Amazon Shares Drop 8% Following Q4 Report

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares plunged more than 8% on Friday after the company reported its Q4 results, with EPS of $0.03 coming in worse than the Street estimate of $0.17. Revenue was $149.2 billion, compared to the Street estimate of $145.64 billion.

The company provided muted guidance for Q1/23, expecting revenue to be in the range of $121-126 billion, compared to the Street estimate of $125.1 billion.

Analysts at RBC Capital think there is a heavy focus on improving retail margins through this year where it believes strong execution is maximizing demand capture. Less positively, AWS missed revenues and margins and guided Q1 down with acceleration not starting until Q3 and no assurances on margin stabilization.

The analysts believe the company likely needs margins to surprise on both cloud and retail amidst reacceleration in the back half before the stock is likely to work again.

Symbol Price %chg
BELI.JK 450 -0.44
MAPA.JK 725 -1.38
ACES.JK 805 0.62
BUKA.JK 127 0.79
AMZN Ratings Summary
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Goldman Sachs Boosts Amazon Price Target to $250, Citing Strong Margin and AWS Growth

Goldman Sachs analysts upgraded their outlook for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), driven by anticipated growth in operating income due to stronger margins.

In their latest note, analysts pointed to three crucial factors expected to impact Amazon's Q2 2024 results: the health of the consumer market, improvements in operating income margins, and the growth trajectory of AWS revenue.

Despite some weaknesses in the UK and Germany, Amazon's eCommerce business has shown resilience in Q2, according to Goldman Sachs.

The analysts foresee significant potential for Amazon to outperform in 2025 and beyond, primarily due to higher retail margins and increased contributions from advertising.

They also maintain a positive long-term outlook for international margins and expect AWS profitability to remain robust. Goldman Sachs anticipates a reacceleration through 2024, as previous headwinds around optimization and workload migration shift to tailwinds, with AI workloads providing additional momentum.

As a result, the investment bank has raised its 12-month price target for Amazon from $225 to $250, reaffirming its Buy rating.

Jefferies Ups Amazon Price Target to $235 on Strong AWS and Advertising Growth

Jefferies analysts expressed strong confidence in Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), raising their price target to $235 from $225 per share. They highlighted robust growth in Amazon Web Services and advertising sectors as key reasons for their optimism.

Jefferies cited the combined momentum of AWS and advertising, along with retail operating leverage, as supportive of an 18%+ upside to their $235 target price.

The analysts emphasized that high-growth, high-margin segments significantly contribute to Amazon's overall value. They noted that 71% of Amazon's $2.5 trillion sum-of-the-parts enterprise value (SOTP EV) is derived from AWS and advertising, compared to only 26% from core retail.

They project AWS revenue growth to increase from 13% in Q4/23 to 21% in Q4/24, driven by diminishing cost optimization headwinds and rising demand for cloud modernization, especially with the integration of next-generation Artificial Intelligence.

In the advertising sector, Jefferies anticipates stable growth of over 20%, with additional gains expected from Prime Video. Their estimates suggest $2.9 billion in ad sales and around $800 million in incremental subscription sales from ad-free options on Prime Video in 2024, leading to a net sales increase of $3.7 billion.

Even Amazon's core retail business shows potential for improvement, focusing on better efficiency to drive higher margins. Jefferies concludes by highlighting the attractive valuation of Amazon stock, noting it trades at 13.6 times their 2025 EV/EBITDA estimate, which is about a 25% discount to the 10-year average of approximately 18 times.

Baird Analysts Slightly Raise Amazon Price Target

Baird analysts have slightly increased their price target for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares to $213 from $210 following a reassessment of the margin outlook for the e-commerce and cloud giant.

The investment firm predicts that Amazon Web Services (AWS) margins might contract later this year and into 2025. They attribute this potential contraction to higher operating expenses needed to support new data centers and infrastructure, an increasing mix of lower-margin generative AI (GenAI) workloads, and a likely resumption of net headcount additions. The analysts suggest that GenAI workloads are not yet significantly contributing to revenue, projecting AWS revenue to grow at a mid-to-high teens percentage CAGR from 2024 to 2027.

Baird also forecasts that North American Retail margins, excluding advertising, will revert to low single-digit percentages over the next two years, while International Retail is expected to achieve sustained profitability within the next two to three years. Conversely, advertising is anticipated to continue providing a strong margin boost.

Based on these revised assumptions, the analysts are raising their consolidated operating margin and earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 above the consensus, while keeping revenue projections unchanged.

Amazon's Strategic Overhaul of Alexa and Its Impact on AMZN's Market Position

  • Colin Sebastian of Robert W. Baird updates the price target for Amazon to $213, indicating a potential increase of 14.45%.
  • Amazon plans to revamp its Alexa service into a more advanced conversational AI, introducing a two-tier service model to enhance functionality and open new revenue streams.
  • The initiative, named "Banyan," represents the first major update to Alexa since 2014, with a launch planned for August, highlighting Amazon's commitment to innovation and improving user experience.

Colin Sebastian of Robert W. Baird has recently updated the price target for NASDAQ:AMZN to $213, indicating a 14.45% potential increase from its current trading price of $186.1. This optimistic forecast comes at a time when Amazon is preparing to significantly revamp its Alexa service, aiming to transform it into a more advanced conversational generative AI. This move could potentially enhance Amazon's competitive edge in the tech industry, where innovation is key to maintaining market dominance.

Amazon's plan to overhaul Alexa, a service that has been operating at a loss since its launch, demonstrates the company's commitment to innovation and improving user experience. By introducing a two-tier service model for Alexa, with a premium version priced at approximately $5 per month, Amazon is not only looking to enhance the functionality of its voice assistant but also to open a new revenue stream. This strategic shift, internally named "Banyan," represents the first major update to Alexa since its debut alongside the Echo speaker line in 2014.

The initiative to upgrade Alexa to "Remarkable Alexa" underscores Amazon's efforts to stay ahead in the competitive landscape of digital assistants. CEO Andy Jassy personally invested in the project, which highlights the significance Amazon places on Alexa's success. This personal involvement by the CEO could be a driving force behind the project's ambitious goals and tight deadline, with a launch planned for August.

Amazon's stock performance, with a current trading price of $186.1 and a market capitalization of roughly $1.94 trillion, reflects the company's strong position in the market. The stock's trading volume on the NASDAQ exchange and its price range over the past year further illustrate Amazon's significant impact on the tech industry and its potential for growth. The planned Alexa overhaul could further bolster Amazon's market position, making it an even more attractive option for investors.

The introduction of a monthly fee for the enhanced Alexa service could also address the financial losses the project has incurred since its inception. By monetizing the premium version of Alexa, Amazon aims to transform a cost center into a profitable venture. This strategic move could contribute positively to Amazon's overall financial health, aligning with Colin Sebastian's optimistic price target of $213 for AMZN shares.

Amazon Takes a Sustainable Leap with Electric Big Rigs

Amazon Takes a Sustainable Leap with Electric Big Rigs

Amazon (AMZN:NASDAQ) has taken a significant leap towards sustainability with the introduction of its first electric big rigs, aiming to cut down tailpipe emissions drastically. This initiative sees the deployment of Volvo electric trucks, with a plan to have a dozen of these vehicles operational within the year, specifically for cargo pickup from the bustling container seaport in Southern California. As it stands, eight of these semi trucks are already in use at the Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex, aligning with the port's ambitious goal for all drayage trucks to achieve zero emissions by 2035. This move not only marks Amazon's foray into electrifying its seaport logistics vehicle fleet but also underscores its commitment to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2040.

The transition to electric semi trucks is a challenging yet crucial step in Amazon's broader environmental goals. Currently, the Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex, where Amazon's electric trucks are deployed, sees only a little over 1% of its 23,761 trucks as zero-emission vehicles, including 201 electric rigs. This highlights the significant gap and the potential impact Amazon's initiative could have on increasing the adoption of zero-emission vehicles in heavy-duty trucking. Udit Madan, Amazon's vice president of worldwide operations, acknowledges the hurdles in decarbonizing this sector but remains committed to overcoming them. This commitment is further evidenced by Amazon's previous introduction of over 13,500 Rivian electric cargo delivery vans across the nation since 2022, despite the additional challenges posed by electric semi trucks, such as the need for more extensive charging infrastructure.

To facilitate a smooth transition and learn from the process, Amazon collaborates with Volvo Trucks North America and JB Hunt, which provides drivers for the rigs. This partnership is crucial for addressing the logistical and operational challenges of deploying electric trucks at such a large scale. Moreover, the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) in the heavy-duty sector requires concerted efforts from various stakeholders, including ports, private companies, and truck owners, to establish the necessary charging infrastructure. Amazon's electric port trucks will initially use an offsite charging facility operated by Forum Mobility, a startup backed by Amazon's Climate Pledge fund. This facility, set to begin construction at the Port of Long Beach, is designed to support hundreds of drayage trucks daily, showcasing Amazon's strategic approach to reducing its carbon footprint and leading the transition to sustainable logistics solutions.

In the financial realm, Amazon's stock (AMZN) has demonstrated remarkable resilience and growth, with Loop Capital recently increasing its price target for Amazon to $225, indicating a 21% upside from its current price. This adjustment follows a significant improvement in the company's retail profitability, as reported in its first-quarter update. Amazon's stock has more than doubled since its low point in 2022, driven by substantial gains in the company's profits. The recent earnings report underscored this continued growth, with Amazon's operating income in the first quarter surging to $15.3 billion, more than tripling compared to the same period last year. This increase was notably led by a 455% year-over-year rise in operating profit from the North American operating segment, alongside turning a previous loss in its international segment into an operating profit of $903 million.

Amazon's strategic initiatives, both in sustainability and financial performance, underscore the company's commitment to innovation and efficiency. The deployment of electric big rigs at one of the United States' busiest container seaports not only advances Amazon's sustainability goals but also sets a precedent for the logistics industry. Simultaneously, the company's impressive financial turnaround and the optimistic outlook from analysts suggest a promising future for Amazon's stock. As Amazon continues to work on reducing costs and exceeding profit expectations, investors and industry watchers alike are keenly observing how these initiatives will further propel the company's growth and contribute to its long-term goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2040.

Amazon's Commitment to Sustainability with Electric Big Rigs

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is making significant strides in its commitment to sustainability and reducing carbon emissions, as evidenced by the introduction of its first electric big rigs. This initiative, part of Amazon's broader strategy to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2040, involves deploying twelve Volvo electric trucks this year for cargo pickup from the nation's busiest container seaport in southern California. Already, eight of these semi trucks are operational at the Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex, aligning with the port's requirement for all drayage trucks to be zero-emissions by 2035. This move into electric big rigs extends Amazon's vehicle electrification efforts from ocean ports to customer doorsteps, showcasing the company's dedication to environmental sustainability.

The transition to electric semi trucks, however, presents unique challenges, particularly in terms of the need for more intensive charging infrastructure to accommodate their larger batteries. Amazon is addressing these challenges through collaborations with Volvo Trucks North America and JB Hunt, which provides drivers for the rigs. These partnerships are crucial for navigating the complexities of decarbonizing heavy-duty trucking. Additionally, to support the transition to zero-emissions vehicles, Amazon is working on building heavy-duty chargers, with an offsite charging facility operated by Forum Mobility, a startup backed by Amazon's Climate Pledge fund, set to break ground at the Port of Long Beach. This facility is designed to accommodate hundreds of drayage trucks daily, further facilitating the shift towards sustainable transportation solutions.

In the financial realm, Amazon's stock (NASDAQ:AMZN) has been the subject of attention from analysts and investors alike. Rob Sanderson of Loop Capital Markets recently set a new price target for Amazon at $225, indicating a potential upside of approximately 20.82% from its current price of $186.24. This optimistic outlook is supported by Amazon's innovative steps towards sustainability and operational efficiency, which are likely to contribute to its long-term growth. Additionally, Oppenheimer upgraded its rating on Amazon to Outperform, raising its price target from $210 to $220. This upgrade reflects confidence in Amazon's future performance, further highlighting the positive sentiment surrounding the company's stock.

Moreover, insider trading activity, such as the sale of shares by Herrington Douglas J, the CEO of Worldwide Amazon Stores, provides insights into the confidence levels of Amazon's top executives regarding the company's future. Despite these sales, the substantial remaining holdings of these executives demonstrate a continued belief in Amazon's growth potential and strategic direction.

Amazon's initiative to introduce electric big rigs and its broader commitment to sustainability are not only pivotal for reducing carbon emissions but also play a significant role in shaping investor confidence and the company's stock performance. Through strategic partnerships and investments in infrastructure, Amazon is paving the way for a more sustainable future in the logistics sector, while also positioning itself for continued financial growth and success.

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Amazon’s Price Target Boosted at Loop Capital

Loop Capital increased their price target for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) to $225 from $215, reaffirming their Buy rating on the stock. This decision comes as Amazon Web Services (AWS) shows renewed growth and retail profits are believed to be significantly underestimated.

Following a robust first-quarter report for Amazon's retail and cloud businesses, Loop Capital analysts revised their forecast. They highlighted that the retail segment contributed to over half of the profit increase, driven by strong services and improved efficiency in costs. The firm believes that current consensus estimates don't accurately reflect Amazon's recovery and expects that profit gains will continue to outpace estimates for some time. Loop Capital's forecast projects a retail segment margin about 50 basis points higher than the consensus for 2024 and 2025, though they believe this still falls short of their assessment of the company's potential.

AWS achieved its highest-ever margin due to accelerating revenue and controlled costs, along with changes in accounting for server depreciation. Generative artificial intelligence has also emerged as a significant growth opportunity, contributing to a multi-billion-dollar revenue run rate.