Compass Point Lifts Coinbase Rating to Neutral, Shares Up 5%

Compass Point upgraded Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) from Sell to Neutral, citing early signs of a potential retail trading rebound fueled by rising altcoin prices. The company’s shares rose more than 5% intra-day today.

While recent data suggests Coinbase is on pace for just $1 billion in annualized EBITDA based on April and May trends, the firm sees momentum building for a seasonal uptick in altcoin activity—a dynamic often referred to as a mini “Alt Season.”

Analysts noted that Coinbase’s fundamentals appear increasingly disconnected from Bitcoin’s performance, with COIN shares down 20% year-to-date even as Bitcoin has gained 10%. Instead, Coinbase’s business is now seen as more sensitive to movements in altcoins, which influence both trading volumes and the supply of USDC.

Though a summer altcoin rally could provide short-term support, the report cautions that broader structural challenges remain for the altcoin space, including price stagnation following major centralized exchange listings.

Symbol Price %chg
8697.T 1750 0
BSE.NS 2385 0
0388.HK 444.6 0
034310.KS 13390 0
COIN Ratings Summary
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Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) Stock Analysis and Industry Challenges

  • Dan Dolev from Mizuho Securities set a price target of $300 for NASDAQ:COIN, while the stock was trading at $343.13, indicating a potential decrease.
  • Coinbase's stock has shown resilience with a current price of $343.13, reflecting an increase of 7.04%.
  • Coinbase's Chief Policy Officer, Faryar Shirzad, addresses concerns from banks regarding stablecoins, suggesting that banks are more concerned about protecting their revenue streams.

Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) is a leading cryptocurrency exchange platform that allows users to buy, sell, and store various digital currencies. As a major player in the crypto industry, Coinbase competes with other exchanges like Binance and Kraken. On September 18, 2025, Dan Dolev from Mizuho Securities set a price target of $300 for COIN, while the stock was trading at $343.13, indicating a price difference of approximately -12.57%.

Despite the price target set by Mizuho, Coinbase's stock has shown resilience. The current stock price of $343.13 reflects an increase of 7.04% or $22.57. Today, COIN has traded between $323.52 and $351.89, showcasing its volatility. Over the past year, the stock has seen a high of $444.65 and a low of $142.58, highlighting its dynamic nature in the market.

Coinbase's Chief Policy Officer, Faryar Shirzad, has addressed concerns from banks regarding stablecoins. Shirzad argues that banks' claims about digital tokens threatening the financial system are unfounded. He suggests that banks are more concerned about protecting their revenue streams, particularly the $187 billion they earn annually from swipe fees, as highlighted by Shirzad in a company blog post.

Stablecoins offer a more cost-effective and faster method of transferring money, which challenges traditional banking systems. Shirzad likens banks' resistance to stablecoins to their past opposition to innovations like ATMs and online banking. He emphasizes that there is no significant link between stablecoin adoption and deposit flight for community banks, and larger banks are unlikely to be adversely affected.

Coinbase's market capitalization stands at approximately $88.16 billion, with a trading volume of 17.21 million shares on the NASDAQ exchange. As the company continues to navigate the evolving landscape of digital currencies, its stock performance and strategic responses to industry challenges remain crucial for investors and stakeholders.

Coinbase Plunges 16% As Earnings Miss On Weak Trading Volume

Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) shares sank 16% on Friday after the cryptocurrency exchange missed second-quarter earnings expectations due to subdued trading activity.

The company reported earnings per share of $0.12, far below the $1.51 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $1.5 billion, slightly under the projected $1.59 billion.

Transaction revenue fell 2% year-over-year to $764.3 million. However, subscription and services revenue rose 9.5% to $655.8 million, reflecting growth in its non-trading segments.

Coinbase continued to face headwinds from low crypto trading volumes amid heightened regulatory scrutiny and market uncertainty, which have dampened investor sentiment across the sector.

Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) Price Target and Market Performance

  • Trevor Williams from Williams Trading sets a price target of $405 for NASDAQ:COIN, indicating a potential upside of approximately 6.27%.
  • Coinbase anticipates significant stock value fluctuation with a potential 6% movement in either direction by the end of the week.
  • Despite challenges in the crypto market, COIN has surged by over 50% in 2025, driven by strategic acquisitions and optimism about a more favorable regulatory environment.

Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) is a leading cryptocurrency exchange platform that allows users to buy, sell, and store various digital currencies. As a major player in the crypto industry, Coinbase competes with other exchanges like Binance and Kraken. The company has been expanding its services to become a comprehensive platform for crypto enthusiasts.

On July 31, 2025, Trevor Williams from Williams Trading set a price target of $405 for COIN. At that time, COIN was priced at $381.10, indicating a potential upside of approximately 6.27%. This target reflects optimism about Coinbase's future performance, despite recent challenges in the crypto market.

Coinbase is set to release its second-quarter earnings after the market closes today. Traders are anticipating a significant fluctuation in the stock's value, with options pricing suggesting a potential 6% movement in either direction by the end of the week. This could see COIN reaching as high as $410 or dropping to around $363 from its current level just above $386.

In the previous quarter, Coinbase's revenue and adjusted net income fell short of expectations, resulting in a 3% decline in its stock the following day. The company attributed these results to "softer trading markets," a trend that may have continued into the second quarter. Despite these challenges, COIN has surged by over 50% in 2025, driven by strategic acquisitions and optimism about a more favorable regulatory environment.

Currently, COIN is priced at $381, reflecting an increase of $3.52 or 0.93%. Today, the stock has fluctuated between a low of $378 and a high of $387.14. Over the past year, COIN has reached a high of $444.65 and a low of $142.58. The company's market capitalization is approximately $96.96 billion, with a trading volume of 6,351,645 shares on the NASDAQ exchange.

Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) Earnings Preview: Key Insights

Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) is a leading cryptocurrency exchange platform, facilitating the buying, selling, and storage of digital currencies. As a major player in the crypto market, Coinbase competes with other exchanges like Binance and Kraken. The company is set to release its second-quarter earnings on July 31, 2025, after market close, with Wall Street estimating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.83 and projected revenue of approximately $1.59 billion.

Coinbase's upcoming earnings report is anticipated to reflect a strong performance, driven by increased trading volume and the growth of stablecoins. The company has also expanded its revenue streams through the acquisition of Deribit. Trading volume is estimated at 235 million, with transaction revenues expected to rise by 23% compared to the previous year. This growth is likely to support the projected revenue figures.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for COIN’s second-quarter revenues is set at $1.5 billion, marking a 4.3% increase from the same period last year. However, the consensus estimate for earnings is pegged at $0.83 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 22.4%. Despite this, the earnings estimate has been revised upward by 1 cent in the past week, indicating a positive outlook. Bank of America has adjusted its revenue estimates for Coinbase, predicting a total net revenue of $1.44 billion for the June quarter, which is approximately 6% below the consensus estimate of $1.54 billion. The bank has maintained its “Hold” rating on Coinbase, while increasing its price target from $260 to $405. Analysts at the bank predict a 40% decline in retail trading volumes quarter-over-quarter, which may impact earnings.

Coinbase's financial metrics reveal a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 64.22, indicating that investors are willing to pay over 64 times the company's earnings over the past twelve months. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is about 0.41, showing a moderate level of debt compared to its equity. Additionally, the current ratio is approximately 2.52, suggesting good short-term financial health.

Argus Launches Coverage on Coinbase With Buy Rating and $400 Target

Argus initiated coverage of Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) with a Buy rating and a $400 price target, positioning the crypto exchange as a standout growth story in the digital asset space.

The firm views Coinbase as the dominant cryptocurrency platform, offering not just trading but also custodial services, analytics, and risk management tools. Since its IPO in 2021, the company has posted strong growth, and Argus believes that momentum will continue, especially after the recent passage of the Genius Act—a legislative shift expected to fuel further adoption and activity in crypto markets.

Coinbase’s aggressive investments in R&D and acquisitions are also expected to pay off, driving growth in daily users and expanding its reach into new crypto-related products. Another milestone boosting investor attention is Coinbase’s inclusion in the S&P 500 in May, marking the first time a crypto-native firm has joined the index.

While Argus acknowledges that Coinbase trades at a premium compared to traditional exchanges like ICE, Nasdaq, and CME, the firm argues that this valuation gap is justified. Coinbase’s margins are higher, and its long-term growth potential—especially in a crypto bull market—gives it a unique edge in the sector.

Coinbase Downgraded to Sell as Valuation Races Ahead of Fundamentals

H.C. Wainwright sharply reversed its stance on Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN), downgrading the stock from Buy to Sell and trimming the price target slightly to $300. The firm cites valuation concerns after the stock surged roughly 150% since April—far outpacing the Nasdaq’s 35% gain over the same period.

Despite still viewing Coinbase as a leading name in the crypto exchange space, the analysts believe investor enthusiasm has outpaced the company’s near-term prospects. The rally was partly fueled by news that Coinbase benefits from over half of the reserve income tied to Circle’s USDC, the second-largest stablecoin globally. Momentum continued after the U.S. Senate passed stablecoin legislation in mid-June, boosting optimism across the sector.

However, with shares now sitting at all-time highs and trading at nearly 56 times estimated 2025 earnings, Wainwright sees a disconnect between price and reality. Crypto trading volumes are on the decline, and the upcoming second-quarter earnings report—due July 31—could fall short of expectations. Their revised revenue estimate for the quarter is 10% below current consensus, signaling possible downside revisions ahead.

In light of these risks and stretched valuation, the firm believes now is a prudent time for investors to lock in gains.

Bernstein SocGen Hikes Coinbase Price Target, Calls It Most Misunderstood Name in Crypto

Bernstein SocGen Group raised its price target on Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) to $510 from $310 while maintaining an Outperform rating, citing a long list of competitive advantages and underappreciated growth drivers that position the company as a dominant force in the digital asset ecosystem. The company’s shares rose more than 2% intra-day today.

Calling Coinbase the “most misunderstood” name in its crypto coverage, the firm highlighted its leadership across multiple verticals: it’s the only crypto-native company in the S&P 500, holds a commanding share of the U.S. crypto trading market, and runs the largest stablecoin business among exchanges—accounting for roughly 15% of its total revenue. Coinbase is also integrating with platforms like Shopify to further expand its reach.

The firm pointed to Coinbase’s dominance in institutional crypto, noting it provides custody services for 8 of the 11 Bitcoin ETF asset managers. It also recently acquired Deribit, the world’s largest crypto options exchange, and operates Base, the fastest and most scalable Ethereum Layer 2 chain, which is being used by JPMorgan to launch its JPMD token.

Analysts expect regulatory catalysts—such as the GENIUS Act and the forthcoming CLARITY Act—to further legitimize and expand the digital asset landscape, creating a favorable policy backdrop for Coinbase’s continued growth.

Bernstein is significantly more bullish than the Street, projecting 2025 and 2026 EPS at more than double consensus estimates. With multiple growth levers in motion and regulatory momentum building, the firm sees Coinbase emerging as the de facto "universal bank" of crypto.