Autodesk’s 2023 Investor Day Takeaways

• HSBC downgrades Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) from "Buy" to "Hold" due to valuation and growth concerns.
• Citi raises its price target for Autodesk to $361, highlighting the company's strong third-quarter billings as a sign of healthy revenue collection.
• Autodesk's third-quarter results present a mixed bag, with uncertainty around fiscal year 2026 free cash flow targets and varied reactions to the new CFO appointment.

Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) is a leading software company known for its design and engineering software, primarily used in architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media industries. The company faces competition from firms like Adobe and Dassault Systèmes. Recently, HSBC downgraded Autodesk from a "Buy" to a "Hold" rating, citing concerns about valuation and growth moderation. At the time, the stock price was around $291.98.

Despite HSBC's downgrade, Citi has shown confidence in Autodesk by raising its price target from $358 to $361 while maintaining a "Buy" rating. This decision comes after Autodesk's strong third-quarter performance, particularly in billings, which indicates healthy revenue collection. Citi's analyst views the recent dip in Autodesk's share price as a potential buying opportunity.

Autodesk's third-quarter results have been a mixed bag for investors. While the company has outperformed its peers in estimate revisions, there is some uncertainty regarding its fiscal year 2026 free cash flow targets. Additionally, the appointment of Janesh Moorjani as the new CFO has received varied reactions from investors, adding to the mixed sentiment.

Currently, Autodesk's stock is trading at $291.90, showing a slight increase of $1.26 or 0.43%. The stock has fluctuated between $289.03 and $292.62 today. Over the past year, it has seen a high of $326.62 and a low of $195.32, reflecting its volatility. Autodesk's market capitalization stands at approximately $62.76 billion, with a trading volume of 1,317,326 shares on the NASDAQ exchange.

Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) saw its shares decline by more than 7% in pre-market today after reporting third-quarter results that slightly exceeded expectations but failed to impress investors.

For the third quarter of fiscal 2025, the design software company posted adjusted earnings per share of $2.17, beating the Street consensus estimate of $2.12. Revenue rose 11% year-over-year to $1.57 billion, marginally surpassing analyst projections of $1.56 billion.

Autodesk issued mixed guidance for the fourth quarter. The company projected adjusted EPS in the range of $2.10 to $2.16, aligning closely with analyst expectations of $2.12. Revenue guidance of $1.623 billion to $1.638 billion placed the midpoint slightly above the consensus estimate of $1.62 billion.

The company faced headwinds, with its GAAP operating margin dropping by two percentage points to 22% and its non-GAAP operating margin declining by three percentage points to 36%. Autodesk's net revenue retention rate stayed within the 100% to 110% range on a constant currency basis, reflecting steady performance in retaining customers.

Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) is a leading software company known for its 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services. It serves various industries, including architecture, engineering, construction, and media. Autodesk competes with companies like Adobe and Dassault Systèmes. The company is transitioning to a subscription model, which is expected to provide long-term stability.

The consensus price target for Autodesk has shown a notable upward trend over the past year. Last month, the average price target was $330, indicating positive sentiment among analysts. This suggests potential growth and confidence in Autodesk's future performance. The stock price has increased by 27% year-to-date, reflecting this optimism.

Three months ago, the average price target was $300.62, marking a significant increase of nearly $30 in just a quarter. This reflects growing optimism about Autodesk's prospects. However, the company's stretched valuation and challenges from maintenance revenues and competition have caused some investors to remain cautious.

A year ago, the average price target stood at $287.59. Over the past year, the consensus price target has increased by approximately $42.41. Analyst Matthew Hedberg from RBC Capital has set a price target of $295, indicating confidence in Autodesk's potential to surpass quarterly earnings estimates.

Autodesk's transition to a subscription model and recent billing changes have impacted short-term cash flow. However, these changes are expected to provide long-term growth potential. Activist investor Starboard Value is pressuring Autodesk to enhance operations and increase shareholder value, highlighting the company's strong market position and potential in generative AI.

Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) is a leading software company known for its design and engineering software, widely used in industries like architecture, construction, and manufacturing. As it prepares to release its quarterly earnings on November 26, 2024, analysts are closely watching its financial performance. Autodesk competes with companies like Adobe and Dassault Systèmes in the software industry.

Wall Street analysts estimate Autodesk's earnings per share (EPS) to be $2.12 for the upcoming quarter. However, the company is expected to report an EPS of $2.11, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.9%. This slight difference in estimates highlights the importance of accurate earnings projections, as changes can significantly impact investor reactions, as highlighted by empirical studies.

Autodesk's projected revenue for the quarter is approximately $1.56 billion, marking a 10.5% increase compared to the same quarter last year. This growth indicates strong performance in its core markets. The company's price-to-sales ratio of 11.70 suggests that the market values Autodesk at nearly 12 times its annual sales, reflecting investor confidence in its revenue-generating capabilities.

Despite a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 64.45, Autodesk's earnings yield stands at 1.55%, providing a measure of return on investment. The enterprise value to sales ratio is slightly higher at 11.89, indicating the company's total valuation in relation to its sales. These metrics suggest that investors are optimistic about Autodesk's future growth prospects.

Autodesk's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95 shows it has slightly less debt than equity, which is a positive sign for financial stability. However, the current ratio of 0.64 suggests potential challenges in covering short-term liabilities with short-term assets. This could be a point of concern for investors, as it may impact the company's liquidity position.

Morgan Stanley analysts reiterated an Overweight rating on Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) with a price target of $320 on the stock.

The analysts emphasized that Autodesk is Morgan Stanley's top pick, highlighting the company's potential for margin and EPS growth. Autodesk's shares are currently trading at a discount compared to both design software and larger software peers, despite improving fundamentals in areas such as free cash flow, revenue growth, and operating margins.

Following Autodesk's Q2 2025 results, where management emphasized their industry-leading GAAP margins, the analysts conducted an in-depth analysis of the company’s path to further margin expansion, go-to-market optimizations, and the impact of its new transaction model. The analysts believe these factors will drive EPS growth and position the company for multiple expansion, further solidifying Autodesk's strong risk/reward profile.

Deutsche Bank's recent adjustment of its stance on Autodesk Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) to a "Hold" rating, as reported by StreetInsider, reflects a cautious yet observant perspective on the company's future performance. Autodesk, a leader in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software, has shown a consistent ability to innovate and adapt to the evolving demands of the digital world. This adjustment comes at a time when Autodesk reported a notable increase in its quarterly earnings, showcasing the company's financial health and growth trajectory.

Autodesk's earnings for the quarter ending April 2024 were impressive, with revenue of $1.42 billion, marking an 11.7% increase over the previous year. This growth in revenue is a testament to Autodesk's strong market position and its ability to capitalize on the increasing demand for its software solutions. The company's earnings per share (EPS) also saw a significant rise to $1.87, up from $1.55 in the year-ago quarter, surpassing Wall Street expectations. Such financial metrics are crucial indicators of Autodesk's robust performance and its potential for sustained growth.

The company's ability to exceed analyst predictions, with both revenue and EPS beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate, underscores its operational efficiency and strategic initiatives. Autodesk has consistently outperformed consensus revenue and EPS estimates over the last four quarters, highlighting its financial resilience and the effectiveness of its business model. This trend of surpassing expectations is a positive signal for investors, indicating Autodesk's strong execution and potential for future success.

Operating within the competitive computer software industry, Autodesk's latest financial achievements demonstrate its sustained growth and ability to exceed market expectations. The company's focus on 3D AI technology and generative design technologies positions it well for future advancements in the industry. Autodesk's significant increase in its remaining performance obligations and its leadership in developing industry clouds and platforms for 3D AI products and services further solidify its market position.

Despite the recent decrease in its stock price, Autodesk's financial performance and strategic advancements indicate a promising outlook. The company's market capitalization and trading volume reflect its significance in the industry and investor interest in its growth potential. As Autodesk continues to innovate and expand its offerings, it remains a key player in the software industry, poised for continued success.

Autodesk, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADSK) is gearing up to release its quarterly earnings report on Thursday, June 13, 2024, after the market closes. The anticipation among investors and analysts is palpable, with Wall Street setting its sights on an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.8 and projecting the company's revenue for the quarter to be around $1.4 billion. Autodesk, a leader in 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software, has consistently demonstrated its ability to meet and exceed market expectations, making this upcoming earnings report a significant event for stakeholders.

In the first quarter ended April 2024, Autodesk reported revenue of $1.42 billion, marking an 11.7% increase over the same period last year. This performance not only surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.4 billion by a margin of 1.46% but also exceeded the anticipated EPS, coming in at $1.87 compared to the forecasted $1.78. This indicates robust financial health and operational efficiency, as the company managed to outperform analyst estimates on both top and bottom lines, a trend that investors hope will continue in the upcoming earnings report.

Autodesk's ability to consistently surpass expectations is a testament to its strong position within the Zacks Computer Software industry. The company's focus on innovation, particularly in 3D AI and industry clouds, has allowed it to maintain a competitive edge and sustain its growth trajectory. With a reported 12 percent increase in first-quarter revenue and a 12 percent year-over-year increase in current remaining performance obligations, Autodesk's strategic advancements in technology and business model evolution are clearly paying off.

The company's stock performance reflects its operational success, despite the fluctuations in the market. Currently trading at $211.5, Autodesk has seen its shares fluctuate between highs and lows, yet maintains a solid market capitalization of approximately $45.57 billion. This resilience in the stock market, coupled with the company's consistent financial performance, makes Autodesk a noteworthy entity in the eyes of investors and industry observers alike.

As the date of the earnings report approaches, all eyes will be on Autodesk to see if it can continue its streak of exceeding market expectations. The company's previous performance, characterized by significant growth in revenue and EPS, sets a high bar for the upcoming quarter. Investors and analysts alike will be keenly watching to see if Autodesk can maintain its momentum and further solidify its position as a leader in the software industry.