Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) on Q2 2024 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Operator: Good morning, and welcome to the Analog Devices' Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, which is being audio webcast via telephone and over the web. I'd like to now introduce your host for today's call Mr. Michael Lucarelli, Vice President of Investor Relations and FP&A. Sir, the floor is yours. Michael Lucarelli: Thank you, Judy. And good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining our second quarter fiscal 2024 conference call. With me on the call today, ADI's CEO and Chair, Vincent Roche; and ADI’s CFO, Richard Puccio. For anyone who missed the release, you can find it in relating financial schedules and investor.analog.com. Onto the disclosures, information we're about to discuss includes forward-looking statements which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties as further described in our earnings release and our periodic reports and other materials follow the SEC. Actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking information, as these statements reflect our expectations only as a date of this call. We undertake no obligation to update the statements except as required by law. Revenue, adjusted gross margin, operating and non-operating expenses, operating margin, tax rate, EPS and free cash flow in our comment today will be on non-GAAP basis, which excludes special items. When comparing our results to historic performance. Special items are also excluded from prior periods. Reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to most directly comparable GAAP measures and additional information about our non-GAAP measures are included in today's release. And with that, I'll turn it over to ADI's CEO and Chair, Vince? Vincent Roche: Thank you very much, Mike. Good morning, and a big welcome to you all. In the second quarter, a strong focus execution resulted in revenue of $2.16 billion, with profitability and earnings per share finishing above the high-end of our outlook. With 2Q now behind us, we believe, we've passed the low point of this cycle. Notably, global manufacturing PMIs, which are highly correlated with our core business are improving, customer inventories are stabilizing and our bookings have improved for a third consecutive quarter. Our growing optimism remains guarded, however, as short-term economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. As such, we will continue to manage the near-term with great discipline, as we fund and execute against our longer-term strategic priorities to drive increasing levels of value for all of our stakeholders. With that framing, I'd like to share some examples with you of how we are continuing to strengthen ADI's high performance franchise across all markets and creating unique growth drivers that will be additive to what we hope will be a strong cyclical recovery. For example, in healthcare, we have exciting wins in areas such as the rapidly expanding surgical robotics market, where the performance of our precision signal processing and connectivity solutions is critical. In the fast growing, continuous glucose monitoring space, we've won multiple opportunities across several customers. Our unique digitally enabled analog front end solutions increase the accuracy and power efficiency of sensors and extend battery life from days to weeks. In industrial automation, the growth of the digital factory is accelerating upgrades to higher bandwidth, deterministic industrial Ethernet that can support up to 10x the number of edge devices across the factory floor. We believe our leadership position with key customers will create a durable revenue stream, beginning next year that can grow to several hundreds of millions of dollars as deployments ramp over time. Turning to automotive. Our solid performance is being driven by the proliferation of higher content vehicles that use more power management, more connectivity and an increasing number of sensor platforms that open new signal processing opportunities for ADI. The increasing content per vehicle is a pervasive trend across all vehicle types’ combustion engines, hybrids and full EVs. For example, in advanced safety, we've increased our GMSL design wins from 12 to 15 of the top 20 OEMs, and expanded our engagements at two European and one Korean OEM, who intend to deploy our high performance, high bandwidth connectivity solution across a larger share of their fleets. We've also seen strong attach for functionally safe power, which is used with sensors and displays in ADAS systems and recently increased share at the leading global car manufacturer. In electrification, we've expanded our battery management system share at leading Chinese OEMs and more than doubled our BMS share in upcoming European OEM model launches, and two manufacturers intend to deploy our higher content wireless solutions starting next year. Now I'd like to use the rest of my prepared comments today to share our perspective on the role that artificial intelligence is playing and will play at ADI in the future. This technology has clearly reached a tipping point and our AI opportunity spans from sensor to cloud. While we've been adding algorithmic and software intelligence to our products now for decades, we've expanded the scope and pace of our investments in recent years. Today, we are increasingly leveraging AI in and around our products, as well as in our operations to more fully meet our customers' needs and extend our industry leadership. We're deploying AI internally to help to accelerate engineering development, enhance manufacturing efficiency and create a better customer experience. But the majority of our activities are centered around product portfolio innovations that position us to take advantage of AI's enormous potential. We see this business opportunity coming in two distinct waves. The first wave focused on infrastructure is now underway and as we all know is growing very rapidly. In order to tackle the intensified energy and processing demands of AI compute systems, data center customers are investing in new vertical power architectures. As we highlighted previously, our vertical power technology, which can reduce power losses by up to 35% compared to existing architectures is gaining traction with hyperscalers. We continue to leverage our heterogeneous integration expertise to create more efficient, smaller vertical power solutions that deliver more value and enable us to capture more share in this nascent space. Power efficient computing though is just one challenge the AI ecosystem faces. Data must also be transported efficiently, securely and at much, much greater speeds. This is driving wireline customers to upgrade connectivity infrastructure, sparking a transition to 800 gigabit and 1.6 terabit optical modules. At the electro optical interface, our ability to provide high performance solutions that integrate analog, digital and memory in a reduced form factor is indeed a key differentiator. Our high precision controller was recently designed into a 1.6 terabit optical module used in the next gen AI systems of the high performance compute leader. In industrial, AI is fueling extraordinary demand for high bandwidth memory and high performance compute. This in turn is driving a new growth vector for our instrumentation and test business, particularly in SoC and memory test. We are working with key players globally to enable faster digital scan speeds, higher channel density and the improved energy efficiency necessary to scale production of AI systems. The significantly greater amount of ADI content in these systems is positioning our high performance compute and memory test sectors for record revenues in the near to mid-term. The opportunity ahead for ADI is to compound the impact of this first wave by bringing application-specific AI models and high performance compute right down to the physical edge, creating greater system value with added improvements in latency, power efficiency, security and cost. Let me share some examples of how we are working to amplify the second wave. For example, in acoustic systems, we are combining our application specific algorithms with ultra-low energy processing hardware to enrich our audio platform offerings. We are also developing a mixed signal processor with embedded neural networks that enable a system to learn and adapt to the highly variable nature of sound in real time. Excitingly, we have strong traction with multiple customers in this area. Now in the same vein, we're leveraging our rich domain expertise with our growing processing capabilities to enhance our advanced connectivity platform in next generation 5G radios. For example, we've implemented the first AI enabled technology, combining an energy efficient real time neural network with an AI assisted development tool to give customers the ability to solve their linearization challenges in a fraction of the time. In our power management platform, we're using AI to address the arduous challenge of tuning power trees for volatile consumption patterns in data centers. Our solutions reduce complexity for power engineers and compress the time required from weeks to hours, helping to lower costs, and of course, accelerate time to market. The ADI is always operated at the physical edge, where the world's most important real data is born. As multimodal AI becomes more pervasive at the edge and a diversity of sensor types is used to unearth deeper insights, we expect to see an explosion of demand that will accelerate growth for our broad signal chain, as well as power portfolios. In short, ADI's AI future looks bright across the continuum of sensor to cloud. In closing, I'm very proud of how our team has executed in one of the largest downturns the semiconductor industry has seen. More importantly, I've never been more excited about how we are positioned for the future and what it holds for ADI. With that, I'm going to hand it over to Rich. Richard Puccio: Thank you, Vince. Let me add my welcome to our second quarter earnings call. As a reminder, our first quarter 2024 was a 14 week quarter, so we are going to limit our comparisons this quarter to year-over-year only. Second quarter revenue of $2.16 billion finished above the midpoint of our outlook. This result was down 34% year-over-year. Industrial represented 47% of revenue in the quarter and was down 44% year-over-year. As expected, all applications were impacted by inventory digestion. However, aerospace and defense revenues outperformed broader industrial. Automotive represented 30% of revenue and was down 10% year-over-year. Continued growth in our leading connectivity and functionally safe power franchises balanced broad-based declines elsewhere. Communications represented 11% of revenue and was down 45% year-over-year. Inventory digestion and weaker demand impacted both our wireline and wireless businesses. Lastly, consumer represented 11% of revenue and was down 9% year-over-year with growth in portables, partially offsetting declines across other applications. Now let's move from the top-line to the rest of the P&L. Second quarter gross margin was 66.7%, down sequentially and year-over-year, driven by unfavorable mix, lower revenue and lower utilization as we continue to reduce inventory. Operating expenses in the quarter were $598 million, down significantly year-over-year, driven by lower variable compensation and strong organization wide execution on cost control. Operating margin of 39% exceeded the high end of our outlook. Non-operating expenses finished at $64 million and the tax rate for the quarter was 10.6%. The net result was EPS of $1.40 above the high end of our outlook. Our financial position is solid, and I'd like to call out a few items from our balance sheet and cash flow statement. We ended Q2 with more than $2.3 billion of cash and short-term investments and a net leverage ratio of 1.1. During the quarter, we raised $1.1 billion of debt for general corporate purposes, including upcoming debt maturities. Inventory decreased $74 million sequentially, and days declined to 192 from 201. As planned, we have reduced channel inventory this quarter with weeks ending at approximately eight. Operating cash flow for the quarter and trailing 12 months was $0.8 billion and $4.3 billion respectively. CapEx for the quarter and trailing 12 months was $188 million and $1.2 billion respectively. We continue to expect fiscal '24 CapEx to be roughly $700 million, which is a reduction of approximately 45% versus 2023, as our hybrid manufacturing investment cycle tapers. Not included in these figures are the benefits from both the European and U.S. CHIPS acts. During the last 12 months, we generated $3.1 billion of free cash flow or 29% of revenue. Over the same time period, we have returned roughly 110% of our free cash flow via dividends and share repurchases. As a reminder, our policy is to return 100% of free cash flow to our shareholders over the long-term. Now I'll turn to the third quarter outlook. Revenue is expected to be $2.27 billion plus or minus $100 million, up 5% sequentially at the midpoint. Once again, we expect sell through to be higher than sell in. At the midpoint, we expect all B2B markets to increase sequentially with the fastest growth in industrial, and for consumer to exhibit seasonal strength. Operating margin is expected to be 40% plus or minus 100 basis points. Our tax rate is expected to be between 11% 13%, and based on these inputs, adjusted EPS is expected to be $1.50 plus or minus $0.10. Before passing it back to Mike to begin Q&A, I'll share some final thoughts on our near-term. As Vince indicated, we believe we are at the beginning of a cyclical recovery as our bookings increased throughout the quarter and we exited 2Q with a book-to-bill above parity for the first time in well over a year. No doubt cyclical transitions can be challenging, but they also provide opportunity for outsized business acceleration when approached with a balance of fiscal discipline, smart risk taking and strong execution. ADI has always excelled in these areas and we look forward to driving outstanding value for our stakeholders in the quarters to come. With that, I'll pass it back to Mike for Q&A. Michael Lucarelli: Thanks, Rich. Let's get to the Q&A session. We ask that you limit yourself to 1 question in order to allow for additional participants on the call this morning. If you have a follow-up question, please re-queue and we'll take your question if time allows. With that, we will have our first question please. Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Tore Svanberg from Stifel. Tore Svanberg: Yes. Thank you and congratulations on finding the recovery here. I had a question about the outlook for Q3, specifically in Industrial. I think you indicated that, you expect Industrial to be the strongest performer this quarter. I was hoping you could talk a little bit about what's behind that strength between end market demands, inventory replenishment and if there's any sub-segments within industrial that's driving that outperforming growth? Richard Puccio: Sure, Tore. This is Rich, and I'll take that one. Industrial obviously is our most diversified and profitable end market, and it's weathered an unprecedented broad-based inventory correction over the past year. Importantly, we expect Q2 was the bottom for industrial and it will grow in the second half starting here in 3Q. Stronger PMIs are supporting the broad-based bookings we've seen for the three consecutive quarters now. As mentioned in the prepared remarks, we are planning to reduce channel inventory further in Q3, which impacts industrial more than any other market. This will be more than a year of under shipping consumptions, one reason we believe inventory headwinds have stabilized for industrial. Given these dynamics and the exciting design wins and AI related tailwinds in our instrumentation and test business, which Vince alluded to, we feel strongly we are at the beginning of the industrial recovery. Vincent Roche: Yes. I think one other piece of color, Tore, is that, the obviously, the aerospace and defense business is doing well. We've a lot of high prospects for that over the coming years. But I think, in general, geographically, it's been on the upward in terms of demand and across most of the segments, and particularly the ones that Rich pointed out. Michael Lucarelli: Tore, on the outlook comment, you're right. Just to clarify what we said, of the B2B markets, industrial grow the fastest, consumer will grow faster than industrial in 3Q. If you want to just kind of back it down a little bit, consumer is probably growing about 10% sequentially and industrial is probably closer to mid-single-digits and the other two markets are probably a little bit below that industrial level, but all markets should grow in 3Q. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Stacy Rasgon from Bernstein Research. Stacy Rasgon: Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask about the book-to-bill. It's above one. Is it above one in all the segments, or is it just above one in industrial? Michael Lucarelli: Yes, sure. It's actually good question. It's above one in all end markets. Not all applications within end markets are above one though. And if you think about the shape of that bookings throughout the quarter, we talked about last earnings call, bookings improved. It started below parity and exit the quarter above parity and that's across all markets and geographies. But again, I reiterate, it's not all applications and we talked a little bit about on the last question about what applications are above one. You can think of some instrumentation, some automation, some aerospace and defense within industrial. Broad-based improvement in bookings across all market geographies is really the main takeaway. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Toshiya Hari from Goldman Sachs. Toshiya Hari: Hi. Good morning. Thank you so much for taking the question. I wanted to ask about the back half of the calendar year and how you're thinking about the shape of the recovery. Vince, you've lived through many cycles. I think typically the same way we underestimate the magnitude of the pace of the downturn, we collectively underestimate the pace of the upturn. I'm curious if you expect this upturn to be similar to past cycles and we kind of follow those patterns or do you see anything in the marketplace today or anything from customers that would indicate something materially different in terms of the shape of the upturn? Thank you. Vincent Roche: Thanks, Toshiya. Look, first off, we believe we've seen the bottom of the cycle. As Mike indicated, the stronger PMIs that we've seen, particularly in the industrial sector, give us a lot of confidence, and there's a strong correlation between our industrial business, which is about half of the company's total revenue. As we've said now a few times, bookings and backlog coverage for the next several months beyond this quarter would give us strong indications that we expect continued growth during the second half of the year. I'll also point out, I think for 2025, we will have a brisk growth year, that's my sense. We are asked all the time, what's the shape going to be? I don't really know what the exact shape is going to be, but I think we're on the upward trajectory. We have confidence in that across the board. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Vivek Arya from Bank of America Securities. Vivek Arya: Thanks for taking my question. Vince, what is the right way to understand the true change in end demand, if we set aside all the inventory fluctuations? For example, is it worthwhile seeing what the distribution sell through do year-on-year in Q2? What is the assumption for Q3? Does that inform us in any way about can Q4 be seasonal, whatever is the version of seasonality? I'm just trying to see, the right apples-to-apples way of looking at what is end demand doing, setting aside all this inventory noise. Vincent Roche: Yes. Look, I think it's very hard to answer that question, simply because when history is written, we're going to get the average of what's happened pre-pandemic and post-pandemic. There's been so much ringing in the system, demand overshoot and then demand undershoot. But my sense is, certainly from our perspective, I think we are very well-positioned to be able to capture the upside if things grow faster than we expect. We have got a lot of inventory on the balance sheet. We've kept inventory closer to ADI less downstream. We've got as well a tailwind here from AI, which I think is going to be a multi-year tailwind. We have got that pushing us along. But at the same time, still we've got high interest rates, we've got still relatively high inflation in many places. I think ultimately the size of the recovery and the pace of the recovery will have a strong economic and geopolitical tone to it. But, overall, my sense is, we'll see good growth for the remainder of this year and strong growth in 2025. Beyond that, I think we've got many, many growth drivers that we feel very confident about. We're selling more value into each of our customers and each of our segments. I feel good about the place that semis are in as an industry right now as well in terms of overall demand, as the edge becomes more intelligent and the cloud builds out. But very, very hard to give you an answer on the puts and takes. I mean, the dynamics of the relatively near-term are hard to decode. But what we can tell you is, given where PMIs are at, given where our demand is at, we are in a recovery phase. Richard Puccio: Vince, I would add to that. While it's impossible to get perfect visibility into our end customer inventory, certainly the signals that we monitor tell us that, customer inventories are much healthier than they were previously as we enter the second half. This is also aided by our belief that, we have been under shipping under consumption for over a year now both in the channel and direct. Vivek Arya: But that's Quantification, right, of what the sell through has been in the reported quarters year-on-year? Vincent Roche: Yes. I can help you out there, Vivek. I think your question is kind of what sell in versus sell through. We talked about last year. We talked about reducing the channel inventory by about $100 million. We achieved that in our 2Q. We actually did a little better than that. As you look to 3Q, we'll reduce channel dollars again, but not by that much, not nearly $100 million, much less than $100 million. So, we're getting more normal in the channel as our weeks are coming down into our target range. That normalization is helping some of the growth, but sell through is also increasing in 3Q from 2Q, which is really how we drive the business and look at for indication. As you fast forward to 4Q, if these bookings continue, we don't know. There's no reason to think we won't be more in balance in 4Q from a ship in versus ship out perspective as well, and then we'll see how 1Q goes from there. I think that's kind of the question you're asking is, there's piece Rich talked about and Vince talked about the customer's inventory that's leading out. If you look at us and what we're shipping in the channel that's also normalizing setting us up for a good second half in 2025. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Christopher Danley from Citigroup. Christopher Danley: Can you talk about the gross margin drivers from here? Maybe touch on utilization rates and inventory trends and some of your competitors have talked about pricing returning to historical norms. If that happens, can you still get the gross margins back to the previous peak? Richard Puccio: Sure. I'll take that one. From a gross margin and utilization perspective, we talked a little bit about this in the first quarter call. We expect both utilization and gross margin bottomed in our Q2. However, we do expect the pace of gross margin expansion in the second half to be modest. Specifically for Q3, we anticipate gross margin a bit above 67%. Looking from here, gross margins expansion is going to be dictated by continued revenue growth, mix of business and utilization. From a balance sheet perspective, since our peak in Q3, we've reduced balance sheet inventory significantly, including over $70 million in Q2. For the third quarter, we expect to reduce inventory again by a lesser amount than in Q2. Overall, we executed pretty strongly against our inventory reduction goals, while mitigating the impact on gross margin, leveraging our dynamic hybrid manufacturing model. One of the things that's been super helpful in protecting us in this trough is the flexibility to swing capacity back into our fabs to help to maintain utilization. We've done that effectively, which is why we called the floor on utilization. I expect that utilizations as the demand continues to increase will start to increase and aid in our margin expansion. From a channel, as Mike mentioned, from a channel perspective, our goal was to reduce by $100 million we achieved. We will reduce an additional amount in Q3 to a lesser degree. Ultimately, we expect that this will get us firmly back into our target range of seven to eight weeks of inventory in the channel. Vincent Roche: Let me make a comment on the pricing side of things. Across the portfolio, our pricing has been very, very stable and I expect that to continue. Our products are very sticky. The franchise is very, very diversified. It's got lots of long life products in it. We tend to hang on to our sockets for, I think, on an average more than a decade. Clearly, where the competition is for the new sockets. But ADI has the premier innovation system in the analog mixed signal space and we have been pushing that innovation. While others are focused on volume, we're focused on value. I think it's a very, very different approach to things. We are not a commodity supplier at all. So we are not immune to price pressure, but we are more protected I think and we have better meat because of the innovation that we generate. I'll note as well, our ASPs are more than 4x the average. It's our innovation premium that enables us as well to capture more value and to produce the kind of gross margins that that we do. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Ross Seymore from Deutsche Bank. Ross Seymore: Hi, guys. Congrats on marking the trough and turning the corner. Vince, I wanted to ask a bigger picture question. I think it's been four years since you guys bought Maxim and I believe it was four years prior to that with Linear. How are you looking at the M&A environment? Are there any kind of pieces to the puzzle that you wish you had? Vincent Roche: Thanks, Ross. We've always acquired assets that get ADI ahead of customers' needs. We tend to take a long-term view, get ahead of our customers' needs. Obviously, we've been very, very selective. I will say, Ross, it's fair to say that, in terms of scale and scope of analog high performance franchise, we are where we need to be. Analog mixed signal power, we've got a wonderful power franchise now. But we've been adding, I alluded in my remarks or stated in my prepared remarks that, we have been putting more software content, more digital content and we've also been for about seven or eight years now developing machine learning, neural networking capability. Those are areas where as the world becomes more and more software defined, that is clearly an area where ADI has been organically investing. We've done some more tuck-in type acquisitions as well that help us in that area. But I think right now, we are really focused on making sure that, we fully capture all the synergies, from the revenue synergies from Maxim. But we're always looking, by the way. We're always looking for assets. But clearly I think analog is complete and it's other areas we're now looking. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Mark Lipacis from Evercore ISI. Mark Lipacis: Hi, thanks for taking my question. Vince, it's for you, I think. If you look at your -- if you adjust your revenues for the step function increase that you had for pricing, it looks like on a unit basis, you're shipping 25% below the trend line. I don't think you shipped that far below your long-term trend line since the world financial crisis. At the same time that's happening, you talked about your customers lowering, the supply chain lowering inventories, you are lowering inventories. It seems like there's a real risk that the industry is setting up for you and the industry is setting up for like a really tight supply environment, maybe even as they're early as the end of this year or early next year. I'm wondering, how do you think is there a risk that we enter that kind of a scenario? It seems like your customers never learn about trying to get their inventories right and the order see you on time. Is there something that's changed in your operations that will enable you to adjust to that, what has historically happened, which is your customers overshoot on the downside on their inventories and then come in at the last second when things are really tight? Vincent Roche: Yes. Well, yes, I think surging demand is a problem of a high quality. And as -- we have virtually 200 days of inventory in our balance sheet, stage primarily at the die socket level. So that gives us a tremendous amount of output that we could bring within weeks to the market. It's a question of packaging and test to a first approximation. Obviously, we're carrying finished goods as well. We have also spent $2.5 billion plus on making sure that we have internal capacity in our 4 internal fabs to be able to meet the demands across the nodes that produce most of the revenue for ADI. We've got great partners, partners like TSMC, for example, who are a critical part of our hybrid manufacturing model. So I think in terms of the ability to be able to address a really short order snapback is good, just given the coverage that we've got with internal inventories. Our distributors are carrying virtually 8 weeks as well as inventory. And then we've got all this new capacity. We've more than doubled the internal capacity on the critical nodes that address every single market that we that we participate in. So I think in terms of manufacturing agility, inventories, we're in good shape. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Harlan Sur from JPMorgan. Harlan Sur: Great job on the quarterly execution. Within your distribution business, it's about 60% of your overall revenues. You can monitor sell-through in near real-time which allows the team to tightly control the inventories into this channel. On the direct business, less visibility on consumption levels of inventory here. I think direct customer orders to you are probably the best indicator of where they are in terms of their inventory targets. So is the return to quarter-on-quarter growth in July and second half optimism on growth being driven by order growth at direct customers as well? And then just any qualitative differences on the residual excess inventory distri versus direct? Michael Lucarelli: Yes, Harlan, it's Mike. Yes, the direct order we talked about our -- direct orders as well as channel orders, but what's driving the growth is direct sales, out of the channel on a sell-through basis as well imaged directly to our end customers. So yes, it's not about -- we're not growing because the channel is refilling. We're growing because there's real demand out there on the end market level across all of our markets. Richard Puccio: We expect to reduce both balance sheet and channel inventory further in Q3 while growing. Michael Lucarelli: Did that [indiscernible] to your question, Harlan? Harlan Sur: Yes, it does. Michael Lucarelli: We'll go to our last question, please. Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Joseph Moore from Morgan Stanley. Joseph Moore: Great. I wanted to also touch on your margin profile. You used to peak with operating margins in kind of the low 40s. And now you're -- as you said you would, in a very difficult trough, you're troughing for the full year, probably above 40%. So that's pretty good structural improvement. Can you talk about that, what's going on if you sort of look over a decade, why is your through-cycle margin profile going up so much? Richard Puccio: Yes. So I think a couple of things, right? As we talked about -- the resiliency of our manufacturing process allows us to swing capacity in and out which allows us to offset some of the down cycle pressure on margins because we're able to keep utilization at a higher level given that swing capacity. Obviously, we continue to look for productivity and are executing on productivity improvements across all of our internal fabs. So I think that helps. And then if you think at an overall operating margin perspective, we've been demonstrating and we'll continue to demonstrate pretty strong operational control over expenses. Look, we expect we'll continue to see expansion in the margin as we grow and as revenue returns to a growth phase, we will get comfortably back into our long-term margin model. Vincent Roche: Yes. I think, Joe, as well, in addition to what Rich has said, it's important to point out that, first and foremost, we're innovation-centered, and if you look at the vintage bands of our products in each of the segments, the big segments that we address, industrial, automotive, consumer and communications, we're seeing ASP increases year-on-year. We're putting more value into our products. We're capturing more value. So I think that is kind of the root of things when I look forward. That's -- I mean that's what's happening to -- that's the origin, if you like, of the margin story for ADI. Our diversity helps us a lot. Our franchise isn't as price-sensitive as many. And as I said earlier, the life cycles matter. When we get our products designed in the pricing is tremendously stable. The other thing that's been happening from a price dynamic over the last several years is that whereas Moore's Law kind of taught everybody that we could give back a lot of the value that was generated in prior years, in the New Year. That has stopped. We asymptote roughly to zero now. We don't give price away. We compete for sockets, computed innovation, but that is really the origin of ADI's margin story. Michael Lucarelli: All right. Thank you, Joe, and thanks, everyone, for joining us this morning. A copy of the transcript will be available on our website, and all reconciliations are there as well. Have a great Memorial Day weekend, and thank you for listening on ADI's call. Operator: This concludes today's Analog Devices conference call. You may now disconnect.
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Analog Devices Shares Jump 6% on Q1 Beat and Strong Outlook

Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI) saw its shares surge over 6% intra-day today after delivering better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and issuing an optimistic outlook for the second quarter.

For Q1, the semiconductor company posted earnings per share of $1.63, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.54. Revenue fell 4% year-over-year to $2.42 billion, but still came in ahead of the $2.36 billion consensus forecast.

Margins also exceeded estimates, with an adjusted gross margin of 68.8%, compared to the 67.8% projection, while its adjusted operating margin reached 40.5%, slightly above the expected 40.2%.

Management highlighted an improving demand cycle and strong execution across key business segments, positioning Analog Devices for a gradual recovery despite macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges.

For Q2 2025, the company forecasts earnings per share of $1.68, plus or minus $0.10, slightly exceeding the $1.66 analyst consensus. Revenue guidance of $2.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, also landed above the $2.457 billion Wall Street estimate.

Analog Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADI) Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings

  • ADI's earnings per share (EPS) of $1.63 surpassed the estimated $1.54, marking an earnings surprise of 5.84%.
  • Revenue for the quarter was approximately $2.42 billion, exceeding estimates and driven by a resurgence in chip demand.
  • The company's financial metrics, including a P/E ratio of approximately 68.51 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, underscore its market position and investor confidence.

Analog Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADI) is a prominent player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in high-performance analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing technology. The company is known for its innovative solutions that cater to various sectors, including consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial applications. ADI competes with other semiconductor giants like Texas Instruments and NXP Semiconductors.

On February 19, 2025, ADI reported its earnings for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, showcasing a strong performance. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.63, surpassing the estimated $1.54, marking an earnings surprise of 5.84% as highlighted by Zacks. Despite this achievement, the EPS was slightly lower than the $1.73 reported in the same quarter last year, indicating some challenges in maintaining growth.

ADI's revenue for the quarter was approximately $2.42 billion, exceeding the estimated $2.36 billion by 2.79%. This positive performance was driven by a resurgence in chip demand, particularly within the consumer segment, which saw a 19% increase to $322.9 million. The growing adoption of AI-driven devices, premium smartphones, and smart home products contributed to this surge, as noted by Chief Executive Vincent Roche.

Despite the success in beating estimates, ADI faced year-over-year declines, with revenue slightly down from the $2.51 billion reported in the previous year. However, the company has consistently exceeded consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters, demonstrating its resilience and strong performance in the semiconductor industry.

ADI's financial metrics reflect its market position and investor confidence. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 68.51, investors are willing to pay $68.51 for every dollar of earnings. The company's low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22 indicates a strong financial position, while a current ratio of 1.84 suggests a robust ability to cover short-term liabilities. These metrics highlight ADI's stability and potential for future growth.

Analog Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) Sees Positive Analyst Sentiment Amid Industry Challenges

  • ADI's consensus price target has been on an upward trend, indicating growing analyst optimism about the company's stock performance.
  • The company's focus on expanding product offerings and strengthening its market position in sectors like automotive and high-performance analog segments is seen as a positive move.
  • Despite a high valuation at 33.64 times earnings and a modest stock price increase of 0.4% since the last earnings report, the potential growth in AI and EV battery management sectors could justify the current market sentiment.

Analog Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) is a key player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in data conversion, signal processing, and power management technologies. The company designs and manufactures integrated circuits and subsystems for various markets, including automotive, communications, and industrial sectors. ADI competes with other semiconductor giants like Texas Instruments and NXP Semiconductors.

Over the past year, ADI has seen a positive trend in its consensus price target, reflecting growing analyst optimism. Last month, the average price target was $250, up from $240 last quarter and $239.33 last year. This upward trend suggests confidence in ADI's stock performance, likely driven by its strategic focus on expanding product offerings and strengthening its market position.

Despite challenges in the semiconductor industry, ADI has shown resilience with sequential revenue growth, particularly in the automotive and high-performance analog segments. The company's valuation is high at 33.64 times earnings, but anticipated growth in AI and EV battery management could justify this. Morgan Stanley, however, has set a more conservative price target of $178.

ADI's stock price has increased modestly by 0.4% since its last earnings report 30 days ago. This slight uptick raises questions about the sustainability of this trend. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings announcements and industry developments to assess future stock performance and potential growth opportunities.

In summary, ADI's positive price target trend and strategic initiatives in expanding its product offerings and market presence contribute to analysts' optimism. However, the high valuation and modest recent stock price increase suggest a cautious approach, with attention to future earnings and industry trends being crucial for investors.

Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) Bullish Price Target Amid Upcoming Earnings Report

  • David Williams from Williams Trading has set a bullish price target of $245 for NASDAQ:ADI, indicating a potential increase of approximately 14.16%.
  • Despite an anticipated 11% decline in earnings per share and a 6.2% decrease in revenues for Q1, the consensus EPS estimate has remained stable over the past 30 days.
  • ADI's current stock price of $214.61 reflects an increase of approximately 2.52%, with a trading volume highlighting active investor interest.

Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) is a prominent player in the semiconductor industry, known for its innovative solutions in analog and digital signal processing. The company designs and manufactures a wide range of products, including integrated circuits and sensors, which are used in various applications such as automotive, communications, and industrial sectors. ADI competes with other major semiconductor companies like Texas Instruments and NXP Semiconductors.

On February 14, 2025, David Williams from Williams Trading set a bullish price target of $245 for ADI. At the time, the stock was trading at $214.61, suggesting a potential increase of approximately 14.16%. This optimistic outlook comes as ADI prepares to release its Q1 earnings report. Analysts project earnings of $1.54 per share, an 11% decline from the same quarter last year. Despite this, the price target indicates confidence in ADI's future performance.

The company's anticipated revenues for Q1 are $2.36 billion, marking a 6.2% decrease from the previous year. Despite these declines, the consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days. This stability in estimates suggests that analysts have not revised their initial projections, which can be a positive sign for investors. Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial as they can significantly influence investor actions and the short-term price performance of a stock.

Currently, ADI's stock is priced at $214.61, reflecting an increase of approximately 2.52% or $5.27. During the trading day, the stock reached a low of $210.64 and a high of $215.15. Over the past year, ADI has seen a high of $244.14 and a low of $182.57. The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $106.47 billion, indicating its significant presence in the market.

Today's trading volume for ADI is 3,938,608 shares, highlighting active investor interest. As highlighted by Benzinga, the stock's performance and the upcoming earnings report are key factors to watch. The strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements underscores the importance of these projections for investors.

Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) Upgraded by Wells Fargo Amid Earnings Challenges

  • Wells Fargo upgraded Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) to an "Overweight" rating, indicating a positive outlook despite anticipated earnings declines.
  • ADI's Q1 earnings report is expected to show an 11% decline in earnings per share and a 6.2% decrease in revenues, yet consensus EPS estimates have remained stable.
  • The stock's recent trading range reflects market anticipation of the upcoming earnings announcement, with a significant market capitalization of approximately $106.47 billion.

Analog Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) is a prominent player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the design and manufacturing of analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits. These components are crucial in a wide range of applications, from consumer electronics to industrial automation. ADI competes with other major semiconductor companies like Texas Instruments and NXP Semiconductors.

On February 14, 2025, Wells Fargo upgraded ADI to an "Overweight" rating, signaling a positive outlook on the stock. At the time, ADI's stock price was $214.61, reflecting a 2.52% increase or $5.27. This upgrade was part of a new coverage initiation, as highlighted by Benzinga, and suggests confidence in ADI's future performance despite upcoming earnings challenges.

ADI is preparing to release its Q1 earnings report for the quarter ending January 2025. Analysts expect earnings of $1.54 per share, an 11% decline from the previous year. Revenues are projected at $2.36 billion, a 6.2% decrease. Despite these anticipated declines, the consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate has remained stable over the past 30 days, indicating no revisions by analysts.

This stability in EPS estimates is significant for investors, as changes in earnings estimates often influence short-term stock price movements. As the earnings announcement nears, investors will watch for any revisions to these estimates, which could impact ADI's stock price. The stock's recent trading range, with a low of $210.64 and a high of $215.15, reflects market anticipation.

ADI's market capitalization is approximately $106.47 billion, with a trading volume of 3,938,608 shares on the NASDAQ exchange. Over the past year, ADI's stock has seen a high of $244.14 and a low of $182.57. These figures highlight the stock's volatility and the potential impact of upcoming earnings on its market performance.

Analog Devices Named Citi's Top Pick in U.S. Semiconductors Amid Lower Risk in Automotive Sector

Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI) has been named Citi’s new top pick in the U.S. semiconductor sector. The analysts moved Analog Devices to the top position due to its lower downside risk in the automotive sector compared to other analog semiconductor companies, especially after recently announcing earnings. Meanwhile, Broadcom and AMD continue to hold the second and third spots, with both remaining top picks for AI-related investments, though there are concerns about potential margin pressures in their AI segments.

Citi also upgraded Texas Instruments to fourth place, citing expectations of rising gross margins, despite concerns over the fourth-quarter 2024 guidance. Any potential share-price weakness is seen as a buying opportunity. Micron was downgraded to fifth, with Citi expecting lower consensus estimates in the near term, but the firm believes the ongoing DRAM inventory correction will end within a few quarters. Microchip remains in the last position among Citi’s Buy-rated semiconductor stocks, pending further catalysts for growth.

Analog Devices Stock Gains 5% on Q2 Beat

Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI) saw its shares rise by more than 5% in pre-market today following better-than-expected Q2 results and guidance.

For Q2, the company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.40, exceeding the Street estimate of $1.26. Revenue was $2.16 billion, above the consensus forecast of $2.1 billion.

The adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 66.7%, slightly below the projected 67.1%, while the adjusted operating margin was 39%, surpassing the expected 37.7%.

Looking ahead to Q3/24, Analog Devices projects EPS between $1.40 and $1.60, significantly higher than the Street expectation of $1.35. Revenue is anticipated to be between $2.17 billion and $2.37 billion, compared to the consensus of $2.16 billion.

CEO and Chairman Vincent Roche noted that despite ongoing macroeconomic and inventory challenges, the company delivered second-quarter revenue above the midpoint of its outlook. He attributed the strong performance to a resilient business model and disciplined cost control, which resulted in higher-than-expected profitability and EPS.

Roche also expressed optimism about the future, citing stabilizing inventory rationalization and improving new orders as indicators of a potential cyclical recovery starting in the third quarter.