case of it's own. Then when we talk about private wireless, there are two different types of private wireless. There are the wide area networks for utilities and railways and public services. Those deals are actually conceptually fairly close to what we're doing in mobile networks. A similar type of approach to those customers works fairly well. But then a completely different case is these millions of industrial campuses and there we are currently developing the distribution model. You cannot have your own sales force that would visit 50 million industrial composition, you need to have a distribution network or layers of distribution so that you don't need to invest in fixed cost for that sales force yourself. So that's what we are currently building. David Mulholland : Thanks, Richard. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. I would like to remind you that during the call today, we've made a number of forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may therefore differ materially from the results currently expected. Factors that could cause such differences can be both external as well as internal operating factors. We have identified these in more detail in the section titled Operating and Financial Review and Prospects, risk factors of our 2020 annual report on Form 20-F, as well as other filings with U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Thank you for joining us.
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Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) Financial Overview and Market Position

  • Barclays maintains an "Underweight" rating on Nokia, adjusting the price target to EUR 3.50 from EUR 3.
  • Nokia's high P/E ratio of 63.14 suggests market expectations of future growth, despite a cautious outlook from analysts.
  • The company demonstrates financial stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a strong liquidity position, indicated by a current ratio of 1.73.

Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) is a prominent player in the B2B technology sector, known for its innovative solutions in mobile, fixed, and cloud networks. The company is also recognized for its pioneering research through Nokia Bell Labs. Recently, a manager's transaction involving Patrik Hammarén, a senior manager, was reported. Hammarén received 498 shares as a share-based incentive on October 31, 2024, under the EU Market Abuse Regulation.

Despite Nokia's strong position in the technology sector, Barclays has maintained an "Underweight" rating for the company, with a "hold" action. As of October 30, 2024, Nokia's stock price was $4.78. Barclays also adjusted Nokia's price target to EUR 3.50 from EUR 3, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's stock performance.

Nokia's financial metrics provide insight into its market valuation. The company has a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 63.14, indicating that investors are paying a premium for each dollar of earnings. This suggests that the market has high expectations for Nokia's future growth. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.19 shows that the market values Nokia at 1.19 times its annual sales, which is relatively moderate.

The enterprise value to sales ratio of 1.08 and the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio of 6.84 highlight Nokia's valuation in relation to its sales and cash flow. These figures suggest that the company's total value is closely aligned with its sales and cash flow from operations. Additionally, Nokia's earnings yield of 1.58% indicates modest earnings relative to its share price.

Nokia's financial stability is further supported by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, showing a conservative approach to leveraging debt. The current ratio of 1.73 suggests that Nokia has a strong liquidity position, capable of covering its short-term liabilities effectively. These financial metrics reflect Nokia's commitment to maintaining a secure and sustainable business model.

Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) Announces Share Buyback and Receives Stock Upgrade

  • Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) accelerates its share buyback program, aiming to repurchase up to €600 million worth of shares to return value to shareholders.
  • The company's stock received a positive outlook from Danske Bank, upgrading from Hold to Buy, reflecting confidence in Nokia's financial strategies and market position.
  • Nokia declared a dividend of approximately $0.0346, with a record date and payment date on October 22, 2024, and November 5, 2024, respectively, as part of its commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) is a global leader in telecommunications, information technology, and consumer electronics. The company is known for its innovative solutions in mobile networks, digital health, and virtual reality. Nokia competes with other major players like Ericsson and Huawei in the telecommunications industry. On October 22, 2024, Nokia announced a share buyback program to repurchase its own shares, aiming to return up to €600 million to shareholders over two years.

The share buyback program, which began on March 20, 2024, was accelerated on July 19, 2024, to increase the number of shares repurchased within the year. This initiative is conducted in compliance with EU regulations and authorized by Nokia’s Annual General Meeting. On October 22, 2024, Nokia executed transactions amounting to €8.4 million, resulting in the company holding 180.2 million treasury shares. BofA Securities Europe SA manages the buyback program on behalf of Nokia.

In addition to the buyback program, Nokia's stock received a positive outlook from Danske Bank, which upgraded its stock grade from Hold to Buy on October 18, 2024. At the time of the upgrade, the stock price was $4.73. This upgrade reflects confidence in Nokia's financial strategies and market position. As of October 22, 2024, Nokia's stock price on the NYSE is $4.79, showing an increase of 2.35% or $0.11.

Nokia also declared a dividend of approximately $0.0346 on October 22, 2024, with a record date on the same day. Shareholders can expect the dividend payment on November 5, 2024. This dividend declaration, initially made on January 26, 2024, is part of Nokia's commitment to returning value to its shareholders. The company's market capitalization is approximately $26.12 billion, with a trading volume of 14.3 million shares.

Nokia Stock Gains 3% Following Q1 Results

Nokia (NYSE:NOK) shares rose more than 3% pre-market today despite the company's announcement of a Q1 profit that was smaller than expected, affected by subdued demand for 5G equipment in North America and India.

The Finnish telecommunications equipment maker recorded a first-quarter operating profit of 597 million euros, up from 479 million euros the previous year. However, this was below the 663 million euros analysts had projected.

Earnings per share for the first quarter were 0.09 euros, slightly above the consensus estimate of 0.08 euros. Revenue for the quarter was reported at 4.67 billion euros, falling short of expectations of 5.41 billion euros.

Despite the revenue shortfall, Nokia saw a significant improvement in its comparable gross margin, which increased to 48.6% from 37.7% in the same quarter last year.

The Mobile Networks segment, which includes 5G equipment, saw a 37% drop in sales when adjusted for currency effects. Nokia described this quarter as the lowest point of the year and expects sales to rebound for the remainder of 2024.

Nokia maintained its January guidance, predicting a comparable operating profit for 2024 to be between 2.3 billion and 2.9 billion euros.

Nokia Shares Drop 8% After Preliminary Q2 Earnings

Nokia (NYSE:NOK) announced preliminary results for the Q2 that were below expectations, leading to a more than 8% decline in its shares on Friday.

Nokia anticipates Q2 sales of 5.7 billion euros, falling short of the Street estimate of 6 billion euros. The company also expects a comparable operating profit margin of 11%.

Consequently, Nokia has revised its full-year sales forecast to a range of 23.2-24.6 billion euros, which is lower than the previously anticipated range of 24.6-26.2 billion euros. The outlook for the comparable operating margin range has also been narrowed to 11.5-13%, compared to the previous range of 11.5-14%.

In an update, Nokia explained that these adjustments primarily pertain to its Network Infrastructure and Mobile Networks business groups. The company attributed the weaker demand outlook for the latter half of the year to a combination of macroeconomic factors and customers' inventory management. Customer spending plans have been increasingly affected by high inflation and rising interest rates, leading to delays in certain projects, notably in North America, which is now expected to occur in 2024.

Nokia Shares Drop 8% After Preliminary Q2 Earnings

Nokia (NYSE:NOK) announced preliminary results for the Q2 that were below expectations, leading to a more than 8% decline in its shares on Friday.

Nokia anticipates Q2 sales of 5.7 billion euros, falling short of the Street estimate of 6 billion euros. The company also expects a comparable operating profit margin of 11%.

Consequently, Nokia has revised its full-year sales forecast to a range of 23.2-24.6 billion euros, which is lower than the previously anticipated range of 24.6-26.2 billion euros. The outlook for the comparable operating margin range has also been narrowed to 11.5-13%, compared to the previous range of 11.5-14%.

In an update, Nokia explained that these adjustments primarily pertain to its Network Infrastructure and Mobile Networks business groups. The company attributed the weaker demand outlook for the latter half of the year to a combination of macroeconomic factors and customers' inventory management. Customer spending plans have been increasingly affected by high inflation and rising interest rates, leading to delays in certain projects, notably in North America, which is now expected to occur in 2024.