Adobe Stock Drops 8% After Q3 Results Beat Estimates but Q4 Guidance Falls Short

Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) delivered strong fourth-quarter results, surpassing analyst expectations for earnings and revenue, yet a softer revenue outlook for the coming periods caused its stock to slide over 12% intra-day today.

For the fiscal fourth quarter, Adobe reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.81 on revenue of $5.61 billion, both ahead of market estimates, which had forecast EPS of $4.67 on revenue of $5.54 billion. The company’s net new digital media annualized recurring revenue reached $578 million, while its digital experience segment saw revenue grow 10% year-over-year to $1.40 billion.

Adobe’s total remaining performance obligations (RPOs) climbed to $19.96 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year increase and slightly accelerating from the 15% growth posted in the prior quarter.

However, the company’s guidance for fiscal Q1 raised concerns among investors. While adjusted EPS was forecasted between $4.95 and $5.00, slightly ahead of the $4.94 estimate, revenue was guided between $5.63 billion and $5.68 billion, falling short of the $5.72 billion consensus.

Looking ahead to fiscal 2025, Adobe projected adjusted earnings per share in the range of $20.20 to $20.50 and revenue between $23.30 billion and $23.55 billion. These forecasts came in below analyst expectations of $20.53 EPS and $23.80 billion in revenue. The revenue outlook implied a growth rate of approximately 9%, or about 10% on a constant currency basis.

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) is a leading software company known for its creative and digital marketing solutions. As it prepares to release its fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal 2024 on December 11, analysts are closely watching the company's performance. Adobe's anticipated earnings per share (EPS) is $4.66, with projected revenue of approximately $5.54 billion, reflecting a 9.71% increase from the same quarter last year.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate aligns with Adobe's revenue projection, indicating a stable outlook with a 9.13% growth in earnings from the previous year. Adobe has a track record of surpassing expectations, with an average earnings surprise of 2.59% over the last four quarters. This consistent performance is attributed to strong demand for its Generative AI solutions, despite facing competition and valuation challenges.

Analysts are optimistic about Adobe's growth, with 11 out of 15 tracked by Visible Alpha recommending a "buy" rating. The average price target for Adobe's stock is $619, about 12% higher than its recent closing price. This positive sentiment is supported by Adobe's ability to revise its EPS estimate upward by 0.1% over the past month, signaling confidence in its financial performance.

Adobe's financial metrics, such as a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 45.49 and a price-to-sales ratio of 11.51, reflect high market expectations for future growth. The company's enterprise value to sales ratio of 11.46 and enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio of 35.66 highlight its valuation in relation to revenue and cash flow generation. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 and a current ratio of 1.11, Adobe demonstrates strong financial health, maintaining a low level of debt and a good balance of current assets to liabilities.

• RBC Capital reiterated its "Outperform" rating for Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), highlighting the company's leadership in creative and digital marketing solutions.
• Adobe's integration of AI technologies, particularly the Firefly AI platform, is central to its growth strategy and positions it strongly in the expanding AI market.
• Despite providing soft guidance, Adobe's Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio suggests the stock may be undervalued, indicating potential for investors.

On December 5, 2024, RBC Capital reiterated its "Outperform" rating for Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), with the stock priced at $534.61. Adobe is a leading software company known for its creative and digital marketing solutions. It competes with other tech giants like Microsoft and Salesforce in the software industry. Adobe's innovative AI technologies, such as the Firefly AI platform, are key to its growth strategy.

Generative AI is creating significant opportunities for companies like Adobe, as highlighted at Bloomberg Intelligence's conference. Adobe is at the forefront of this productivity revolution, alongside key players like Nvidia and PayPal. The integration of AI technologies has contributed to the resurgence of software stocks, including Adobe, which have outperformed semiconductor stocks in the second half of 2024.

Adobe's third-quarter results exceeded expectations, but the company provided soft guidance, leading to a decline in its stock price. Despite this, Adobe's Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio suggests that the stock may be undervalued. The company's Firefly AI platform shows significant potential, positioning Adobe well in the expanding AI market.

Adobe is set to release its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earnings results on December 11, 2024. This announcement will be followed by a conference call with investors, streamed live on the Adobe Investor Relations Site. The company continues to use its website as a primary channel for distributing important information to investors.

Currently, Adobe's stock is trading at $535.76, with a slight decrease of 0.1361% from the previous day. The stock has seen a low of $529.79 and a high of $536.125 today. Over the past year, Adobe's stock has reached a high of $638.25 and a low of $433.97. The company's market capitalization is approximately $235.84 billion, with a trading volume of 367,608 shares.

DA Davidson analysts reiterated their Buy rating on Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), highlighting the company’s strong prospects for sustained growth and margin expansion.

The analysts emphasized Adobe’s ability to enhance its already market-leading margins, driven by increased operational scale and contributions from artificial intelligence. Adobe's durable growth engine, supported by its market leadership and consistent innovation, was viewed as a key factor in maintaining its competitive edge.

Adobe’s valuation was noted as particularly attractive, trading at 26 times next twelve months (NTM) earnings per share—currently the lowest among its large-cap peers. The analysts attributed this discount to concerns about AI’s potential impact on Adobe's business, which they argued were unfounded. Instead, the exponential growth of AI-generated content was seen as a significant monetization opportunity, positioning Adobe for both near- and long-term success.

• Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) sees a 19.4% decline in share price over the past year, contrasting with the tech sector's growth.
• Despite challenges, Adobe's strong demand for Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Adobe Experience Cloud drives top-line growth.
• Adobe is considered a laggard with significant upside potential, trading at $511.69 with a market cap of approximately $225.25 billion.

On November 20, 2024, Marjorie Taylor Greene made a purchase transaction involving shares of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE). Adobe is a leading software company known for its creative and digital marketing solutions. It competes with other tech giants in the digital content and marketing industry.

Despite a 19.4% decline in Adobe's share price over the past year, Wall Street analysts view Adobe as a promising investment, as highlighted by Zacks. This decline contrasts with the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's 32.9% return and the Zacks Computer Software industry's 16.9% appreciation. The challenging macroeconomic environment and increased competition in the generative AI space have impacted Adobe's performance.

Adobe's strong demand for its creative products, such as Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Adobe Experience Cloud, is driving top-line growth. The company's robust cloud-enabled products and expanding generative AI capabilities enhance its business prospects. Rising subscription revenues and solid momentum in mobile apps are significant positives for Adobe.

Adobe is identified as a laggard with significant upside potential for the remainder of 2024. Despite the impressive rally in U.S. stock markets, Adobe has underperformed. However, it is among a select group of stocks expected to achieve double-digit gains in the near term, supported by a favorable Zacks Rank.

Currently, Adobe is trading at $511.69 on the NASDAQ, with a market capitalization of approximately $225.25 billion. The stock has experienced a 1.44% increase, translating to a rise of $7.25. Over the past year, Adobe's stock has fluctuated between a high of $638.25 and a low of $433.97, indicating potential for future growth.

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE), a leading software company known for its creative and digital marketing solutions, recently reported its earnings for the third quarter of 2024. The company announced an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.65, surpassing the estimated EPS of $4.53. Additionally, Adobe reported revenue of $5.41 billion, exceeding the estimated revenue of approximately $5.37 billion. This performance underscores Adobe's ability to outperform market expectations and demonstrates its continued growth and financial health.

During the Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call, key executives, including Chair and Chief Executive Officer Shantanu Narayen and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Dan Durn, discussed Adobe's financial performance and strategic direction. The presence of analysts from prestigious firms such as Wolfe Research and JPMorgan highlighted the investment community's significant interest in Adobe's financial health and future prospects. This level of engagement from the analyst community reflects confidence in Adobe's market position and its ability to sustain growth.

Adobe's revenue of $5.41 billion for the quarter ending in August 2024 marked a significant year-over-year growth of 10.6%, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.79%. The company's EPS for the same period was $4.65, compared to $4.09 a year earlier, surpassing the consensus EPS estimate of $4.53 by 2.65%. These figures not only demonstrate Adobe's ability to grow its revenue and earnings year-over-year but also its capacity to exceed Wall Street expectations, making it an attractive option for investors.

The company's financial metrics, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 48.70 and the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of about 12.42, provide insights into the market's valuation of Adobe. With an enterprise value to sales (EV/Sales) ratio of roughly 12.09 and an enterprise value to operating cash flow (EV/OCF) ratio of approximately 37.63, Adobe showcases its valuation in relation to its sales and cash flow generation. The low debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03 indicates minimal reliance on debt for financing, while the current ratio of about 1.11 suggests a balanced ability to meet short-term liabilities with its short-term assets.

Adobe's consistent performance, as evidenced by its ability to surpass consensus EPS and revenue estimates for four consecutive quarters, positions it as a key player in the Zacks Computer - Software industry. This track record of exceeding analyst projections underscores Adobe's strong financial health and potential for sustained growth and profitability.