McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) Q1 2025 Earnings Preview

  • Analysts predict a 2.2% decline in EPS from the previous year, forecasting $2.64 for Q1 2025.
  • Revenue is projected to decrease by 1.4% to $6.08 billion, impacted by economic pressures on low-income consumers.
  • Despite challenges, McDonald's maintains strong financial fundamentals with a notable increase in free cash flow and effective debt management.

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) is a global fast-food giant known for its extensive menu and iconic golden arches. As it prepares to release its first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 1, analysts predict an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.64. This represents a 2.2% decline from the previous year's EPS of $2.70, reflecting challenges in customer traffic and economic pressures.

Revenue for the quarter is projected to be $6.08 billion, a 1.4% decrease compared to the same period last year. This decline is largely due to economic pressures affecting low-income consumers, which contributed to a sluggish start to the year, especially in January. Despite these challenges, there has been a slight upward revision of 0.2% in the consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts.

McDonald's maintains strong financial fundamentals, supported by its valuable real estate assets. This stability allows the company to manage debt effectively and navigate economic challenges. Despite historical revenue declines, McDonald's has increased its free cash flow by controlling gross margins. However, the current stock price suggests that long-term returns may be modest.

The company's financial metrics provide further insight into its valuation. McDonald's has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 27.41, indicating the price investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. The price-to-sales ratio stands at about 8.68, reflecting the market's valuation of its revenue. Additionally, the enterprise value to sales ratio is around 10.64, suggesting how the market values the company relative to its sales, including debt and excluding cash.

McDonald's enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 29.19, indicating the company's valuation in relation to its cash flow from operations. The earnings yield is about 3.65%, providing insight into the return on investment. The debt-to-equity ratio is notably negative at -13.68, which may indicate a unique financial structure or accounting approach. Lastly, the current ratio is approximately 1.19, suggesting the company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets.

Symbol Price %chg
MCD.BA 16975 0
FORE.JK 575 2.61
MAPB.JK 1780 -0.56
ENAK.JK 715 0
MCD Ratings Summary
MCD Quant Ranking
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McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) Financial and Operational Highlights

  • Earnings per share of $3.19 and revenues of $6.84 billion in Q2 2025, surpassing expectations.
  • Global comparable sales rose by 3.8%, driven by strategic value deals, digital advancements, and innovative menu offerings.
  • Stock price increased by 3% to $307.75, marking its highest level since June, with a 13.9% year-over-year increase.

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) is a global fast-food giant known for its iconic menu items like the Big Mac and McNuggets. The company operates in over 100 countries, serving millions of customers daily. McDonald's competes with other fast-food chains like Burger King and Wendy's. Recently, Desiree Ralls-Morrison, McDonald's Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer, sold 2,487 shares at $310 each, retaining 8,754 shares.

McDonald's reported strong second-quarter results for 2025, with earnings per share of $3.19 and revenues of $6.84 billion, surpassing expectations. The company's global comparable sales rose by 3.8%, driven by strategic value deals, digital advancements, and innovative menu offerings. These efforts have successfully attracted and engaged customers worldwide, as highlighted by Zacks Consensus Estimate.

The company's stock has responded positively to these results, rising by 3% to $307.75, marking its highest level since June. This increase is supported by the 20-day moving average, which has helped contain several pullbacks over the past month. McDonald's stock has experienced a 13.9% year-over-year increase, reflecting its strong market position.

McDonald's focus on tech investments and rapid digital expansion has significantly enhanced customer convenience and engagement. The introduction of new menu items and strategic marketing efforts, including a promotional tie-in with "A Minecraft Movie" and chicken strips, have contributed to the company's positive performance. As a result, McDonald's shares have risen by 3.5% in pre-market trading.

The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $219.99 billion, with a trading volume of 6.32 million shares on the NYSE. The stock has traded between $301.74 and $310.39 today, with a 52-week high of $326.32 and a low of $265.33. McDonald's continues to demonstrate resilience and growth in the competitive fast-food industry.

McDonald’s Comparable Sales Rebound On Tech Investments And Value Menu Initiatives

McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) reported a recovery in global comparable sales during the second quarter, driven by technology enhancements and targeted marketing efforts aimed at stimulating demand amid economic uncertainty.

Executives reaffirmed their commitment to investing in artificial intelligence to streamline operations, despite CEO Chris Kempczinski earlier describing the current macroeconomic climate as the “toughest” the company has faced.

In response to concerns over a potential economic slowdown linked to tariffs imposed during former President Donald Trump's administration, McDonald’s continued to focus on offering attractive value propositions and menu innovation to appeal to budget-conscious consumers.

Global comparable sales rose 3.8% in the quarter ending June 30, marking a turnaround from a 1% decline in the prior period and exceeding Bloomberg's consensus forecast of 2.49%. Growth was recorded across all operational segments.

Adjusted earnings per share reached $3.19 on revenue of $6.84 billion, both topping Wall Street estimates.

Shares of McDonald’s advanced more than 2% during Wednesday’s trading session.

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) Quarterly Earnings Preview

  • The anticipated EPS of $3.15 represents a 6.1% increase from the previous year, highlighting strong digital engagement and global marketing efforts.
  • Revenue is expected to grow by 3.5% to $6.71 billion, driven by the franchised operating model and efficiency improvements.
  • Investors are keen on the performance of same-store sales in the U.S., which could indicate a recovery and potential momentum for the company.

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) is a global fast-food giant known for its extensive menu and iconic golden arches. The company operates in over 100 countries, serving millions of customers daily. McDonald's faces competition from other fast-food chains like Burger King and Wendy's. On August 6, 2025, McDonald's is set to release its quarterly earnings, with analysts estimating an EPS of $3.15 and revenue of $6.7 billion.

The anticipated EPS of $3.15 represents a 6.1% increase from the previous year, as highlighted by the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This growth is attributed to strong digital engagement, value-focused menus, and global marketing efforts. These strategies have successfully boosted sales and customer traffic, contributing to the company's positive performance.

Revenue is expected to grow by 3.5% to $6.71 billion, driven by McDonald's franchised operating model and efficiency improvements. The company's pricing actions have also contributed to margin gains, enhancing profitability. Investors are particularly interested in the performance of same-store sales in the U.S., which could indicate a recovery and potential momentum for the company.

In the previous quarter, McDonald's exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.1%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed earnings estimates twice, missed once, and met once, with an average miss of 0.2%. The recent upward revision of the EPS estimate from $3.14 to $3.15 reflects positive sentiment around McDonald's performance.

McDonald's valuation metrics provide insights into its market position. The company has a P/E ratio of approximately 26.65, indicating the market's valuation of its earnings. Its price-to-sales ratio is about 8.46, and the enterprise value to sales ratio is roughly 10.47. Despite a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -15.28, McDonald's maintains a current ratio of approximately 1.18, suggesting its ability to cover short-term liabilities.

McDonald's Corporation Financial Update and Stock Activity

  • Erlinger Joseph M., President of McDonald's USA, sold 939 shares at $299.49 each, retaining 9,283 shares.
  • The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.77 per share, payable on September 16, 2025.
  • McDonald's financial ratios such as the P/E ratio of 26.12 and earnings yield of 3.83% reflect investor confidence and profitability.

McDonald's Corporation, listed on the NYSE:MCD, is a global leader in the fast-food industry. Known for its iconic golden arches, McDonald's serves millions of customers daily across the globe. The company competes with other fast-food giants like Burger King and Wendy's. On July 23, 2025, Erlinger Joseph M., President of McDonald's USA, sold 939 shares of McDonald's common stock at $299.49 each. After this transaction, he retains 9,283 shares.

McDonald's recently declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.77 per share, payable on September 16, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 2, 2025. This dividend reflects the company's commitment to returning value to its shareholders. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.12, McDonald's stock is valued based on its earnings, indicating investor confidence in its profitability.

The company's price-to-sales ratio of 8.29 shows how the market values its sales, while the enterprise value to sales ratio of 10.30 provides insight into its overall valuation. The enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is 27.91, highlighting the company's cash flow efficiency. McDonald's earnings yield stands at 3.83%, offering a perspective on its earnings relative to its stock price.

McDonald's has a debt-to-equity ratio of -15.28, which is unusual and suggests a unique financial structure. The current ratio of 1.18 indicates a moderate level of liquidity, meaning the company can cover its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets. For more updates, stakeholders can visit the Investor Relations section of McDonald's website.

McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) Executive Sells Shares; Stock Rises on Analyst Upgrades

  • Flatley Edith Morgan, Executive VP and Global Chief Marketing Officer of McDonald's, sold 1,000 shares at $300 each.
  • Goldman Sachs upgraded McDonald's stock from "Neutral" to "Buy," leading to a 2.5% increase in stock price.
  • Return of McDonald's popular Snack Wraps expected to boost sales, with a forecasted 2.5% growth in same-store sales.

On July 10, 2025, Flatley Edith Morgan, the Executive Vice President and Global Chief Marketing Officer of McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD), sold 1,000 shares of the company's common stock at $300 each. This transaction leaves her with about 8,857.56 shares. McDonald's, a leading player in the fast-food industry, operates over 43,000 locations worldwide, making it the most valuable publicly traded restaurant company.

Recently, McDonald's shares rose over 2.5%, reaching $300, following an upgrade from Goldman Sachs. The investment bank raised McDonald's stock rating from "Neutral" to "Buy," citing the company's strong position in the competitive fast-food sector. This upgrade contributed to a $5 billion increase in McDonald's market value, as highlighted by Goldman Sachs.

The return of McDonald's popular Snack Wraps has also fueled optimism on Wall Street. UBS analyst Dennis Geiger expects this move to boost the company's sales in the second half of the year. This is crucial as McDonald's has faced negative same-store sales growth in three of the last four quarters, a trend not seen since 2020. Analysts now forecast a 2.5% growth in same-store sales moving forward.

Goldman Sachs analyst Christine Cho set a price target of $345 for McDonald's stock, attributing the optimistic outlook to the success of McDonald's value meals. These meals have positively impacted the company's market performance. Currently, McDonald's stock is priced at $298.39, reflecting a 1.83% increase. The stock has traded between $295.25 and $300.78 today.

Over the past year, McDonald's stock has seen a high of $326.32 and a low of $246.12. With a market capitalization of approximately $213.36 billion, McDonald's remains a dominant force in the fast-food industry. The trading volume for the day stands at 5,353,226 shares, indicating strong investor interest.

Insights into McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) Stock Sale and Financial Health

On May 23, 2025, Erlinger Joseph M., President of McDonald's USA, sold 939 shares of McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) at $315.07 each. This transaction leaves him with about 11,161 shares. McDonald's, the world's largest hamburger chain, is a major player in the fast-food industry, competing with companies like Burger King and Wendy's.

Despite its size, McDonald's stock has seen a slight decline of 0.6% over the past month, as highlighted by Zacks Investment Research. This is in contrast to the broader Zacks S&P 500 composite, which increased by 13.4%, and the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, which gained 5% during the same period. This performance raises questions about the future direction of MCD stock.

Investors are advised to focus on fundamental factors, such as changes in earnings projections, to assess McDonald's stock prospects. The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.63, which is a measure of its current share price relative to its per-share earnings. A higher P/E ratio can indicate that the stock is overvalued or that investors expect high growth rates in the future.

McDonald's financial metrics reveal a price-to-sales ratio of 8.77 and an enterprise value to sales ratio of 10.78. These ratios help investors understand how much they are paying for each dollar of sales. Additionally, the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is 29.21, indicating how well the company can generate cash from its operations.

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is -15.28, showing a significant level of debt compared to its equity. This can be a concern for investors, as high debt levels can impact a company's financial stability. However, McDonald's current ratio of 1.18 suggests a relatively balanced level of current assets to current liabilities, indicating that the company can meet its short-term obligations.