Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) on Q2 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Operator: Welcome to Cisco's Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. At the request of Cisco, today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect. Now I would like to introduce Marilyn Mora, Head of Investor Relations. Ma'am, you may begin. Marilyn Mora: Welcome, everyone, to Cisco's second quarter fiscal 2021 quarterly earnings conference Call. This is Marilyn Mora, Head of Investor Relations, and I'm joined by Chuck Robbins, our Chairman and CEO; and I’m very pleased to welcome Scott Herren, our CFO. By now, you should have seen our earnings press release. A corresponding webcast with slides, including supplemental information, will be made available on our website in the Investor Relations section following the call. Chuck Robbins: Thanks, Marilyn. First of all, I hope that all of you and your families are safe and healthy. This year is full of promise as vaccines give us a path to healing and recovery. We are optimistic about the future and look forward to what lies ahead. This past quarter, our team delivered strong performance with revenues coming in at the top of our guidance range and non-GAAP EPS landing above the high end of our expectations all supported by margin expansion and a further strengthening of our balance sheet. More importantly, we are seeing encouraging signs of strength across our business as the recovery takes shape with all customer segments showing improvement in year-over-year growth rates. Our employees and partners have done a remarkable job executing and innovating throughout the pandemic to help our customers connect, secure and automate to accelerate their digital agility in a cloud-first world. We are partnering with them on core issues that are essential to their success: business resiliency, modernizing their IT environments and embracing secure hybrid work. Over the past year, our customers have relied on our innovation to accelerate their digital and cloud capabilities while protecting them from an expanding threat environment. In my numerous conversations with customers, it is clear that our technology will be a powerful engine for their recovery and growth as their technology needs continue to evolve at a rapid pace. Scott Herren: Thanks, Chuck. Let me start by saying how excited I am to join the Cisco team at such a pivotal time in the company's transformation. Before turning to our performance in the quarter, I thought I'd share my initial observations and key priorities. I'm impressed by the team here at Cisco and the progress the company has made on its transformation. Achieving the goals laid out three years ago of driving 50% of our revenue from software and services. It's also clear that leadership team is unified and focused, and that the strategies Chuck laid out earlier in the call will drive our growth over the next several years. It's an exciting time to be joining the company in this role. Marilyn Mora: Thanks, Scott. Michelle, let's go ahead and queue up the Q&A. Operator: Thank you. Our first question comes from Meta Marshall from Morgan Stanley. You may go ahead. Meta Marshall: Great. Thanks. Maybe to start off for me, I just wanted to get a sense of where you feel like organizations are in planning for a return to work and what the hybrid workplace looks like? And when do you think that investment will take place in that architecture versus kind of when employees return to the office? Thanks. Chuck Robbins: Yes, Meta, thank you. I think that the – what we have been operating under is a premise that customers will probably begin to come back to the offices in – we had been thinking sort of mid to late summer. I think if you were watching the news this morning, you heard some of the New York companies say that they may be September. But I would suspect that as companies look to prepare their offices for the return, in our case, we’ve seen significant uptake in Wi-Fi 6, as an example, as they have begun to get ready for that return. We believe that that will require switching infrastructure as people come back to the office and begin to put load on those wireless networks. We also believe that every meeting in the future is going to be a hybrid meeting, even when people are back in the office. You’ll have people in the office, and you’ll have people remote. And in order to accommodate that, we suspect most of our customers will be putting video units in every conference room they have, which again will also accommodate the hybrid work model but will also drive bandwidth requirements which could lead to switching infrastructure. So that’s the way we see it playing out over the next few months. And we would expect that with some of the solutions we have around worker safety and the collaboration portfolio and the Wi-Fi 6 build outs that we’ll continue to see some progress from our customers as they prepare to return. Meta Marshall: Great. Thanks. Marilyn Mora: Next question, please? Operator: Thank you. Jim Suva from Citigroup Investment Research. You may go ahead. Jim Suva: Thank you very much. Looking at your guidance, I think some investors are asking a little bit about, hey, the revenue guidance is up year-over-year quite impressively off a little bit of easy comps and also an extra week. But the EPS year-over-year, there’s not much leverage there. There are additional costs I think with less travel. Why wouldn’t there be more flow-through to the bottom line of earnings per share? Scott Herren: Yes, thanks, Jim, for the question. And I think there’s a couple things you have to bear in mind. Not only does the extra week in Q3 bring along with it additional revenue, it brings along additional spend as well. And we touched on this in the opening commentary. It’s about $185 million. Our expectation is about $185 million of additional spend. Coming through, when you compare year-on-year coming through from last year, we also have comp plans reset. So as you’d expect, commissions and bonuses are on a different track this year than they were last year, and FX. The weakness of the dollar is having an effect on us as well. And so when you add those up, that’s what drops through to the COGS and the OpEx line. We are on track, just to get ahead of maybe what your next question would have been. We’re on track with the $1 billion of savings that we talked about through the restructuring. That continues to go well. Almost all of that is behind us at this point, but there are some year-on-year things there that are factoring into our spend rate for this year, for this coming quarter. Jim Suva: Thank you, Scott. And welcome. And thanks for the color and details. I’m looking forward to working with you. Thanks, Scott. It’s Jim. Chuck Robbins: And you, Jim. Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Thanks, Jim. Next question, please. Operator: Thank you. Ittai Kidron from Oppenheimer. You may go ahead, sir. Ittai Kidron: Thanks, and good luck, Scott, in your new role. I guess I have a couple of questions, first on the declined 9% in orders on Enterprise, Chuck, can you give us a little bit more color? It seems like a significant lag growth to the others. When do you expect that to normalize and improve? And then perhaps a second question, more of a bigger picture one for you, Chuck. It’s been a clearly a very difficult year all around. Maybe you could give us a little bit more, the bigger picture perspective that you have here about the company. In what ways Cisco here and now different in the way it operates and thinks and moves going forward versus the Cisco of a year ago just before heading into the pandemic? I’m trying to understand kind of the lessons learned and how they’re implemented and impacting the company. And how should we think about you differently going forward? Chuck Robbins: Yes, Ittai, thank you. And, look, first of all I think that if you look at the customer segments, we saw improvement across Service Provider, Commercial and Public sector. And we saw improvement in Enterprise, although it’s still negative year-over-year. But what I would tell you is, from a vertical industry perspective, we did see positive movement from industries that are not directly impacted by the pandemic. Think financial services. Think manufacturing. Think technical services. And then those that are still in the midst of the pandemic continue to struggle – hospitality, retail, transportation, energy. And so I think from that perspective, it gives us confidence that as we come out of this thing that those industries that are being depressed by the pandemic will obviously look to the future and will recover as well. So the other thing that we’ve reflected on is that when we came out of the 2008 crisis, we saw Commercial lead, and then Enterprise followed. And it’s just been a really good sign that the U.S. Commercial business this past quarter grew 6% from an orders perspective, which I think is a nice bounce. And obviously it was 1% globally. But seeing that go positive gives us also confidence in the future of the Enterprise following. As it relates to the bigger picture, I think we talked a lot about giving our customers consumption flexibility. Earlier in my comments, I actually outlined six of the strategic pillars that we’re all focused on. I’d say that we are super optimistic about the progress we’ve made in the web-scale space. We continue to deliver on our software revenues, which were $3.6 billion this quarter. And again, 76% of it coming from software, and I think that will only increase. So I think that those six pillars combined with more flexibility and consumption options for our customers and continued transition to software and a continued focus on web-scale and other growth opportunities is what we’re trying to do over the next two to three years. Ittai Kidron: Very good. Good luck. Marilyn Mora: Thanks, Ittai. Next question? Operator: Thank you. Paul Silverstein from Cowen & Company. You may go ahead. Paul Silverstein: Thanks for taking the questions. Scott, can you tell us what the rate of price degradation was? In connection with that, any thoughts in terms of the mortgage structure of the company at both the gross and operating line asset both resiliency and even hopefully better as to upside and where you can drive that from? Scott Herren: Yes, thanks, Paul. The pricing mix was really in line with what we’d seen over the last several quarters. And you’ll see this next week, obviously, in the Q, but I’ll go ahead and give you the data point. It was 1.6% for the second quarter, slightly better actually than what we had seen in Q1 and actually modestly better than what we’ve seen over the trailing four quarters. So pricing mix was as expected during the second quarter. I think as you look longer-term, the gross margin is going to bounce around a little. It always does. I think part of what is factoring into our view of gross margin ahead is that the benefit of a greater mix of software and services in there being somewhat offset by some of the supply chain concerns that we have right now that I think you’ve seen, not just from us, but from everyone who is building products that contain a significant amount of semiconductors. So we’re doing what you’d expect us to do on the supply chain front. We are contacting all of our key suppliers on that front. We’re leveraging kind of the volume purchase that we have, extending that supply chain further out, all with a goal of ensuring we can protect customer shipments. So there’s a little bit of a headwind coming in those lines from just the supply – the current supply chain. Paul Silverstein: Hey Scott, I trust though, the supply chain commentary, that’s a transitory issue that’s going to pass if we look beyond assuming the world goes back to normal. It sounds like if you net that out, there should be a positive trajectory at some point. Scott Herren: I think that’s right. I mean, we’ve talked about growing the percent of our business, and you’ve seen Cisco do a really nice job of growing the percent of the business coming from software and services. And, obviously, that comes through at a higher margin. Paul Silverstein: Appreciate it. Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Next question, please? Operator: Thank you. Pierre Ferragu from New Street Research. You may go ahead. Pierre Ferragu: Hey. Thank you for taking my question. Scott, I have a question for you on your gross margin. I was just checking my model, and I think the 66.9% you reported this quarter is actually a record for as far back as my model goes. I think it goes back quite far. So congratulations, like, a great stuff on that front. Scott Herren: Thanks. Pierre Ferragu: And my question is actually how should we think about gross margin in this transition you want to accelerate and continue throughout the Cloud? Are we now in a phase where we should expect gross margins to head up over-time with ups and down, of course? But should we expect structural margin expansion going along with your transformation? Scott Herren: Yes, again, Pierre, your model must go back to our fiscal 2006, because this was the highest gross margin we’d reported since second quarter of 2006. So you’re right from that standpoint. And again, I would just in terms of where this goes longer-term, I expect there to be a little bouncing around over the next couple of quarters given some of the supply chain concerns that everyone that’s building product based on semis. And a slight headwind still from memory. But I think everyone in the market is going to see that same set of trends. Longer-term, again, as we drive up the mix of software and services that should have a positive impact on gross margins. Pierre Ferragu: Great. And maybe if I have a quick follow up on the same theme. You mention extending the transition. What’s up next for grab for you to evolve in the product portfolio to increase the share of technology that you deliver as a service in Cloud-based? Scott Herren: Hey, Pierre. It’s Chuck. I’ll take that one. And Scott is pretty proud of the immediate impact he had by delivering the record gross margins being here very short time. Pierre Ferragu: I’m very impressed. Chuck Robbins: Yes, exactly, high impact. So I think as you look at the as-a-service offerings, what we’re going to do is take – we’re taking intellectual property we have in our core enterprise portfolio, we’re delivering a lot of that as both Cloud-delivered as well as Cloud-managed. Think about what we’ve done with the whole discussion we’ve had over the years about the Meraki platform and how we bring those capabilities to the rest of the portfolio, taking technologies like SD-WAN and Cloud Security and integrating those together and delivering those as a service, which, frankly, are uniquely capability – that’s a unique capability that we have. And so I think those are areas where you’ll see that continue to move forward. In addition to anything that we've sort of virtualized over the years, you can now deliver that as a service, anything that's pure software. So we're looking at every aspect of the portfolio. Pierre Ferragu: Thanks, Chuck. Marilyn Mora: Thanks Pierre. Next question. Operator: Thank you. Jeff Kvaal from Wolfe Research. You may go ahead. Jeff Kvaal: Yes. Thanks very much. I'm hoping to ask two, I guess first is I'm wondering, could you help us understand better the dynamics involved in the web-scale progress, which product lines and what type of applications are you into, is that a Silicon One story? And then secondly, I was just wondering if you could help us with the expectation for the durability of the public sector strengths. Thank you. Chuck Robbins: Yes. Thanks, Jeff. So let me start with the second one, the durability of the public sector. I think two comments on this one, clearly there is stimulus that’s flowing in both in the U.S. and around the world and I think that'll continue for some period of time, obviously and that's certainly helping. But the other thing that I think has occurred over the last year is that countries have realized that they have to invest in infrastructure, and digital infrastructure and technology to be prepared for these sorts of crises in the future. So I think that notwithstanding stimulus, I think the spending we see post-pandemic will be greater than what we saw pre-pandemic. And in fact, some of these countries have come to the conclusion that they need to take more dependency on themselves and less on some of their allies given sort of what we've seen over the last few years and so they're beefing up their technology investments from that perspective. So I think net, once a stimulus goes out, I still think you see a positive segment for a few years to come. On the web-scale front, I'll just take a minute to explain, we actually gave more information today than we've given. And over the last few years, many of you have heard me say that this was a marathon and we got a lot of work to do. And what has become clear to me over the last five quarters is that, the work that our teams have put in over the last five years has begun to pay-off. And so this quarter we saw triple digit growth year-over-year in our web-scale portfolio. As I said in earlier comments the prior four quarters, I will tell you that the growth rates range from 17% to 74%. So it's been up for the last five quarters as we've talked about. From a portfolio perspective, you asked we're selling the 8000 series which we announced in December of 2019, we're winning 400 gig franchises. We are selling some silicon, we're selling our Catalyst 9000 and we're selling the rest of the portfolio as well. And so it's been pretty broad-based relative to what we are selling them, but we feel good about the investments we've made, the hard work we put in. And the last thing I'll tell you is that, the other question you're probably going to ask is how material it is from a size perspective. And I'll tell you that last quarter that we just finished, it was 25% of our service provider segment. And over the last four quarters, it's averaged 21% of that SP segment. So it's gotten to a point where it it's meaningful. So that's why we decided to give the additional information today. Again, this business much like the service provider business that we've talked about over the years we'll have – will be big deal driven, big customer driven. So it will have a tendency to be lumpy. But I think if you look at it over the course of four quarters, six quarters, eight quarters, it's going to be a – it should continue to be positive. Jeff Kvaal: Thank you, Chuck. Congratulations. Chuck Robbins: Thanks. Marilyn Mora: Next question please. Operator: Thank you. Rod Hall from Goldman Sachs, you may go ahead. Rod Hall: Yes, thanks for the question. I had two as well. One would be, I guess, one of the most surprising numbers in here is the service provider order growth rate of 5%. I think huge turnaround from last quarter. And I think you just gave me part of the answer to that, Chuck. But just curious if you could dig into that a little bit more color, what drove that? Just a little bit unexpected for me. And then the second thing I wanted to ask, back to you Scott on the FX impact, is there any way you could quantify those, if you help us understand how the dollar move has affected for instance, revenue growth year-over-year and maybe margins as well. If anything, you can help us with based on quantification there. Thanks. Chuck Robbins: Hi Rod I'll take the first one. On the SP space, so yes, if you look at what we saw in the quarter from an order perspective, we saw a positive growth in cable, which represents about 15% of segment. We saw triple digit growth in web-scale, which is representing 25% of the segment. And then our telco business was down and that's roughly 60% of the business and primarily that is because where we are in the stages with 5G. We have roughly 35 customers around the world that were working on 5G solutions with mobile backhaul, with orchestration, with packet core. And so we're just early in that transition. And I think that particular sub-segment of SP will begin to show progress for us as we see the core backbone build-outs as we've been saying over the last few years. And the good news is we're seeing the backhaul stuff being built. We're seeing the packet core decisions get made, which means that the core network backbone decisions will be made. And the fact that we are being – having some positive success in a web-scale space would give me a high degree of confidence that those same products will bode well in the service provider space. So I think, this has been a tough segment for us for many, many years, and we're hopeful right now with the web-scale success and then with the 5G build outs underway that this could be a tailwind over the next few years for us. Scott Herren: And Rod this is Scott on the FX impact. As you know in most markets we price in USD. So there's a limited impact from FX on the top line. But of course with the weaker dollar, we have employees worldwide and obviously you pay them in local currency. And so when you translate that back, it has a – it creates a bit of a headwind for us on the OpEx side. I'm hesitant to give you an exact figure on that, but just so you can understand the dynamics that's the way it works. And it has created a headwind for us during the second quarter. Rod Hall: Okay. Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Thanks Rod. Next question. Operator: Tal Liani from Bank of America Securities, you may go ahead. Tal Liani: Hello, I have two questions. One is just clarification from my understanding and I'll ask it in a general way. What's holding up the closure of Acacia and what will change now versus the delays we've seen so far, so that's the easy one. The second question is I want to understand your outlook on a product basis rather than a vertical. When you – we focus on legacy switches and routers. Can you discuss the trends that you're seeing for the next four quarters or the next kind of calendar year? Where is the change, meaning what are the areas where you see increase versus the previous four quarters? Thanks. Chuck Robbins: So Tal, I am going to ask for clarification on the second one before I start. So are you talking about in the enterprise space? Are you just or you're just talking about what do we feel good about from a product perspective over the next few quarters in general? Tal Liani: Exactly. I'm trying to understand it at the product level rather than the vertical level. Chuck Robbins: Yes, got it. Okay. So on the Acacia thing, I think it's quite clear what occurred, we didn't have China approval, we thought we did, we didn't have it in time. So we renegotiated the price because our contract with them had expired and candidly the performance they put up in the 18 months between our original deal and this deal was pretty astounding, so the price was not was not out of the question. And then we subsequently got Chinese approval and I think Scott keep me honest, but I think they have to get shareholder approval and the proxies out. So we expect that should happen, it'll happen during Q3 Tal. So China approval is done, there's no more approvals to get. It's just up to the shareholder vote at this point. So we think that is in pretty good shape. On the on the second front, let me just run through the portfolio and I'll tell you sort of how I feel about everything right now. So I think, if you look at the Mass-Scale Infrastructure, the service provider portfolio, whatever you want to call it, where the 8000 is and some of the other stuff that's being built for 5G and for 400 gig, in the mass-scale data centers, I think that portfolio is in really good shape, and I would expect it to be a very positive contributor, not only over the next year but over the next two to three years. I think that there's if I look at the campus switching infrastructure, I think with customers begin to come back they are going to look at upgrading. We've seen – we saw significant growth last quarter in demand for WiFi 6. Just to give you a data point that we don't disclose anywhere, but we had – I think our orders for WiFi grew 20% last quarter. And what typically happens is that when you effectively put a lot of load on WiFi, like WiFi 6 is going to accommodate, it's going to require an underlying infrastructure upgrade to accommodate it. And when you add to that, the video load that will likely go on to these customers as they come back to the office and put video in every conference room and continue to use video the way they've used it during the pandemic. We think that that will also be a driver. So I think we have the Catalyst 9000 portfolio, the WiFi 6portfolio. We feel good about as well. The SD-WAN technology continues to move forward. We're seeing good growth there. And I think as we deliver that technology as a service integrated with our cloud security, I think that's going to be a differentiator for us. Within the security portfolio the teams are working on a couple of very differentiated tracks on strategy, I'd say that we need – I'd say we need another six months or so to see how that evolves, but I feel good about what they plan to do. Our current portfolio is performing well and they just need to execute. So we have to see that. I think the teams have done an amazing job on what they've brought forward with the WebEx platform. Again, you have to remember in the applications space, there's probably a view on that, when it's not performing the way you would think, you got to remember all the phones are included in that space too. So while WebEx was up double digits as Scott said. You've also got the drag of the handset business, that's in there as well. But I think the WebEx work and the pace of innovation, the feature velocity, the suite aspect that they're looking at I think the teams are doing a really good job. And I think over the next year, you'll see us actually, that portfolio will continue to improve and I think we have a chance to take share back. What did I miss? And then we're working on things like full stack observability which are somewhat nascent. We're working on our edge service strategy, which is somewhat nascent, but I feel like the team – I think the portfolio is in probably as good a shape as has been in awhile. And we just have to execute. Tal Liani: Right. Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Next question, please. Operator: Samik Chatterjee from JPMorgan, you may go ahead. Samik Chatterjee: Hi, thanks for the question. Chuck just wanted to see if you can dig a bit deeper into the demand drivers for the security segment here, particularly how have you seen customers respond to the recent events on SolarWinds. If we would have expected a bit more momentum on the security segment here? Is that more particularly to come or particularly is it more going to be hardware or software that we should expect the demand from? Chuck Robbins: Yes. I think that what we see across that portfolio is we had a really good quarter actually in network firewall and cloud security. So it was a good quarter across the board, across the portfolio. And I think what you'll see is that, we're in the early phases I think of any positive impact that you would see from a SolarWinds buildup, because most of the customers are going into assess like, where am I, what have I missed, what do I need, what caused me to miss what I missed, and then they're going to move from there. So I think we're sort of in the midst of that right now, with a lot of our customers doing those kinds of assessments. But, it's been from the early parts of the pandemic when we saw VPN technology being absorbed as much as we could possibly build and then the network firewall, and then combine that with the cloud security, it feels like customers are consuming whatever security they can consume right now to try to avoid those sorts of situations. So I would think that that will continue to be positive for us. Samik Chatterjee: Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Next question, please? Operator: Thank you. Simon Leopold with Raymond James & Associates. You may go ahead, sir. Simon Leopold: Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask first an easy one and then more of a thematic one. On the easy side hopefully, is just wondering if the supply chain constraints, your ability to get components, if that cost you any revenue in the quarter, if you could quantify that. And then in terms of the broader trend, maybe you could help me understand how you see the campus environment developing because it sounds like you've highlighted a number of positives – getting back to work, long legs in the CAT 9K cycle, Wi-Fi sounds good. But I have to imagine there are some offsets as well – maybe not as many people go back to work, legacy products rolling over. Just if you could build a bridge on what's going on in Campus over the longer term. Thank you. Chuck Robbins: All right. Scott, you want to take supply chain? Scott Herren: Yes, we didn't really see any impact on our ability to get product out the door during the second quarter. The team has stayed on top of the supply chain scenario, and it's been evolving, as you know, throughout the quarter. As we look ahead at Q3, that is something that is factored into our guide, both in our expectations on the top line and on the gross margin line. But it really hasn't been – in the second quarter at least, it hasn't been a significant headwind for us. Chuck Robbins: Yes, I think that our teams are doing a good job on that of trying to buy ahead, trying to build inventory. And I think that there's certainly some unknowns and it's certainly complex. But I think the teams have done a pretty good job navigating, and it is built into the guide. On the Campus front, I think what I described is actually what I would expect for most customers. I think, Simon, the question you ask is a philosophical discussion that we have a lot in that when customers go back, what is it going to look like? Are more employees going to stay at home? Does that mean they're going to shrink their footprint? Does COVID stay with us? Do people now believe that they want to be, they want to maintain somewhat of a social distance in the office even post-COVID until we really get well beyond it? And does that mean that you need more footprint? What's the future of shared space? Are employees comfortable coming in and sitting in a shared space that someone else occupied the day before or do they want their own space when they come in so that they feel safe in it? And I think those are the kinds of things that we don't understand. But if I net it out, I don't think, personally – this my own opinion based on customer discussions and everything else. I don't think that some of the earlier beliefs in the pandemic where the early days is like no one is going to go back to the office because we're actually productive at home. I think we sort of moved into that phase where people actually struggle mentally. People are – they're not enjoying it. One of our employees said to me the other day, I don't mind the option of working from home. I don't like being forced to work from home. And so I really believe it's going to be hybrid, where people are going to work from home and everybody's sort of landing here where they're going to work from home three days a week and work from the office two days a week or vice versa. The question is what accommodations does that lead to for customers, based on employees' concern over space issues, concern over future pandemics or other concern. That's what we just don't know yet. But I do believe, based on what we've seen with Wi-Fi 6, that tells me customers are getting ready, and they're upgrading the wireless infrastructure now. And in the Commercial space, we've seen a fair amount of the follow-on with the switching, and hopefully we'll see that in the Enterprise space beyond this quarter. Simon Leopold: Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Thanks, Simon. Next question? Operator: Tim Long from Barclays. You may go ahead, sir. Tim Long: Thank you. Yes, two if I could as well. First, maybe, Chuck, on the Cat 9K still doing very well. Just curious what you think the impacts will be when some of the kind of earlier adopters licenses are coming due. So kind of what impact is that? Kind of what inning are we in there? And then second on the Cloud business, curious kind of who you're winning against there. Is this against just traditional competitors or are you starting to see any wins back from white box or are you just serving to maybe limit where white box can go with that Cloud customer base? Thank you. Chuck Robbins: Tim, thanks. So on the Cat 9K, I think the way I would think about it is that the license – I think you're really asking about the renewal side of that piece, which in this fiscal year is – it's not significantly material. And I think I've said on a couple of calls before it's really good, the size it is this year because it gives us a chance to test our processes and our renewal value proposition and all that stuff because it's meaningful in fiscal 2022. So the teams are working hard right now to try to get ahead of that and be ready for it. On the Cloud front, what I would say is that when we announced in December of 2019 we had a launch, the future of the internet launch, we talked about that we would be – we would sell our customers systems, integrated systems. We would sell them silicon or we would sell them white boxes. I mean, I'm sorry, our software. And we have all three of those scenarios actually playing out right now. So we have customers who have standardized on our systems for 400 gig. We have customers who are testing our silicon and actually putting it in white boxes, which is what we would expect them to do. We have some customers running our software stack on their hardware. And the people we're competing with are, they would be quite evident to you, short of me calling them out. I think these are the traditional players that have been successful in that space, and we talked a lot back years ago about the fact that we missed the first wave and we were going to work hard to be in a position when the 400 gig transition occurred and try to work our way back in and earn that business back. And I think the teams have begun to do that. So I'm really proud of what they've done. Tim Long: Okay. Thank you. Marilyn Mora: Hey, we have time for one last question. Michelle? Operator: Thank you. Sami Badri from Credit Suisse. You may go ahead. Marilyn Mora: Sami? Operator: Sami, your line is open. Marilyn Mora: Sami, are you on mute? Sami Badri: I don't think so. Chuck Robbins: There you are. Marilyn Mora: We hear you now. We didn't hear you before. Sami Badri: Okay. Perfect. Sorry about that. First question is for Chuck. One thing that I think has not come up in this call is anything regarding the 5G really, and we're about year three in the telecommunications 5G cycle. And at this point, a lot of people are just trying to understand what's really the effect to the equipment supply chain and how these telecommunication providers are going to consume equipment from the different vendors? And then the other question is for Scott. You do have some M&A that has already closed in fiscal 3Q, and there are projections for other closures of deals in fiscal 3Q. Does any of the guide include acquired or inorganic revenues? And if you're prepared to give us a breakout of organic versus inorganic, that would be helpful. Chuck Robbins: Let me take the 5G. I think what you're seeing right now is most customers – most of our customers that are working on 5G, they've been building out the radio networks; they've been building out packet core capabilities; they've been building out mobile backhaul; and in many cases, they're running these hybrid 4G/5G backbones, with some exceptions where you have like a standalone 5G network that's been built. And in that case, what we participate in, in there with the packet core for sure, mobile backhaul, and some elements of orchestration. And what we believe is that over the next couple of years as these providers begin to build out a standalone 5G backbones and in many cases to serve up enterprise services that they will be making decisions on core upgrades to support the bandwidth and the traffic that's going to load those networks. And I think that's when we believe that we will see this – most of the benefit from the 5G build-out. So that's kind of where we are right now. And we're having good success in the areas that we participate based on where they are in the life cycle of these networks. Scott, you want to touch on the M&A question? Scott Herren: Sure. Sami, we did have a couple of acquisitions that closed during the second quarter but they were both quite small. Strategically important but not meaningful in terms of adding to the Q3 guide, we've got some more meaningful ones that we do expect to close during the quarter. Obviously, Acacia would be meaningful. We've got IMImobile which we expect to close during the quarter, which will have some level of impact on the guide. Neither of those are factored in at this point. So as we get those closed – and at this point it's not exactly certain when they'll close, which is why they're not currently factored into the guide – as those close, we'll give you some insight into what our expectations are for them. Sami Badri: Got it. Thank you very much. Chuck Robbins: All right. Just to wrap up, I want to thank everybody for spending time with us today and again, just hope that everybody stays safe as we work through what we're all hopeful is the beginning of the recovery. And I think that from a business perspective, we continue to feel like that is definitely the case; that we are in the midst of a recovery, which gives us a lot of optimism. I'm proud of what our teams have done. I'm proud of the innovation that we have built during this complicated time. And we have Cisco Live coming up at the end of March where there'll be a lot of innovation that we'll be announcing. And based on that and some of the performance that we see and the continued improvement in our business, I remain fairly optimistic about where we are right now as we come through this pandemic. So we'll look forward to talking to all of you on the next call. And, Marilyn, I'll turn it back over to you. Marilyn Mora: Thanks, Chuck. Cisco's next quarterly earnings conference call, which will reflect our fiscal 2021 third quarter results, will be on Wednesday, May 19, 2021, at 1:30 PM Pacific Time, 4:30 PM Eastern Time. As a reminder, we will be presenting and hosting meetings at several investor conferences over the next few weeks including the Goldman Sachs Technology and Internet Conference tomorrow. Again, I'd like to remind the audience that in light of Regulation FD, Cisco's policy is not to comment on its financial guidance during the quarter unless it is done through explicit public disclosure. We now plan to close the call. If you have any further questions, feel free to contact the Investor Relations team. Have a great day. Operator: Thank you for participating on today's conference call. If you would like to listen to the call in its entirety, you may call 1800-391-9851. For participants dialing from outside the U.S., please dial 203-369-3268. This concludes today's call. You may disconnect at this time.
Cisco Shares Surge on Earnings Beat and Job Cuts
Cisco Shares Surge on Earnings Beat and Job Cuts
Cisco's Strong Earnings Performance
Cisco Systems has recently seen a significant boost in its share price, driven by a strong earnings report and strategic job cuts. The company’s latest financial results exceeded expectations, contributing to a surge in its stock value.
Key Highlights from Cisco’s Earnings Report
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Earnings Beat Expectations: Cisco reported earnings that surpassed analyst forecasts, reflecting robust financial performance and operational efficiency. This positive surprise has fueled investor confidence and led to a notable increase in Cisco's share price.
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Strategic Job Cuts: In addition to the strong earnings report, Cisco announced a series of job cuts aimed at streamlining operations and improving cost efficiency. These strategic reductions are expected to enhance the company’s profitability and operational focus.
Implications for Investors
Short-Term Market Reactions
The combination of a better-than-expected earnings report and job cuts has led to a surge in Cisco’s share price. Investors are likely to respond positively to these developments, potentially leading to further gains in the short term.
Long-Term Considerations
Long-term implications of Cisco’s strong earnings and cost-cutting measures may include improved financial stability and sustained growth. Investors should monitor the company's ongoing performance and strategic initiatives to assess its future prospects.
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Conclusion
Cisco’s impressive earnings performance and strategic job cuts have driven a surge in its share price. Investors should consider these developments when evaluating Cisco’s stock and use tools like FMP’s Market Index API to stay informed and make strategic investment decisions.
Cisco Raises Annual Revenue Guidance After Strong Q3 Performance
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) has raised its annual revenue forecast following better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results, where improved margins helped counter a revenue decline.
For Q3, Cisco reported adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.98, down from $1.00 the previous year, on revenue of $12.7 billion, a 13% decrease year-over-year. Despite the revenue drop, these figures surpassed Wall Street expectations of $0.83 EPS on $12.48 billion revenue. The gross margin increased to 65.1% from 63.4% a year ago.
Looking forward, Cisco now projects its annual revenue to be between $53.6 billion and $53.8 billion, up from the previous range of $51.5 billion to $52.5 billion. The full-year adjusted EPS is expected to be between $3.69 and $3.71, slightly revised from February's forecast of $3.68 to $3.74.
Cisco Systems, Inc. Q3 Fiscal 2024 Earnings Preview
- Cisco Systems, Inc. is set to release its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings on May 15, 2024, with Wall Street analysts projecting an EPS of $0.83 and revenue of $12.5 billion.
- The company's own forecasts suggest third-quarter revenues between $12.1 billion and $12.3 billion, with non-GAAP earnings per share expected to be between 84 and 86 cents.
- Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Cisco has consistently outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the trailing four quarters, boasting an average earnings surprise of 5.50%.
Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) is gearing up for its third-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings release on May 15, 2024, after the market closes. This event is highly anticipated by investors and analysts alike, given the company's position as a leading player in the networking and communications industry. Cisco's performance is often seen as a bellwether for the broader technology sector, making its quarterly financial results a matter of keen interest. The company faces stiff competition from other tech giants, but it has managed to maintain a strong market presence through innovation and strategic acquisitions.
Wall Street analysts have set the earnings per share (EPS) estimate at $0.83 for the quarter, with projected revenue reaching $12.5 billion. These figures are closely aligned with Cisco's own projections, which anticipate third-quarter revenues to range between $12.1 billion and $12.3 billion, with non-GAAP earnings expected to be between 84 and 86 cents per share. This forecast is set against a backdrop of challenging macroeconomic conditions and excess inventory issues within Cisco's customer base in the networking domain. The company's guidance reflects a cautious outlook, likely influenced by heightened scrutiny of deals by customers and delays in product deliveries.
Despite the challenging environment, Cisco has a track record of exceeding expectations. The company has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 5.50%. However, the anticipated fiscal third-quarter results are expected to reflect the impact of a cautious economic environment. This includes the potential effects of a slowdown in customer spending and logistical challenges, which could influence the company's performance.
The significance of changes in earnings estimates is crucial for investors to consider. The consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate for Cisco has been revised downward by 1.5% over the past 30 days, indicating a reevaluation of initial projections by analysts. This adjustment, along with the projected 17% decrease in earnings per share from the same period last year and a 14.4% decline in revenue year over year, highlights the analysts' cautious stance on Cisco's upcoming financial performance.
Cisco's financial health and market valuation are also key factors for investors. The company exhibits a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 14.69, suggesting a moderate valuation relative to its earnings. Additionally, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at about 3.44, and the enterprise value-to-sales (EV/Sales) ratio is roughly 3.42, indicating the market's valuation of the company in relation to its sales revenue. These metrics, along with Cisco's conservative use of debt and healthy balance between assets and liabilities, provide a comprehensive view of the company's financial stability and market position ahead of its earnings announcement.
Cisco Systems Earns an Upgrade at BofA Securities
BofA Securities upgraded Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) to Buy from Neutral, raising their price target to $60 from $55 per share. They outlined three primary growth drivers for Cisco, emphasizing the potential in Splunk, Security, and artificial intelligence to counterbalance weaknesses in networking. Analysts predict that networking will normalize, projecting growth spurred by Cisco's market share gains in Ethernet-based AI infrastructure expansions by major cloud service providers.
The bank also anticipates an acceleration in Cisco's security segment, supported by stabilization in firewall performance and recent product launches. They further noted the positive growth synergies expected from the acquisition of Splunk.
While acknowledging that Cisco may face challenges in the upcoming quarters, Bank of America believes these pressures are already accounted for in current market expectations and that Cisco's guidance remains conservatively realistic. The bank views the current setup for Cisco's stock as favorable, with improved fundamentals likely to drive growth moving forward.
Cisco Systems Announces Dividend - A Sign of Financial Strength
Cisco Systems, Inc. Announces Dividend, Signaling Strong Financial Health
On April 3, 2024, Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) announced a dividend of $0.4 per share, marking a significant event for investors and shareholders. This announcement came after the company declared the dividend on February 14, 2024, setting the record date for April 3, 2024, and scheduling the payment for April 24, 2024. This move by Cisco highlights its commitment to returning value to its shareholders and underscores the company's financial health and confidence in its future prospects.
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) has been a focal point for investors, drawing significant attention as one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com. This heightened interest comes in the wake of Cisco's shares experiencing a modest increase of 1.9% over the past month. Although this growth is competitive, it slightly lags behind the Zacks S&P 500 composite's growth of 2.2% and the 3.4% gain in the Zacks Computer - Networking industry. This performance sets the stage for a closer examination of Cisco's future direction, especially in light of the recent dividend announcement.
The company's financial metrics provide a deeper insight into its valuation and financial health. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 14.74 for the trailing twelve months (TTM), Cisco presents a moderate valuation relative to its earnings. The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of about 3.46 TTM suggests that the market values each dollar of Cisco's sales at over three times, indicating a solid market valuation. Additionally, the enterprise value to sales (EV/Sales) ratio close to 3.43 TTM and the enterprise value to operating cash flow (EV/OCF) ratio of around 13.66 TTM highlight the company's efficiency in generating cash flow relative to its valuation.
Moreover, Cisco's recent product launches, including the Board Pro G2 and the Desk Phone 9800 Series, demonstrate the company's strategic focus on enhancing its position in the hybrid workplace market. These products, designed to meet the evolving needs of today's workforce, underscore Cisco's commitment to facilitating seamless collaboration in hybrid work environments. This move not only strengthens Cisco's product portfolio but also aligns with the company's growth strategy in a rapidly changing work landscape.
In conclusion, Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) stands at a pivotal point, with its recent dividend announcement reflecting a strong financial position and commitment to shareholder value. The company's performance, product innovation, and financial metrics paint a comprehensive picture of its current standing and future prospects. As Cisco continues to navigate the challenges and opportunities ahead, investors and stakeholders will be keenly watching its progress and the potential impact on its stock performance.
Cisco Drops 3% on Guidance Cut
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) announced on Wednesday a reduction in its full-year forecast and provided weaker guidance for the current quarter, alongside revealing a restructuring plan that includes eliminating 5% of its global workforce. As a consequence, the company’s shares dropped more than 3% pre-market on Thursday.
The revised full-year outlook now anticipates adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $3.68 and $3.74, with revenue projections between $51.5 billion and $52.5 billion. This adjustment is a downturn from previous forecasts, which expected an adjusted EPS between $3.87 and $3.93 on revenue ranging from $53.8 billion to $55.0 billion.
For fiscal Q2, Cisco reported an adjusted EPS of $0.87 on revenue of $12.8 billion, slightly above the expectations of analysts, who had predicted an EPS of $0.84 on revenue of $12.71 billion.
The company saw a 9% year-over-year decline in product revenue, which constitutes the majority of its total revenue, while service revenue experienced a 4% increase.
For the upcoming fiscal Q3, Cisco is forecasting an adjusted EPS between $0.84 and $0.86, with revenue expected to be in the range of $12.1 billion to $12.3 billion. These figures fall short of analyst expectations, which were set at an EPS of $0.91 and revenue of $13.13 billion.
Cisco Shares Plunge 11% on Annual Guidance Cut
Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) announced a reduction in its annual forecast on Wednesday, despite reporting fiscal first-quarter results that exceeded expectations. This adjustment comes in the wake of indications that demand for new orders of network hardware is decelerating. The company's shares experienced a significant of more than 11% intra-day today.
Despite expectations of order growth resuming in the second half of the year, the California-based firm has revised its full-year 2024 guidance. Cisco now projects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to be between $3.87 and $3.93, with revenue forecasts ranging from $53.8 billion to $55.0 billion. This updated guidance contrasts with the previous forecast, which predicted per-share earnings of $4.01 to $4.08 and revenue between $57 billion and $58.2 billion.
The company attributes the slowdown in new product orders to customers currently prioritizing the installation and implementation of products, following a period of exceptionally strong product delivery in the past three quarters. For the first quarter, Cisco reported an adjusted EPS of $1.11 on revenue of $14.7 billion, surpassing the analysts' expectations of $1.03 in EPS and $14.62 billion in revenue.
