Belden Inc. (BDC) on Q1 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to this morning's Belden Incorporated conference call. I'd like to now turn the call over to Kevin Maczka. Please go ahead. Kevin Maczka: Thank you, Stephanie. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Belden's First Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Kevin Maczka. I'm Belden's Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. With me this morning are Belden's President and CEO, Roel Vestjens; and CFO, Jeremy Parks. Roel will provide a strategic overview of our business, and then Jeremy will provide a detailed review of our financial and operating results followed by Q&A. We issued our earnings release earlier this morning and we have prepared a slide presentation that we will reference on this call. The press release, presentation and transcript of these prepared remarks are currently available online at investor.beldin.com. Roel Vestjens: Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. As a reminder, I'll be referring to adjusted results today. Please turn to Slide 3 in our presentation for a review of our first quarter highlights. Demand trends continued to improve in the first quarter, and I am pleased to report total revenues and EPS that exceeded the high end of our guidance ranges. We are benefiting from the ongoing recovery in the global economy and our leadership position in secular growth markets. Solid execution by our global teams resulted in meaningful growth and margin expansion. First quarter revenues increased 16% year-over-year to $536 million compared to our guidance range of $490 million to $505 million. Organic growth is a key priority and revenues increased 8% year-over-year on an organic basis. The upside relative to our expectations was broad-based, with contributions from both the Industrial Solutions and Enterprise Solutions segments.As a reminder, in January, we completed the bolt-on acquisition of OTN systems, a leading provider of proprietary networking solutions tailored for specific applications in harsh, mission-critical environments. This was our first industrial automation acquisition in years, and its proven switching devices and network management software are complementary to Belden's leading industrial networking offering. We are very pleased with the integration and the performance of the business to date.Incoming order rates were solid during the quarter, increasing 24% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. This resulted in a healthy book-to-bill ratio of 1.13x. EBITDA increased 32% year-over-year to $80 million. EBITDA margins expanded 180 basis points from 13.1% in the year ago period to 14.9%. EPS increased 40% year-over-year to $0.94 compared to our guidance range of $0.60 to $0.70.We are off to a great start in 2021, and we are increasing our full year guidance to reflect the better-than-expected performance in the first quarter and an improved outlook for the remainder of the year. For the full year 2021, we are increasing the high end of our revenue and EPS guidance ranges by $130 million and $0.50 respectively, largely due to strength in the industrial automation, and broadband and 5G markets. Jeremy Parks: Thank you, Roel. Please turn to Slide 5 for a detailed consolidated review. I will start my comments with results for the quarter, followed by a review of our segment results and a discussion of the balance sheet and cash flow performance. As a reminder, I will be referencing adjusted results today. Revenues were $536 million in the quarter, increasing $73 million or 16% from $464 million in the first quarter of 2020. Revenues were favorably impacted by $33 million from currency translation and higher copper prices, and $4 million from acquisitions. After adjusting for these factors, revenues increased 8% organically from the prior year period. Incoming order rates were solid during the quarter, increasing 24% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, and accelerating as the quarter progressed. This resulted in a healthy book-to-bill ratio of 1.13x, with particular strength in industrial automation and broadband and 5G. Gross profit margins in the quarter were 36%, decreasing 90 basis points compared to 36.9% in the year-ago period. As a reminder, as copper costs increase, we raise selling prices, resulting in higher revenue with minimal impact to gross profit dollars. As a result, gross profit margins decrease. In the first quarter, the pass-through of higher copper prices had an unfavorable impact of approximately 180 basis points. Excluding this impact, gross profit margins would have increased 90 basis points year-over-year. This exceeded our expectations for the quarter, and we are especially pleased with the performance given the current inflationary environment. We expect that inflationary pressures will likely persist throughout the year, and we are proactively addressing through additional price recovery and productivity measures to support gross profit margins. EBITDA was $80 million, increasing $19 million or 32% compared to $61 million in the prior year period. EBITDA margins were 14.9% compared to 13.1% in the prior year period, an improvement of 180 basis points year-over-year. The pass-through of higher copper prices had an unfavorable impact of approximately 70 basis points in the quarter. Excluding this impact, EBITDA margins would have increased 250 basis points year-over-year, demonstrating solid operating leverage on higher volumes.Net interest expense increased $2 million year-over-year to $16 million as a result of foreign currency translation. Roel Vestjens: Thank you, Jeremy. Please turn to Slide 10 for our outlook. End market conditions are improving and I am encouraged by a robust recent order rates and solid execution. We are increasing our full year 2021 guidance to reflect better-than-expected performance in the first quarter and an improved outlook for the remainder of the year, while considering the continued uncertainty related to the global pandemic. We anticipate second quarter 2021 revenues of $535 million to $550 million and EPS of $0. 88 to $0.98. For the full year 2021, we now expect revenues of $2.13 billion to $2.18 billion compared to prior guidance of $1.99 billion to $2.05 billion. We now expect full year 2021 EPS to be $3.50 to $3.80 compared to prior guidance of $2. 90 to $3.30. We expect interest expense of approximately $61 million for 2021 and an effective tax rate of 20% for each quarter and the full year. This guidance continues to include the contribution of the copper cable product lines that we are in the process of divesting, which contributed approximately $200 million in revenue and $0.20 in EPS in 2020. We will update our guidance accordingly as we complete these divestitures. Please turn to Slide 11 for a bridge that walks from the high end of our prior 2021 guidance to our new guidance. Again, demand trends are improving and our recent order rates are encouraging. As a result, we are increasing our volume outlook for the year by $90 million. Our revised full year guidance implies consolidated organic growth in the range of 6% to 9% compared to our prior expectation of approximately 1% to 4%. Relative to our prior guidance, we expect higher copper prices and current foreign exchange rate to have a favorable impact on revenues of approximately $40 million in 2021, with a negligible impact on earnings. For the full year 2021, the high end of our guidance implies total revenue and EPS growth of 17% and 38%, respectively. Please turn to Slide 12. Before we conclude, I would like to reiterate our investment thesis. We view Belden as a compelling investment opportunity. We are taking bold actions to drive substantially improved business performance and you are seeing that in our better-than-expected first quarter performance and increased full year outlook. We are positioning the company for accelerating organic growth and robust margin expansion. We are also committed to delevering, enabled by strong free cash flow generation, and we intend to return to our targeted leverage range as soon as possible. I am confident that we have the management team, strategy and business system to successfully execute our strategic plans and drive strong returns for our shareholders. That concludes our prepared remarks. Stephanie, please open the call to questions. Operator: Our first question comes from William Stein with Truist Securities. William Stein: Congrats on the good results and especially the good outlook, including what looks like a second half improvement as well. So congrats on that. I wanted to dig into the copper wire sale for a moment. First, can you help us or remind us of what portion of your spend on copper is within the businesses that you're planning on selling? Roel Vestjens: Well, first of all, thank you for the comments. Well, I just want to make sure I understand you correctly. So what portion of -- what percentage of our copper revenue are we planning on divesting? William Stein: No. What portion of your spend on copper? So one of the knocks on Belden historically, although I don't think it's been so true lately, is that this is heavily influenced by copper. The P&L is substantially influenced by the volatility of the price of copper, which has risen quite a bit in the last year. I'm trying to better understand to what degree this reduces that dynamic. Roel Vestjens: Got it. Got it. William Stein: So maybe of your spend, let's say you spend 100% on copper today. What's the delta when you divest these -- the copper cable bar businesses? Roel Vestjens: Got it. Got it. I appreciate the question. It's approximately 25%. So we will reduce our spend with approximately 25%. Having said that, as we've demonstrated in the past, the recent past and also in Q1, I think we've gotten pretty good at passing through higher input costs, which, obviously, first and foremost, when we talk about cable include copper. So we feel confident that also when we talk about inflationary pressures on input costs in general, that we have the right processes in place to further drive productivity to partially offset as well as pass those on to our customers. William Stein: And one other if I can. You had significantly improved operating efficiency much better-than-expected operating margin in the quarter. This looks to us to be more related to OpEx performance than gross margin improvement. Is that correct? And if so, what drove that performance improvement? Was it proactive cost reductions or revenue upside or mix or something else? Roel Vestjens: Yes. Thank you for the question. So it's both our -- the continuation of our OpEx reduction program. But first and foremost, it was just leverage, leverage on higher volume. I think Jeremy explained that as a result, the fact that our -- that copper prices rose so much, it kind of hit the fact that our gross profit margins improved quite substantially. So it was, first and foremost, leverage on volume. Operator: Our next question comes from Steven Fox with Fox Advisors. Steven Fox: I had a couple of questions. First of all, I'm a little confused on just the copper commentary. I understand the pass-through math. But are you saying that you were able to offset all of the higher copper costs within the quarter? Or was there also sort of some inflation that you had to absorb that you haven't passed on to the customers? And then had to follow-up. Jeremy Parks: Yes. Steve, this is Jeremy. So I think we did a really good job recovering nearly all of the higher copper costs within Q1. So what you have to keep in mind is we're typically -- what's hitting the P&L is maybe what we purchased in the prior couple of months. So our copper costs rose pretty substantially in Q1, but not all the way to where the spot market is today. And I -- but we were very proactive in implementing price increases. We took some at the beginning of the first quarter and then some at the beginning of the second quarter as well. Steven Fox: Okay. That makes sense. And then looking out to the second quarter guidance, I mean it looks relatively flat quarter-over-quarter and raising prices. I'm just trying to understand that in the context of the book-to-bill and what seems like -- it seems like you were surprised at the end of the quarter in terms of the strength of broadband and 5G demand, if I'm reading the tea leaves correctly. So can you just give some color on your thinking for the June quarter? Jeremy Parks: Yes. I think it follows from Q1 to Q2, it follows relative typical seasonality. It's about 18% organic increase year-over-year. And it's still a little bit too early for us to increase the second quarter with even more. So this is the number that we feel comfortable with. We're tracking well. Orders substantiate the support, the number that we gave, and it's more in line with first half typical seasonality. Operator: Our next question comes from Jaya Yadav with Stifel. Jaya Yadav: For Noel Dilts. Congrats on a great quarter. I was hoping to get management's thoughts on the recent government broadband programs, including RDOFs and the toxic infrastructure stimulus and the potential implications on Belgium's broadband and 5G business maybe over the next 2 years. Roel Vestjens: Yes. So the only comment I'll make because -- is on RDOFs because the other packages, as you know, are still being negotiated. So it's a little bit too early to comment on those. But obviously, we feel very good about RDOF, right? So $20 billion investment over 10 years that obviously is going to help us. And it is going to help us roll out our broadband and 5G products throughout the United States. So we feel very good about that. And we've -- you already see that in our increased outlook for this year for our broadband and 5G business. So that is clearly, clearly a tailwind for that business. Operator: Our next question comes from David Williams with Loop Capital. David Williams: And let me -- my congratulations on the quarter. Yes. So I guess, just a little bit on the order rates, you talked about they trended well through the quarter. And just kind of wondering if you had any color as we've gotten into the second quarter here, how those rates have trended? Are you seeing an acceleration or any concerns there with around order activity in the last couple of weeks? Jeremy Parks: Yes, I appreciate the question. No, they actually accelerated throughout Q1. So March was actually the strongest. And so far, orders in the quarter are trending exactly how we anticipated them to be supporting our improved guidance range. So we're off to a strong start there as well. David Williams: Fantastic. And then maybe on the raw materials side, we're hearing of quite a few shortages of the raw materials side, not just pricing, but resins and just some raw material inputs. What are you seeing there? Are you able to offset those and then perhaps maybe on the logistics side, is there anything that's going on there that would be incremental to the cost side? Jeremy Parks: Yes. Let me answer that question in a few different ways. So the short answer to your question is, yes, we feel confident that also the non-copper part, right, of our input cost, so for example, the resins, we're able to pass on to our customers. The other part of your question I think is are we going to run into any supply chain constraints throughout the year. And we're pretty confident that we have enough material or access to enough material in order to support the revised outlook that we've provided. That doesn't just include resins and other compounds, but it also includes chips for our industrial security, industrial-grade switching equipment. So we're pretty confident that we have the supply chain in place in order to fulfill this increased demand. Operator: There are no additional questions at this time. Kevin Maczka: Okay. Thank you, Stephanie, and thank you, everyone, for joining today's call. If you have any questions, please reach out to the IR team here at Belden. Our e-mail address is Investor.relations@belden.com. Have a great day. Thank you. Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
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Truist Securities Boosts Belden’s Price Target

Truist Securities analysts raised their price target for Belden (NYSE:BDC) to $119 from $101, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The analysts noted that Belden's solution selling approach is effectively maintaining revenue and margin performance despite a challenging market environment.

After hosting investor meetings with Belden's CEO and Investor Relations team, the analysts highlighted several key points: the solution selling strategy is proving effective, the Precision Optical acquisition is expected to close by the end of Q2 and will enhance opportunities in the Broadband market, and Belden has the necessary capital and operational capability to pursue further acquisitions. There were no changes to the EPS estimates.