Broadcom’s Investor Meeting Key Takeaways

Deutsche Bank provided their views on Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) following their meeting with CEO Hock Tan and CFO Kirsten Spears. According to the analysts, near-term demand drivers are intact, but thorough backlog management continues. From a demand outlook perspective, management largely reiterated the same message from its most recent earnings call with no meaningful change in customer order behavior or cancellations, albeit with slightly less urgency in expedited deliveries and a continued increase in the thoughtfulness of bookings.

Despite its consistent backlog increases supported by strong secular and co-specific upgrade cycles, the company continues to “thoroughly scrub” its backlog with a goal to lower cyclical volatility in its revenues, both during an up and a down cycle.

Furthermore, while the company continues to believe that current levels of semiconductor growth is not sustainable in the long run, any type of slowdown seems more like an H2/23 or 2024 event.

From a geopolitical perspective, the company doesn’t expect to be impacted by the recent addition of China restrictions. Overall, the analysts mentioned the company remains confident in its mid-term visibility of demand and believes that its noncancellable backlog ($31 billion) with long lead times (50 weeks) combined with a judicious backlog/channel inventory management should lower its revenue volatility in an event a slowdown starts to occur.

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Broadcom Surges 14% on Raised Guidance

Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) raised its annual revenue outlook after surpassing expectations in its Q2 results, fueled by record AI revenue. The chipmaker also announced a ten-for-one stock split. Following the announcement, Broadcom saw a 14% increase in pre-market today.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $10.96 on revenue of $12.49 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $10.85 EPS on $10.85 billion in revenue.

The revenue beat was significantly driven by a record $3.1 billion in AI product sales during the quarter. Additionally, infrastructure software revenue grew as businesses continued to adopt the VMware software stack to develop their own private clouds.

Looking forward, Broadcom updated its full 2024-year revenue guidance to $51 billion, up from the previous $50 billion.

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The analysts highlighted Broadcom as a key AI stock due to its leadership as a fabless semiconductor provider in various categories. They emphasized that the company's Networking division, which constitutes 30% of its revenues, is expected to benefit significantly from AI accelerators (XPUs) and networking chips, primarily sold to consumer internet companies. Additionally, 40% of Broadcom's revenue comes from more stable software streams, with VMware—recently acquired and accounting for about 60% of software sales—showing a positive shift towards subscriptions and its virtual private cloud (VCF).

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Looking ahead, Broadcom forecasts its revenue for the fiscal year 2024 to be around $50 billion, which is slightly below the market consensus of $50.25 billion.

In terms of profitability, the company projects its annual adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) to be approximately 60% of the anticipated revenue, translating to about $30 billion. This figure represents a substantial increase, nearly $7 billion, from its EBITDA in 2023.

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The company attributed the quarter's revenue growth to heightened demand for advanced networking technologies, driven by the expansion of hyperscale customers and the integration of AI clusters within data centers.

Looking ahead, Broadcom anticipates Q4 2023 revenue to amount to $9.27 billion, in contrast to the projected consensus of $9.28 billion. Additionally, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter to be around 65 percent of the forecasted revenue.

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Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) reported its Q3 earnings, revealing an EPS of $10.54, surpassing the analyst projection of $10.43. The revenue for the quarter reached $8.88 billion, slightly exceeding the Street estimate of $8.85 billion.

The company attributed the quarter's revenue growth to heightened demand for advanced networking technologies, driven by the expansion of hyperscale customers and the integration of AI clusters within data centers.

Looking ahead, Broadcom anticipates Q4 2023 revenue to amount to $9.27 billion, in contrast to the projected consensus of $9.28 billion. Additionally, the company expects Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter to be around 65 percent of the forecasted revenue.

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According to the analysts at Deutsche Bank, consistency and stability continue to set the company apart from its peers during a fairly tumultuous time for the semiconductor industry (and the economy as a whole). Notably, management indicated that they expect growth to "moderate" heading into Q2, but believe they can achieve a "soft landing" while still seeing year-over-year growth in H2/23 (due primarily to high-quality revenue mix and aggressive backlog scrubbing).

Broadcom Shares Soar 5% on Q1 Beat & Better Than Expected Guidance

Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) shares surged more than 5% on Friday after the company reported its Q1 results, with EPS of $10.33 coming in better than the Street estimate of $10.18. Revenue was $8.92 billion, slightly above the Street estimate of $8.9 billion.

For Q2/23, the company expects revenue to be approximately $8.7 billion, better than the Street estimate of $8.58 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately 64.5% of projected revenue.

According to the analysts at Deutsche Bank, consistency and stability continue to set the company apart from its peers during a fairly tumultuous time for the semiconductor industry (and the economy as a whole). Notably, management indicated that they expect growth to "moderate" heading into Q2, but believe they can achieve a "soft landing" while still seeing year-over-year growth in H2/23 (due primarily to high-quality revenue mix and aggressive backlog scrubbing).