New Look at Moody's Analytics

Analysts at Oppenheimer raised their price target on Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) to $418 from $406, mentioning they believe the company has been an underappreciated business.

Since CEO Rob Fauber took over earlier this year, the company has positioned itself to become a leading integrated risk assessment company, which will integrate data and analytics into its technology stack. The brokerage believes the company will continue to make investments in growing its data and analytics capabilities in areas such as insurance, private company, commercial real estate, ESG and KYC/compliance.

We look favorably upon MCO's long-term prospects. Even though MCO is widely known as one of the largest rating agencies in the world, the non-rating agency business actually generates ~40% of revenue for the company.

According to Oppenheimer’s analysts, the company is way more than a rating agency, aiming to become a leader in analytical business and having favorable long-term prospects.

Other than enjoying the secular tailwinds, including rising corporate debt, ESG, and growing importance in compliance and KYC, the brokerage thinks the company also has strong fundamentals including oligopolistic positions in Ratings, a scalable platform, and shareholder-friendly capital return policies to support its premium valuation.

Symbol Price %chg
8697.T 1750 0
BSE.NS 2385 0
0388.HK 444.6 0
034310.KS 13390 0
MCO Ratings Summary
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Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO) Financial Overview and Future Outlook

  • Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) has maintained a stable consensus price target of $520, reflecting growing optimism among analysts.
  • The company's strong track record of surpassing earnings expectations is anticipated to continue, despite some analysts' concerns.
  • Moody's competitive advantages and strong guidance for 2025 highlight its potential for growth and investor interest.

Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) is a key player in the financial services industry, offering risk assessment services through its two main segments: Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA). MIS provides credit ratings and assessments, while MA offers risk management products. Moody's competes with firms like S&P Global and Fitch Ratings in the credit rating space.

The consensus price target for Moody's stock has shown stability over the past month and quarter at $520, up from $487.23 a year ago. This increase reflects growing optimism among analysts about Moody's performance. Despite a recent 8.2% decline in stock price, RBC Capital has set a price target of $329, indicating confidence in Moody's future growth.

Moody's has a strong track record of surpassing earnings expectations, and its upcoming quarterly report is anticipated to show growth. However, some analysts suggest that Moody's may not have the optimal factors for an earnings beat this time. The company's robust market position and pricing power contribute to its high valuation, which could become more appealing if earnings exceed expectations.

Moody's competitive advantages, such as its solid moat and significant pricing power, make it a recommended buy. The company's credit ratings agency and risk analytics platform benefit from deep network effects and established trust. Growth in Moody's MIS and MA segments is expected, driven by refinancing, mergers and acquisitions, and innovative products.

Despite a recent disappointing fourth quarter, Moody's provided strong guidance for 2025, addressing investor concerns. The company's strategies, including revenue diversification and inorganic growth efforts, are being closely watched by investors. Moody's upcoming Q1 earnings report, scheduled for April 22, 2025, will be a key event for stakeholders.

Moody's Corporation (NYSE: MCO) Financial Overview and Future Outlook

  • Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) has maintained a stable consensus price target of $520, reflecting growing optimism among analysts.
  • The company's strong track record of surpassing earnings expectations is anticipated to continue, despite some analysts' concerns.
  • Moody's competitive advantages and strong guidance for 2025 highlight its potential for growth and investor interest.

Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) is a key player in the financial services industry, offering risk assessment services through its two main segments: Moody's Investors Service (MIS) and Moody's Analytics (MA). MIS provides credit ratings and assessments, while MA offers risk management products. Moody's competes with firms like S&P Global and Fitch Ratings in the credit rating space.

The consensus price target for Moody's stock has shown stability over the past month and quarter at $520, up from $487.23 a year ago. This increase reflects growing optimism among analysts about Moody's performance. Despite a recent 8.2% decline in stock price, RBC Capital has set a price target of $329, indicating confidence in Moody's future growth.

Moody's has a strong track record of surpassing earnings expectations, and its upcoming quarterly report is anticipated to show growth. However, some analysts suggest that Moody's may not have the optimal factors for an earnings beat this time. The company's robust market position and pricing power contribute to its high valuation, which could become more appealing if earnings exceed expectations.

Moody's competitive advantages, such as its solid moat and significant pricing power, make it a recommended buy. The company's credit ratings agency and risk analytics platform benefit from deep network effects and established trust. Growth in Moody's MIS and MA segments is expected, driven by refinancing, mergers and acquisitions, and innovative products.

Despite a recent disappointing fourth quarter, Moody's provided strong guidance for 2025, addressing investor concerns. The company's strategies, including revenue diversification and inorganic growth efforts, are being closely watched by investors. Moody's upcoming Q1 earnings report, scheduled for April 22, 2025, will be a key event for stakeholders.

Moody's Price Target Raised Ahead of Q2 Earnings

Oppenheimer raised the price target on Moody's Corp (NYSE:MCO) to $362.00 from $349.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The analysts expect strong issuance to provide upside to Q2 estimates, raising the EPS estimate by around 7% to $2.39.

The revised estimates and increased price target reflect positive revenue growth in the Ratings segment. According to the analysts, key points of investor focus include guidance updates, issuance trends, demand for compliance products, and long-term revenue guidance.

Moody's Price Target Raised Ahead of Q2 Earnings

Oppenheimer raised the price target on Moody's Corp (NYSE:MCO) to $362.00 from $349.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The analysts expect strong issuance to provide upside to Q2 estimates, raising the EPS estimate by around 7% to $2.39.

The revised estimates and increased price target reflect positive revenue growth in the Ratings segment. According to the analysts, key points of investor focus include guidance updates, issuance trends, demand for compliance products, and long-term revenue guidance.

Moody's Price Target Raised Ahead of Q2 Earnings

Oppenheimer raised the price target on Moody's Corp (NYSE:MCO) to $362.00 from $349.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The analysts expect strong issuance to provide upside to Q2 estimates, raising the EPS estimate by around 7% to $2.39.

The revised estimates and increased price target reflect positive revenue growth in the Ratings segment. According to the analysts, key points of investor focus include guidance updates, issuance trends, demand for compliance products, and long-term revenue guidance.

Moody's Corporation Reports Slight Q1 Miss, Provides Guidance

Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) reported its Q1 earnings, with revenue declining 4.9% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, slightly missing the consensus estimate of $1.51 billion. EPS was $2.89, compared to the consensus estimate of $2.90. Adjusted operating expense came in at $788 million, while an adjusted operating margin at 48.2%.

The company provided its full 2022-year outlook, expecting adjusted EPS of $10.75–$11.25 (vs. $12.40–$12.90 prior), which analysts at Oppenheimer believe is achievable if the Q1/22 issuance trend continues.

While the company lowered its FCF guidance to $1.8-2.0 billion from $2.3-2.5 billion, it maintained its full-year $1.5 billion share repurchases expectation, with $1.2 billion of share repurchase authority remaining at the end of Q1/22.

Moody's Corporation Reports Slight Q1 Miss, Provides Guidance

Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) reported its Q1 earnings, with revenue declining 4.9% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, slightly missing the consensus estimate of $1.51 billion. EPS was $2.89, compared to the consensus estimate of $2.90. Adjusted operating expense came in at $788 million, while an adjusted operating margin at 48.2%.

The company provided its full 2022-year outlook, expecting adjusted EPS of $10.75–$11.25 (vs. $12.40–$12.90 prior), which analysts at Oppenheimer believe is achievable if the Q1/22 issuance trend continues.

While the company lowered its FCF guidance to $1.8-2.0 billion from $2.3-2.5 billion, it maintained its full-year $1.5 billion share repurchases expectation, with $1.2 billion of share repurchase authority remaining at the end of Q1/22.