Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) on Q1 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Operator: Good day and welcome to the Data I/O Corporation First Quarter 2021 Financial Results. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Please note, that this event is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Jordan Darrow, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Jordan Darrow: Thank you and welcome to the Data I/O Corporation first quarter 2021 financial results conference call. With me today are Anthony Ambrose, President and Chief Executive Officer of Data I/O Corporation; and Joel Hatlen, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer of Data I/O. Anthony Ambrose: Well, thank you very much, Jordan. I'll begin my formal remarks by addressing our 2021 first quarter financial and operational performance, and then I'll turn it over to Joel for a more detailed discussion of the numbers. 2021 first quarter was our strongest revenue quarter in two years and continues the upward trend in automotive and industrial electronics demand that we're seeing since the bottom in Q2 a year ago. We're coming out of the COVID-19 recession very well and seeing a surge in business in March and April of this year. We believe the positive growth themes that we discussed recently in our year-end conference call are accelerating. Well, they're very well documented short term supply disruptions caused by sharp increases in automotive electronics demand, supply chain interruptions in the semiconductor supply chain and other factors. The long-term secular growth for automotive electronics remains intact with industry analysts and customers projecting a compounded annual growth rate of 10% to 15% for the next decade. Clearly, additional capacity is going to be needed throughout the supply chain to support this demand and we're seeing that as key semiconductor companies continue to announce record spending in the 10s of billions of dollars for wafer fab and back end capacity. Data I/O is also answering this call with our most advanced technology supporting all growth areas in automotive including Electrification, Infotainment, Advanced Driver Assist Systems, Security and Connectivity and this is across flash memory products, microcontrollers, and security devices as well. Joel Hatlen: Thank you. Anthony and good day to everyone. Net sales in the first quarter of 2021 were $6 million, the highest level of revenue in eight quarters and up 26% as compared with $4.8 million in the first quarter of 2020. The increase - from the prior period primarily reflects higher overall demand for equipment. Revenue growth also benefited from higher adapter sales associated with the increased usage and growing installed base of machines throughout the world. Recurring and consumable revenues which includes adapter sales represented $2.7 million or 44% of total revenues for the first quarter of 2021, as opposed to $2.2 million or 46% of the lower first quarter of 2020 total. Adapter sales for the first quarter of 2021 were the highest quarterly sales since the second quarter of 2017. First quarter of 2021 bookings were $5.4 million, up 26% from $4.3 million in the first quarter of the prior year. Backlog at March 31, 2021 was $3 million, down from $3.9 million at the end of December 2020, but up 30% from $2.3 million at the end of the first quarter of 2020. We go into the second quarter with a higher than typical backlog, a strong sales funnel additions in March, and a strong start in April orders. On a geographic basis, international sales represented approximately 95% of net sales for the first quarter of 2021 compared with 94% in the 2020 period. Operator: Certainly. And we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Our first question today will come from Jaeson Schmidt with Lake Street. Please go ahead. Jaeson Schmidt: Hey guys, thanks for taking my questions. Anthony, just want to follow up on your comments in on the surge in business starting in March and April. Was that pretty broad based or was a concentrated amongst few customers? Anthony Ambrose: It's a good question, Jaeson. As I indicated in my remarks, I think we're seeing most of our strength in Asia and the Americas. As I mentioned, we had a number of new customers and new locations and I'd say it's a combination of some new customers, some repeat customers, a couple of multiple system orders in there as well, but pretty broad based. Jaeson Schmidt: Okay. And within that, are you seeing sort of signs of life from the programming centers? Anthony Ambrose: A little bit, I think. Remember the programming centers have a fairly broad capacity and they support a number of customers, including smaller customers. I think it's pretty clear the smaller customers are taking it on the chin right now for many of the supply chain issues, obviously some of the big ones have as well, but bigger companies tend to throw their weight around more when there is a supply shortage. So, I think our programming center revenue has been pretty flat at about 14% for a while and I think that's pretty consistent. Also, a lot of our, programming center revenue tends to come from Europe on balance. Jaeson Schmidt: Okay, that's helpful. And then, just last one from me. It sounds like there is some nice traction with SentriX. Is the automotive customer. I know you mentioned you won that design through a partner, but how long were they evaluating this system? Anthony Ambrose: As you're probably aware, Jaeson, the security sale is a longer sale than normal data programming sale for a couple of reasons. Number one, the technology is newer. Number two, obviously with security and secrets in keys and certificates, people are very concerned about who gets to know about that whole process. And also, we have to explain it to them and show it to them. So it is a longer sales cycle. Having said that, the more customers, talk to Data I/O, the more you see the light bulb going off that SentriX is a great solution for a number of customers in the market. It gives them the volume flexibility, they can work through a partner programming center. We've had some customers say, "Now I can just upgrade my PSV 7000 and add the security capabilities, I need it." And of course, we say, "Yes, that's exactly what you can do." So it's a longer sales cycle as we've talked earlier, we're trying to continuously to make it simpler and easier and that's our goal going forward. Jaeson Schmidt: Okay, thanks a lot. Anthony Ambrose: Thank you. Operator: And our next question will come from Jeff Peterson with Aston Capital. Please go ahead. Jeff Peterson: Hey, thanks guys for taking my questions. With the supply chain shortages, including the wafer fab limitations, what does this mean for equipment makers like Data I/O and where do you fit into this and what should we expect the impact to be? Anthony Ambrose: Hey, Jeff. Thanks for the question. There is a lot that's been said about it. Clearly, a number of our end customers automotive nameplates and electronics companies have been impacted by the shortage, I think there were some remarks made earlier this week by a major US based automotive company indicating that it's costs in billions of dollars. We might be seeing it, but we really haven't seen it in the bookings or the backlog. We do see some customers coming to us for, I'll call it, accelerated support. So they can qualify alternate silicon. So if they're facing a shortage of Components A, they'll come to us seeking programming support for Component B. So they can have an alternate supply arrangement. That's probably the biggest single impact. As I said, big customers are probably faring better overall. We have seen some of the smaller customers getting - getting roughed up a bit with the supply chain and that's just what happens when these things occur. Jeff Peterson: That's helpful, thanks. Along the lines of the chip shortages issue, are you driving benefits in the form of sale of consumable items such as adapters? Anthony Ambrose: What we are seeing in adapters again we mentioned last quarter to continue this quarter, one of the early indications of coming out of a recession is customers using the equipment they already have at a higher level of utilization and that's typically reflected in some of the consumable purchase trends and that's what we're seeing. Jeff Peterson: Okay, great. Thanks. Can you discuss the six wins in Asia including whether they are new or existing customers through which channels where would the sales booked in any other information you can share, including in this, do you believe that these sales are the result of Asia ex India emerging from COVID with economic development presuming there? Anthony Ambrose: Yes, let me start with that. Clearly, there is some regions of the world that have been less impacted or have come out of the COVID induced recession faster. And I think China is clearly one of those areas. We had a number of wins in China, but we also had a number of wins outside of China in Asia, amongst those new wins. They were fairly, broadly dispersed. I think most of them were automotive. We had some industrial, some programming centers in there as well. So again, very broad. And I think it reflects a number of trends. When customers are selecting a new partner for programming, they look at us, obviously they look at our competitors. In Asia, we do extremely well, even though most of our competition is domiciled in the Asia-Pacific region, so again, the customers that value the quality, the resilient supply chain, the global capability value Data I/O. Jeff Peterson: That's helpful, thanks. And what's the status of your proxy with respect to the advisory firm recommendations? Anthony Ambrose: So we just got our proxy advisory recommendations, I think this week. And right now, it looks like there is a sort of a split recommendation. We're trying to figure out why that is. As many of you know, after we prepare and file, our proxy statements reviewed and opinions are rendered by proxy advisory firms Glass Lewis and ISS. On Tuesday, we figured out that ISS was recommending support for the Board, but not recommending support for our stock plan extension. We dug in and determined that we think they might have missed something on incorrect assumption about the plan and we're working with them. We'll see where that goes. Glass Lewis, on the other hand, did not have any issues with either the Board recommendations of the stock plan we believe at this time. So as I said, we'll dig in and we'll figure out what's going on and we'll update you accordingly. Jeff Peterson: That's all my question at this time, and thanks. Anthony Ambrose: Thank you. Operator: And our next question will come from Dave Kanen with Kanen Wealth Management. Please go ahead. Dave Kanen: Hi guys, thanks for taking my questions. First one is --hi. So first question is in regards to which end markets showed the most strength in terms of orders? Anthony Ambrose: I think we indicated, Joel, was about 56% of the orders were Automotive. and I think 30% Industrial. So, Dave, it was pretty consistent with our overall mix. So I think again it's reasonably strong by end market across the board. Again with a strong regional component, I think Asia is clearly ahead of Europe, for example. Dave Kanen: Okay. And then, what percent of your revenue was SentriX? Anthony Ambrose: We don't disclose SentriX separately. It's in the software services. SentriX. Joel, what was the number for that for the quarter? Joel Hatlen: It was 31% of our business. I'm sorry, 13% of our business. Anthony Ambrose: 13% , the adapter. Dave Kanen: Okay. So 13% was SentriX or 13% was maintenance contracts and software service? Anthony Ambrose: The latter, it's inclusive. Dave Kanen: I see. So it's really at this point, SentriX is a de minimis percent of your overall revenue? Just to take a step back and then look at our expense structure, playing devil's advocate for a moment as a public company, we have to ask what's the ROI on the investments that we're making? So OpEx has been elevated. If I go back to several years ago, you were sub $3 million a quarter in total OpEx even at times during recessions even below $2.5 million. So my question is how much of your SG&A total OpEx relates to the SentriX initiative and does it make sense potentially to cut some of the fat? Anthony Ambrose: So, I will take the question sort of one at a time. When you look at the overall expense, remember security is where the market is going for the microcontroller industry. It's not a distinct category. It's not something out there that's different than what we do. If you look at all of the major semiconductor product line announcements from microcontroller families, they all have a security component. So to be ahead in security is to be ahead where the 30 billion unit microcontroller market is going. And so, that's just a strategic play that we have to have. Now within that, of course we evaluate how much we spend from time to time. We had to elevate the spending a bit to get our second-generation architecture out for the benefits that we described. And frankly, we're seeing some of the fruits of that in Q1. So if you're saying are we keeping an eye on things and making sure we're spending the right amount and it's evaluated? Absolutely. Dave Kanen: Okay. I mean, is there an opportunity to get back to the $3 million quarterly run rate in operating expenses without sacrificing our future? Anthony Ambrose: Short answer is probably no. I don't see that. Dave Kanen: Okay. And so, when do you expect - I mean it's encouraging that you guys saw things turn up in March and April. When do you expect to be GAAP EPS profitable? Anthony Ambrose: As soon as possible is always the goal. We don't give forward guidance. I mean it's always challenging without guidance, but that's something we clearly pay a lot of attention to and are working hard to get there as soon as possible. Dave Kanen: Okay, good luck. Thank you. Anthony Ambrose: Thanks a lot, Dave Operator: And our next question will come from Orin Hirschman with AIGH Investment Partners. Please go ahead. Orin Hirschman: Hi, how are you? Anthony Ambrose: Hi, Orin. How are you? Orin Hirschman: Good. So a couple of quick questions. One is, if I look at the sequential, you made a lot of comments in terms of surging orders, but actually if we look at the sequential booking, I believe they are actually down slightly, if I remember correctly. Could you just kind of put that all together with the commentary? Maybe I'm missing something. Anthony Ambrose: Sure. In Q1, we always have to deal with the Chinese New Year, which if, most of the businesses in Asia, it tends to take away about two weeks of the quarter and then you also - very few people buy anything the first week back from the calendar New Year. So Q1 tends to be, for all intents and purposes, a tougher quarter to get orders done because not everyone is home all 13 weeks of the quarter. And coming out of Chinese New Year, we have a great sales funnel. It's always a challenge to understand how much of it will actually close in March and we saw very good closures in March, and then also it continued in April. We don't usually talk about the April bookings, but we anticipated your point and wanted to make sure people understood that we see good bookings momentum in the company. Orin Hirschman: Okay. I mean, can we assume that that means the booking should be up sequentially for June if normal seasonality going on in the macro level? Anthony Ambrose: Yes. Again, I don't want to get into the forward guidance but, Joel, do you want to comment on that? Joel Hatlen: Yes, no, I just think that with the backlog we have, the strength of the sales level, and the, I'll say, the early sales that have taken place so far in April. I think we should be looking at a better quarter. Anthony Ambrose: Well, there you go. If Joel said so, let it be done. Orin Hirschman: How fast can you turn around orders? Let's say that you receive at the beginning of the quarter, meaning can the April quarter still ship - April orders still ship in the June quarter? What's the ? Anthony Ambrose: Yes, absolutely. We quoted standard lead time that's in six to eight weeks neighborhood and we try do better than that, I think we've done a very good job trying to stay ahead of these component shortages. There is no doubt you can turn April orders at least some of them into revenue for the current quarter. As you get later in the quarter, they tend to probably flow into the subsequent quarter. Joel Hatlen: As just the general rule, our backlog generally represents about one month worth of sales. So that means each quarter, we have to hustle for the other two months. Orin Hirschman: Right, got it. SentriX. So you've been working on this for a long, long time, and it seems like there's a little bit of break in the log jam right now. Can you give us more, let's say, the automotive win? What are they using it for? They're using it for microcontrollers. Why did they go with you? What are their other options? How long have you been doing test with them? Give us a little bit more color. Anthony Ambrose: Yes. So we don't have the ability to use a customer name but most people would understand who it is. The specific application we're working with them on TPM, Trusted Platform Module application, for very secure component. And the reason they come with us, as we announced in Q4 support for the Infineon TPM. The nice thing about TPM is it's a pretty established market. They're well-known products. People have been working with them for a long time. And again with SentriX, you get the ability to have your unique cryptographic and security information provisioned into the chip where you want it in the supply chain. So you don't have to do it too soon. You don't have to - you can do it exactly where you want it. And I think the customer valued, number one, our relationship with the chip supplier, and number two, our frankly detailed understanding of the TPM and how to work with it. Orin Hirschman: Typically, there were some - the equipment sale plus some tiny royalty on a per-chip basis. Is that the case here as well? Anthony Ambrose: Yes. Remember with SentriX, we have programming center partners that can provision the devices. We've talked about the general business model, including a pay-per-use component for things like upgrades or equipment in the field or new system purchases by OEMs. There may be additional revenue sources. But in general that's the model. Orin Hirschman: Okay, meaning there is no reason why you shouldn't get some type of be it royalty for this particular customer, but it will be a per chip type of royalty? Anthony Ambrose: Yes. Again, we've indicated in the past and pretty clear on SentriX, there's is a per part component to the revenue . Orin Hirschman: Per part. Is the automotive customer here then sells the auto OEM? Or it's a design house or an ODM for the OEM? What type of - are programming center for the order customer or... Anthony Ambrose: We've been working with the partner and also the end customer directly, which is pretty typical for SentriX. felt that we still have to work with the customer directly because they just need to know and we need to help them out on how to work with the crypto information and things like that. Orin Hirschman: Is the actual - the programming will be done by it? The automotive OEM or it's going to be done by one of their partners? Anthony Ambrose: We work this deal through a partner. Orin Hirschman: Okay. The second one was the field upgrade to SentriX for customer Asia. Can you say what industry and same exact question, is there per part aspects to it as well? Anthony Ambrose: Well, it's a programming center customer. They had a 7000. We did an upgrade, turn it around in a day, they are extremely happy. Orin Hirschman: And, was if - set of customers in the end, there is no end customer yet for their use of it to the SentriX aspect of it per security aspect? Anthony Ambrose: I think it would be fair to say the customer wanted the deployment in Asia because they had customer demand. Orin Hirschman: Okay. Did you work with the end customer at the end of the chain, like you normally do or not this time? Anthony Ambrose: Yes, Orin, we said this was a programming center customer. Orin Hirschman: Okay, fine. But I think their customer at the very end of the chain for the programming center or whoever that is that their programming it for, did you work with that customer at the end of the chain? Anthony Ambrose: Yes. Orin Hirschman: Okay. Joel Hatlen: And then, the last thing that we - it is still a pay-per-use situation for us. Orin Hirschman: Okay, great. That's very nice. I mean, keep in mind I need today, but what's next? You indicated within a level and then a lot of people ask, you indicated that there's more interest in SentriX in the text in your comment. Is, I mean. is it finally beginning to gain steam after all this effort for the last two, three years? Anthony Ambrose: Well, I think we're very encouraged by the interest in the product line in Q1. It was substantially above what we saw coming out of last year. But I think it's more a couple of things. We've been very consistent on SentriX that we needed to simplify and scale SentriX, okay? There is no doubt we were early, but at the end of the day, we continue to learn to continue to simplify continue to make it easier, and that's a virtuous cycle for acquiring new customers and getting them into the market. Okay? It's a marathon, not a sprint. And we still believe that. And I'll reiterate my earlier comment, the microcontroller industry is going to a secure microcontroller industry. That's where all the business will be. It might be 5 years out, it might be 10 years out, it might be sooner than that. But that's where all of the business in microcontrollers will be eventually. The other part that I want to indicate is what we're starting to have what I'll call more strategic conversations with customers. Everyone was hunkered down last year with COVID. But we're starting to have a lot more meaningful conversations on how we can help customers across a broad range of our technologies, which would include us doing things for them that may be unique and Data I/O becoming more integrated into their overall supply chain in a much more broader and strategic way. So, I'm encouraged by that overall. These things take time obviously to develop, but this to me is again one of the indicators that we're coming out of the COVID freeze. People want to talk about what they can do to become an even greater company and how Data I/O can help them out. Orin Hirschman: Actually, two quick very quick follow-up. One of the automotive customer for the SentriX - that the first automotive customers, domestic, Europe, Asia, and one of the quick question like that? Anthony Ambrose: It's North America based. Orin Hirschman: Okay. And final quick question; in terms of the secular trends within auto, is there something new going on that's really causing the tailwinds the auto business for you? For example, ADAS or something where you're being used more than in the past because it makes sense on that specific new application meaning it's something in it? Anthony Ambrose: I think we've indicated in some of the earlier calls, we've had a strong position in Infotainment for a while and that continues to be strong with the second generation and third generation of products. I think Electrification is probably the new interesting thing in terms of demand picking up. Everybody is talking about electrification. Advanced Driver Assist is obviously still very big. Connectivity security. Everything in automotive is pointing towards a massive increase in semiconductor content. We've been talking about that for a couple of years and I think the shock of COVID and then the automotive industry going down cancelling orders, struggling to get supply chain back. It just highlights how important semiconductors are automobiles. And it's not a short-term thing. It's a very long-term secular trend. We're also getting the benefit of a cyclical rebound right now, but we're bullish over the long term. Orin Hirschman: Is there any one auto applications that's new that's a driver here? Anthony Ambrose: Again, if I had to pick one, I'd say Electrification. But I don't want to pick one, I want to pick them all Orin Hirschman: Got it, okay. Let me other people ask again. I really appreciate it. If anything, I will queue up the question. Anthony Ambrose: Thanks, Orin. Operator: Our next question will come from Avi Fisher with Long Cast Advisers. Please go ahead. Avram Fisher: Hey, Anthony one aspect of chip are getting, quote unquote, chip are getting, is that it reflects kind of diversions away from auto chips. Auto makers cancelled or long lead items and the chips went elsewhere. And I'm curious, can you talk about your ability to pivot to non-auto markets? Are we really going to be tied here in going forward to auto? Anthony Ambrose: Well, I think you raise a good point, Avi. The - look, chips are increasingly used in everything. We program chips for e-cigarettes. The Marlboro Man has gone digital, okay? It's just they're used in everything. Now, a lot of our business is Automotive because that's been a vertical that we're familiar with. They know Data I/O. They have certain demands that fit our business very well, global quality support network, et cetera, et cetera. But our industrial market has been growing pretty nicely as well. A lot of the SentriX opportunities continue to be in what you would call Internet of Things, which are not just automotive but smart meters, smart buildings, smart cities, things like that. So you know, yes, semiconductor chips are growing and they're growing by leaps and bounds in everything. But I think it gets a lot of attention in automotive, because that's something now that has been - the trend has been going on for years. And I think a lot of people are just realizing it and because automotive is a very significant industry in and of itself. Avram Fisher: Well, I guess, I mean if I read the transcript out of Infineon or NXT, it seems like they're guiding in automotive sector 20% growth over 2019 not even over 2020. So I guess I'm curious about your ability to grow? Are your growth rates at all tied to their growth rates? And kind of related to that, I observe that your recurring revenue component is really driving the growth in sales and that equipment sales have been kind of flat over the last few quarters. So I'm trying to get a sense of your ability to sell new units and at what rate relative to the chipmakers? Anthony Ambrose: Yes. So I think, Joel, we grew at 26% in Q1? Joel Hatlen: Yes. Anthony Ambrose: So, yes, what we said was we thought the automotive industry would be a good proxy for our growth and we stand by that. Also, Avi, we indicated I think earlier on this call that the adapter growth happens in advance of the systems growth, right? People use the capital they already have deployed at a higher level of utilization first, and then when they hit their limit, they order new stuff. And that's a pretty typical pattern coming out of a downturn. Avram Fisher: And are we seeing that? I mean are you seeing that through at least the first month of April? Anthony Ambrose: I mean, we clearly saw it in Q1 and I think the orders in April were strong for both adapters and capital. So, I don't have all the percentages at my fingertips. So I just its looks good. Avram Fisher: Do you still break out the automated programing systems around from the equipment sales? Anthony Ambrose: We break out capital adapters and software and services and I think all we also breakout automated and manual, all right? Joel Hatlen: We do break that out. Internally, we've stopped, because the manual piece has gotten to be too small of a deal to actually be a bit of a concern. Anthony Ambrose: There you go. Avram Fisher: So, the bulk of it or an equipment sale is now primarily in automated programming sales? Anthony Ambrose: That's correct. Avram Fisher: Okay. And then, I just - I'm going to ask the same question a few other asked but in a different way, regarding the R&D. I wonder if you can break out some of the R&D is sustaining and some of it is investment-related. And I wonder if you can just sort of give a sense of how much of the R&D is sustaining and how much is for the growth? And if you can elaborate, you know that you've changed the way you're selling SentriX? Have you changed your expectations in terms of returns on that investment? Anthony Ambrose: So on the engineering side, we internally track a number of different buckets, if you will, on R&D as you described. We don't disclose those internally, they can move around a little bit, but the overall spend has been pretty flat. And I think within the buckets. It's been reasonably flat as well. And then on SentriX again, our goals are pretty clear, by simplifying and scaling, we'll get more customers that will grow the revenue, and that's the plan. Avram Fisher: I guess the last time you said our expectations, you didn't quite need them. So you're holding your cards a little closer at this time? Anthony Ambrose: No, it's just a - I don't know how many different ways to say it. We have updated the technology, we've learned a lot about how to market and sell to customers to make it easy for them, to make it easy for our partners. We now have an ability to take an installed base. So when a customer has a security need and they maybe have one part, we can say yes, as opposed to saying it's going to be really expensive to upgrade. So again, I think we just get smarter every quarter. I know everyone wants us to get smarter faster, including ourselves. But that's just the plan. Avram Fisher: You'll seem like a genius someday, I hope. Thank you. Anthony Ambrose: Thanks, Avi. Operator: And this will conclude our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Anthony Ambrose for any closing remarks. Anthony Ambrose: All right, thank you very much, operator, I'd like to thank everyone for participating today. And before we close the call, I'll just remind everyone we will be at the Needham Conference, I believe that's May 18th. And then also our Annual Shareholders Meeting will be on May 20th. So, thank you very much everyone and have a good evening. This closes the call. Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. And at this time, you may disconnect your lines.
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