Here's What Experts Think for the Stock Market in the 2nd Half of 2021

Here's What Experts Think for the Stock Market in the 2nd Half of 2021

By Vineet

Early 2020 took investors on a roller coaster ride as the world went into lockdown due to the pandemic. However, during the latter half of the year, things started to settle down as people settled in with the new norms, and Covid-19 cases began to simmer down a little. Vaccinations are now being administered all around the world in hopes of achieving herd immunity. However, experts are still calculating its effect and have indicated that herd immunity could come into effect in late October this year.

With more and more people getting vaccinated every week, 2021 brought hopes for growth and expansion in the market. As the markets started to reopen, companies are looking to put their strategies in action to make up for the losses that occurred during the previous year. According to stock prices expert opinion, the markets are looking at a steady increase because of massive vaccination drives and implementation of the Defense Protection Act to improve the availability of the vaccines to everyone.

The first half of 2021 sure brought some good news and helped businesses get back on track. However, we’re not completely out of the woods yet. Here are some important predictions for the next half of 2021 for the stock market:


1.    Indexes will shoot up in all directions

All may be good over in Europe and America, but in many parts of Africa and Southeast Asia, Covid-19 is still wreaking havoc. India seems to be one of the worst-hit countries with the new mutation variant of the coronavirus. The second wave of the pandemic has caused widespread panic and distress all across the nation. The country has gone into complete lockdown in most parts as the government tries to focus on the healthcare infrastructure to accommodate rising cases.

Though the United States’ economy is improving steadily, economic distress on the other side of the globe can also affect the index. Nevertheless, according to stock price experts, all of the indexes show positive growth, with many influences from international trade that can pull them into different directions due to the risk of inflation.

However, thanks to the removal of restrictions, industries that had been hit hard during the previous year started to get back up. As a result, publicly traded firms in industries such as Travel, Hospitality, entertainment, dining, and energy may see an increase in interest from enthusiastic investors.

Large-scale investors and owners may pull capital away from the stocks with a higher valuation, such as tech stocks, to increase their cash flow. However, since the S&P 500 index consists of 34% of Tech stocks, the rotation upon reopening may put additional pressure on the industries mentioned above.


2.    Prepare for massive returns

With the resurrecting stocks that performed poorly during the previous year and basically plummeted for most of 2020, things are starting to take a turn for the better in 2021. Industries such as automotive, real estate, hospitality, travel, energy, and many of its subsectors, are starting to gain back some of their losses from the previous year.

Most tech giants show monster growth, with Facebook growing at 48% Y-O-Y, and Alphabet, which is the parent company of Google, expanded by 34%.  

Things are looking good for the non-IT industries due to the massive surge of people moving back to brick and mortar stores and opting to travel after being wrapped up in their homes for most of 2020.

Most S&P 500 stocks are doing well in the first half of 2021, how with increasing interest in inflation fears by the fed and influences from international trade, the stock market may see some fluctuations in the coming years.


3.    Capital Gains Tax Proposal

Soon after taking office, President Joe Biden presented plans for a new capital gains tax proposal that has already gained attention. Stock prices expert opinions suggest the new policies can have a short-term impact on the stock market’s performance. The tax rates for people with high income might increase, providing the opportunity for certain traders and investors to cash in on profits well before new regulations take full effect.

Although stock indices are reaching record levels, it’s understandable that anyone would seek to secure earnings before the tax increases. Naturally, this could generate some fluctuation in the stock market for a short while. However, the strategy adopted by most people for investments will have a minimum effect.

The changed tax policy pertains only to individuals with annual earnings of more than $1 million, with allowances for earnings on residential property exchanges. The majority of people will not find a difference. It does indeed, nevertheless, make the Roth IRA a more appealing alternative for retirement funds. Approved payouts from Roth IRA are tax-free, making them ideal instruments for high profitability.


4.    Changes in Interest Rates may bring fluctuations

In previous weeks, the market has become preoccupied with inflation and interest rates. This has a high probability of turning into a major point of concern in the coming months. There has been evidence that the market is reviving faster than expected, particularly in areas that were mostly unaffected by the outbreak. According to Stock prices expert opinions and studies conducted by Bloomberg, the Federal Reserve will end its stimulus policy far sooner than it has stated, which can bring erratic changes for the market.

After a rough year in 2020, the economy is climbing back up, and it’s important to keep an eye on the changing policies as President Biden begins his term. In addition, investors should keep their eyes fixed on the long-term returns and diversify their investments to keep up with the changing trends in the market.