HNI Corporation (HNI) on Q2 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Operator: Good day and thank you for standing by, and welcome to the HNI Corporation Second Quarter Fiscal 2021 Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Matt McCall. Please go ahead. Matt McCall: Good morning. My name is Matt McCall, I'm Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Development for HNI Corporation. Thank you for joining us to discuss our second quarter fiscal 2021 results. Jeff Lorenger: Thanks, Matt. Good morning, and thank you for joining us. In the second quarter, our members executed at a high level, delivering substantial year-over-year profit improvement. The post-pandemic recovery continues to provide reasons to be encouraged about both the general environment and our opportunities at HNI. However, the macro backdrop, along with our strong growth also presented new challenges in the quarter related to labor availability, supply chain capacity and inflation. Our teams managed through those challenges to deliver strong results. Our two differentiated business segments are well positioned to benefit from the recovery of the cycle, multiple secular trends and numerous HNI-specific growth initiatives. We have a track record of effectively deploying capital, driving annual productivity and cost savings and managing through macro and operational challenges. On today's call, I will cover three key highlights of the second quarter; first, non-GAAP EPS doubled year-over-year despite increasing pressure from inflation and returning costs; second, our Residential Building Products segment delivered exceptional performance; third, demand in workplace furnishings is recovering. I will start by providing some detail on those highlights, Marshall will then cover our second quarter outlook, I will conclude with some general comments. Finally, we will open up the call to your questions. Our first highlight for the quarter, we doubled non-GAAP EPS versus the prior year despite increasing pressures and returning costs. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.40 was up 100% from the $0.20 reported in second quarter 2020. In the quarter, we overcame greater-than-expected pressures related to material inflation, labor availability and supply chain capacity. We generated 22% sales growth, and our network ramped up to meet that demand. Marshall Bridges: Let's start with our outlook for consolidated revenue growth. We expect third quarter revenue to grow in the mid-20% range compared to the prior year quarter. Because of our seasonality, this outlook implies third quarter volume will be substantially above second quarter levels, the sequential growth in the mid-20% range. That level of growth when combined with the general labor and sourcing environment is presenting new challenges. Our staffing levels and overall supply chain capacity are ramping up but not as fast as demand. As a result, we expect labor and supply chain constraints will limit third quarter revenue growth versus the prior year quarter by 4 to 6 percentage points. That headwind is included in our outlook. This is a timing impact. We can solve these constraints over time. We are capturing demand and expect that 4 to 6 percentage points of growth to flow to subsequent quarters. Let's move to our third quarter outlook for the Residential Building Products segment. Recent order trends, new home construction activity, the outlook for remodel/retrofit demand and expected benefits tied to our multiple growth initiatives combine to suggest a revenue growth rate in the mid-to-high 20% range compared to the prior year quarter. We see continued momentum of both remodel/retrofit and new construction. Now let's shift to our outlook for workplace furnishings. Strong second quarter order trends, our growing backlog and a low prior-year comparable suggest a growth rate, including acquisition impacts in the low-to-mid 20% range on a year-over-year basis. Let's shift to third quarter profitability. Compared to the prior year quarter, we expect the impact of strong volume growth to be mostly offset by cost challenges related to inflationary pressures, increased growth investments and the return of costs associated with temporary actions taken in the prior year. While we expect operating income to be modestly higher than the third quarter of 2020, operating margins will likely compress on a year-over-year basis. We do expect margin expansions return post the third quarter as our recent price actions take hold and we anniversary the temporary cost actions taken during the pandemic. Jeff Lorenger: Thanks, Marshall. Let me wrap up by stating that as we look to the rest of 2021 and into 2022, we remain optimistic about our businesses and our markets. We continue to gain momentum in Workplace Furnishings, where our winning customer experiences, the multiple strategic investments discussed earlier and our operational excellence will combine to provide a competitive advantage as the market recovers. Recall, our focus in our Workplace Furnishings segment is a combination of driving revenue growth and expanding margins. We are increasingly confident in the recovery of the workplace furnishings market as order strength is broadening across customer groups, project sizes and geographically. Our improving order growth in the quarter and over the past five weeks is encouraging. Our unique industry-leading residential building products platform is positioned for sustained long term revenue growth. Our growth strategies in this segment continue to gain traction, and we see strong demand supported by demographics and low housing inventories. As a reminder, our focus in our Building Products segment is on maintaining our strong margins, while continuing to drive strong revenue growth. As we move to the next stage of the recovery, we do so positioned to grow revenue, expand margins and increase cash flow. I would like to conclude by stating I'm extremely proud of and thankful for the efforts of all HNI members, particularly given how hard everyone is working to overcome the constraints we've described. We will now open up the call to your questions. Operator: Your first question is from Greg Burns of Sidoti & Company. Greg Burns: In relation to the 4 to 6 points of growth due to some of the staffing and supply chain challenges, can you just talk about where that is in the business? Is that mainly in the workplace furnishings or is it across segments? And then also, how much of a margin impact are those constraints contributing? Marshall Bridges: Yes. For the third quarter, Greg, the constraints are mostly in workplace furnishings. And in terms of the margin impact, it's not a material driver right now. Of course, inflation, which is hand-in-hand with these factors is a big headwind for us in the third quarter. Greg Burns: Okay. So it's not really creating efficiencies, it's just limiting your ability to produce more is really the impact here? Marshall Bridges: Yes. Greg Burns: Okay. All right. And then, I guess, you gave a little color on the order patterns you're seeing in workplace furnishings after the quarter. Can you just talk about in the Residential Building Products segment, you did mention that they moderated a little bit. Can you just talk about kind of when in the quarter and how we've trended into the first part of the third quarter? Marshall Bridges: Yes. I think what we're seeing is a little bit of noise just based on the prior-year order activity. So if you think about last year, remodel/retrofit kind of tailed off as the early -- in the early stages of the pandemic. And so a lot of the reason are, our growth rates in the segment were so high that our remodel/retrofit sales were actually up 90% versus the prior year. But if you kind of compare that to 2019 levels, our growth rate is pretty similar to what we saw in the first quarter, and that's continuing. We're still seeing strong order activity, but now we're starting to compare against where orders grew in the third quarter of 2020. So the growth rate is coming down, it's more a reflection of the prior-year levels than it is a change in trajectory of market activity. Greg Burns: Okay. And then, in terms of some of the growth initiatives you mentioned on the residential building products side of the business, how -- are you seeing the benefit of those yet in your numbers? Or is that still things that are in the early stages that will benefit you in future quarter? Is there any way to like quantify or any qualitative kind of color you can give around the impact those are having? Jeff Lorenger: Yes, Greg, this is Jeff. Look, I would tell you, we can quantify, I'll give you a couple of examples. I would also tell you we're also early on, but we're -- there's -- we believe there's a lot of headroom. Some examples would be like we started aggressively going after fireplace inserts. That's one of our initial areas of focus to connect with homeowners, existing homeowners, and those are up over 90% year-to-date. We're also seeing anecdotally much more website traffic from awareness, consideration, purchase business are up 47%. And another growth initiative is on the electric category, and to create awareness and acceptance of electric fireplaces -- and we're gaining traction there with sales in that category of over 100%. And so even though it's early, we have real tangible evidence that those growth initiatives are taking hold and start to drive the business. Operator: Your next question is from Reuben Garner from The Benchmark Company. Reuben Garner: Apologies if I repeat anything, I got kicked off the call briefly earlier, but maybe just a follow-up on Greg's first question to start. Marshall, can you clarify what is the labor constraints are not causing the year-over-year margin pressure? Is it entirely a price cost that is leading to the near-term margin drag, and that will normalize as your price increase comes through as we move into the fourth quarter? Marshall Bridges: Yes, Reuben, that's certainly a major factor. So in the second quarter, we had a price cost gap about $11 million. We expect that to be $10 million to $15 million in the third quarter of a negative price cost gap. As we move into the fourth quarter, we expect our price increases to ramp up and catch up with the inflation and be roughly neutral. So that's about a 200 basis point headwind that's going to abate as we progress into the fourth quarter. And that's the major driver. But we also have the impact of some of the costs that are coming back from temporary actions we took last year. We're investing in growth, and we've got some impact from the normalization of the variable comp and insurance programs, all of which impact the second and third quarter more than the fourth. Operator: Your next question is from Steven Ramsey from Thompson Research Group. Steven Ramsey: Maybe to start with -- on the orders and delayed single-family starts kind of the extending lag time between start and completion yet seeing strong orders in resi. Is that pushing out resi sales for single-family into Q4 and even into early 2022? Or is that not a major factor in the segment? Jeff Lorenger: Steven, this is Jeff. I'll take a shot at that. I don't -- we don't think it's pushing out -- the long term fundamentals remain, the supply/demand imbalance we've talked about. Just -- for instance, new home sales slowed in June, I mean, that was the headline. However, building permits outpacing starts, starts are outpacing orders and builders are trying to manage the inventory right now just to manage their margins. So we're very bullish on that, and we don't think it's pushing out. We continue to see strong activity there for -- as far as -- for quite a while. Marshall Bridges: Steven, just to add to that, our new construction sales were up 24% in the first quarter, and we actually accelerated 31%. So we had thought it might decline a little bit from that strong first quarter growth rate because of the trends you mentioned, and we just haven't seen it yet. Steven Ramsey: Okay. That's -- yes, that's helpful color. And then, wanted to clarify on the cost -- the temporary cost reductions coming back in. Can you maybe clarify the impact to Q3 and Q4 or another way to think about it maybe, what quarter do you expect that temporary comeback to be over, be completed and operating at normal? Marshall Bridges: Yes. There's about $18 million of cost-related temporary actions that we took last year that are coming back in 2021. About $10 million, $18 million hit, the second quarter, we expect about $6 million to hit the third, and by the fourth, we only have about $2 million notes left and then that's the end of it. Steven Ramsey: Okay. Okay. Great. And then last thing for me. On the workplace guidance for Q3, what swings that range to low/high? Is it broad-based demand from here or is it the constraints that you've discussed? Marshall Bridges: I think it's mostly constraints. We probably will see some variation in demand, but I think given that we've got that 4% to 6% buffer, it really comes down to how we manage the constraints. Jeff Lorenger: Yes. This is Jeff. I would agree. I think the demand continues. If we look at 5-week order averages for instance, in the Contract segment, we're -- for the quarter, order was up 20 -- we were up 23%, and the five weeks up 30%. So it's really just guessing how we can break constraints, and it's kind of all over the map with supply chain and labor throughout the value chain. Operator: We have a follow-up question from Reuben Garner from The Benchmark Company. Reuben Garner: Guys, can you hear me? Jeff Lorenger: Yes, we can hear you. Reuben Garner: All right. Sorry about that. So I don't know what I missed and what's been asked, but I'm going to do my best. The first question is kind of a follow-up. I heard Greg's first question about the cost impact or the margin impact from the constraints. And I think you just clarified, Marshall, what that impact is to your margins in the second, third and fourth quarters. Is there -- does that include the price cost drag? And if not, can you quantify what that looks like and how that -- you expect to sort of progress as you move into Q4 and then into early next year? Marshall Bridges: Yes, Reuben. Sorry, you keep getting disconnected. So what I answered just previously had to do with the returning costs related to the temporary actions we took last year. So that's one headwind we face. Price cost is significant though, right? So maybe I'll kind of cover that. So I think I mentioned that we had about $11 million price cost gap in the second quarter, and we expect that to be $10 million to $15 million in the third. But by the time we get to the fourth quarter, we expect our pricing actions to catch up with inflation even though it's going to continue to go up and will basically be price-cost neutral by the fourth quarter, so that we do expect our incremental margins to be higher in the fourth quarter than they have been here in the second and third because of that price-cost gap. Reuben Garner: Will the incremental margin sort of return to normal less that $2 million that you called out before or will the sort of labor constraints in supply chain and other factors, where we need to factor that in, in Q4 and beyond? Marshall Bridges: Yes. I wouldn't expect in the return of normal in the fourth quarter. There's a lot of price that we're pushing to cover that inflation, which isn't creating any incremental profit, right? So that dilution is going to lower our incremental margins and along with the other items that we've already talked about. Reuben Garner: Got it. And then I think I heard you say that the small to mid-size business is back to pre-pandemic levels. I guess, one is, did I hear you right? And 2, it sounds like contract is really starting to accelerate. Do you guys expect that will get back to pre-pandemic levels maybe quicker than we would have thought three or six months ago? Marshall Bridges: Well, yes, I think the business that focuses on the small to mid-size customers is doing really well. Our order activity in the second quarter is basically back to 2019 levels. We're still running below that in contract, but as you said, it is encouraging accelerating. So I think, the outlook for contract is positive, but it is moving slower than the small to mid-size business segment, which is where we have a lot of our exposure. So it's a positive to us. And I think the other positive thing is that the growth environment is encouraging, but we're also focusing on driving margin expansion in that segment. So we're pleased with the traction we're getting in our productivity and cost savings initiatives and just the improvement we're making across the board there. So that's one of our big near term goals in addition to the recovery in the top line. Reuben Garner: Got it. And last one for me. Any comments or color on the home office or I guess your e-commerce business? Is that -- I know we're going to start anniversarying some really difficult comps there. Is that something we need to factor in or has that business remain pretty robust even a year into this? Jeff Lorenger: Yes, Reuben, this is Jeff. I'd say that both of those aspects of our business remain robust. And there -- we like our positions there, and we continue to invest in both those aspects of the business. Operator: There are no questions over the phone. I will now turn the call back to Jeff Lorenger for closing comments. Jeff Lorenger: Well, great. Thanks. Thank you for joining us today, and have a great day, everybody. Operator: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) Shows Promising Growth and Financial Stability

  • HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) has seen a monthly gain of approximately 11.22%, indicating strong investor confidence.
  • The company has a Piotroski Score of 8, reflecting robust financial health and efficient management practices.
  • Analysts have set a target price of $80 for HNI, suggesting significant growth potential.

HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) is a leading provider of office furniture and hearth products. The company operates in two main segments: workplace furnishings and residential building products. HNI is known for its innovative designs and high-quality products, catering to both commercial and residential markets. The company faces competition from other major players in the industry, such as Steelcase and Herman Miller.

HNI's recent performance has been noteworthy, with a monthly gain of approximately 11.22%. This increase reflects strong investor confidence and positive market sentiment. However, the stock has experienced a slight decline of about 0.37% in the last 10 days. This short-term dip might offer a buying opportunity for investors who believe in the stock's potential for a rebound.

The growth potential for HNI is significant, with a projected stock price growth of 73.57%. This suggests that the stock has ample room to appreciate, making it an attractive option for investors focused on growth. Such potential indicates that the market sees promising prospects for HNI's future performance.

Financially, HNI is in a strong position, as evidenced by its Piotroski Score of 8. This score indicates robust financial health and efficient management practices. A high Piotroski Score is a positive sign for investors, as it suggests that the company is well-managed and financially stable.

Analysts have set a target price of $80 for HNI, indicating substantial upside from its current levels. This target price reflects the market's confidence in HNI's ability to deliver value to its shareholders. Additionally, the stock has recently touched a local minimum, suggesting a potential rebound. This technical indicator, combined with the stock's overall positive outlook, makes HNI an intriguing prospect for investors.

HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) Bullish Price Target and Dividend Increase Amid Economic Indicators

  • HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) receives a bullish price target of $80 from Susquehanna, indicating a potential upside of approximately 66.94%.
  • The company has increased its dividend payments, aligning with trends seen in companies like Marriott International and Sun Life Financial amid softening inflation.
  • Despite market volatility and geopolitical tensions, HNI's stock shows resilience, with a slight increase in its trading price, and the company benefits from a favorable economic backdrop.

HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) is a prominent player in the office furniture and hearth products industry, known for its innovative designs and high-quality products. Competing with major companies such as Steelcase and Herman Miller, HNI has been set a bullish price target of $80 by Mehdi Hosseini from Susquehanna, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 66.94% from its current trading price of $47.92.

Investors are advised to monitor HNI, as the company has recently increased its dividend payments. This move aligns with other companies like Marriott International and Sun Life Financial, which have also raised dividends amid signs of softening inflation. The consumer price index rose by only 0.2% in April and 2.3% from the previous year, marking the lowest increase since February 2021. This environment may provide a favorable backdrop for HNI's growth prospects.

Despite the Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average experiencing declines of 1.03% and 0.52% respectively, the S&P 500 has seen a slight gain of 0.60% year-to-date. HNI's stock has shown resilience, currently priced at $47.92, reflecting a slight increase of 0.36% or $0.17. The stock has fluctuated between a low of $47.76 and a high of $48.23 today, indicating some volatility in the market.

HNI's market capitalization stands at approximately $2.23 billion, with a trading volume of 218,212 shares today. Over the past year, the stock has reached a high of $58.42 and a low of $39.76. Investors remain cautious due to President Donald Trump's announcement of extensive tariffs on all U.S. trading partners. However, a potential truce between the United States and China suggests that import duties could be significantly reduced if an agreement is reached.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the Fed requires more clarity before considering further interest rate cuts. Analysts predict that any such cuts may not occur until September at the earliest. This cautious approach by the Fed may impact HNI's future performance, but the company's recent dividend increase and the potential for reduced tariffs could provide a positive outlook for investors.