Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) on Q3 2022 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Operator: Good day and welcome everyone to the Lockheed Martin Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Results Conference Call. Todayâs call is being recorded. At this time for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Greg Gardner, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Greg Gardner: Thank you, John, and good morning. Iâd like to welcome everyone to our third quarter 2022 earnings conference call. Joining me today on the call are Jim Taiclet, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; Jay Malave, our Chief Financial Officer; and Maria Ricciardone Lee, our new Vice President of Investor Relations. Statements made in todayâs call that are not historical facts are considered forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of federal securities law. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Please see todayâs press release and our SEC filings for a description of some of the factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. We have posted charts on our website today that we plan to address during the call to supplement our comments. These charts also include information regarding non-GAAP measures that may be used in todayâs call. Please access our website at www.lockheedmartin.com and click on the Investor Relations link to view and follow the charts. With that, Iâd like to turn the call over to Jim.
Jim Taiclet: Thanks, Greg. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our third quarter 2022 earnings call as we review our quarterly results, our 2022 full-year outlook, and our preliminary expectations for 2023. But before we begin, Iâd like to welcome Maria, who Iâm excited to tell you all, has started as our new Vice President of Investor Relations just yesterday. Iâd also like to thank Greg, who announced his plan to retire at the end of the year for his more than 37 years of dedicated service at Lockheed Martin, including five terrific years as our Vice President of Investor Relations. Itâs been a pleasure to work with you, Greg, and we wish you all the best in retirement.
Greg Gardner: Thank you, Jim.
Jim Taiclet: Iâd also like to note that we continue to await the U.S. Armyâs selection for its Future Long-Range Assault Aircraft competition, FLRAA, as it is known. Weâll modernize the Armyâs rotorcraft fleet and represent a long-term franchise growth opportunity. We are confident that DEFIANT X is the transformational aircraft that the U.S. Armyâs going to need to accomplish its complex missions today and well into the future, and we look forward to the Armyâs announcement. Lockheed Martin had a solid quarter financially with 3% increase in sales from last yearâs third quarter, and strong operating margins and earnings per share. Our free cash flow was outstanding as we generated $2.7 billion in the quarter. And our backlog grew nearly $5 billion, closing at $140 billion. We remain on track to achieve the full year outlook for all of our financial metrics that we discussed last quarter. In a few minutes, Jay will provide a detailed review of our quarterly results, updated 2022 guidance and trending information. But before he does that, I will provide a framework for our outlook, and discuss our plans for delivering value to customers and shareholders over the next several years. We continue to anticipate growth over the long term, but with the residual pandemic impacts and supply chain challenges continuing, we now expect a return to growth in 2024 with 2023 sales being approximately equal to our 2022 outlook. We are confident in our four pillars to drive growth in 2024 and beyond. Importantly, we expect to deliver solid growth and free cash flow per share in 2023 and thereafter through a combination of cost reductions throughout the business, improved working capital management, and an expanded share of purchase program. Our Board of Directors has approved an increase to our share repurchase authorization to $14 billion. You will see in Jayâs charts that weâre doubling our share repurchase plan outlook for this year, increasing our outlook by $4 billion for a total expectation of $8 billion in 2022. We also announced a 7% dividend increase this quarter. So altogether, weâre on track to deliver approximately $11 billion to shareholders in 2022. We are also elevating our commitment to drive long-term growth through strong independent research and development and capital expenditure funding with an expected total of nearly $4 billion in 2023. These investments will support our customers and deliver on our 21st century security vision to accelerate leading edge, commercial digital technologies, and defense of our nation and allies. A key driver of this strategy is our new One LM transformation, or as we call it, One LMX, a multi-billion-dollar, seven-year company-wide program to transform our end-to-end business processes and systems. One LMX will create a model-based enterprise with a fully integrated digital thread throughout the design, build, and sustained product lifecycle. As part of our ongoing corporate stewardship approach, we are conducting an internal review to identify potential synergies between our four business areas, further cost reduction opportunities, and a general portfolio review with the goal of increasing operating efficiency in anticipation of our future growth. We are confident in long term growth as domestic and international demand for a wide range of our products and services remain strong. We will continue to actively reinvest capital into our business to meet our customersâ requirements and drive organic growth, and weâll use our disciplined and dynamic capital allocation process and strong balance sheet to drive attractive total returns for shareholders. Moving on, Iâd like to highlight a few key accomplishments from each of our business areas, beginning with an update on our F-35 program. Last month, the Swiss government signed a letter of offer and acceptance for the procurement of 36 F-35As. This milestone completes the government-to-government procurement process that was first announced in June 2021 when the Swiss Federal Council shared its selection of the F-35 for its future fighter. The signing officially makes Switzerland the 15th F-35 customer. Also, in August, we received contractual authorization from the Joint Program Office, enabling us to book a Lot 15 order of over $7.5 billion and recognize revenues and earnings from the second quarter as well as from the third quarter. Our Space team celebrated the successful launch and deployment of the space-based infrared system GEO-6 satellite, the final spacecraft in the SBIRS constellation. SBIRS has been one of our longest running signature programs, providing the Space Force with an integrated system for missile warning, battlespace awareness, and intelligence gathering. We will also continue to support and advance this important mission through our next generation Overhead Persistent Infrared or next gen OPIR program, which will deliver even more advanced and more survivable missile warning capabilities to the country. At Rotary and Mission Systems, the Sikorsky line of business secured an order for 12 SEAHAWK helicopters from the Australian Ministry of Defense. Over the past 40 years, weâve delivered over a 1,000 SEAHAWKs to the U.S. and international customers both with more than 50 remaining in backlog. And in Missiles and Fire Control, the State Department approved a potential sale to the United Arab Emirates for two THAAD systems, including 96 interceptors. The UAE currently operates two THAAD batteries, and this opportunity would significantly increase their air and missile defense capabilities, and once finalized, could be worth over $2.2 billion. Turning to budgets, both chambers of Congress have advanced Appropriation bills in support of fiscal year 2023 Department of Defense budgets. We have seen strong bipartisan support for increased defense funding in congressional authorization and appropriation committees. Final legislation approving these funds has yet to be passed, and the federal government is currently operating under a short term continuing resolution for FY23, limiting DOD funding to prior FY 2022 levels. As part of the continuing resolution, Congress did approve additional supplemental spending to support efforts in Ukraine for the defense of their country. The CR added $3 billion in funding for Ukraine Security Assistance Initiatives, a program to provide equipment, weapons, and military support to Ukraine, bringing the total amount appropriated for this effort to $9 billion. In addition, the continuing resolution appropriated $2 billion to replenish U.S. stocks of equipment sent to Ukraine and to increase production of critical munitions with a presidential drawdown authority funding now having been increased to over $14 billion since the beginning of the year. The international community has also increased their focus on global security with nations across the world having announced a planned five-year increase in defense budget funding of approximately $60 billion in total. We continue to have discussions with customers to expand the manufacturing of multiple products and have submitted offers for consideration. While many of these contracting actions remain in the early stages and may take time to be fully implemented, we believe our signature programs and 21st century security technologies have us well positioned to address the challenges presented by a resurgence in global great power competition. Turning to our 21st century security strategy, Iâd like to highlight two examples of Lockheed Martinâs leadership in deterrence technologies and how our 5G.MIL open architecture can be used to enhance performance and drive effective Joint All-Domain Operations? During the third quarter, Lockheed Martin and AT&T teamed to transfer UH-60M Black Hawk helicopter flight and performance data from an aircraft at flying in Connecticut to receiving location in Colorado, using both an AT&T 5G private cellular network and Lockheed Martinâs 5G.MIL multi-site pilot network. Operational performance was also improved with the efficiencies introduced by this technology, shortening the total processing time of the task by nearly 85%. Also this quarter, Lockheed Martin and Verizon flew 5G enabled drones to capture and securely transfer high speed, real time intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance data from aircraft and flight to geolocate simulated adversarial positions. This demonstration showed the capabilities of our hybrid base station to bridge commercial and military technologies together, providing our service members with enhanced deterrent capabilities and further enabling the mission all the way out to the actual battlefield. With that, I will turn the call over to Jay and join you later to answer your questions.
Jay Malave: Thanks Jim, and good morning, everyone. Today, I will walk you through our consolidated results, business area detail, provide an update to our 2022 outlook as well as offer some thoughts on 2023 and beyond. As I highlight our results, please follow along with the web charts we have posted with our earnings release today. Letâs begin with chart 3 and an overview of our consolidated third quarter financials. Lockheed Martin delivered solid results for the quarter. To start, we generated sequential sales growth of 7% to $16.6 billion, as anticipated. Segment operating profit was $1.9 billion at an 11.2% margin with earnings per share of $6.71, reflecting solid underlying performance that absorbed $0.16 of mark to market headwinds. We also increased backlog with a 1.3 book-to-bill ratio, driven by the F-35 production Lot 15 contract action. Free cash flow was strong in the quarter at $2.7 billion, further enabling the execution of our disciplined and dynamic cash deployment strategy and returning over $2 billion through share purchases and dividends. Turning to consolidated sales and segment operating profit results on chart 4. Total sales increased 3% from the third quarter of 2021 with growth in three of our four business areas. Segment operating profit was up slightly, as the benefits from higher volume and equity earnings more than offset lower step-ups than last year. Moving to earnings per share on chart 5. On a reported basis, earnings per share were higher by $4.50. Adjusting for last yearâs pension transfer transaction and mark to market accounting, EPS grew 4%, primarily reflecting the benefits of higher operating profit and the lower share count. All in all, solid results that position us well to meet our full-year commitments. Moving to cash flow on chart 6, we delivered our strongest quarter of cash flow year-to-date, with strong collections driving $2.7 billion in free cash flow this quarter while maintaining accelerated payments of $1.1 billion to suppliers. Shareholder cash deployment continues to exceed free cash flow year-to-date with 121% of free cash flow deployed through dividends and share repurchases. We have substantially completed our $4 billion -- our original $4 billion 2022 buyback target. As we announced this quarter, we also increased our dividend 7%, now paying an annualized dividend of $12 per share. Moving to segment results and starting with Aeronautics on chart 7. Third quarter sales increased 8% year-over-year, driven by higher F-35 production volume, including the recognition of $325 million of sales that were deferred from the second quarter associated with the Lot 15 contract action. Increased volume in our classified programs at Skunk Works also contributed to the growth. Operating profit increased 6%, primarily following the sales volume increases on F-35, partially offset by lower margins on classified programs. Moving to Missiles and Fire Control on page 8. Sales increased 2%, driven primarily by increased volume on PAC-3 interceptors. Segment operating profit was down 8% as lower favorable profit adjustments this quarter more than offset the benefit from higher volume. At Rotary and Mission Systems on page 9, sales decreased year-over-year by 5%, driven primarily by lower Black Hawk production volume at Sikorsky. Operating profit decreased 10%, following Sikorsky production volume and lower favorable profit adjustments this quarter on the Black Hawk program. Turning to chart 10 in our Space business area. Sales were up 7%, driven primarily by the continued ramp of the next-generation interceptor program. Operating profit increased 14% following the volume increase, along with higher equity earnings from United Launch Alliance. Okay. Moving to our updated outlook for 2022 on page 11. We are maintaining our guidance from last quarter for sales, earnings per share and free cash flow. With the announcement this morning of a $14 billion repurchase authorization approved by our Board of Directors, weâve increased our forecast for share buybacks to approximately $8 billion for the year, an increase of $4 billion from our prior expectation, reflecting our confidence in the long-term growth outlook and amplifying per share value creation. We expect the EPS benefit from our incremental planned buybacks this year to be offset by the third quarter mark-to-market headwinds and therefore are holding our current EPS guide of $21.55 for the year. Also, while our consolidated outlook did not change, we did have some puts and takes between the business areas, and you can find that detail in our backlog charts. On chart 12, weâve laid out our preliminary framework of expectations for 2023. As weâve discussed before, we remain confident in sustained growth, driven by four pillars: those are programs of record, classified programs, hypersonics, and new awards. This is supported by the higher backlog through the third quarter and further growth expected by year-end. We do anticipate flattish sales in 2023, however, primarily due to the delayed sales conversion in our programs of record backlog as the expected recovery from COVID and supply chain shortages will be more gradual than previously expected. In our classified businesses, we expect another year of growth in 2023. This growth, along with our contract mix headwinds, will be accompanied by pressure of approximately 20 to 30 basis points in overall company segment operating margin, all compared to our 2022 outlook. We are confident that through cost reduction and business area synergy actions, we can work to limit this downward pressure. Importantly, through management focus and aggressive working capital actions, our expectations for 2023 free cash flow remain unchanged in spite of the top line and margin pressure. Looking forward, we are confident in the Companyâs prospects for growth and value creation. With our aggressive share buyback plan, we anticipate repurchasing approximately 10% of our shares outstanding over the next several years. And coupled with a sustained free cash flow, we expect to deliver outstanding long-term value to shareholders. Okay. So, letâs wrap up on chart 13. Our business area operational and financial performance in the third quarter was solid, and we are increasing our outlook for cash return to shareholders. We continue to invest in innovative solutions, including commercial technologies in support of our customersâ important missions and 21st Century Security. Our focus remains on strong cash generation, and combined with our robust balance sheet and discipline and dynamic capital deployment strategy allow us to deliver long-term value to shareholders. Before we open up to Q&A, I would also like to thank Greg Gardner for his 37 years of dedicated service and contributions to the Company. Heâs been an outstanding partner and resource to all that he has supported. We wish him well in the next phase of his life. Greg will remain with us through the end of the year to transition Maria Ricciardone Lee. Maria brings Investor Relations experience from multiple companies, including UTX where we both worked together. Sheâs an excellent financial executive and thought partner, and Iâm excited that she is joining the team. With that, John, letâs open up the call for Q&A.
Operator: And first, we have line of Rob Stallard with Vertical Research. Please go ahead.
Rob Stallard: Thanks so much. Good morning. Also, Iâd say all the best to Greg, and welcome, Maria, the two of you again. But in terms of questions, Jay, on your outlook for 2023, I know youâre not going to go into a lot of detail here, full guidance be going next quarter. But you mentioned that classified is going to be going up but overall are going to be flattish. So, whatâs coming down next year, and whatâs causing that?
Jay Malave: Yes. We have some program transitions, Rob. And maybe Iâll just maybe go through around some of the business areas to give you a little bit of color there. When you look at aero next year, we expect that to probably be in the range of being down -- flat to down slightly. And thatâs on the back really of lower production volume on the F-35. We expect that to be done -- even though sales -- or the deliveries will be generally flat. We recorded sales in advance of that with long lead procurement in 2021 and 2022. So, it will be a period of catch-up on sales for aero there. So, thatâs going to be the biggest driver there, but weâll expect that to abate when we go into 2024. At MFC, weâve got some -- just some timing, so program timing, particularly in our sensors business, we expect them to be probably flattish to down slightly as well. And then, we expect some growth -- low-single-digit growth at both RMS and Space. And RMS will just be driven by new programs. And at Space, we have -- our national security business is down, but weâve got other programs that are spiking up there. And so, thatâs generally whatâs driving it, Iâd say, by business area and by segment. So slightly down in a few and slightly up in others, and our balance will be flat.
Operator: And our next question is from Ron Epstein with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Ron Epstein: Jim, can you walk through why you think growth is going to start again in 2024? I mean, what underlies that? And maybe one of the things I scratched my head on a bunch is youâve got, what, the 15th customer for F-35. It looks like there might even be some more within the next year or so. So, how do we think about that growth recovery? Whatâs going to underlie that? And why are F-35 levels at a higher rate of production than where they are today? And could they go higher?
Jim Taiclet: Sure. Ryan, itâs Jim here. So, the two biggest pieces of our four pillars of growth are programs of record, and Iâll speak to a few of those in a second, and the classified business we have. And both of those are going to ramp up from 2023 to 2024 meaningly we feel. And the biggest piece of all -- again, the programs of record are going to come into 3 or 4 very identifiable areas. One is the F-35 sustainment, right? So with more aircraft out flying, thereâs going to be more of a overhaul, repair, spare parts support, those kinds of activities, going on. And thatâs going to continue over a number of years. So F-35 sustainment is a growth area. In MFC, the PAC-3 is resurging. Thereâs interest in various parts of the world, the Middle East, Europe and Asia now, for PAC-3. So the capabilities of that air defense system are really going to be kicking into gear for the Company in the next couple of years, including in 2024. Along with that, similarly, the CH-53K is going to move up the production rate significantly, and thereâs some additional international interest there. That aircraft can do lift capability that far exceeds any other thatâs ever been built in history. And itâs, I think, going to get even more uptake as time goes on. And the fourth among many of the programs of record that will grow is fleet ballistic missile that the U.S. Navy is essentially going to revamp for the second time the Trident fleet ballistic missile system. And thatâs a Lockheed Martin franchise that will continue to grow, again starting in 2024. On the classified side, 2023 is helpful, but not really the ramp that will come in 2024. So, between programs of record and classified, youâre going to get the bulk of that growth. On F-35, the U.S. government has got to kind of determine what its budget priorities are at the macro level going forward. One of those has been nuclear deterrents. And so, between the bomber program, the ground-based missile recapitalization and the fleet ballistic missile that I just mentioned, thereâs going to be a significant amount of defense budget proportionately spent on the nuclear revitalization. But also the conventional threats have gotten worse instead of better as we look forward into the next 2 or 3, 4 years, and thatâs going to be a budget issue for the U.S. government. Weâve recommended, and I think the services would support, a steady production rate of 156 aircraft starting again in the 2024 time frame when we can get back up to that based on the COVID recovery for our supply chain. And I think thatâs supportable. And it takes about 80 U.S. aircraft to make that happen per year with another 75 or so coming from international. We see the international demand -- and itâs going to be up to the U.S. government to try to support that 80 number between the congressional committee processes for authorization and appropriation along with the Presidentâs budgets going forward. So, we hope for that. We expect it because thatâs the need, and thatâs where we think the F-35 program is going to go. But again, in FY23, we wonât have that full ramp-up yet.
Jay Malave: Let me just -- to maybe add a little bit to it as well, Ron. Just to augment, some of the things that weâre seeing in 2023, weâve got some expected abating headwinds when we go into 2024. Jim mentioned a little bit on supply chain. Thatâs primarily affected our programs of record. And so, those should lift by the time we get to 2024. We also have a few program transitions in 2023 that will also allow for easier comparison when we get into 2024. And so for example, I just mentioned the F-35 where production will be down next year. Those will normalize when we get into 2024, which will allow our sustainment to grow, as Jim mentioned. Weâll also see accelerated growth in the F-16 program. As you may recall, that program slipped to the right, but in 2024, we expect that to accelerate. In Space, as Jim mentioned, FBM, there are other programs such as NGI that will continue to grow. And so weâve got some things where weâre cycling down this -- on 2023 on the SBIRS program and even things like next-gen GEO or OPIR, again, those headwinds will abate as we get into 2024. Similarly, on MFC, Jim mentioned the PAC-3 program. Weâll see also continued growth there in the classified programs as well. And then at RMS, as Jim mentioned, also at CH-53K, thereâs also other radar programs as well as Joint All Domain-type programs like Defense of Guam that will drive some growth in those years. So, all of these areas and these programs are the ones that we have pretty clear visibility to. They do assume obviously that there is abatement to an improvement in supply chain. Thatâs 15 months from now for improvement that we expect to occur.
Operator: Our next question is from Matt Akers with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
Matt Akers: Greg, best of luck and good working with you. I wanted to ask about Future Vertical Lift, FLRAA, just what youâre hearing from your customers there on the delays? And any indication of whatâs driving that? And when do you think that contract might be up?
Jim Taiclet: Matt, itâs Jim. The only thing we could say about the schedule for FLRAA decision is what the U.S. government puts out publicly. So, we donât have anything else to add to that. Itâs their schedule and time line, and we think weâve put in a terrific offer. And also having been around some of these helicopter pilots in my Air Force time, they actually scared the heck out of me a couple of times when I flew with them. They want to be low. They want to be maneuverable below the tree line. And Iâve seen the FARA and FLRAA fly. They can do it. Thereâs a video you can look at on YouTube that shows you how amazing this helicopter technology is. And it also gets you up to like a 230- to 250-knot forward speed when you need it. So, it gives the best of both worlds if youâre in the rotorcraft business as a flyer. You get good forward speed thatâs faster than itâs ever been for a traditionally designed helicopter because of our counter-rotating rotors. And it also gives you the maneuverability even better than many of the traditional helicopters could have provided. So, we think itâs the best solution for the actual frontline Army or other service pilot, and itâs going to be up the U.S. government to see where they come out on that. But the schedule is theirs, and we canât really comment on it.
Operator: Next, weâll go to Pete Skibitski with Alembic Global Advisors. Please go ahead.
Pete Skibitski: Greg, enjoy retirement. Jim, I had a question on Missiles and Fire Control. I feel like the last few years, youâve had -- production programs have been down, but you mentioned this resurgence in the PAC-3. And U.S.A., it seemed like the guys were pretty positive on a range of production programs, HIMARS, for instance, being one of them because of what weâve seen in the papers. But if we think about the midterm at Missiles and Fire Control with this kind of resurgence in the production programs, is there a margin opportunity there now that you guys are seeing, whereas maybe the production programs kind of start to shift back versus some of the hypersonic development projects?
Jim Taiclet: So, Pete, Iâd say, yes, the legacy but still extremely effective MFC programs are fairly high margin because of the volume and the learning curve that were already down. So that will be a margin upside to us, should those volumes increase further. And weâve gotten ahead of this. So, for HIMARS, GMLRS, Javelin, again, the products you kind of see in the news these days and a few others as well. About 6, 7 months ago when we saw what was beginning to happen in Eastern Europe, I went over to visit some of the senior officials in the Pentagon and basically took them a letter and said, weâre going to start spending on capacity for a few of these systems, including the ones you just asked about. And now weâve got a lot done already. So for example, on HIMARS specifically, weâve already met with our long lead supply chain to plan for increasing production in 96 of these units a year. We advanced funded ahead of contract $65 million to shorten the manufacturing lead time. That was without a contract or any other even memo or whatnot back from the government. We just went ahead and did that because we expected it to happen. So, those parts are already being manufactured now. The third thing we did was weâve determined where we could open up another modern manufacturing facility to be able to produce the products and got it ready early, and weâre cross-training our skilled workforce across a bunch of product lines. So, as the demand grows and shifts across some of these products over the next few years, weâre going to have people that kind of fungibly move between them. And then, the last thing we did was going back to this One LMX, weâre putting the best and newest manufacturing technology into some of these product lines first so that when the ramp comes, we can pivot to it quicker. So, those are some of the things that weâve done to actually capture some of the volume we expect to get. And we do expect to get it, both from the U.S. to refill stocks, as I mentioned earlier in the prepared remarks, and also significant interest being shown. Now, itâs got to go ahead and get contracted, which as we discussed last call, it can take a couple of years to get all that done, especially for an FMS contract. But we know itâs -- the demand is there, and weâve spoken to the senior government officials from those countries that know that this is important for them.
Jay Malave: Just -- Pete, just to follow up on that. We do expect some sales upside there on some of these programs that Jim mentioned. That is likely to be in -- probably starting in the 2020 time frame given the long cycle nature of where we are in spite of the fact that weâve done some advanced funding. The other thing I just have to also mention is that where we see the margin pressure next year, a lot of that is driven at MFC. And so, while we will see a mix benefit associated from these higher-margin programs, that is probably more in 2024 and beyond. 2023, weâll see a step down from where they are this year in 2022. And the way to think about it is, in the third quarter, MFC did about 13.5. Whatâs implied in our guide for the fourth quarter is high-13s. Theyâre going to be in that mid-13 range, in that ballpark, for 2023 given some of these new increases in the programs that weâve invested in. And so, weâll see a little bit of pressure there across the company, really driven by MFC. But again, weâll see some of those mix benefits come back to us in â24 and beyond.
Operator: Next, weâll go to Sheila Kahyaoglu with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Sheila Kahyaoglu: Thank you. And best of luck, Greg. Thank you. And good morning, Jim and Jay. Jay, one for you maybe, I want to ask about the share repurchase authorization increase in the dividend raise. Can you talk about how youâre thinking about deployment as a percentage of free cash flow going forward? And what were some of the assumptions made around the R&D tax credit perhaps in the expected use of debt? And just maybe adjacent to that, as you think about market multiples coming down and some of these smaller companies needing to potentially prime -- pair up with prime, how do you think about taking advantage of that opportunity along with the share repurchase authorization? Thank you.
Jay Malave: Okay. Thereâs a lot there. So, let me maybe start with the share repurchase. As I mentioned -- both Jim and I mentioned in our prepared remarks, weâre confident in the long-term outlook of the Company. We saw this as an opportunity to really amplify the value creation that we see over the long term. And we saw no better time than really now to get started on that here in the fourth quarter. The profile to think about going forward is $4 billion here in the fourth quarter, $4 billion in 2023, $4 billion in 2024 and maybe $2 billion in 2025 as a starting point. And so, thatâs the profile we should expect it to be. As far as debt, we do -- are going to finance this fourth quarter share repurchase program with the issuance of debt. So, it will be about $4 billion. That will increase our interest expense next year. But again, itâs all accretive. And so, weâll see that. Again, our debt leverage ratio on an EBITDA basis will put us still below -- at or below 1.5 times. So, itâs still very supportable and also very attractive. As far as the R&D tax capitalization, really nothingâs changed at the moment. Weâll see what happens as we move forward here in the fourth quarter. First things first, we got to get through the November elections. And then we have the expiration of the existing continuing resolution on December 16th. Itâs possible through legislation, therefore, a new budget that we could see movement on tax extenders that would include some type of either deferral or what we would prefer a repeal of the task capitalization policy. And as you know, we believe that itâs sound policy, and we believe thereâs bipartisan support to remove any disincentives that promote innovation. And so, thatâs a firm policy. Itâs something that weâre firmly behind and weâll continue to push for.
Jim Taiclet: Sheila, when it comes to small and midsized companies teaming up with Lockheed Martin, weâre set up for that. I can describe three ways in which we are ready now to pair up and team up with whether theyâre commercial or defense, industrial-based companies of smaller scale. One is that weâve had for years, LM Ventures, like literally a VC house inside of Lockheed Martin. Itâs been funded at $200 million level originally. The investments that have been made under that authorization are now worth about $400 million. So even if we mark to market a little bit lower, we had basically 100% return on that initial investment. Seeing the success when I joined the company of the LM Ventures program a couple of years ago, we went ahead doubled the authorization. So, weâre looking where to invest another $200 million in early-stage companies. At the next level, I motivated the team, and Jay helped us create what we can now call Lockheed Martin Evolve or LM Evolve, E-V-O-L-V-E. And what thatâs meant to do is to go at a step higher and say, how do we do joint ventures or commercial alliances with midsized companies, co-invest, et cetera, whether again, there on the commercial side or the defense industrial base side or space industry in ways that we can take that outside of our rate structure and manage it and fund it in a different, more creative way? So, weâre in the VC space with LM Ventures. Weâre in the midsized page -- space with LM Evolve, which is just literally getting off the ground, Iâll say. But we have the framework, the structure and the ability to engage in that level of investment now. And then thirdly, something weâve done over the years is acquire small and medium companies with technologies or critical supply chain components that are available. So, weâll continue to do that as well. So, those are the three routes that we have in place up and running: LM Ventures, LM Evolve and the acquisition process to bring those kind of capabilities into -- or an affiliation with Lockheed Martin.
Operator: And next, weâll go to Rob Spingarn with Melius Research. Please go ahead.
Rob Spingarn: Best of luck, Greg. Jim, I wanted to ask you a high-level question, particularly because youâre a pilot. The Air Force is facing a shortage of pilots, and the Navy is planning to have at least 60% of the carrier air wings uncrewed. And so, given that Lockheed is so strong on manned aircraft, I wanted to ask you about unmanned and the positioning there and how that fits into the long-term plans of both the Air Force and the Navy.
Jim Taiclet: So Rob, autonomy is 1 of the 14 critical technologies that we think are essential in the 21st century. And to everyoneâs credit at the company, weâve been investing in Skunk Works and other parts of the Company, including Sikorsky, in autonomy for 15-plus years, right? This is not an easy thing to do or an easy thing to get approved or regulated. But Lockheed Martin and Sikorsky, when it was part of UTC and thereafter, had been working on autonomy for quite some time. So, the Aeronautics side of it, I canât say much about because itâs pretty highly classified. But weâre far down the road on crewed, uncrewed teaming. And in the January call, we expect to have hit a couple of milestones in that, that Iâll be able to explain in some more detail, but we want to get the testing done before we talk about it. But weâre far down the road there, mainly out of Skunk Works, as I said. And then, on the rotorcraft side, if you get the Aviation Week from maybe 3 or 4 months ago that showed a Sikorsky helicopter flying around with no people in it, right? Iâve actually flown in the Matrix helicopter, we call it, which is a DARPA project thatâs run out of Sikorsky. It has three -- and they all work, by the way. It has three modes. One is manual mode, just like any traditional helicopter. The second mode is sort of assisted like a Tesla, so to speak, right? So, you can take over if you need to or if you want to change the flight instantly. And then, the third mode is fully automated. And it -- you plug the mission in a trailer down or up at Stratford, Connecticut, thing will take off, go do the mission and come back and land on itself. So, itâs really working already. And then, itâs a matter of when is the U.S. government and the service is ready to turn these technologies into programs of record, but weâll be ready when they are.
Operator: Our next question is from Cai von Rumohr with Cowen. Please go ahead.
Cai von Rumohr: Yes. Let me join everybody and say thank you, Greg, for a great job done. And Maria, welcome. So, we havenât talked about inflation. What are you guys seeing and assuming in inflation going forward? And as you know, Bill LaPlante has basically suggested that DoD should kind of kick in to help companies because the current level of inflation was not anticipated where the -- when the contracts were signed. And yet Senator Elizabeth Warren, no big surprise, is saying thatâs not a good idea. So what are you seeing in inflation? And what are you assuming going forward in terms of DoD support?
Jay Malave: Sure, Cai. Inflation is twofold: one on our own labor front and then in what we see in supply chain. And for our portfolio of business is a fair amount of our business thatâs somewhat insulated because itâs not fixed price. And so, some of the cost-plus benefits that we get, that risk is not held at Lockheed Martin. For the 60% of our business that is fixed price, a lot of our just contracting policies and actions and implementations revolve around going back to back with our supply chain, meaning that whatever duration of time that we commit in our contract with our customer, we have the same commitment to our supply chain to us over that same period of time. And so in many of those cases, we donât bear that risk either. But it does come into factor as weâre going into new bids and proposals with our customer. We are seeing different changes both on the labor side and in supply chain, and it does have an impact really going forward on bid and proposals. Itâs something that we have to keep in front of us. And weâre having dialogues with the customer. As you mentioned, thereâs been a little bit of a shift in policy to DoD as far as acceptance of economic price adjustments, and thatâs something that we do continue to have dialogue with our customers on. In existing contracts, thatâs subject to funding availability, which has been somewhat difficult to actually obtain. But I think going forward, thatâs something that certainly would be part of our negotiations and part of our contracting. As far as labor is concerned, we have increased our assumptions in our existing backlog contracts. Weâve been able to absorb that through productivity and other management reserve type of actions. So, weâve not really seen much of an impact there, but itâs certainly a watch item as we go forward.
Operator: Next, weâll go to Seth Seifman with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Seth Seifman: I echo everyone in best to Greg and to Maria. Going to try and sneak two in here real quick. Just on -- Jay, the Wall Street Journal has you this morning saying that growth in 2024 should be low single digits. Is that right? Is that how we should think about it? And then the second one, I wonder if you could help us with the pension outlook for next year, both FAS and CAS. And then just thinking about the CAS outlook beyond 2024 and how that remaining balance kind of trails off in the coming years.
Jay Malave: Sure, Seth. Yes, I think low single digit for 2024 as a baseline is the way you should look at it. We talked on this call today that there are some upside opportunities to that baseline. Missiles and Fire Control is certainly a prime opportunity. Jim talked about opportunities related to HIMARS and other programs. And so, there could be upside from where we are today. These are ongoing dialogues weâre having with our DoD customers. So, itâs hard to really put them into a firm forecast until we get ourselves a clearer picture in terms of whatâs going to be under contract and the timing of those deliveries. So, I would say low single-digit baseline is the appropriate level to be. Weâre getting better clarity and I think weâll have a lot more clarity come January, provide our full guidance for 2023 and a better outlook on 2024. As far as pensionâs involved, we do expect the FAS income to come down. Youâre talking in the range of say $50 million. On the CAS side, we expect the CAS cost to come down as well by about $75 million. So the FAS/CAS adjustment all in, weâre expecting to come down by about $125 million. Thatâs if we struck things today. As you know, at the end of the year, weâll have to true up and formally change, but thatâs based on what we see today. As far as CAS is involved, weâre going to have to get back to you in â24 and beyond in that. Greg will have to come back to you Seth on that.
Operator: Next question is from Kristine Liwag with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Kristine Liwag: Greg, congratulations, and welcome, Maria. Jim and Jay, thank you for providing color on the specific headwinds in 2023. But maybe taking a step back for a 30,000-foot view, the defense budget environment is pretty robust. We saw the â22 budget request up mid-single digit. The Ukraine military aid so far adds another 10% to the â22 modernization budget. So, your book-to-bill also year-to-date is 1.1x. I guess I would have thought that these items could have offset the specific 2023 headwinds you called out. So maybe absent the specific programs you mentioned, should we expect the portfolio to grow above the low or in line with the overall DoD budget?
Jim Taiclet: So Kristine, good morning. I would say, first of all, that the defense budget is expected to go above and beyond what the Presidentâs original submission was a few months back in 2023, right? Now, even if that happens, and we do expect it to happen, and I would just point out a couple of programs that probably would benefit from that and that includes C-130 in that and F-35 production. But it hasnât happened yet, so weâre not putting it into our forecast. And let me just take a minute to step back and really reemphasize what Jay said, in that we donât have enough real information right now in the -- early in the fourth quarter of the year to even give much more than an estimate of what the trend will be next year. So starting in 2024, weâre going to start doing January guidance thatâs formal. Weâre not going to do anything ahead of that. And Iâll tell you the three issues that Iâve learned in my couple of years in management here, we just donât have clarity on. One is the defense budget, which you just raised a minute ago. We donât know what itâs going to be. In January, weâll know what the defense budget is going to be. And then along with that, whatâs the status of the major orders and contracts that get put into that budget because as youâre again pointing out, whatâs the mix of the budget increase going to be as far as what the contracts and orders come from that. And then finally, we donât necessarily have status of what the supply chain health is going to be, even in 2023 yet because if thereâs another COVID spike in the winter like there was last time, weâre going to have effects in our supply chain. So, thereâs -- those three issues really makes it, I think, almost impossible to give you really high confidence trending information, which has been a tradition at the company when the defense budget was rising 5% to 10% a year. But thatâs not -- and there was no COVID, by the way, but thatâs not the situation now. So, weâre going to start next cycle without trying to give you a trend line in October. Weâll give you a solid formal guidance as we can in Jan of 2024 because of all this. Having said that, even on the products that we fully anticipate are going to get increases because there have been actions inside of government to make it happen, I used the analogy last call of the clutch wasnât engaged yet even on the order process and paperwork that needs to come to us, so we can actually start production. The way Iâd characterize it now is that the clutch is engaging but into some lower gears initially, right? So, the process has started. I really give Dr. LaPlante and others a lot of credit, Andrew Hunter in the Air Force, et cetera, the secretaries of the Air Force, Navy and Army departments are all engaged in making this happen. But it does take time to get through, especially on international FMS contracts and commercial sales, too. So for all those reasons, Kristine, itâs really hard for us to estimate what -- at this point in the cycle what programs are really going to benefit. But Iâm pretty sure that F-35 and C-130 would be in there. Many of the MFC products, weâve already talked about. Black Hawk demand internationally especially is ginning up and as well as F-16. So I think thereâs a lot of significant areas where the Company can benefit with an additional defense budget increase.
Jay Malave: Yes. And so Kristine, we fully expect, as Jim mentioned, to participate in this industry upside. Youâre going to see that in the orders in the backlog. And what weâre talking about here is converting that to sales taking a little bit longer than expected. I think the important thing to remember in terms of 2023 is that in spite of a lower outlook from a sales perspective, even the margin pressure, weâre still delivering the same amount of free cash flow that we told you a year ago. And our free cash flow per share outlook has gotten better because of our share repurchase program.
Operator: Next question is from Peter Arment with Baird. Please go ahead.
Peter Arment: Yes. Good morning, everyone. Good morning, Jay, Jim. Can you hear me?
Jim Taiclet: Yes, we can. Good morning.
Peter Arment: Great. Congratulations, Greg. Appreciate all your effort. Hey Jay, just maybe you made -- Jim made a comment about the Aeronautics kind of flat to kind of slightly down in â23, but then sustainment becomes a bigger piece of the story as we get into â24. Should we be thinking about Aeronautics kind of troughing out in 2023? Is that kind of what youâre implying, or are there other puts and takes that we should be thinking about longer term? Thanks.
Jay Malave: No. Yes, I think so. I think next year, theyâre dealing with some of the transition related to the changes in delivery profiles on the F-35 -- the production contract. And again, weâre just catching up some inventory because some of the delivery profile has moved around. Once that abates, that headwind, weâre going to see at least a leveling off on the production side, which will lead the growth for sustainment and growth in classified programs and growth on the F-16 program. And so, I would expect them in â24 and beyond to have a nice growth trajectory.
Jim Taiclet: Yes. And Iâd also add there, Peter, that weâre starting to get some real traction on our sort of JADO offering, so to speak. And one of them has been mentioned briefly today called Defense of Guam. And thatâs the really first well -- highly organized DoD major contract to come out that really drives the capability and not just a product or system. And what itâs meant to do is integrate and this is our whole 5G.MIL approach. Actually, thatâs why we won it, I think, is that integrating current command and control systems in use by the various services. So, the Armyâs -- happens to be provided by Northrop Grumman, for example. Weâre going to fully incorporate that into the solution and work with them to do it. And then, weâre going to bring the Aegis system from Lockheed Martin into that mix and a number of other programs and products from a range of OEMs. Weâre going to work together on this for the first time in this way. So, I think this is going to be a real pathfinder for the future. And once this demonstrates that it can be a success and the industry has got to coalesce and help make it happen with us, we, as an industry, will see more of these opportunities in the 2024-plus time frame, too.
Operator: Next question is from George Shapiro with Shapiro Research. Please go ahead.
George Shapiro: A couple of questions. On the Aeronautics area, Lot 16, youâre not supposed to get in Q4. Jay, does that come with added sales that you may be working on now as well? And then, a second question, if you look at the incremental margin on the profit you provided on the F-35 and the $325 million of sales, itâs like 21%. Does that imply that you increased the margin on the F-35 program? And will that help the margin next year, or is it more than offset by the growth in the sustainment?
Jay Malave: Well, on the second question, George, we did have a profit adjustment on the F-35 program and the production program there. So, we will see moving forward a higher recurring margin rate there. As far as Q4 and Lot 16, yes, we do expect that order in the fourth quarter, as Jim mentioned, a little bit over $8 billion. I wouldnât -- we do expect a ramp-up in sales at aero, including F-35, and that will include F-16. So to answer your question, yes, that will certainly be part of the sales mix here in the fourth quarter.
Operator: Next, weâll go to Rich Safran with Seaport Research Partners. Please go ahead.
Rich Safran: Jim, Jay, Greg, Maria, good morning. How are you?
Jim Taiclet: Good morning.
Rich Safran: So Jim, I heard your opening remarks about uncertainties on the supply chain and all that. And Jay, Iâm going to put you a little bit on the spot here. And hopefully, Iâll get you to answer a long-term cash flow outlook question. Because I think last year, you gave a long-term cash flow outlook and even added a year. So, youâve been talking long term this morning and recognizing thereâs not a lot of high confidence here. Do you have enough visibility to give us a long-term cash flow update? And if possible, could you cash that in terms of buybacks and free cash flow per share?
Jay Malave: Well, Rich, so if you think about our free cash flow last year, and Iâm going off -- a little bit off recall here, we said $6.1 billion in â23. I believe it was $6.2 billion in 2024. I donât see any reason why we canât deliver that and continue to deliver that level of free cash flow beyond â23 and â24. So -- and our free cash flow, again, with the share repurchase program will get better than what we were saying a year ago. Again, just our management focus on working capital, our management focus, discipline in delivering free cash flow is not going to stop after one year. And so, Iâm pretty confident that we can continue to deliver the free cash flow that we committed to a year ago. And again, our free cash flow per share, our growth, youâre looking probably in the range of mid-single-digit growth over this period of time.
Greg Gardner: Hey John, this is Greg. I think weâve come up to the top of the hour. So with that, Iâll turn the call back over to Jim.
Jim Taiclet: Sure, Greg. Thanks. Iâd like to conclude today by, again, reinforcing what Jay just talked about, our commitment to delivering long-term, attractive and reliable total returns to shareholders, underpinned by our strong cash generation and our robust balance sheet as well as delivering on these 21st century solutions to meet the challenges that our customers are facing in global security right now. And if some of you might have been around when I was at American Tower, we focused completely on free cash flow per share generation. And that got us through 18 years of up and down cycles, the Great Recession and a few other issues that happened along the way. Thatâs the right metric for this company, too, and thatâs why Jay and I are so -- so much emphasizing it today. So, weâre positioning ourselves for anticipated growth inflection in the next few years, investing in innovative technologies for our customersâ missions, as I said, and strong repurchases along the way to amplify the per share value creation as we go. So, thanks again for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with all of you on our next earnings call in January. John, that concludes the call. Thanks, everybody.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
Related Analysis
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) Surpasses Financial Expectations
- Earnings per share of $7.28, beating the estimated $6.34.
- Revenue reached approximately $17.96 billion, surpassing expectations.
- Despite a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.20, the company's current ratio is about 1.13.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) is a leading global aerospace and defense company. It specializes in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products, and services. The company competes with other major defense contractors like Boeing and Northrop Grumman.
On April 22, 2025, Lockheed Martin reported impressive financial results. The company achieved earnings per share of $7.28, surpassing the estimated $6.34. This strong performance reflects the company's operational efficiency and robust demand for its products and services, as highlighted by CNBC's Morgan Brennan.
Lockheed Martin's revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching approximately $17.96 billion compared to the estimated $17.78 billion. This positive financial outcome contributed to a rebound in the S&P 500, which had experienced a sell-off earlier in the week. The company's strong results, along with those of Peloton, supported gains in the market.
Despite its strong financial performance, Lockheed Martin has a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 3.20, indicating a higher level of debt compared to equity. However, the company's current ratio of about 1.13 suggests it maintains a slightly higher level of current assets compared to its current liabilities, which can help manage short-term obligations.
Investors remain optimistic about Lockheed Martin's future, although they are closely monitoring potential impacts from the policies of the Trump administration. The company's ability to consistently exceed earnings expectations amid rising uncertainty demonstrates its resilience and strong market position.
Lockheed Martin Corporation's Upcoming Earnings and Executive Change
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT), a leading player in the aerospace and defense industry, is gearing up for its quarterly earnings release on April 22, 2025. Analysts are projecting an earnings per share (EPS) of $6.32 and revenue of approximately $17.8 billion.
Recently, the company experienced a significant executive change, with CFO Jay Malave departing. This led to a 6% drop in the stock price at market opening, though it later recovered to a 2% decline. Despite this, Lockheed Martin has reassured investors by reaffirming its 2025 guidance.
Evan Scott, a 26-year veteran of Lockheed Martin, has been appointed as the new CFO. Scott's extensive experience, including roles as treasurer and CFO of two business units, positions him well to navigate the company's financial landscape. His appointment aims to stabilize investor confidence during this transition.
Lockheed Martin's financial metrics provide insight into its market position. The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.53 and a price-to-sales ratio of 1.53. These figures reflect the market's valuation of its earnings and revenue. The enterprise value to sales ratio is 1.78, while the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is 18.17.
The company's financial leverage is indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.20. This suggests a significant reliance on debt financing. Additionally, Lockheed Martin's current ratio of 1.13 shows its ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets, ensuring operational stability.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) Stock Update and Market Performance
- Wells Fargo maintains an Equal-Weight rating on Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT), with the stock priced at $479.38.
- Increased defense spending in Europe, particularly the "REARM Europe" program, has positively impacted Lockheed Martin's stock, leading to a 3% increase.
- Lockheed Martin's current trading price is $479.17, with a year-high of $618.95 and a low of $419.70.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) is a leading global aerospace and defense company. It specializes in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products, and services. The company operates in four business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. Lockheed Martin's main competitors include Boeing, Northrop Grumman, and Raytheon Technologies.
On March 10, 2025, Wells Fargo maintained its rating for Lockheed Martin at Equal-Weight, suggesting investors hold the stock. At the time, the stock was priced at $479.38. This recommendation comes amid a backdrop of increased defense spending in Europe, which has positively impacted Lockheed Martin's stock performance. As highlighted by Benzinga, the stock's options activity has been noteworthy, indicating heightened investor interest.
Lockheed Martin's stock experienced a 3% increase following the announcement of Europe's "REARM Europe" program, an 800 billion euro initiative to enhance defense capabilities. This program, announced by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, has bolstered investor confidence in defense stocks like Lockheed Martin. In contrast, GE Aerospace's stock declined by 1.6% due to geopolitical tensions affecting its business.
Currently, Lockheed Martin's stock is trading at $479.17, reflecting a 1.17% rise with a $5.52 increase. The stock's price fluctuated between $473.70 and $494.20 during the day. Over the past year, it has seen a high of $618.95 and a low of $419.70. The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $112.79 billion, with a trading volume of 2,281,674 shares, indicating strong market activity.
Lockheed Martin Misses Q4 Sales Estimates, Shares Down 4%
Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) saw its shares drop over 4% in premarket trading Tuesday after the defense giant reported lower-than-expected fourth-quarter sales and issued a profit forecast for 2025 that fell short of Wall Street expectations.
In the fourth quarter, the company posted earnings per share of $7.67, surpassing analyst estimates of $6.58. However, revenue for the period totaled $18.6 billion, narrowly missing the consensus estimate of $18.84 billion. Net earnings for the quarter dropped sharply to $527 million, or $2.22 per share, down from $1.9 billion, or $7.58 per share, in the same period in 2023. The decrease was driven by a $1.7 billion loss related to classified programs.
Operational cash flow also took a significant hit, falling 57% year-over-year to $1.02 billion, well below the expected $1.79 billion. Despite these setbacks, the company reported a backlog of $176.04 billion, a 9.6% increase year-over-year, reflecting strong global demand for its advanced defense technologies.
CEO Jim Taiclet highlighted the company’s achievements in 2024, noting 5% sales growth and record-high backlog figures as evidence of robust demand. He also emphasized Lockheed Martin’s commitment to shareholder returns, stating that the company once again returned over 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders.
Looking ahead, Lockheed Martin projected 2025 earnings per share in the range of $27.00 to $27.30, below the consensus estimate of $27.82. Revenue guidance was set between $73.75 billion and $74.75 billion, with the midpoint aligning closely with Wall Street expectations of $74 billion.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) Downgraded by Deutsche Bank
- Deutsche Bank downgraded Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) from a "Buy" to a "Hold" rating, reflecting concerns about the company's performance and market position.
- Despite the downgrade, Lockheed Martin's stock showed resilience, closing at $485.94, a 0.53% increase.
- The stock has faced a 16.1% decline over the past three months, underperforming compared to its competitors and the broader market.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) is a leading global aerospace and defense company. It specializes in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products, and services. The company operates in four business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. Lockheed Martin competes with other major aerospace manufacturers like Boeing, Airbus, and Embraer.
On January 2, 2025, Deutsche Bank downgraded Lockheed Martin from a "Buy" to a "Hold" rating, with the stock priced at $489.02. This downgrade reflects concerns about the company's recent performance and market position. Despite this, Lockheed Martin's stock showed resilience, closing at $485.94, a 0.53% increase from the previous day, as highlighted by Zacks.
Lockheed Martin's stock has faced challenges, with a 16.1% decline over the past three months. This is worse than the Zacks Aerospace-Defense industry's 7.2% decline and the broader Zacks Aerospace sector's 3.9% loss. In contrast, the S&P 500 gained 5.6% during the same period. Competitors like Boeing, Airbus, and Embraer have performed better, with increases of 18.7%, 10.6%, and 3%, respectively.
The stock's recent trading range was between $482 and $486.53, with a market capitalization of approximately $115.18 billion. Over the past year, Lockheed Martin's stock has seen a high of $618.95 and a low of $413.92. Despite its premium valuation, the company's recent struggles suggest investors might consider waiting for a more favorable entry point.
Lockheed Martin Misses Q3 Revenue Estimates, Raises 2024 Guidance, Shares Drop 6%
Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) shares fell more than 6% intra-day today after the company reported third-quarter revenues that fell slightly short of analyst estimates. But the defense contractor delivered an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2024, surpassing Wall Street projections.
For the third quarter, Lockheed Martin reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.84, beating the consensus estimate of $6.50. However, revenue came in at $17.1 billion, below the expected $17.37 billion.
Looking ahead, the company raised its fiscal year 2024 EPS guidance to $26.65, exceeding the analyst consensus of $26.44. Additionally, Lockheed Martin lifted its revenue outlook for fiscal 2024 to $71.25 billion, surpassing the previous range of $70.5 billion to $71.5 billion and exceeding the Street estimate of $71.06 billion.
The company highlighted significant strategic progress in the quarter, including a record-breaking $165 billion backlog, the delivery of 48 F-35 fighter jets, and increased missile production. Lockheed Martin also generated $2.1 billion in free cash flow during the quarter, reflecting its strong financial position as it looks forward to the remainder of 2024.
Lockheed Martin Corporation's Financial Overview
- Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $6.84, surpassing estimates and indicating a positive trend.
- Revenue of $17.1 billion fell short of estimates but showed a 1.3% year-over-year growth.
- Financial metrics reveal a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.67 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.12, highlighting market valuation and leverage.
Lockheed Martin Corporation, listed on the NYSE as LMT, is a leading aerospace and defense company. It specializes in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products, and services. The company competes with other major defense contractors like Boeing and Northrop Grumman.
On October 22, 2024, Lockheed Martin reported earnings per share (EPS) of $6.84, exceeding the estimated $6.50. This performance was highlighted by CNBC's Morgan Brennan on 'Squawk Box'. The EPS also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.47, showing a positive trend compared to last year's $6.77 per share.
Despite the strong EPS, Lockheed Martin's revenue of $17.1 billion fell short of the estimated $17.4 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1%. However, this revenue still marked a 1.3% increase from the same period last year, indicating growth in the company's sales.
Lockheed Martin's financial metrics provide further insight into its market valuation. The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 20.67, reflecting how the market values its earnings. Its price-to-sales ratio is about 1.95, and the enterprise value to sales ratio is around 2.19, indicating the market's valuation of its revenue and sales.
The company's financial health is also highlighted by its debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 3.12, showing a high level of leverage. The current ratio of around 1.24 suggests Lockheed Martin's ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets. Additionally, the earnings yield of about 4.84% offers insight into the return on investment for shareholders.