Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. (FET) on Q1 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Forum Energy Technologies First Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Stephanie, and I will be your coordinator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode and all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded for replay purposes. I want to turn today's conference over to Lyle Williams, Chief Financial Officer. Please proceed, sir. Lyle Williams: Thank you, Stephanie. Good morning, and welcome to Forum Energy Technologies' first quarter 2021 earnings conference call. With me today are Chris Gaut, Forum's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Neal Lux, our Chief Operating Officer. We issued our press release after the market closed yesterday and it is available on our website. Chris Gaut: Thanks, Lyle, and good morning. It will soon be one year since oil field activity bottomed due to the pandemic and the increase in drilling and completion activity over the past 12 months has been significant. Although our customers remain very conservative on their spending, we are seeing that some idle equipment is being reactivated and they are working off their inventory and consumable spares from decommissioned equipment. Customers are becoming concerned about supply chains as raw material prices and lead times are starting to increase. As a result of these factors, demand is improving nicely for FET’s short-cycle products. Customers may not yet be willing to spend capital dollars on new equipment, but clearly their spending is increasing to keep equipment working and to reactivate stacked equipment. FET is uniquely positioned to benefit from this short-cycle spending to support higher drilling and completion activity. As we have high graded our product portfolio, our higher margin products are especially benefiting from this increase in spending as Neil will talk about shortly. During Q1, FET saw a 21% increase in our inbound orders compared to Q4, that's excluding from the comparison of the businesses we sold in Q4 and our book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 is our highest level in over four years. Clearly, the demand for our short-cycle consumable products was driving these orders so far as spending on capital goods remains constraint. However, we are beginning to have positive customer discussions for our new generation of capital equipment for drilling, pressure pumping and subsea applications. This accelerating level of inbound orders is very encouraging as bookings are obviously the best leading indicator for our future financial results. As our new orders convert to increased revenue, a key consideration is how much of that revenue flows through to the bottom line. I believe FET has excellent operating leverage due to the significant structural cost reductions we have made, our available manufacturing capacity to accommodate more volume in revenue, and our portfolio repositioning from lower margin to higher margin products. Lyle Williams: Thanks, Chris. In the first quarter, U.S. drilling and completion activity grew at a pace faster than was generally expected and resulted in strong FET financial performance. Pro forma for the divestiture of our two valve brands in the fourth quarter, our overall bookings increased by 21% sequentially to $138 million and our revenue increased by 10% to $115 million. As Chris said, our book-to-bill ratio was over 1.2, and importantly, we build backlog in each of our product lines in the first quarter. The magnitude and breadth of this backlog growth bodes well for the remainder of the year. The strong top line performance for FET was led by our completion segment, where our primary products are short-cycle consumables with high leverage to U.S. activity. Completions bookings and revenue were up sequentially by 56% and 24%, respectively. These increases came despite the negative impact of the February freeze, where operations for a number of our customers in the Permian Basin were shut down for more than a week. The significant restructuring efforts we announced in late 2020 are nearing completion and enhanced our bottom line results for the quarter. Consolidated EBITDA for the quarter of $2 million came in above our roughly break even guidance. On a pro forma basis, EBITDA increased sequentially by $7 million. Our 70% incremental margins were partially attributable to a favorable mix of completion segment revenues and demonstrate the strong operating leverage inherent in our leaner operating cost structure. Comparing these first quarter 2021 results with the first quarter of 2020 on a pro forma basis, further support the significant benefits of our cost reduction efforts. In comparison, revenue decreased by $55 million while EBITDA increase by $1 million. These solid incremental margins will normalize over time, yet we still have the capacity to increase our revenues without considerable addition to our fixed cost structure. Therefore, we look forward to continued favorable incremental EBITDA margins through the year. Neal Lux: Thank you, Lyle. Good morning everyone. FETs operational and financial results are encouraging in a number of areas. First, demand for our high-margin and consumable products is robust. Second, the consolidation and portfolio optimization efforts we began last year have produced strong incremental margins. And third, quoting activity for our drilling, subsea, production and stimulation capital products is accelerating at a significant pace. Let me address each of these key products – key points in more detail. Chris Gaut: Thanks Neal. As you can tell, we are pleased with the progress the FET team made in the first quarter. And we are excited about our prospects for the rest of this year. It's great to be back on offense after just playing defense for so long. Our focus on cost reduction and working capital discipline has served us well and is now well-ingrained at FET. Increasing orders and revenue, coupled with our low cost structure will yield operating leverage and higher EBITDA. We think this gives us a clear route to further delever our balance sheet by triggering the mandatory conversion feature in our debt, which will help unlock shareholder value. Thanks very much. Stephanie, let's open it up for questions. Operator: And your first question is from the line of Dan Pickering of Pickering Energy. Dan Pickering: Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Chris Gaut: Good morning Dan. Dan Pickering: I was looking back or trying to – I'm not sure I got all the way through the fourth quarter press release, but you've given guidance for the second quarter. And so I think this is the first time in quite a while you felt comfortable enough to do that. I assume that's based on the quoting equipment on the capital side or is it the short-cycle stuff or what's driving sort of the improved confidence to kind of give us guidance as opposed to not? Chris Gaut: Yeah. Dan, what's driving our improved confidence is the increase in our orders and the bookings. And we talked a lot about that in today's call as you could tell. I think we have given some implied guidance, but with the orders in hand now, which will lead to their revenue in Q2, but over the rest of the year, I think we've got the confidence to be more specific. And we're pleased about the prospects for conversion of bookings to revenue and then through the operating leverage, we have good incremental margins and the improvement in EBITDA through the rest of this year. Dan Pickering: The EBITDA guidance is 6 million to 8 million I mean, if we just take this quarter’s $115 million, next Q2 is guided to $125 million to $135 million. We did $2 million of adjusted EBITDA this quarter. So kind of the implied EBITDA margins incrementally are sort of 30% to 40%, if that I realized 70 is not the right number, although it was great to see at this quarter. So that 30% to 40% do we think that holds through the second half of the year or is that just this kind of a Q2 number? Chris Gaut: 30% to 40% is probably a level that we have very good confidence in Dan, and of course that is excluding any impact of the pricing improvement, which would be an additive to the incremental margins. Dan Pickering: You stole my next question Chris, which is, is there – with this uptick in orders, I mean, is there any ability to move price or what do we – what do we look forward to feel comfortable trying to get some of the lost pricing back? Neal Lux: Yes, Dan this is Neal. There are some opportunities to increase prices in certain areas and other one, there's still excess capacity out there or inventory on the shelves to compete against. But we are seeing that is on the supply chain, we are seeing lead times extending and prices going up there and we are able to then pass those increases onto our customers too. So we're able to mitigate a lot of the supply chain challenges with a diversified supply base and inventory, but it's something that we're going to follow closely and monitor as well. Chris Gaut: Yes. I would just add that one of the more understandable reasons for price increases to our customers is when we do have demonstrable cost increases from our side. So we will take those opportunities to increase pricing appropriately. Dan Pickering: And Chris, in your final comments, you talked about the mandatory debt conversion. Can you just walk us through the mechanics of that? How much money does it bring in? When can you trigger it? How do you think about it? Or is it more of an automatic process? Lyle Williams: Dan, it’s Lyle. I'll take that one for us. Our convert – roughly half of our outstanding debt would mandatorily convert to equity when our stock has traded above $30 a share for 20 days. So as we look ahead to continue increasing activity and ultimately driving up our results, then we see that that $30 a share being realistic and then mandatorily converting. So that would effectively convert on today's numbers roughly $150 million or so of our debt to equity. Dramatically, then lower our outstanding debt. And at that time with higher EBITDA, put us in a situation with very low forward leverage. Dan Pickering: Got you. Last question for me, I'll let someone else jump on. When we think about the last 18 months, obviously, it's been a chaotic time period. You guys have been doing significant cost reductions. You've sold some businesses. As outside observers, is this kind of the Forum we're going to see for the next year? Is there – you talked about offense, Chris. I mean, are there acquisitions that you might do? Or do we need to kind of stabilize the ship and we think about acquisitions or growth in 2022 versus this year? Chris Gaut: Yes, two aspects to that, Dan. I would say in terms of our offering and how we're going to market, we're very excited about some of the new products that we have coming. So we think there will be some enhancements to our offering and the range of our customers going forward and including things in the non-oil and gas and energy transition space. Now, from a non-organic standpoint, our focus and priority is first on improving the balance sheet through the ways that while I was describing. And I think once we do have a strong balance sheet that's not viewed as leveraged, I think that puts us in a much better and stronger position to consider non-organic growth. Dan Pickering: Thanks very much. Keep up the good work, guys. Chris Gaut: Thank you, Dan. Chris Gaut: Well, it looks like – Yes. I think that our first questionnaire, still some of the questions from some other folks, so I think we'll wrap it up here, Stephanie. Thank you very much, and we'll talk to you next quarter. Operator: Thank you. This does conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
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