Ford Motor Reports Strong Q4 Results, Shares Gain 4%

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) outperformed Wall Street forecasts with its fourth-quarter results and presented an optimistic outlook for the year ahead, causing its shares to rise by over 4% intra-day today.

The automaker announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29 on revenue of $46.00 billion, surpassing the expectations of analysts, who had projected an EPS of $0.12 on revenue of $43.04 billion.

For 2024, Ford set its sights on adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) between $10 billion and $12 billion, with adjusted free cash flow in the range of $6 billion to $7 billion.

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005380.KS 244000 0
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Ford Motor Company: A Strategic Investment in the EV Market

Ford Motor Company: A Value Investment in the Electric Vehicle Market

Ford Motor Company (F), recognized by The Motley Fool as one of the three ultra-cheap stocks under $100, presents an intriguing investment opportunity. Despite a slight underperformance compared to the S&P 500's 7% gains this year, Ford's modest 5% increase in stock price to around $13, coupled with its low forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 6, positions it as an attractive option for investors seeking affordable entry points into the automotive sector. This valuation is particularly compelling when contrasted with the high P/E ratios of competitors like Tesla, emphasizing Ford's potential as a value investment in the electric vehicle market.

Ford's financial health, as evidenced in the first quarter of 2024, shows a company in a state of steady growth and adaptation. With a revenue increase of 3% year-over-year to $42.8 billion and an adjusted per-share profit of $0.49 surpassing analyst expectations, Ford demonstrates resilience despite a 24% decline in net income to $1.3 billion due to rising expenses. This financial performance, combined with a generous dividend yield of 4.7%, underscores Ford's appeal as a long-term investment, especially for those interested in the burgeoning electric vehicle segment without the premium price tag associated with other brands.

However, Ford's journey is not without its challenges. The recent recall of over 242,600 Maverick trucks due to tail light illumination issues highlights the operational risks inherent in the automotive industry. This recall, necessitated by a software flaw in the Body Control Modules, could impact Ford's reputation and financials in the short term. Yet, the company's proactive approach in addressing the issue, including offering free software updates and mobile service options for affected customers, reflects a commitment to safety and customer satisfaction that could strengthen long-term investor confidence.

The current trading dynamics of Ford's stock, with a slight decrease to $12.43, reflect the market's short-term reactions to both internal and external factors. The stock's fluctuation within the day and its performance over the past year, ranging from a low of $9.63 to a high of $15.42, illustrate the volatility and opportunities within the automotive sector. With a market capitalization of approximately $48.51 billion and a significant trading volume, Ford remains a prominent player in the industry, navigating through operational challenges while capitalizing on growth opportunities, particularly in the electric vehicle market.

In summary, Ford's strategic positioning, financial performance, and proactive approach to challenges present a compelling case for investors. The company's affordable stock price, coupled with its potential in the electric vehicle space and commitment to shareholder value through dividends, makes Ford an attractive option for those looking to diversify their investment portfolios with a long-term perspective. Despite the recent recall and the slight dip in stock price, Ford's overall trajectory and business model suggest a resilient company poised for future growth.

Ford Shares Rise 3% Following Q1 Results

Ford Motor (NYSE:F) shares climbed over 3% pre-market today following the announcement of fiscal Q1/24 earnings that surpassed expectations, although revenue slightly missed projections.

The automaker reported first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $0.49, topping analysts' estimates of $0.42. However, revenue for the quarter was $42.8 billion, just shy of the expected $42.94 billion.

Looking forward to the full year of 2024, Ford's CFO, John Lawler, stated that the company's adjusted EBIT guidance remains stable, with anticipated results at the higher end of the $10 billion to $12 billion range.

Additionally, Ford adjusted its expectations for adjusted free cash flow upward, now forecasting between $6.5 billion and $7.5 billion, an increase from the prior estimate of $6 billion to $7 billion.

The company also narrowed its capital expenditures forecast for the year to between $8 billion and $9 billion, from a previous range of $8 billion to $9.5 billion, with spending expected to trend towards the lower end of this range.

Ford's Recall and Strategy Amid EV Market Slowdown

Ford Motor Company's Recall and Strategic Adjustments Amidst EV Market Slowdown

Ford Motor Company (F:NYSE) is currently addressing a significant recall affecting 456,565 vehicles across the United States, as mandated by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). This recall, encompassing models such as the 2021-2024 Bronco Sport SUVs and the 2022-2023 Maverick compact pickup trucks, is due to a low battery issue that could lead to a loss of drive power and malfunctioning of essential electrical accessories like hazard lights. To rectify this, Ford dealers are set to recalibrate the body control and powertrain control modules at no cost to vehicle owners. This proactive approach to addressing vehicle safety concerns is crucial for maintaining customer trust and loyalty, which can have a direct impact on the company's market performance.

In the broader context of the automotive industry, Ford, alongside General Motors (GM), is preparing to present its first-quarter results to investors. This period has been marked by a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) growth, compounded by challenges such as global downturns in EV demand, increased competition, and rising borrowing costs in the U.S. These factors have led both companies to reassess their strategies, focusing more on their gasoline-powered vehicles, which continue to be their main profit generators. Despite these challenges, Ford's stock has shown resilience, with a slight increase to $12.085, reflecting a modest gain of $0.025 or approximately 0.21%. This stability in stock price, amidst a fluctuating market, underscores Ford's enduring appeal to investors.

Ford's financial health and market position are further highlighted by its current market capitalization of approximately $47.17 billion and a trading volume of about 26.92 million shares. The stock's performance over the past year, with fluctuations between a low of $9.63 and a high of $15.42, illustrates the dynamic nature of the automotive sector and Ford's ability to navigate it. The company's strategic focus on leveraging its combustion truck business and Ford Pro commercial vehicle operations, coupled with a cautious approach to EV investments, reflects a pragmatic response to the current market realities. By reaffirming its forecast for a core profit of $10 billion to $12 billion this year, Ford is signaling confidence in its operational strategy and financial outlook.

The automotive industry is at a crossroads, with the transition to electric vehicles presenting both opportunities and challenges. Ford's decision to slow down major electric-vehicle programs, making future EV investments contingent on profitability, is a calculated move to ensure sustainable growth. This strategy, while cautious, allows Ford to adapt to market demands and technological advancements without overextending its resources. As Ford and other automakers navigate the complexities of a shifting automotive landscape, their ability to balance innovation with financial prudence will be key to their continued success.

In conclusion, Ford's recent recall initiative and its strategic adjustments in response to the slowing EV market are indicative of the company's commitment to safety, customer satisfaction, and financial stability. By focusing on its strengths and adapting to market challenges, Ford is poised to maintain its competitive edge in the automotive industry. The slight increase in Ford's stock price, amidst these strategic maneuvers, reflects investor confidence in the company's direction and its potential for sustained growth.

Ford Motor Falls 2% on UBS Downgrade

Shares of Ford Motor (NYSE:F) experienced a drop of more than 2% intra-day today. This decline followed a decision by UBS to downgrade the Detroit-based automaker's shares to a Hold rating from Buy, citing a view that the stock is now "more fairly valued."

UBS analysts, in their note, expressed a tempered outlook for Ford, indicating less optimism for the company's financial performance in the coming years. They specifically mentioned that they foresee more limited upside to Ford's earnings estimates for 2024 and 2025 than previously anticipated.

In terms of specific figures, UBS predicts Ford's earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal years 2024 and 2025 to be $1.70 and $1.65, respectively. These projections reflect a negative deviation of 4% and 12% from the current consensus.

The downgrade reflects broader industry challenges that Ford, like other automakers, is facing. These challenges include issues related to pricing, affordability, labor, and the need for significant investment, particularly in the context of transitioning to electric vehicles.

Ford Motor Reinstates Outlook, Shares Slightly Decline

Ford (NYSE:F) reinstated its financial outlook for 2023, forecasting an adjusted EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) to be between $10.0 billion and $10.5 billion. Following this announcement, the company's shares saw a modest decline intra-day today.

The car manufacturer also revealed that its recent labor agreement with the United Auto Workers (UAW) in the U.S. is expected to bring about expenses totaling $8.8 billion over the contract's duration.

John Lawler, Ford's Chief Financial Officer, commented on the situation, noting the significant technological changes sweeping through the industry. He emphasized that some companies, both new and established, might not keep pace with these changes. Lawler affirmed the effectiveness of Ford's strategy, Ford+, highlighting the company's skilled team, disciplined capital allocation, consistent execution, and reduced cyclicality in growth and profitability.

The major cost drivers in the labor agreement are gross wages, expedited wage progression, and cost-of-living adjustments. By 2028, these factors are anticipated to add approximately $900 to the cost of each vehicle.

Ford had previously withdrawn its financial guidance for 2023 in late October due to a UAW strike affecting some of its operations in the U.S. For 2023, Ford is targeting an adjusted free cash flow in the range of $5.0 billion to $5.5 billion.

Ford Downgraded at Jefferies

Jefferies downgraded Ford (NYSE:F) from a Buy to a Hold rating and lowered their price target on the stock from $17.00 to $15.00. The decision came after Ford reported worse-than-expected losses in the electric vehicle (EV) segment and revised down their guidance for the Model e.

The analysts mentioned that while they appreciate Ford's efforts in disclosure and accountability, there seems to be no apparent change in the mid-term strategy. The focus on Gen 2 being software-centric and a concentrated line-up makes sense, but it will only become effective in 2026, leaving a less differentiated investment case in the years leading up to that point.

Ford updated its adjusted EBIT forecast to be in the range of $11-13 billion, which surpassed Jefferies' previous predictions of $9-11 billion. In response to the positive performance in H1 at Blue and the momentum at Pro, which outweighed the guided $1.5 billion deterioration in Model e, Jefferies raised its estimates to $11.9 billion, reflecting a 10% increase.