Medtronic Review Post Q4 Earnings Results

RBC Capital analysts provided a review of Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) following the company’s reported Q4 results last week and their meeting with management to get greater clarification on the Q1 outlook, 2023 sales ramp, and color on supply chain disruptions that the company is experiencing.

The company guided to Q1/23 organic sales decline of 4.5-5.5%. The questions the analysts have been fielding from investors are around what the company's underlying growth looks like and what impact of supply disruptions is included in its guidance.

As per their conversation with the company, the analysts note that on a comp-adjusted basis, the company is looking for an organic sales decline of 0.15% in Q1/23 vs. growth of 0.25% in Q4/22, reflecting typical seasonality.

The balance reflects supply headwinds, which management assumes will worsen from Q4 to Q1. The analysts noted that the year-over-year growth looks more challenging as it laps comps of 19.0% underlying growth in the prior year's quarter.

Symbol Price %chg
043150.KQ 24000 0
6849.T 1960.5 0
300760.SZ 250.8 0
100120.KQ 26350 0
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Medtronic Exceeds Q1 Earnings Forecasts and Raises Full-Year Guidance for 2025

Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) reported first-quarter earnings on Tuesday that exceeded analyst expectations and boosted its guidance for fiscal 2025.

The medical device company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23 for Q1, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.20. Revenue for the quarter was in line with forecasts at $7.9 billion.

Medtronic's adjusted gross margin for the quarter stood at 65.9%, slightly lower than the 66.4% recorded in the same period last year but higher than the 65.5% analysts had predicted. The adjusted operating margin came in at 24.4%, matching expectations but marginally down from 24.8% in the previous year.

Looking forward, Medtronic raised its fiscal 2025 non-GAAP EPS guidance to a range of $5.42 to $5.50, slightly up from the previous projection of $5.40 to $5.50. This reflects an anticipated EPS growth of 4% to 6% for the year. Additionally, the company increased its forecast for organic revenue growth to a range of 4.5% to 5%, up from its earlier estimate of 4% to 5%.

Medtronic's Earnings Overview for Q4 Fiscal Year 2024

  • Medtronic exceeded EPS estimates of $1.45, and reported revenue of $8.59 billion, surpassing expectations.
  • The company demonstrated operational efficiency with a 4.5% increase in adjusted earnings per share for the full fiscal year, despite a decrease in adjusted EPS for the quarter.
  • Revenue growth was driven by strong performance across multiple business segments, with significant regulatory approvals highlighting Medtronic's innovation and growth potential.

Medtronic (NYSE:MDT), a global leader in medical technology, services, and solutions, reported its earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024 on Thursday, May 23, before the market opened. The company's earnings per share (EPS) of $1.46 slightly surpassed the estimated EPS of $1.45, showcasing Medtronic's ability to exceed analyst expectations. Additionally, Medtronic reported revenue of approximately $8.59 billion, exceeding the estimated revenue of about $8.45 billion. This performance indicates a positive outcome for Medtronic in the recent May earnings report, reflecting the company's resilience and strategic growth initiatives in the face of industry challenges.

Despite facing a decrease of 7.5% in adjusted EPS from the same quarter in the previous year, Medtronic's financial results highlight its operational efficiency and market adaptability. The company's GAAP EPS, which includes various one-time adjustments such as restructuring and associated costs, was significantly lower at 49 cents, down 44.3% from the year-ago quarter. However, for the full fiscal year, Medtronic reported adjusted earnings of $5.53 per share, an increase of 4.5% from the previous year, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.3%. This demonstrates Medtronic's ability to navigate through fiscal challenges while still delivering growth.

Medtronic's revenue growth was attributed to strong performance across several of its businesses, including Cranial & Spinal Technologies, Diabetes, Cardiac Pacing, and Surgical. The company's worldwide revenues for the quarter were $8.59 billion, a slight increase of 0.5% on a reported basis and 5.4% on an organic basis from the year-ago period, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.8%. The total revenues for fiscal 2024 reached $32.36 billion, up 3.6% from the previous year and slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5%. This revenue growth, coupled with strategic regulatory achievements such as receiving U.S. FDA approval for its Evolut™ FX+ TAVR system and Inceptiv™ closed-loop spinal cord stimulator, underscores Medtronic's broad-based, durable growth across various segments.

Furthermore, Medtronic's financial health is evident in its cash flow from operations for FY24, which was $6.8 billion, a 12% increase from the previous year. The company's free cash flow rose by 14% to $5.2 billion, demonstrating its strong cash generation capabilities. Medtronic has been proactive in returning value to its shareholders, with $5.5 billion returned in FY24, including $1.6 billion through net share repurchases in Q4 alone. The increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.70 per share, marking the 47th consecutive year of dividend increases, reflects Medtronic's commitment to shareholder value and its confidence in the company's financial stability and growth prospects.

In summary, Medtronic's latest earnings report for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024 highlights the company's ability to exceed expectations, navigate challenges, and continue its growth trajectory. With strategic investments in innovation, a focus on operational efficiency, and a commitment to returning value to shareholders, Medtronic is well-positioned for sustained success in the healthcare sector.

Medtronic Shares Climb Following Q3 Beat

Shares of Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) climbed more than 3% pre-market today following the announcement of third-quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations, prompting the company to uplift its financial outlook for the 2024 fiscal year. Medtronic reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.30, which was $0.04 above the analyst consensus of $1.26. Moreover, the company's quarterly revenue reached $8.1 billion, outperforming the anticipated $7.95 billion by analysts.

Medtronic updated its forecast for organic revenue growth in fiscal 2024, increasing it from the initially projected 4.75% to a range of 4.75% to 5%. Furthermore, the adjusted EPS outlook for 2024 was adjusted upwards from the previous range of $5.13 to $5.19 to a new range of $5.19 to $5.21, attributed to the strong performance in the third quarter.

Medtronic Double Downgraded at UBS

Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) shares have been double-downgraded to Sell from Buy by UBS due to anticipated near-term sales and EPS downside risk. The new price target is $79 per share, a significant drop from the prior target of $127. The analysts believe that Medtronic's ongoing transformation will require more time, and lack confidence that the company can achieve sustainable mid-single-digit top-line growth and consistent operating margin improvement.

UBS predicts that Medtronic's sales will grow at a CAGR of 3.8%, which is lower than the consensus estimate of 4.8%. Additionally, UBS' survey shows minimal diabetes share gains. It expects that in 2024 and 2025, the company's EPS will be lower than consensus estimates by low-single-digits and high-single-digits, respectively, mainly due to lower sales. While Medtronic may gain marginal share in some businesses, such as Evolut FX in TAVR (Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement), the company is losing share in other areas such as cryo, peripheral, and diabetes.

Medtronic Reports Q3 Beat & Raises Guidance

Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) reported its Q3 results, with both EPS of $1.30 and revenue of $7.7 billion coming in better than the Street estimates of $1.27 and $7.54 billion, respectively.

Better-than-expected revenue was driven by beats across all of its business segments, with headwinds abating in ventilator sales and product availability.

The company raised its 2023 guidance, now expecting FX rates to negatively impact Q4 revenue by $165-215 million and guided to 2023 EPS of $5.28-$5.30 (prior guidance of $5.25-5.30), which includes an $0.21 FX headwind as of current rates.

The company continues to expect expense reductions to help offset headwinds e.g. inflation, interest, FX, and taxes. Additionally, the company noted it expects organic growth of 4.5-5.0% in Q4.

Medtronic Reports Q3 Beat & Raises Guidance

Medtronic (NYSE:MDT) reported its Q3 results, with both EPS of $1.30 and revenue of $7.7 billion coming in better than the Street estimates of $1.27 and $7.54 billion, respectively.

Better-than-expected revenue was driven by beats across all of its business segments, with headwinds abating in ventilator sales and product availability.

The company raised its 2023 guidance, now expecting FX rates to negatively impact Q4 revenue by $165-215 million and guided to 2023 EPS of $5.28-$5.30 (prior guidance of $5.25-5.30), which includes an $0.21 FX headwind as of current rates.

The company continues to expect expense reductions to help offset headwinds e.g. inflation, interest, FX, and taxes. Additionally, the company noted it expects organic growth of 4.5-5.0% in Q4.

Medtronic Downgraded at RBC Capital, Shares Down 4%

Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT) shares closed more than 4% lower yesterday after RBC Capital downgraded the company to Sector Perform from Outperform and lowered its price target to $89 from $102.

According to analysts, there is significant dissatisfaction among investors regarding the way the company's management has handled several issues (e.g. warning letter, supply impact, RDN). Additionally, they believe that the company's recovery has been slower than expected and that it is facing ongoing challenges due to macroeconomic conditions. While the situation may improve in the future, it is unlikely that the company will perform significantly better than its competitors, due to the loss of credibility it has experienced.

The company cut its fiscal 2023 organic growth outlook from approximately 5% in Feb to 1.4-1.6% in Nov due to supply constraints as well as slower recovery in certain sub-segments such as neuromodulation, TAVR, basic coronary PCI, and other general surgery procedures. Full-year EPS outlook was lowered throughout the year as well due to lower organic sales growth, and pressures related to FX, inflation, and supply. The company now expects 2023 EPS to be in the range of $5.25-5.30 (down 5.7-6.6% year-over-year).